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mm
Editor
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Owen Williams: Report for week ending Feb. 24, 2017

300 Point Moves on the S&P 500 The S&P 500 is closing in on an uninterrupted 300 point move off the November 2016 lows. This strong directional movement has occurred several times in the past. This week we looked at how recent 300 point (or near 300 point) moves have played out historically. The table… [Read >>]

skyler
Member

well six straight days up in xlu. oh and staples are on a 2 week run. this sunday morning i enjoyed from toronto to victoria, very charming. thanks

mm
Editor
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Bill’s Current Thinking: February 25, 2017

In my opinion, investors today may be taking on risk that is disproportionate to potential upside. The great majority of the thousands of charts I review daily are showing over-bought conditions. No one in their right mind could argue that the stock price of Apple (AAPL) can continue grow at the rate it has this month – from 121.35 (Jan 31 close) to 136.66 (at Friday’s close).… [Read >>]

Kyle
Member

EW (Elliott-Wave) counts. Noticing that there are 2 major EW counts that seem to be in play.

(i) the ‘Standard’ count that this Bull market is entering the ‘Euphoria’ stage and we are in a Primary 5 Lift-Off Topping phase (see http://natesmarketanalysis.blogspot.com/ 1st chart)
(ii) Caldaro’s count that everything we have seen since the 666 low is just Primary 1 & 2 and that the BIG Primary 3 up-leg which started Jan/Feb 2016 is just beginning to roll.
https://caldaro.wordpress.com/2017/02/25/weekend-update-593/

This Lift-Off is starting to ‘feel’ a lot like 2013. Just sayin’

baz22
Member

Making time to read , Plunder and Deceit ‘ by Mark Levin. The facts and numbers are amazing. I’m pretty sure Kaimu and Bill are aware of the stats this book contains, but it scares the heck out of me. Have listened to Mark for years, and thoroughly respect his past service under President Reagan. What an excellent mind.

mm
Editor
New Post on billcara.com

Bill’s Current Thinking: February 22, 2017

This year, Canada celebrates its 150th anniversary since Confederation in 1867. Much of the birthday hoopla is coming from the national broadcaster, CBC, in what is labelled “Canada 150”. This week, CBC even featured one of our own in their celebratory reporting. As you may know, Pat and I are proud parents of Will and Stefanie, whom many of you have met over the years, either in our conferences or through my writing in this blog.… [Read >>]

Kyle
Member

Bill —
Don’t want this to come off too negatively BUT you’ve been working on this computer system for a few years now. I remember some ADVFN.com stuff back in 2008-2009??? Are you there????

skyler
Member

sold my infrastructure plays (big gains) out of caution as expressed by Mr. Williams here and political uncertainty. perhaps i can find something in the security/defense area you mentioned in an earlier report.
another fine analysis, Thankyou.

mm
Editor
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Owen Williams: Report for week ending Feb. 17, 2017

Expect The Unexpected This past week saw U.S. equity indexes post six consecutive record high closes, adding yet another layer to the post election rally that was already exaggerated by mid-December. This market is now confounding the Bulls in addition to the Bears, as few expected indexes to climb to current levels as rapidly as… [Read >>]

optionoracle
Member
When new information becomes available successful traders make a mid course adjustment. Originally I felt US markets would remain buoyant into the end of the first quarter before undergoing an overdue correction. However the recent price action (generals leading the troops) coupled with 2 new developments make ma feel an intermediate correction may occur sooner rather than later. As reported by the Wall Street Journal (http://www.wsj.com/articles/funds-600-million-lost-week-captivates-traders-1487292045?emailToken=JRrzcPF5Z32WhtA1ZswyyVskdexWU7fMQ1LTKHHNPA3Is2fJ5P2syqZwjNKvvWKxTFp3/JUY9WczSCfKxTM2DJDLyuQnzQo=) and Zero Hedge (http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-02-15/multi-billion-trade-meltdown-here-reason-markets-inexplicable-surge) there may have been an external event causing the S&P to rise over the past few weeks. Consecutive days when the S&P rallies and the $VIX (measure of the 30… Read more »
mm
Editor
New Post on billcara.com

Bill’s Current Thinking: February 16, 2017

Very soon now, I will be announcing the Greenfield Decision Support System (or GDSS for short). This is a complex computer system that will help me publish much more frequently and manage client accounts much more effectively. In writing some algorithms and report specifications this week, I took the opportunity to see if my logical approach to trading, as expressed in my writing, would hold up under stress testing by computer.…[Read >>]

JimG
Member
roaddog1
Member
Hello Bill and Mr. Williams, Tony Seba gives an excellent talk on, CLEAN DISRUPTION- WHY ENERGY AND TRANSPORTATION WILL BE OBSOLETE BY 2030. Regarding stock market volatility, using transportation as a metaphor, driverless cars will maximize traffic flow, reduce accidents due to human error, reduce back ups due to people driving selfishly looking to park 15 feet closer to their destination. In short, driver commute time, which is at a record high, will become smoothed out and more efficient. Year by year volatility in the market is being changed by HFT, algorithms, and computerized Hedge funds. At some point wont… Read more »
bigpicture
Member
Mr. Williams said: “In our view, not too many people really understand what is happening on financial markets today. And those who believe that they understand the irrationality are probably the most clueless. While central bank financial engineering is the root cause of market anomalies today, few can even fathom the future repercussions of mispricing risk over several years. This is not a bold statement, as similarly very few in 2007 understood the intricacies of bad subprime debt and the pervasiveness of toxic loans throughout the financial system.” Trump surely knows, as he has nominated Jay Clayton of Sullivan and… Read more »
mm
Editor
New Post on billcara.com

Owen Williams: Report for week ending Feb. 10, 2017

Trump, The Low Volatility President. Perhaps the most unanticipated and mind-boggling development in financial markets since the Subprime Crisis has been the market reaction to Donald Trump’s election as U.S. president. For months prior to the election, Trump was seen as the pariah among contenders for the White House – the populist, untested candidate whose… [Read >>]

wpDiscuz

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