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September 6, 2008

Daily Report for Sat, Sep 06, 2008

Friday trading in NY can be broken into pre and post-close Europe parts. While Europe was open, the major US equity market indexes plunged, consistent with Asia-Pacific earlier in the day. Then after 11:30am ET, there was a sudden and sharp reversal, closing the session slightly to the positive.

In NY, the DJIA (+32.73 +0.29% to 11220.96), S&P 500 (+5.48 +0.44% to 1242.31), and the NASDAQ Composite (-3.16 -0.14% to 2255.88) ended mixed.

In Canada, the Toronto Composite (flat at 12816.42) tagged along, but the Venture Board (-0.95% to 1812.11) remained weak.

The Asia-Pacific stocks: Australia (-2.01% to 4949.5), Shanghai (-3.29% to 2202.4), Hong Kong (-2.24% to 19933.3), Japan (-2.75% to 12212.2) and India (-2.79% to 14483.8) all sank to comparable levels following the Thursday smash-up in NY.

In European trading, the French CAC, German DAX and UK FTSE closed down -2.49%, -2.52% and -2.26% respectively at 4196.66, 6127.44 and 5240.70. As noted Friday morning after these bourses opened weak, indicating a weak open in NY, “… these losses today so far are just a catch-up and not an indication of what might happen in NY later in the day.” Did I get that right! As soon as Europe closed, NY was lit up with green lights.

Commodity prices were quiet on Friday; Crude Oil ($WTIC) dropped -$1.66/bbl to 106.23 and $GOLD dropped -$0.40/oz to 802.80. $SILVER was unusually weak.

In NY equity trading, the strongest sector, by far, was Financials (XLF +3.6%) – but it was down -4.9% on Thursday. Banks ($BKX +4.8%) made up for the prior day’s loss. Utilities (XLU -2.1%) was the big loser, pushed down by the large loss in Exelon (EXC -8.0%). Semi-conductors ($SOX +2.2%) was a winner, pulled up by the Sanyo interest in acquiring SanDisk (SNDK +31.1%).

For the extreme price changes in the stocks of the high quality Cara 100 companies, where the trading volumes were stronger again, SNDK (+31.1%) led the pack on 55 million shares traded. This stock is now in play. POT (+7.8%), TCK (+4.5%) and VCP (+4.4%) – all commodity plays – were strong. The losers were Exelon (EXC -8.0%) and Nokia (NOK -7.6%). But there were 17 of the Cara 100 that hit intra-day 52-week lows on Friday.

The SanDisk story may or may not be true. I note that weekly magazine Business Week carried the story on Friday. It seems odd that a daily paper or TV reporter didn’t break the story.

The Exelon (EXC) share price crash happened after the largest US operator of nuclear power plants submitted an application to build and operate a two-reactor plant near San Antonio TX.

In forex markets, the Euro continued to weaken (-0.60% to 1.4234) with the globally trade-weighted $USD lifting +0.38% to 78.94. The Yen dropped -0.36% to 93.01, correcting after a powerful +1.06% rally on Thursday. The British Pound lost -0.22% to 1.7636, while the Cdn Loonie gained +0.52% to 94.09.

Traders had earlier in the week been moving capital to safety in the form of US Treasury instruments. But Friday was quiet as the long bond ($USB) was completely flat at 119.94. Yields stayed pretty much flat across the board, closing at: 4.276, 3.666, and 2.919 for the 30-year, 10-year and 5-year bonds and notes respectively. The T-Bill yield dropped a tad to 1.640.

The closing prices of the futures were: Oct Crude Oil at 106.23; and Sept DJIA at 11227.

In the cash (spot) precious metals market, closing prices at week’s end were: gold at 802.80, palladium at 270.5, platinum at 1367, and silver at 12.22. There was some weakness during the day, particularly for silver.

Comments

After the US Jobs data was published at 8:30am ET, the DJIA futures sank and the market continued south for two hours. Suddenly – maybe it was a leak that Fannie and Freddie would be saved by this Administration – US equity prices firmed.

Whatever is happening with Fannie and Freddie seems to me to be a well-crafted maneuver by Washington insiders (Mr. Moral Hazard instantly comes to mind) to help Wall Street in the remaining days of this Administration. Oh sure there will be cries by panic-stricken investors that Fannie and Freddie are on the verge of collapse and that this single problem is the source of America’s economic and financial stress (ie, simultaneous economic recession and credit crunch) at the moment. But, as I see it, the ‘Blame it on Fannie & Freddie’ story is being scripted by public relations propagandist of the first order, Hill & Knowlton. Let’s just say for the record that the Boards of Directors and CEOs of Fannie & Freddie have quite recently publicly announced that their enterprises have adequate capital to sustain operations until well past the coming change of Administration. Then, why the panic?

