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November 4, 2008
Daily Report for Tue, Nov 04, 2008
Early this morning, all eyes seem to be focused on the US presidential election, which wraps up today. The $USD is down and the price of precious metals and oil are up a bit. Europe is rallying on hopes of BoE and ECB rate cuts on Thursday, and the DJIA futures are well up (+224) before the open. [Please see ADDENDUM]
But yesterday, there was no volume at all, and prices were flat-lined, across the board for US equities, gold and the goldminers.
The DJIA (-5.18 -0.06% to 9319.83), S&P 500 (-2.45 -0.25% to 966.30), and NASDAQ Composite (+5.38 +0.31% to 1726.33) were as close to motionless as possible. The Toronto Composite lost -0.43% to 9721.26, while the Venture Board gained +2.22% to 935.59.
Internationally this morning, Japan’s Nikkei 225, which had been closed on Monday, gained +6.27% to 9114.6 and India’s Sensex BSE 30 was up +2.84% to 10631.4; but the others: Australia (-0.08% to 4169.8); Shanghai (-0.76% to 1706.7); and Hong Kong (+0.28% to 14384.3), were quiet.
In New York yesterday, there were five sectors barely up, with Staples (XLP +1.5%) up and Energy (XLE -3.1%) and Consumer Discretionary (XLY -2.9%) down.
The Airlines ($XAL +5.7%) and Natural Gas stocks ($XNG -4.0%) were a couple that traded apart from the rest.
On the weekend report, for the Cara 100, I noted that Teck Corp (TCK) was ready to move higher and the gain of +11.5% on the day did not surprise. The only other big winners were MFC (+10.0%) and GOL (+8.3%). The losers were TTM (-16.9%), NUE (-6.6%) and WFMI (-6.5%). The loss at Tata Motors followed October sales reports by Ford, GM and Toyota that were exceedingly disappointing and resulted in a senior GM officer stating in a Bloomberg interview that this is the worst period he has seen in his long career, and that the vehicle manufacturing industry cannot sustain such losses for long.
The $USD gained +0.67% to 86.25 and the Euro dropped to US$1.2603. This morning the $USD is down to 86.00.
The long bond ($USB) gained +0.37% to 113.55 as bond yields dropped across the board. The T-Bill yield dropped to 0.420%.
$GOLD gained +$8.60/oz to 726.80, which was merely a catch-up from Friday’s afternoon futures market close to the interim move higher in spot (cash market) prices.
This morning, at 8am ET, the spot prices of gold, palladium, platinum and silver were up a bit (except for silver) to 743.10, 210, 837, and 10.12. Actually quite a bit.
The $USD was down a bit.
Crude Oil was sitting at 64.69, and quiet.
DJIA futures at 9514 (+182) at 8:16am ET have come off the highs, down over 40 points in about 30 minutes.
Google (GOOG) and Yahoo (YHOO) might have something going today.
Comments & Outlook
Today is going to be a celebration for either Republicans or Democrats.
I will predict one thing: Gov. Palin will be returning to her home, the one from where she can see Russia. Yesterday, however, she put on a highly impressive number of rally speeches. Where was this woman earlier? Wow!
In any case, she’s going home, where her husband can go back to his dog sled team or whatever it is he does. At the least, she made this political race an interesting one.
As to the market, the Stock Trader’s Almanac says that a Republican victory today would be bad for the market. That’s academic anyway. The Dems will sweep.
ADDENDUM:
Below are links to reports that my Belgian associate Pascal Willain has just put on line.
These stock lists are automatically updated daily.
http://www.effectivevolume.eu/content/Reports/MA_114.pdf
http://www.effectivevolume.eu/content/Reports/Survivors.xls
http://www.effectivevolume.eu/content/Reports/Cara100.xls
Links & Charts
International Economics Review
Knobias Cara100 Tables
Cara 100 Daily RSI-7 Charts
At least one RSI value >70:
At least one RSI value <30:
International Equity Markets Review
Europe
Here is the latest session data for the bourses of Europe.
Here is the latest session data for the London stock exchange FTSE.
Here is the latest session data for the German DAX.
Here is the latest session data for the French CAC 40.
Here is the latest session data for the Milan Italy stock exchange MIBTEL.
Here is the latest session data for the Swiss market index.
Asia-Pacific
Here is the latest session data for the Asia-Pacific stock exchanges.
Here is the latest chart for the Japanese Nikkei 225 index.
Here is the latest chart for the Singapore index .
Here is the latest chart for the Shanghai Composite index .
Here is the latest chart for the Hong Kong Hang Seng index .
Here is the latest chart for the India BSE 30 index .
Here is the latest chart for the Australian All Ordinaries index .
US Equity Markets Review
NASDAQ Composite (interactive) chart
Table 15: Dow 30 List
You can do this table yourself by entering the following string into the Summaries window at www.billcara2.com and then clicking on the link for Performance.
AA AIG AXP BA C CAT DD DIS GE GM HD HON HPQ IBM INTC JNJ JPM KO MCD MMM MO MRK MSFT PFE PG T UTX VZ WMT XOM
Here are the links to interactive Dow charts from Billcara2.com that I broke into groups of ten, which you can add technical indicators for as well. (list one) (list two) (list three)
The Americas
Here is the latest session data for the exchanges of the Americas.
Here is the latest chart for the Brazilian Bovespa stock exchange in Sao Paulo.
Here is the latest session data for the Toronto Stock Exchange composite index.
Sector ETF Summary for the US equity market
The tables I show in this section are for ten (GICS) Sector Index Funds (ETF's) only, but they cover the full spectrum of the US equity market.
Table 1: Cara ETF List
You can do this table yourself by entering the following string into the Summary window at Billcara2.com and then clicking on the link for Performance. XLE XLB XLI XLY XLP IYH XLF SMH IYZ XLU XLK SPY . You can also add more ETFâs â up to 30 in total.
For a list of components to any ETF, go to the AMEX.com web site, and click on ETF's.
10 (energy: XLE)

