Crypto – Weekly Investment Report (Test 3)
For the Week Ending August 8, 2025 (data as at 3 pm ET)
This is my third test of the Crypto database file. The first test introduced several coins I had never heard of. The AI agent apologized and stated that the extremely detailed prompt would be followed to a “T,” but the output was even worse. Many more instruments I have never heard of. So here’s what’s happening. I say: “ABSOLUTELY DO NOT DO THIS.” The AI Agent says: “YES SIR and then delivers more crap,” – NOT ONCE, BUT REPEATEDLY WITH NEW CRAP EVERY TIME.
What is frustrating is that most times this prompt delivers the report I want. I spend very few minutes manually editing. That said, I reluctantly post this report (3rd test), and will move on to use my bullet-proof prompt on a different AI platform.
Observations
The week ending August 8, 2025, showed a mixed performance across the crypto-related ETFs in the R-89 watchlist. Among the five instruments tracked, Fidelity Crypto Industry and Digital Payments ETF (FDIG) and Global X Blockchain ETF (BKCH) posted the strongest one-week price gains at +4.33% and +4.11% respectively. These gains suggest renewed momentum following recent pullbacks, supported by positive multi-timeframe sentiment scores.
FDIG showed a neutral daily signal but posted “Strong Buy” sentiment for both weekly and monthly intervals, signaling the presence of consistent longer-term buying pressure. BKCH, while ending the week with a daily “Sell” signal, mirrored that longer-term strength, also holding “Strong Buy” ratings on weekly and monthly sentiment.
ProShares Bitcoin ETF (BITO) recovered modestly with a +2.98% one-week return, despite closing the week with a “Strong Sell” daily signal. The short-term weakness contrasts with slightly improved price performance, suggesting retail selling pressure while longer-term investors may be stabilizing their holdings.
The ProShares Short Bitcoin ETF (BITI), designed to profit from declines in Bitcoin prices, posted a -2.94% decline this week. This inverse performance signals that Bitcoin likely firmed or rose modestly — consistent with BITO’s gain. BITI also recorded a "Strong Sell" on both weekly and monthly sentiment readings, reflecting bearish expectations for continued BTC upside.
Siren Nasdaq NexGen Economy ETF (BLCN) was the weakest gainer, up only +0.51%, but sentiment was mixed. It registered a "Strong Sell" signal in the short term but "Neutral" weekly and "Sell" monthly sentiment, indicating a possible turning point but with weak momentum confirmation.
Overall, the crypto ETF space showed tentative strength led by FDIG and BKCH. The data reflects cautious accumulation in broad crypto equities, while sentiment remains fragile, especially in short-term intervals. Retail-driven price gains are starting to attract long-term attention — but conviction remains selective.
Analysis
Analyzing this week’s trends against prior sentiment patterns reveals a cautious return of bullish momentum, especially in diversified blockchain and crypto equity baskets. FDIG stands out for its consistency: over recent weeks it has sustained strong weekly and monthly sentiment despite near-term price volatility. Its price gain this week affirms that institutional interest is beginning to assert influence again.
BKCH mirrors that trend. Although short-term selling pressure is evident from its daily "Sell" signal, the strong weekly and monthly scores indicate that traders continue to build positions into any weakness. This represents an important sentiment divergence: price momentum and long-term sentiment are aligning even as daily volatility remains elevated.
BITO is attempting to emerge from a downtrend. It posted a +2.98% gain this week, though still ending with a "Strong Sell" daily sentiment. This divergence — positive price action against a negative short-term sentiment — may reflect forced liquidations or retail noise masking more patient accumulation. However, its weak 1-month and YTD scores show that a full reversal has not yet taken hold.
BITI, the inverse ETF, experienced declining price and uniformly negative sentiment. The alignment of weak price action with "Strong Sell" signals across all timeframes suggests that bearish bets are being unwound. This reinforces the possibility that crypto equities — especially those tracking BTC — are finding near-term support.
BLCN, meanwhile, presents ambiguity. While technically positive for the week, its muted gain and mixed sentiment scores indicate indecision. The weekly “Neutral” score suggests neither bulls nor bears dominate, and its "Sell" monthly rating implies this ETF’s structure or holdings do not yet convince investors.
In summary, a sentiment shift may be underway in crypto-related equities. Strength is emerging, particularly in FDIG and BKCH, while speculative bearish plays like BITI are weakening. Confirmation of this trend depends on continued follow-through and alignment of short-term sentiment with longer-term positioning.
Guidance
Using the AT/INV signals derived from the sentiment fields in your data, and applying only the instruments in the uploaded file, here is the strategic outlook:
STRONG BULL PHASE
Fidelity Crypto Industry and Digital Payments ETF (FDIG)
Global X Blockchain ETF (BKCH)
Both ETFs recorded strong 1-week price performance and aligned weekly/monthly sentiment. Recommended action: ADD TO POSITIONS. The signal indicates growing institutional support.
BULLISH MOMENTUM
ProShares Bitcoin ETF (BITO)
While sentiment remains weak in the short term, a rising price and improving relative strength place it in transition. Suggested action: NEW BUY only if next week’s sentiment improves; otherwise, HOLD.
STRONG BEAR PHASE
ProShares Short Bitcoin ETF (BITI)
Consistent negative sentiment across all timeframes and falling price support a SELL recommendation. The market is moving against this position as broader crypto stability improves.
NEUTRAL
Siren Nasdaq NexGen Economy ETF (BLCN)
Minimal price movement and mixed sentiment make this a HOLD. No conviction exists in either direction, and no action is recommended until sentiment shifts align with price.
This week's recommendation is to remain focused on strength and aligned sentiment in diversified crypto equity exposures. The market may be transitioning from fear to accumulation — but signals must be confirmed weekly, as volatility remains high and conviction remains low in many instruments.