What is wrong with America – the greed and gluttony of Wall Street and Washington insiders – will look like smack-mouth football in the next month, and the central characters behind it won’t give a damn. This is wrong – they know it; you know it.

The fact there is nothing you can do about it – to the detriment of your children and their children – is a tragedy. The decisions made in September and October by your elected representatives – societal leeches of the highest order -- will steal the wealth created by a whole generation of Americans.

PIMCO, the Fed of NY, the Treasury Secretary – oh my! Mom & Pop, you have been set up for a fleecing.

Yes, these are interesting times.


International Economics Review

US Economic Calendar.



Knobias Cara100 Tables

 Portfolio GAINERS
SYMB LAST CHG %C VOL
SNDK 17.640 +4.180 +31.1 54.7M
LEH 16.200 +1.030 +6.8 43.3M
TCK 37.600 +1.630 +4.5 2.7M
VCP 20.980 +0.880 +4.4 1.5M
KB 50.990 +2.000 +4.1 744.2K
MBT 65.050 +2.500 +4 2.9M
IBN 31.710 +1.070 +3.5 2.3M
IBKR 26.920 +0.850 +3.3 370.6K
JCP 40.790 +1.220 +3.1 5.8M
VIP 21.990 +0.650 +3 5.2M
CCL 38.990 +1.090 +2.9 6.9M
CEO 135.140 +3.510 +2.7 535.2K
ATVI 33.740 +0.810 +2.5 4.2M
AMAT 17.160 +0.410 +2.4 22.1M
PDA 46.890 +1.090 +2.4 271.2K
NUE 48.450 +1.070 +2.3 9.2M
TGT 55.030 +1.200 +2.2 15.6M
WHR 82.010 +1.770 +2.2 1.7M
BC 13.690 +0.280 +2.1 2M
MICC 75.860 +1.490 +2 1.1M
GOL 8.560 +0.160 +1.9 900.1K
YHOO 18.080 +0.330 +1.9 17.1M
WMT 60.740 +0.960 +1.6 22.7M
COST 68.440 +1.080 +1.6 5.9M
CHL 52.990 +0.810 +1.6 2.8M

 Portfolio LOSERS
SYMB LAST CHG %C VOL
EXC 64.970 -5.650 -8 11.2M
NOK 20.620 -1.690 -7.6 66.3M
TS 45.050 -2.060 -4.4 5.3M
STO 25.530 -0.940 -3.6 2.7M
ADBE 40.910 -1.280 -3 10.9M
PAYX 33.350 -0.640 -1.9 4M
NTES 24.350 -0.450 -1.8 1.5M
QCOM 47.670 -0.870 -1.8 26.4M
BBBY 31.120 -0.540 -1.7 5.7M
GGB 15.170 -0.240 -1.6 13.4M
NKE 58.820 -0.920 -1.5 3.4M
TOT 64.210 -0.960 -1.5 2.7M
PBR 44.810 -0.610 -1.3 25.9M
GOOG 444.250 -6.010 -1.3 4.5M
UTX 64.080 -0.800 -1.2 6.8M
CVX 80.220 -1.000 -1.2 15.5M
TEF 71.200 -0.880 -1.2 535.7K
ABB 22.690 -0.280 -1.2 6.7M
IMO 44.010 -0.530 -1.2 664.1K
CTSH 27.750 -0.330 -1.2 5M
CHRW 49.850 -0.550 -1.1 1.6M
GFI 8.250 -0.090 -1.1 6.2M
WAG 34.590 -0.350 -1 7.4M
GRMN 32.510 -0.280 -0.9 3.5M
XOM 75.620 -0.520 -0.7 27.9M

 Portfolio 52-Wk HIGHS
SYMB DAY HIGH LAST CHG %CHG VOL
NONE FOUND.

