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Recent Posts
- Cara Community Oilers: Concho Res October 16, 2020
- Cara Community Oilers: Diamondback October 16, 2020
- Cara Community Oilers: EOG Resources October 16, 2020
- Cara Community Oilers: Pioneer October 16, 2020
- Cara Community Biotechs: Compass Pathways October 16, 2020
- Cara Community Biotechs: TCR2 Thera October 15, 2020
- Cara Community Biotech: VIR Bio October 15, 2020
To mask or not to mask, that is the question. https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/5/4/e006577 Main outcome measure Clinical respiratory illness (CRI), influenza-like illness (ILI) and laboratory-confirmed respiratory virus infection. Results The rates of all infection outcomes were highest in the cloth mask arm, with the rate of ILI statistically significantly higher in the cloth mask arm (relative risk (RR)=13.00, 95% CI 1.69 to 100.07) compared with the medical mask arm. Cloth masks also had significantly higher rates of ILI compared with the control arm. An analysis by mask use showed ILI (RR=6.64, 95% CI 1.45 to 28.65) and laboratory-confirmed virus (RR=1.72, 95% CI 1.01 to… Read more »
Regardless of whatever data you purport to be important, it’s no question at all. Masks are important and the majority of us are wearing them. If you choose to ignore the vast majority of doctors and scientists in the world, you do so at your own peril. But here’s the thing: nobody here is telling you to wear a mask or not. Don’t wear one if that is your choice. What you are doing is an attempt to proselytize to people in this community who are not stupid. Why are you wasting your time with silly insinuations? Next you will… Read more »
Mail received today from an associate I listened to a video interview with Greg Palast last night on act.tv. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WGIoK541TnY This was a great interview. Greg described how to track your registration and your ballot (if you voted by mail). I was able to go to Google and find that New York has an app to track my mail-in ballot. Glad to know that my ballot was received and is valid! I voted Working Party for Biden/Harris because I want progressive 3rd parties on the ballot—even though I’m a registered Democrat. https://www.nbcnewyork.com/news/local/voting-absentee-in-new-york-city-heres-how-to-track-your-ballot/2602541/ Greg also described the many ways that the election could be manipulated in favor of Trump and… Read more »
bill…..will start off by saying I love your blog and the many inputs but I take umbrage at the gratuitous last sentence……given the number of high tech employees who are active in the biden campaign and the blatant censorship going on re Hunter”maybe when you grow up you will not have to give half your earning to your father” Biden fiasco. NYPost is still banned on twitter.
toby I made no last sentence. I only contributed what an associate had written to me. But I am not happy that you and others are baiting me with endless nonsense about Hunter Biden. He is not running for president. His father was never accused by any Congressional committee of corruption. This is a Trump doing. And we all know who is the corrupt politician running for president. I have always said that I want GOP to win. Trump is not GOP. He is not Democrat. He’s not even a politician. We know what he is and he should not… Read more »
So far, a total of 353 of the 3,141 counties in America located in 29 of the nation’s 50 states already have 1.8 million MORE registered voters than residents, according to an analysis by Judicial Watch.The non-profit government watchdog compared the registration data available for 37 states with the U.S. Census Bureau’s most recently available American Community Survey (ACS) numbers for the period 2014-2018 on a county-by-county basis. The Democrats have been pushing to vote by mail and stay safe using this COVID-19 to also screw up and deny a fair election. We cover the number of states that no longer require… Read more »
Bill, Thought you might like. https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/silver-epochal-maldistribution-wealth
Bert, entertaining maybe but not informative and will not make me money. Wealth distribution to help the low income people is a crock. Give all the people some money and they will largely misspend it. Give the wealthy money and to get what they really want they simply direct it into the pockets of the lawmakers to tilt the scales in their direction. Give all the people jobs and the work simply expands to the hours given, while productivity, which is essential, falls. Buy silver because gold becomes too expensive? What nonsense. Tell that to the investors in AAPL or… Read more »
LOL! I was only thinking it supports your case for precious metals. And, opps … should have posted on Community.
Had you posted it to Community, I would have re-posted it here.
Trust me Bert, I am getting tired of this nonsense.
