Bill Cara Global Pulse: August 11, 2025
AI Infrastructure Surge Drives Selective Technology Momentum Amid Global Market Stability
MARKET LEADERS
CoreWeave (CRWV) – $139.78: +7.90% (1 week +31.86%) – AT 50 / INV 150 – STRONG BUY – AI infrastructure demand driving exceptional institutional accumulation with very bullish momentum across all timeframes
Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) – $2.31: +18.46% (1 week -6.10%) – AT 50 / INV 80 – ADD – Real estate technology recovery play with strong daily momentum despite weekly volatility, tactical entry opportunity at oversold levels
Palantir Technologies (PLTR) – $182.68: -2.29% (1 week +13.71%) – AT 13 / INV 150 – BUY – Government AI contracts and enterprise adoption driving sustained institutional interest, temporary daily weakness creates entry point
Diageo ADR (DEO) – $111.55: +1.90% (1 week +13.63%) – AT 50 / INV 20 – HOLD – Premium spirits recovery momentum continues with strong technical signals, though limited institutional participation suggests a measured approach
Plug Power (PLUG) – $1.58: +5.63% (1 week +8.97%) – AT 43 / INV -60 – ADD – Hydrogen energy speculation driving technical momentum despite institutional skepticism, tactical trading opportunity only
SECTOR ROTATION THEMES
Artificial Intelligence Infrastructure Dominance: CoreWeave and Palantir leading technology surge with combined AT/INV scores exceeding 200, reflecting institutional recognition of AI infrastructure as a critical utility rather than speculative technology
Consumer Defensive Resilience: Diageo's outperformance signals rotation toward recession-resistant premium brands amid global economic uncertainty, with spirits consumption patterns supporting defensive positioning
Energy Transition Speculation: Hydrogen and clean energy names showing tactical momentum despite mixed fundamental outlook, creating short-term trading opportunities but requiring careful position sizing
GLOBAL MARKET INSIGHTS
Strongest Indices: Nikkei 225 (JP225): +1.85% daily (+3.80% weekly) and DAX (DE40): -0.34% daily (+1.36% weekly)
Weakest Indices: S&P 500 (US500): -0.25% daily (+0.69% weekly) and FTSE 100 (UK100): +0.37% daily (+0.02% weekly)
Regional Themes:
Asian markets demonstrating relative strength with Japanese equities leading on yen weakness and export competitiveness improving manufacturing sector outlook
European industrial strength evident in DAX weekly outperformance despite daily consolidation, reflecting infrastructure investment and energy security initiatives
The US market is showing a consolidation pattern with technology selectivity replacing broad-based growth momentum, indicating the maturation of the AI investment cycle.
RISK ALERTS
Super Micro Computer (SMCI) – $45.20: +1.35% (1 week -22.38%) – AT -50 / INV -40 – AVOID – Technical breakdown accelerating with institutional distribution evident, fundamental concerns over AI hardware commoditization
Hims Hers Health (HIMS) – $50.01: -3.72% (1 week -21.06%) – AT -50 / INV 20 – TRIM – Telehealth sector pressure with regulatory uncertainty creating institutional ambivalence despite favorable long-term demographics
Eli Lilly (LLY) – $635.33: +1.55% (1 week -17.38%) – AT -50 / INV -147 – SELL – Pharmaceutical giant showing severe institutional distribution amid obesity drug competition concerns and patent cliff pressures
Anomaly Alert: 16 securities triggered daily volatility thresholds (±2.5%) with 14 weekly anomalies (±7.5%), indicating elevated single-stock risk requiring enhanced position sizing discipline and stop-loss protocols for momentum strategies.