Table 2: Senior oil & gas equities
15 (basic materials: XLB)

Table 3: Senior metals and steel equities
Table 13: Senior gold equities
20 (industrial: XLI)

Table 4: Senior capital goods makers and transportation
25 (consumer discretionary: XLY)

Table 5: Senior consumer discretionary equities
30 (consumer staples: XLP)

Table 6: Senior consumer staples equities
35 (healthcare: IYH)

Table 7: Senior healthcare equities
40 (financial: XLF)

Table 8: Senior financial company equities
45 (technology, semiconductor: SMH)

Table 9: Senior technology equities
50 (telecom: IYZ)

55 (utilities: XLU)

Table 12: US Utilities
International Equity Market USD-denominated ETF Review
Table 14: International equities perspective
Japanese equity market ETF: EWJ
Here is the Japanese (EWJ) equity market ETF Daily data charts:


U.K. equity market ETF
Here is the United Kingdom (EWU) equity market ETF Daily data charts:
EWU Daily data:


Canada's equity market
Here is the Canadian (EWC) equity market ETF Daily data charts:


Bonds & Yields Review
Table 10: Yahoo Finance U.S. Treasury Debt, Municipal and Corporate Bond Yields
Here is the $USB 30-year Treasury Bond chart.

US Bond Funds -- Interactive Daily Data Charts
SHY Daily data series chart:
IEF Daily data series chart:
TLT Daily data series chart:
AGG Daily data series chart:
LQD Daily data series chart:
TIP Daily data series chart:
Table 11: Interest-sensitive securities
Consumer Finance -USA -- Interactive Daily Data Charts
Commodities Review
Interactive Chart of Daily CRB Commodities Index:

Interactive Chart of Weekly CRB Commodities Index:

Oil Review
Here is the e-miNY Mar-08 Crude Oil chart.
Interactive Chart of Daily Crude Oil:

Interactive Chart of Weekly Crude Oil:

Gold & Precious Metals Review
Interactive Chart of Daily Gold EOD Continuous Contract Index:

Interactive Chart of Weekly Gold EOD Continuous Contract Index:

Spot silver chart for the week
Interactive daily data
Interactive Chart of Daily Silver EOD Continuous Contract Index:

Interactive chart of the Silver Bullion index.
Interactive Chart of Weekly Silver EOD Continuous Contract Index:

Spot platinum chart for the past three days
Interactive Chart of Daily Platinum EOD Continuous Contract Index:

Interactive Chart of Weekly Platinum EOD Continuous Contract Index:

Interactive chart of the Platinum metal index.
Spot palladium chart for the week
Interactive Chart of Daily Palladium EOD Continuous Contract Index:

Interactive Chart of Weekly Palladium EOD Continuous Contract Index:

Interactive chart of the Palladium metal index.
Interactive Chart of Weekly Copper EOD Continuous Contract Index:


Interactive Chart of Daily Copper EOD Continuous Contract Index:
Interactive chart of the Copper metal index.
Table 13: Senior gold equities
To watch the moves in precious metal miners, you will have to monitor the individual stock charts, preferably in real-time, as follows:
NEM ABX AU GFI GG HMY AUY KGC BVN
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data
MDG LIHRY AEM BGO IAG EGO RGLD GOLD CDE GRS
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data
CBJ SSRI SIL NG KRY UXG GRZ TSE_HRG TSE_GUY TSE_AGI
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data
NXG GSS MNG DROOY MFN RNO RANGY MRB CLG
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data
Here are the key Silver miners and the SLV ETF:
SLV SIL CDE HL PAAS SSRI SLW MGN
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data
Here are the Weekly and Daily Data charts of the indexes:
Interactive Chart of Daily U.S. Goldminers Index:

Interactive Chart of Weekly U.S. Goldminers Index:

The U.S. goldminer share trust ETF trades under the ticker symbol GDX.
Here are the U.S. Goldminer ETF (GDX) index Weekly and Daily data charts:
GDX Daily data:

GDX Weekly data:

The Toronto Exchange-listed goldminer iUnits S&P/TSX Capped Gold Index ETF trades under the ticker symbol TSE:XGD. Yes, just like GDX on the AMEX, you can trade XGD on Toronto.
Here are the Weekly and Daily data charts for the TSX Goldshares (XGD) index:
Interactive Chart of XGD Daily data:

Interactive Chart of XGD Weekly data:

Forex Review
Here is the chart of the week's trading in the $USD.
Interactive Chart of Daily U.S. Dollar Index:

Interactive Chart of Daily Euro Dollar Index, priced in USD:

Daily British Pound Index:

Daily Japanese Yen Index:

Daily Canadian Dollar Index:

Wrap-up
Posted by Posted by Bill Cara on November 4, 2008 08:36:42 AM | Category: Daily Report