Outstanding Alabama #2 Crimson Tide handily beat #3 ranked Georgia with a superb second half performance. The first half was quite even. Georgia does not have the top-rated QB this year needed to win it all. Despite a struggle against Georgia’s #1 defense, Alabama’s redshirt QB Mac Jones continued his outstanding play, which won them the game. Alabama will go the rest of the season undefeated. #1 Clemson will also go undefeated. Earlier in the day, Clemson thrashed an inferior Georgia Tech team. It was so boring, I watched only a few minutes of that one. Nothing else today caught… Read more »
Gratuitous insult directed at young investors
Interesting. Where is the proof?
To the president of Smead Capital, I say put up or shut up.
In my experience, ‘young’ investors who become serious students of the market are every bit as successful as the average professional I met during my years in financial services.
Time for a break
After 3 hours on the monitors this morning, my eyes are giving out and my head about to explode, so it’s time for a break.
Maybe when I return, the market will be treating me better as well, and I’ll be able to read the numbers.
Seconds after posting, I received notice to pick up my computer glasses at 2:30pm today. What a relief.
After I looked at the monitors with my new computer glasses, I must have jumped back a few inches in surprise… I can see again. No more 8’s that are really 6’s.
This is terrific. Should end the migraine headaches!
A very thoughtful ~17min talk on the 2 choices in this election …
Rush H. Limbaugh @RealRLimbaugh
I’d like you to find 17 minutes you can spend uninterrupted and listen to this video from the Chairman of the Board of the Claremont Institute in CA. Mr. Klingenstein says that in normal times he wouldn’t even think of voting for President Trump! But…
https://youtu.be/q_4n_MmNdxA
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q_4n_MmNdxA&feature=youtu.be
Tom Klingenstein explains why 2020 may be the most consequential election since 1860—and why President Trump is the man most uniquely suited to the moment.
Kaimu……sad to read this about Hawaii and Bill I know this article is from a right leaning site,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Hawaii “Has Committed Suicide” – Local Rages “Hardly Anyone is sick, But We’re All Broke”
?h=d7bc9ac2&itok=-76cFNc5
“Guys… I cannot tell you how bad it is in Hawaii…”
Voting wait times Watching endless lines of voters in the US today is astounding. We have voted at least 20 times in Canada in our lifetime. We have never had to wait more than 30 seconds. We have never heard of voting irregularities. Other than the seven years we lived in a very rural area, we never had to drive our car to the voting place. They were always within 15 minutes walk. Last year was a 3-min walk. To see Americans in line-ups of up to 8 hours is unimaginable to us. Looks like a Banana Republic. Where is… Read more »
over 1.12 million people registered to vote in San Antonio alone,…..,obviously a new record,,,,,,,,,,,republicans (way more than democrats) tend to vote in person….My neighbor, a 100% legally disabled frostbite korean/vietnam vet always votes the first day, somewhat of a tradition with him……….he is having more and more trouble with the stairs at the house he helped build 40 years ago.and may have to sell and move….very sad,,,,.never guess whose campaign signs are all over his garage door …..
WOW — Biden’s Running for the Senate … Thought it was for POTUS …
RNC Research
@RNCResearch
Joe Biden: “I’m running as a proud Democrat for the Senate”
https://youtu.be/V3OT0qu79Jc
Now That’s Some Really Good Stuff …
https://twitter.com/i/status/1315722121390284801
toby, Re: “No more politics from me since Biden said yesterday he is running for the senate and he is welcome to that position.” I removed this line because it was (i) political (ii) gratuitous addition to your thoughtful market comment, and (iii) not factual: Bad grammar can be the source of amusement, and we see it all the time with TV comedians, but for the sake of propriety in this community, I ask you not to deliberately misconstrue Biden’s intent. All you would accomplish is to bait others here to do the same with Trump, which also ticks me… Read more »
thought I could sneak it by you….such is life……….one of baz22s latest recos does not have options…puts me in a quandry……
toby,
I am looking forward to more of your options commentary because I will be starting to trade options in Dec., and probably with Biotech trades.
