Cara's Commentary & Community Chat, Wed., Jan. 21, 2009

[8:32am ET] The public continues to receive solicitations from stock-tipping newsletter writers professing to be expert in some subject matter or other. I received one yesterday that was headlined,


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Grym
Grym
January 22, 2009 1:18 pm

I’m off to jury duty once again and will miss my econ-fix.

Seriously, while jury duty is a privilege as well as a duty and serious judgment a necessity to maintain a free and just society, it can be greatly depressing.

This is my first criminal case (5th time altogether) and a real downer to learn what some are capable of doing to others.

Sad.

Grym
Grym
January 22, 2009 1:13 pm

“Associated Press BEIJING — Chinese translations of U.S. President Barack Obama’s inauguration speech posted Wednesday on popular online portals were missing his references to communism and dissent.”

MicroSoft and others have long cooperated with the Chinese government in what gets through.

I guess Gates needed more money.

Grym
Grym
January 22, 2009 1:00 pm

Geithner may be very well qualified and even basically honest (rare combo these days it seems), he may be the best man for the job…

but the issue of trust is major right now and many taxpayers see this as a case of “when the IRS came after me” vs how his “mistake” is treated.

Grym
Grym
January 22, 2009 12:53 pm
David
David
January 22, 2009 9:03 am

In the spirit of taking some profits off the table, placing a buy to cover limit order on FAZ at $42 for 1/2 of the shares I shorted at $84 on Tuesday.

David
David
January 22, 2009 8:57 am

Moving it down to 3.90, for all the shares I purchased last week (which had the average cost of about 3.90). I just want to be out of UYG (on some strength). From now on, I’ll be shorting FAZ on each weakness in financials.

NYUGrad
NYUGrad
January 22, 2009 6:46 am

Working link:
http://tinyurl.com/bw7ux8

“Merrill Lynch took the unusual step of accelerating bonus payments by a month last year, doling out billions of dollars to employees just three days before the closing of its sale to Bank of America.”

MtnGntx
MtnGntx
January 22, 2009 6:06 am

Just a small warning to those who rely on Snopes for a go-to fact checking site… in the areas of medicine and genetics, specifically relating to complex issues, on at least two occasions I have discovered this site to be, at best woefully inadequate, and at worst… just plain wrong. I found their sources to be circuitously referencin and suspiciously one-sided to the point of not acknowledging current, prodigious, and highly relevant research in direct contradiction to their conclusions. On both occassions that I located erroneous statements, I followed every citation and link provided… and then followed the links provided… Read more »

Bear E
Bear E
January 22, 2009 5:01 am

Thankyou for the info Old Goat.

Blowout Preventer
Blowout Preventer
January 22, 2009 4:24 am

Our society will be on the upswing and our industries will rise up again when our music is once again remarkable. Look at a LONG term DJIA or S&P chart…it tracks the quality of USA music.

Don’t bother going long on too many USA stocks until American songs are again enjoyed world-wide. This makes no sense…but you heard it here first.

Milesquare
Milesquare
January 22, 2009 3:55 am
nemo
nemo
Reply to  Milesquare
January 22, 2009 4:25 am
OldGoat
OldGoat
January 22, 2009 3:48 am

I’ll use the same technique (using the Alt-PrtSc key in Windows to copy active window to clipboard, then pasting into a graphics application and saving as .gif file) from now on. More work than simply using IB’s “save chart to file” feature, but the much higher quality of resulting image file is worth it.

NYUGrad
NYUGrad
January 22, 2009 3:36 am

http://tinyurl.com/8j5fva Pay freeze on senior white house economic staff. ‘its a mark of your commitment to public service’ Video address to his staff http://tinyurl.com/bv8vu9 wow! kudos! my friends of color always tell me they are more afraid then hopeful of the job he will do because if he fails, he would ruin the liklihood of future leadership for all African Americans, and non “white” citizens of the U.S. This was actually the only reason I voted for him. I knew that he would be the most difficult man to corrupt. because when the lights go out and he is alone,… Read more »

teamonfuego
teamonfuego
Reply to  NYUGrad
January 22, 2009 5:19 am

man, this guy is the man. i hope he has the ability to do away with special interests because they are the downfall of any society.

NYUGrad
NYUGrad
January 22, 2009 3:26 am

http://tinyurl.com/cxtjfd

Hopefully Silver Wheaton mgmt can provide good news with rising silver and additionally, updates on renegotiating their debt.

“A conference call will be held Thursday, February 19, 2009 at 11:30 am (Pacific Time) to discuss these results. To participate in the live call use one of the following methods:”

Dial toll free from Canada or the US: 1-888-280-8771
Dial from outside Canada or the US: 1-416-695-9761
Dial toll free from parts of Europe: 1-800-4222-8835

Johnny
Johnny
Reply to  NYUGrad
January 22, 2009 3:38 am

Thanks NYU, SLW is one of the stocks I follow prety closely.

fireworks
fireworks
January 22, 2009 3:17 am
Mark Barry
Mark Barry
January 22, 2009 3:14 am

Anyone have the time to do a quick TA on this stock. I’m working on my TA but am a long way from trading on it. Valuation looks good and I am bullish on OIL.

