Bill Cara

Silvercorp (SVM) reports the 1Q2020 results

Here are some highlights of the Silvercorp report that was issued 2020.06.23.

Gross revenues are down substantially for the yr ending Mar 31/20 from $170.5 mm 2019 to $158.8 mm 2020.

It’s interesting that the Cost of Sales was flat at $99.4 mm 2020 vs $99.6 mm 2019, almost exactly the same!

Silver head grades were -8% lower Y/Y but Zn and Pb grades were slightly higher Y/Y.

A couple of bigger differences was the ore milling rate of 102.4 K mt2020 vs 159.9 K mt 2019. This was likely due to COVID-19 shutdowns during Quarter. But there might be other reasons operationally in the mine. From the report, there appeared no specific reason given for the production drop-off.

Also, a major impact on revenues was a reduction in Zn and Pb prices yr over yr of Zn $0.51/lb vs $0.75/lb; Pb 0.67/lb vs 0.90/lb. That is a big difference; however, current prices have recovered to Zn $0.917/lb and Pb $0.795/lb. This will help a lot later this fiscal year.

Silvercorp owns about 28% of New Pacific Metals (NUPMF)(NUAG.V) so SVM price is clearly influenced by this ownership. It would be useful to have a breakout of the relative values of the mining operations (DCF analysis), its Working Capital, and the company’s investment in New Pacific ( that would require a valuation of the Bolivian assets).

SVM is presently the safer play since New Pacific relies on one asset in a risker jurisdiction. However, the New Pacific Preliminary Economic Assessment (PEA) is slated for around the end of the calendar year and I look for a quick listing on a major US stock exchange after that, so I continue to add to both positions even though New Pacific is not yet in production.

FD: I hold a combined +10.4% consolidated portfolio position in Silvercorp (5.84%) and New Pacific (4.58%). My cost basis (current price) is US$3.854 (US$5.10) and US$4.077 (US$3.75). I recently started what will be a core position in New Pacific, but may trade out later in the year depending on my assessment of the state of politics in Bolivia. I am in frequent contact with the management of these companies and understand most of their issues, most particularly about Bolivia.

http://www.silvercorpmetals.com/investors/corporate_presentation/