My Trade Exchange Biotech trades have gone extremely well. My success record early this morning (thanks to baz) is 18 of 19, and the portfolio return (with an enormous IRR over several weeks) is about 16%.
Maybe we can combine our efforts to produce some big winners?
What we are most searching for at Amazon
https://www.visualcapitalist.com/top-100-product-searches-on-amazon/
Started with books and now has gone to ??? toilet paper
Must-see TV drama: The Windermere Children
This powerful must-see drama on PBS Masterpiece Theater and Amazon Prime is a TV program that we shall remember forever. Highly recommended.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Windermere_Children
https://www.pbs.org/show/windermere-children/
https://www.theguardian.com/tv-and-radio/2020/jan/05/windermere-children-arek-hersh-survivor-bbc-drama
JUST THOUGHT IT WAS IMPORTANT TO POINT OUT THERE IS A BIG DIFFERENCE BETWEEN PACKING AND LOADING THE SUPREME COURT. NINE HAS SERVED THE NATION WELL FOR WELL OVER A HUNDRED YEARS AND EVEN ROOSEVELT WAS DISSUADED FROM EXPANDING ‘PACKING’ THE NUMBER OF JUSTICES BY FELLOW DEMOCRATS AND STICKING WITH THE TIME HONORED TRADITION OF REPLACING ‘LOADING’ POSITIONS AS THEY BECAME AVAILABLE….Dems sure love playing with semantics…..
There is a clear difference, but I do not see any playing of semantics. The Dems are clearly inferring that if the Republican Senate forces a confirmation of Barrett ahead of the election, which would put 6 conservative-leaning Justices of 9 in place, the Dems would, should the election results be a landslide in their favor, counteract that move with the expansion of SCOTUS to 12. Legally, both positions make the other side unhappy, but would be legal, so I don’t see the problem here. Just as I am for the Trump nominee being confirmed, I am also all for… Read more »
Let’s not forget that the packing of the federal courts was the result of Senate obstruction during the Obama administration. Also no matter our personal views the Senate represents states not necessarily the people.
filling empty seats is “loading”…..not packing which is increasing positions……easy to get confused as Schumer et al are doing their best to encourage same
I meant to reference the numerous judgeships vacancies during his time and was using “packing” loosely. My statement was incorrect.
Alabama scores 65 but drops to #3 ranking behind Clemson and Georgia in my list.
Unranked Ole Miss scored 48 against a non-existent Alabama defense. Wow. Worst ever.
Alabama QB Mac Jones was outstanding again going 28 of 32 and 427 passing yards. Phenomenal, but then again there was no defence anywhere tonight.
A game for the record book. Never in a SEC game has there been 111 points scored or 1370 yards of offence.
Some great football games played today. Loved it.
Totally unacceptable talk by a US president. There is no bottom to Trump’s barrel.
Trump threatens Iran with F-bomb while on Rush Limbaugh. This is Trump channeling Gotti and he thinks talking like a gangster is getting him votes?
Two sleaze-bags who deserve one another —and I am not talking Iran.
Can you ever ever imagine George Bush, Nikki Haley, Trey Gowdy or any of the best Republicans talking like this? Makes me sick. The man’s a disgrace to the Party.
RePAIR
Bill:
We’ll never know which party he aligns with, because he is true only to himself: https://www.thoughtco.com/was-donald-trump-a-democrat-3367571
As others have reported – he will likely initiate the “Trump News Network” and bring National Enquirer style reporting to TV. (either in 2021 or 2025): https://www.latimes.com/politics/story/2020-06-19/trump-gets-an-all-trump-network-it-could-be-his-future
Got to diversify that real estate portfolio………………and US really needs to develop some stringent minimum qualifications for President (I wouldn’t hire either candidate for a job).
Bloomberg News has reported a problem with a number of Robinhood investment accounts being hacked and funds and securities stolen. I hope for everybody’s sake that this serious problem does not become widespread. I know that just in the case of this website, we get hundreds of hacker attacks every hour… and there is nothing here to steal. Protect your assets. Frequently change your passwords and use double layer protection. Monitor your accounts frequently and if theft happens cc to the SEC your notice to your broker. Deal with reputable brokers that have responsive staff who will talk to you… Read more »
At half-time, North Carolina is blowing away a pretty good Virginia Tech team so maybe NC is one to watch?