 Portfolio 52-Wk LOWS
SYMB DAY LOW LAST CHG %CHG VOL
EXC 64.880 64.970 -5.650 -8.00 11.22M
NOK 19.250 20.620 -1.690 -7.58 66.34M
TOT 63.100 64.210 -0.960 -1.47 2.66M
TEF 70.360 71.200 -0.880 -1.22 535.68K
IMO 42.750 44.010 -0.530 -1.19 664.12K
GFI 8.070 8.250 -0.090 -1.08 6.20M
GRMN 30.730 32.510 -0.280 -0.85 3.51M
XOM 74.690 75.620 -0.520 -0.68 27.87M
CHA 44.600 45.920 -0.130 -0.28 328.56K
RIO 22.230 23.520 -0.050 -0.21 44.44M
CCJ 25.670 26.870 +0.060 +0.22 4.25M
WFMI 17.370 18.120 +0.130 +0.72 3.10M
ABX 30.280 30.940 +0.370 +1.21 11.61M
SLW 9.210 9.760 +0.130 +1.35 3.81M
CHL 51.110 52.990 +0.810 +1.55 2.75M
NUE 45.620 48.450 +1.070 +2.26 9.22M
VIP 20.420 21.990 +0.650 +3.05 5.23M

 Portfolio VOLUME
SYMB LAST %C VOL %ADSV
SNDK 17.640 +31.1 54.7M +527
NOK 20.620 -7.6 66.3M +384
EXC 64.970 -8 11.2M +246
STO 25.530 -3.6 2.7M +129
GGB 15.170 -1.6 13.4M +127
BHP 59.710 -0.1 8.1M +109
VCP 20.980 +4.4 1.5M +107
TS 45.050 -4.4 5.3M +96
TEF 71.200 -1.2 535.7K +94
ADBE 40.910 -3 10.9M +92
ERJ 32.980 +1.4 1.8M +92
GRMN 32.510 -0.9 3.5M +90
RIMM 106.950 -0.5 30.2M +89
DEO 71.850 -0.6 898.6K +84
BBD 17.500 +0.3 15.2M +76
MBT 65.050 +4 2.9M +74
PDA 46.890 +2.4 271.2K +71
RIO 23.520 -0.2 44.4M +68
PBR 44.810 -1.3 25.9M +61
GSK 45.280 +0.3 1.6M +61
QCOM 47.670 -1.8 26.4M +60
MFC 34.990 +0 1.7M +58
LLTC 30.690 +1 6.3M +57
NUE 48.450 +2.3 9.2M +56
RY 45.660 +0.8 1.2M +56

 Analysts UPGRADES
SYMB ANALYST OLD   NEW BEFORE   AFTER
SNDK Caris & Co 11.00 17.00 Below Average Average
• PREVIOUS SESSION
EXC Jefferies 90.00 83.00 Hold Buy

 Analysts DOWNGRADES
SYMB ANALYST OLD   NEW BEFORE   AFTER
NONE FOUND.
• PREVIOUS SESSION
AMAT Matrix --- --- Sell Strong Sell
QCOM Argus --- --- Buy Hold


Cara 100 Daily RSI-7 Charts


At least one RSI value >70:
TickerLastRSI-7MRSI-7WRSI-7DZone
WMT60.7482.7572.2069.41
JNJ70.6772.9270.3247.02
DNA96.6472.6775.4137.92
PG70.7863.3276.6854.73
TGT55.0354.0471.5166.75
KSS51.0453.6174.9059.01
SNDK17.6430.0447.2071.06Buy alert (trig. 1 days ago [on 2008-09-05 at $17.64, +0.00% chg], after a 1 day AZ)

At least one RSI value <30:
TickerLastRSI-7MRSI-7WRSI-7DZone
WFMI18.1219.0215.0140.84Buy alert (trig. 7 days ago [on 2008-08-27 at $18.31, -1.04% chg], after a 2 day AZ)
TGP21.0821.1721.6227.44Accumulation Zone (for 2 days)
UBS20.8021.2440.8346.86
SBUX15.1825.0943.0539.36
GOL8.5625.4024.4537.16Buy alert (trig. 1 days ago [on 2008-09-05 at $8.56, +0.00% chg], after a 1 day AZ)
TTM9.3826.4132.7739.13
BA62.8926.9136.8537.32
GRMN32.5127.9625.3320.10Accumulation Zone (for 3 days)
NOK20.6228.1119.109.06Accumulation Zone (for 1 days)
DB82.7129.4127.8037.81
TM88.8229.8939.9349.18
KB50.9930.3926.5241.62Buy alert (trig. 1 days ago [on 2008-09-05 at $50.99, +0.00% chg], after a 3 day AZ)
CCJ26.8731.4119.0624.70
VIP21.9931.9724.7038.18
CHA45.9232.1024.9625.17Buy alert (trig. 1 days ago [on 2008-09-05 at $45.92, +0.00% chg], after a 1 day AZ)
EXC64.9732.3118.6414.10
CHL52.9933.2515.9126.07
TOT64.2133.7522.1214.29
NUE48.4533.8024.3736.56
VCP20.9833.8419.8947.79
RIO23.5233.9426.3324.66
XOM75.6233.9629.5331.46
ABX30.9434.7726.7127.82
SLW9.7634.9627.8426.86
TEF71.2035.2425.3232.42
CSCO22.2636.3337.6521.75
CTSH27.7537.0537.5427.35
BHP59.7137.1329.4624.07
GOOG444.2537.4527.1218.76
STO25.5337.5828.2520.18
MBT65.0537.8129.0142.46
ABV58.0538.0534.0624.51
IMO44.0138.3531.9124.82
GG29.2039.3129.1725.34
ABB22.6940.1427.4129.06
PBR44.8140.8525.3022.09
TS45.0541.3025.3620.48
DELL20.4141.3828.9115.45
BBD17.5041.7824.8328.98
CVX80.2242.1030.9727.72
INTC20.6143.0636.8719.01
HBC75.9043.4539.2729.88
SYT48.4143.9027.6326.03
LLTC30.6943.9339.2624.70
GGB15.1744.7727.1019.96
ORCL20.0745.8534.0821.02
GSK45.2845.8645.8529.41
SU49.6946.2036.3428.73
RIMM106.9550.3731.9414.88
ADBE40.9152.3343.4423.89
QCOM47.6757.0340.2814.61