FD Long PXP @18.70 Long CLB @63.80

OldGoat
OldGoat
January 22, 2009 3:10 am

OK. I think I’ve figured out a much better way to save and post charts from IB’s Trader Workstation. Would someone please take a look at these two images and tell me whether they are readable and whether there is an appreciable difference in image quality between them? One is in .jpg format, and the other is a .gif file; the .gif file is much smaller and should load very quickly. Both charts display ESH9 S&P futures trades from earlier today. TIA. ~OG

Johnny
Johnny
Reply to  OldGoat
January 22, 2009 3:33 am

They look great OG

Johnny
Johnny
January 22, 2009 3:09 am

Up $7.87 in after hours trading.

NYUGrad
NYUGrad
January 22, 2009 2:47 am

http://tinyurl.com/aa5cg3 WASHINGTON, Jan 21 (Reuters) – A U.S. House of Representatives panel on Wednesday backed a $358 billion package of new government spending, the first key test for a massive Democratic plan aimed at boosting the ailing U.S. economy. The House Appropriations Committee voted 35-22 to approve the spending, part of an $825 billion package President Barack Obama has sought to help the economy, which has been in a recession since December, 2007. The tax-writing House Ways and Means Committee and House Energy and Commerce Committee are scheduled to consider their portions of the stimulus package on Thursday. (Reporting by… Read more »

Johnny
Johnny
Reply to  NYUGrad
January 22, 2009 2:53 am

NYU, it will be very interesting to see if this new bailout package makes it’s way through Congress any better then the first package. …and, will the market tank after it is passed.

tonvol
tonvol
January 22, 2009 2:43 am

Congratulations Bill, your blog is one of the best. It certaintly is #1 in my book.
Thanks for all that you provide to the community.

http://www.247wallst.com/2009/01/it-has-been-ove.h

Johnny
Johnny
Reply to  tonvol
January 22, 2009 2:50 am

Good catch tonvol Congratulations Bill!!!

QT
QT
January 22, 2009 2:11 am
2nd_ave
2nd_ave
January 22, 2009 1:46 am

If/when it comes, will fuel the rally…I don’t see it yet, but it’s surely coming. For those who don’t think sentiment is sufficiently negative, let me ask what it would take to convince you: DJIA 5000? or 11000? What if it hits 11000 before it drops to 5000? If one is able to trade that one swing (correctly), might it not (ultimately) be equivalent to 10-20 years of buy and hold?

vinod
vinod
Reply to  2nd_ave
January 22, 2009 3:16 am

I have feeling that we will hit 9000 soon before it goes down again
and I can not be wrong all the time?

Johnny
Johnny
Reply to  vinod
January 22, 2009 3:35 am

vinod – I was thinking the same thing earlier. Just a feeling we both have.

Johnny
Johnny
Reply to  Johnny
January 22, 2009 4:03 am
Milesquare
Milesquare
January 22, 2009 1:33 am

“Yesterday’s action awakened the Dow Theory. Here’s why — the Transports closed BELOW their November 20 low of 2988.99, but the Industrials refused to confirm, holding above their bear market low (Nov. 20) of 7552.29. Thus, we had a downside non-confirmation from a market that on the surface appeared to be “falling apart.” The trillion dollar question now lies directly ahead. If the Industrials continue down and confirm the new low in the Transports by violating 7552.29 (see INDU chart below, green line), this will be a re-confirmation of the bear market and will suggest that the market is headed… Read more »

bsi87
bsi87
Reply to  Milesquare
January 22, 2009 2:13 am
QT
QT
Reply to  Milesquare
January 22, 2009 2:00 am

milesquare

Any chance you could post those graphs?

Milesquare
Milesquare
Reply to  QT
January 22, 2009 3:52 am

I’ll give it a try

Johnny
Johnny
Reply to  Milesquare
January 22, 2009 3:57 am

Thanks for the charts miles.

Milesquare
Milesquare
Reply to  Johnny
January 22, 2009 4:22 am

more than welcome.

I post these comments because Dow Theory Books are some of the best I’ve read.
Simple, logical, and has It has been rarely wrong since Dow created it +100 years ago.

7500 is the line in the sand for The Dow. If it breaks that.. Uncle Chuck may cringe in his grave

Lets hope this bounce turns into something more real ……and gets north of Dow 9250

tango6
tango6
Reply to  Milesquare
January 22, 2009 10:21 am

North of 9250 would be great but first it has to hold 8200 imo.

QT
QT
January 22, 2009 12:51 am
Bear E
Bear E
January 21, 2009 11:51 pm

Your 2 charts came up blank for me. Doesn’t that just get your goat?
Bear E

OldGoat
OldGoat
Reply to  Bear E
January 22, 2009 12:51 am

Please let me know if these charts show up better. I’ve dropped color info and tweaked them a bit. Same info as before. My IB charts look great on screen, but when saved to a .jpg file, the colors get screwed up somehow and the size gets shrunk. Not my doing. Sorry.

Quasi
Quasi
Reply to  OldGoat
January 22, 2009 1:08 am

OG

I see both sets of charts, I find the first colored charts easier to read, B&W is difficult, can’t see the candle sticks. Not sure why you say the size is being cropped, are you saving full size to your desktop and then uploading to Bill’s server??

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