Tonite, I think Clemson’s defense will have to prove itself against Miami. The Crimson Tide will be rolling again and should be consensus #1
Just love what ex-LSU QB Joe Burrow is doing as a pro. Amazing. And that’s without much protection
Kaimu, I don’t suppose you would consider giving your relentless barrage of political opinions a rest here? How is your post even remotely helpful to us in assessing the capital markets? I too could throw my political opinions around here, like how the 2018 tax cuts for the rich and corporations made a joke of all the previous right wing angst about the debt and deficit, how right wing anti tax policy lets failed businessmen like the President avoid paying any kind of fair share of taxes contributing to the crazy US debt problem, etc. Perhaps some reflection on the… Read more »
Aloha! Dave its not a political opinion it is a “monetary fact” that involves credit ratings based on unsustainable state and city (muni) and Fed debt issues and no tax revenues due to lockdowns. No private investor would loan NYC a dime unless the entire island of Manhattan was collateral! This is the same stuff Milton Friedman mentioned in the 1960s called “government intervention into free market economies”! Facts not opinion! And yes the House of Representatives is a “comedy show”!
I thought the whole reason for the new “Life & Politics” was for life and political opinion; see Community Blog for anything else.
kaimu, Your last comment is NOT A FACT, but that is not the point, Opinions are ok anywhere in this website as long as there is a civil discourse, and for over 17 years that has been the case. However, the Community Blog part of the site is supposed to be about opinions on companies, stocks, industries, and sectors, as well as the price drivers that directly affect them. That’s what the Community wants to read. Let’s give it to them. For the next month, I will move to the Life & Politics section any comment (or part comment!) that… Read more »
Thank you Bill as a lurker and learner who reads this blog I do find opinion based politics to really distract from the reason I come to this site. Less of that is better.
frankly I love everything that kaimu prints………probably because I am a transplanted New Yorker who has found a wonderful home and wife about 140 miles west of him in Texas….unfortunately 2/3rd of the people fleeing the mismanaged blue states like Calif and NY are registering as democrats when they get here………………..dumber than toast as the old expression goes….
AMEN Brother tobyt; same here; I’ve been reading his stuff since ’09; no one on this blog has ever put the kind of detail behind his words; that takes extraordinary effort. So, if he blows off some steam once in a while, I’m good with that because people need to know the truth. Do nothing Dem’s will never help anybody but themselves. I don’t agree with everything the Donald says and does but I’m 100% sure he is fighting for us; and, his genius is inspiring; I’ve been saying this since before he was elected; in order to usher in… Read more »
The diversity of opinions is good to see. You saw Pence and Harris totally opposite to me. Pence was rude, a bit smug, and condescending. Harris did get into issues and was respectful. She refused to answer a hypothetical question on loading SCOTUS even though Trump, as is his right, has been loading it. If the law permits and the new govt votes and approves it, then I have no problem with that either. But while the polls and media voted Harris the clear winner, the only thing that mattered were (1) she showed she is as capable as Pence… Read more »
I don’t know Bill there were a few times Kamala acted like she was so upset, moved even but absolutely no watery eyes; total phony; my wife points those things out over and over; not about Kamala per-sey because she won’t even watch but I’ve learned to watch for it. Pence is genuine; total professional; perfect gentlemen; as he should be with his background and faith. Kamala is an empty vessel; she will say and do anything to get elected; I thought her comments were much more shallow than Pence; she was only responding in the moment; where Pence showed… Read more »
Just listen to the last 20 minutes of the debate again; and you have all you need to make a decision. https://youtu.be/Q__CEb3dRqw?t=4166 Breonna Taylor. Just look at Kamala’s totally phony concern; pure politics; nothing more.
George Floyd . . . Senator Tim Scott tried to pass a police reform bill; Senator Harris got up and walked out of the room during discussions and then filibustered the bill on the Senate floor. Total hypocrite. “. . . I will not sit here and be lectured by the vice president . . . “; who said it was a lecture; stating facts. And, if she becomes vice president, what do you think she will say to the American people if they disagree with her. I will not be lectured; you will listen to me . . .… Read more »
Listen to the discussion about a peaceful transition of power; nothing could be farther from the truth from the Do nothing Dem’s; especially Harris and clan. No obstruction, no collusion; no case. Impeachment proceedings for almost 3 years . . . hypocrites; all of them.