International Equity Markets Review

Europe

Here is the latest session data for the bourses of Europe.


Here is the latest session data for the London stock exchange FTSE.


Here is the latest session data for the German DAX.


Here is the latest session data for the French CAC 40.


Here is the latest session data for the Milan Italy stock exchange MIBTEL.


Here is the latest session data for the Swiss market index.


Asia-Pacific

Here is the latest session data for the Asia-Pacific stock exchanges.


Here is the latest chart for the Japanese Nikkei 225 index.


Here is the latest chart for the Singapore index .


Here is the latest chart for the Shanghai Composite index .


Here is the latest chart for the Hong Kong Hang Seng index .


Here is the latest chart for the India BSE 30 index .

Here is the latest chart for the Australian All Ordinaries index .


US Equity Markets Review

DJIA (interactive) chart

NASDAQ Composite (interactive) chart

Table 14: Dow 30 List

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
HD 28.59 0.02 0.07% 4.27% 7.60% 16.79% 9.50% 2.44% 6.84% -21.69%
AIG 22.34 1.12 5.28% 3.86% 12.94% -6.29% -60.32% -38.64% -49.92% -65.89%
GM 10.71 0.03 0.28% 3.58% 7.96% 9.85% -56.12% -37.18% -53.37% -65.53%
BAC 32.23 1.63 5.33% 2.55% 10.98% 2.25% -20.54% 0.75% -14.17% -35.48%
JPM 39.60 1.69 4.46% 1.85% 9.21% -0.53% -6.09% -5.94% 2.22% -10.35%
WMT 60.74 0.96 1.61% 1.44% 3.83% 6.64% 29.51% 1.57% 22.58% 43.09%
C 19.07 0.77 4.21% -0.05% 9.16% 3.25% -34.06% -10.13% -13.91% -58.54%
PG 70.78 0.34 0.48% -0.32% 1.26% 4.89% -2.12% 6.16% 6.12% 8.13%
JNJ 70.67 0.22 0.31% -1.04% -0.86% 0.03% 7.22% 5.54% 11.94% 14.63%
KO 51.93 0.22 0.43% -2.24% -2.95% -3.85% -14.99% -9.20% -12.99% -3.28%
DD 44.25 0.25 0.57% -2.25% 0.20% 2.05% 1.17% -7.29% -6.45% -8.57%
T 31.50 -0.27 -0.85% -2.26% 2.41% 3.93% -23.17% -20.17% -11.14% -20.71%
AXP 39.40 0.65 1.68% -2.45% 6.46% 8.24% -22.81% -16.93% -6.70% -33.58%
GE 27.88 0.18 0.65% -3.30% -3.03% -2.42% -24.16% -10.24% -17.20% -28.05%
DIS 31.36 -0.18 -0.57% -3.77% -1.48% 1.42% -1.51% -9.08% -0.88% -7.87%
VZ 34.08 -0.13 -0.38% -3.92% -1.42% 1.13% -21.13% -12.53% -5.20% -18.76%
PFE 18.51 -0.16 -0.86% -3.94% -4.44% -3.64% -19.21% -0.86% -16.05% -25.09%
UTX 64.08 -0.80 -1.23% -3.96% -0.20% -1.02% -14.80% -8.42% -8.10% -12.76%
MCD 60.30 0.28 0.47% -4