The $5,400 Question: Why Are You Paying for Noise When I’m Giving You the Signal?
An open challenge to the market: I have 333 posts, 50 years of experience, and documented proof that I called the 2008 crash before it happened. Yet, you’re still buying the “garbage.” Here the data.
I am going to break the fourth wall today.
I have been publishing the Daily Pulse and Cara Navigator for five months. In that time, I have released 333 posts totaling thousands of pages of actionable, institutional-grade analysis. I have broken down the “Three Kings” of the ETF market, the “Three Kingdoms of the AI industry, exposed the “Safety Trap” of April 2025, and provided a daily discipline that professionals tell me is “Awesome.”
Yet, as of this morning, I have fewer than 40 paying subscribers. My annualized income from this massive effort is $5,422.
I am not telling you this to complain. I am 83 years old; I don’t write for the money. Until I came to Substack, BillCara.com had no paywall or advertising for over 19 years. I write because I have things to say and a fiduciary duty to the truth.
I am telling you this because there is a massive disconnect between Value and Price in the financial media market—and most of you are on the wrong side of the trade.
The “Blind Taste Test” (AI vs. Reality)
Recently, I conducted an experiment. I took my raw writing notes (the ‘169 Gems’) from March to August 2007—the months leading up to the Great Financial Crisis, and before the Bahamas government asked me to come out of retirement yet another time to help boost their economy —and fed those notes into an advanced AI (Claude) for an objective audit.
I didn’t tell the AI who wrote them. I simply asked: “Analyze these 169 quotes for accuracy, prescience, and relevance.”
The AI’s conclusion? My warnings about the “Credit Ring,” the “Liar Loans,” and the “HB&B” conflict of interest were “remarkably prescient” and “rated 9/10” for accuracy. They were the same words the editors of the Wall Street Journal solicited me on their own to take an op-ed counter position to a Fortune Magazine editor and manager of two fund of funds who wanted the SEC to back off hedge fund regulation. That article kicked off the new series at WSJ, promoted on page one, and the very first words warned, “Far be it for a Canadian to tell Americans how to run (things), but the market is headed for (a crash). My opponent ridiculed my position, but he sure discovered several months later that his opponent was prescient.
While the “experts” on TV in 2007 were screaming “Soft Landing,” I was documenting the exact sequence of the crash.
Here is the challenge: Go back and check the archives of the newsletter you are paying for nor records of the advice you were following at the time. What were they saying in 2007? What were they saying in April 2025 when the Fear Index hit 3?
If they were selling you panic or “safe” stocks like Nike (which fell -23%), you are paying for noise.
The Gap Between Reality and Perception
Two office directors at the SEC have told me I ranked in the top ten worldwide for credibility. The economics editor of a major Swiss media group refers my books. Institutional investors read my work privately and email me their praise.
But the retail public? You are still buying the “Garbage.”
You are subscribing to influencers who have never sat on a trading desk, and could never build an online trading system or be selected by the world’s foremost securities regulators to be the sole representative of the public in the final industry hearing prior to setting the rules for electronic trading. My first words deviated from the 20-minute speech I had prepared because I was furious with the group that immediately preceded me: “You have just heard the big lie from Reuters Instinet and I prove it…” People are stunned but I tell the truth. I present facts. You are paying for narratives about “The End of America” or “The AI Bubble” instead of looking at the truth, the math.
This year, I created INSTAT—my proprietary market awareness system—to filter out that garbage. It tracks 2,000 securities globally. It doesn’t care about the narrative; it only cares about the Price, the Trend, and the Institutional Flow.
It is the system that kept me calm in 2008, and it is the system that identified the “AI Supply Chain” breakout in the second quarter this year while so many of you were hiding in cash.
My Offer to You
I am writing two new books: The Investor’s Perpetual Filter and Delusional Capitalism. They are the culmination of 50 years of battling “Humungous Bank & Broker” (HB&B), a network I was once a senior member of.
But you don’t have to wait for the books. The discipline is here, live, every single day.
I am challenging you to audit your information diet.
Are you paying for what is basically entertainment, or are you paying for an edge?
Are you paying to have your biases confirmed, or to have your portfolio protected?
If you want the “Garbage,” stick with the influencers. But if you want the Signal—the kind of signal that warned of 2008 and navigated 2025—then it is time to close the gap.
I have proven my value. Now it is time for the market to correct its pricing error.
Subscribe to the Daily Pulse. If you do, I promise to continually improve it. Otherwise, the Bahamas has reached out once again, and I have drafted a master plan for development. Tomorrow, December 2, I have a meeting with others to decide if I take a primary role in that or a secondary one while sticking with you and what we can get done together in protecting ourselves from HB&B. Your response will be telling.


Hi Bill, in a new subscriber based on a recommendation from NYA, I've been enjoying your posts and reports - very impressive and comprehensive. I have even built a dashboard using python (and some help from chat gpt) that takes input from your reports, along with other commentators I respect, and translates into an allocation guide. I showed it to my 16 year old son this weekend (who is quite the investor already) and he said it was 'cool'. I'd be happy to share more about it if others were interested.
In short, I hope you keep going, but I totally understand if you have other priorities. It does seem hard to compete against the more sensational financial influencers who post (far too regularly actually, which is a sign in itself) on substack.
We have been lucky to have access to your insight and experience thus far - what you do is commendable, I wish you got more credit for it. All the best either way - I'll be recommending your writings to my son!
I, too, have been reading and following for years . My decision-making cuts through the noise and follows your acc and distribution zones while using a common-sense approach to investing . Your blog was a godsend and the information available is top-notch. Thanks for all you do Bill. It is greatly appreciated...