And, if you don’t have 20 minutes to listen to the end of the debate again. Read the last two responses from the transcript; https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/10/08/vice-presidential-debate-full-transcript-mike-pence-and-kamala-harris/5920773002/ Stark difference in wisdom. When the 2016 election was over and the winner assumed responsibilities of the presidency; did the do nothing dem’s work together with the new president; absolutely not; compare that to what happened after Obama won the presidency; the people respected the decision and moved on; that’s what respectable, law abiding citizens do. The people know what is happening; child like behavior has been recognized; the parents of the USA know how… Read more »
toby, Society is changing rapidly and change is hard for some people to accept. Years ago, my wife and I moved from the big city to a small hamlet of about 30 people 70 miles into the country. When first meeting the neighbors, we were surprised they had already considered us “outsiders” because of our clothes. But we had a two-acre woodlot that had to be cleared, so we had to change our lifestyle with “country clothes” that were new. They all laughed at the big city guy who blew out his new chainsaw because he didn’t know it needed… Read more »
Aloha! Its like the three stooges drilling holes in the bottom of their House of Representatives life boat to let the water out! BROAD STIMULUS = Bail out all major Democrat states and cities for decades of mismanagement and rampant crime. Now, how can you stimulate a “lockdown economy”? Kill off all small and medium businesses in exchange for no tax revenues. To me it is a complete misallocation. How long before Fitch and Moodys get tired of this debt circus? All Pelosi wants to do is transfer the long term debt of Democrat states and cities onto the Federal… Read more »
Anyone who can’t comprehend this is simply and idiot! Exhibit A. https://www.usdebtclock.org/
Bert, Sad to say but the debt grew fastest under Reagan, and both Bushes, Until COVID, Trump was doing a better job than Obama, but no better than Clinton. So, govt spending totals are not red or blue — just the allocation. Although I do not have facts to show it, I believe that the GOP does a better job of allocating funds. What is needed are national and state flat tax and balanced budget laws. I’d also like to see two-term limits to every politician so that the will of the people (as opposed to lobbied vested interests) is… Read more »
Beauty and The Baker (Israeli TV, English subtitles) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Beauty_and_the_Baker In my top 5 Streaming tv programs. Pat has no clue why I like this. As soon as I said I put this programming into the level of Casablanca (my all-time favorite movie) she shook her head and went to bed. No matter. I am on Season 1 Episode 8 and I will binge watch this tonight until 6am if that is necessary to get to the end. I am so into this series on so many levels! Did I say I recommend it? 🙂 “At the end of each episode… Read more »
Obviously, we have to watch this in closed caption
Beauty and the Baker
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Beauty_and_the_Baker
I personally rank this series up there close to House and equal to Bosch, Doc Martin and maybe a couple others.
Fantastic TV. I applaud the producers, writers. and cast.
Bravo.
Still watching
Season 2
Just love this show — like I said — on so many levels.
This is really impressive film making.
I rank this series among the best.
Kamala Harris tonight = Winning Star, Kentucky Derby 1988.
Aloha! I implore anyone who thinks Kamala is fit to be President to read her past actions. There is one truth we can all agree on when it comes to career politicians which Kamala definitely is. They will say and do anything to stay in power! Oh did I mistakenly say Kamala is running for “President” … Biden will last about two months, if elected, before he keels over and guess who is waiting? Go HERE! I built numerous jails to house all her mostly minority convicts! lol! Who remembers the Dem nominee debate when Tulsi Gabard did THIS? Kamala… Read more »
I would question your conclusions but was very happy with the moderator………unlike the Biden senate intern they have scheduled for the 2nd pres debate
Pence did much better than Trump, but unfortunately he was debating Harris and she crushed it. Big win for her in that people can now see how this woman could lead the nation if called upon. So could Pence of course, but in his case he will not be called upon. A month or a year from now, all I’m going to remember about this debate is the redeye, cold sore and fly. Already the internet is abuzz. And, I had nobody betting that Trump would not intervene by real-time tweeting over the debate. Of course he did. His child-like… Read more »
bill I do love your site…………..but I check on most things historical and Kamala told a historical beaut during the debate, but she did come across as sincere…..Her statement that Lincoln did not send a nominee to the Senate in October of 1864 was true but what happened next was significant because the Senate was out of session until December of that election year. Lincoln was forced to wait to nominate a successor for Taney. Salmon P. Chase was nominated to replace Taney on Dec. 6, 1864, and was confirmed by the Senate nine days later on Dec. 15, 1864,… Read more »
I love the political prejudice when it comes to fact checking. This was such a trivial part of the debate anyways. But according to historian Michael Burlingame in “Lincoln: A Life.” He told his aides he wouldn’t nominate anyone immediately, because he was “waiting to receive expressions of public opinion from the country.” Even if in recess he could have nominated someone. Anyways I though Kamala did an excellent job and a much stronger performance compared to the primaries. Pence basically doubled down on the all the points that were already fact checked to be inaccurate and literally did not answer… Read more »
my, isn’t EAP smug…..said it was trivial part of debate….much of what kamala said was trivial….However, Harris misrepresented what “Honest Abe” did, and why. As Dan McLaughlin of National Review noted, President Abraham Lincoln never said anything like what Harris said he did. He delayed sending a nominee to the Senate because it was out of session. McLaughlin wrote: Lincoln, of course, said no such thing. He sent no nominee to the Senate in October 1864 because the Senate was out of session until December. He sent a nominee the day after the session began, and Salmon P. Chase was… Read more »
The quote I provide above was from Michael Burlingame, the holder of the Chancellor Naomi B. Lynn Distinguished Chair in Lincoln Studies at the University of Illinois-Springfield.
We can agree to disagree on sources I guess. Anyhow, even if it was a political move (which I do not dispute) the point was that Lincoln could have nominated someone before the election but he did not – that is a Fact.
I only wish you would take the same time and eagerness to go over the numerous misleading and false claims by both Trump and Pence.
Clearly the debate performance of Kamal Harris was not perfect. But I have never seen a perfect debate yet. I just happen to believe that the voting public found her strong enough in terms of self-confidence and presentation to be fully capable as VP and fill-in President if needed. Really, that’s all she had to do and she did it well. And re appointing Amy Coney Barrett, I opined earlier that I think it is a good choice and that Trump has every right to push her appointment before the next election because he won the last one. All this… Read more »
A civil debate
Grown-ups took the stage tonite. Thank you
VP debate tonite I expect to see a professional debate tonight, but how many of you will bet against me that the guy in the WH cannot keep his mouth-hole shut for the duration? Yes, he does not want the voters to hear from anybody but him. I’m betting that as sick as he is he will fire up a tweet-storm that drowns out the evening’s debate. So, here we are a couple of hours in advance of what the public wants to hear and I’d like to know how many Trump supporters will bet real money that he will… Read more »
Aloha! How many trillions of tax and debt dollars will have to spend on government “solutions” this year? Obama spent $9.2tril during his eight years. The better question is how much of those trillions will be misallocated? Because every US President spends trillions that is a guarantee. Free markets? What is that? Okay now politics is interfering in “free markets”! GOP or DEM they have interfered forever. Its just they have not been so open in the past. In the past there would have been the same hit job only covered up by staffers and lobbyists sneaking in and out… Read more »
I agree they are all the same. But why not also tally up the Trump spend?
And climate science is in no way comparable to medical science in terms of time horizons
Aloha! First four FY for Obama he added $4.847tril in debt. First four FY of Trump, which includes CCP virus in FY 2021 he added $4.832tril still lower than Obama without CCP virus, but now we’re all waiting to see what Nancy will agree to! Obama grew the debt by 74%,the fifth largest increase in history, but he didn’t have WW2 like FDR did! FDR during WW2 grew US Debt by 1,048%! According to THIS data from US Treasury and Federal Reserve. I agree the climate science failures have been multi decades not multi years! Climate science has had since… Read more »