« Bill Cara's Community Chat, Wed., Aug. 27, 2008, 8:43am ET | Main | Bill Cara's Community Chat, Thurs., Aug. 28, 2008, 9:21am ET »

August 28, 2008

Daily Report for Thu, Aug 28, 2008

Markets Re-cap

Wednesday trading was very quiet in most markets. This will be the lowest trading volume and volatility week of the year to date.

Almost from the open yesterday, the NY equity market was a tad stronger. At the close, the DJIA (+89.64 +0.79% to 11502.51), S&P 500 (+10.15 +0.80% to 1281.66), and NASDAQ Composite (+20.49 +0.87% to 2382.46) were all higher by about the same percent.

In Canada, the Toronto Exchange Composite gained +1.74% to 13531, and the Venture Board gained +0.38% to 1950.

The winning sectors in NY were Financials (XLF +1.9%) and Energy (XLE +1.6%) with the Goldminers ($XAU +2.6%) and Broker-Dealers ($XBD +2.3%) leading the way. Airlines ($XAL -2.9%) was the weakest industry group we follow.

Another 52-week low was set by VCP (@20.29).

Of the extreme Cara 100 stocks, the winners were CEO +7.7%, TS +4.4%, CHA and KB +4.0%, and CCJ and STO +3.7%. BMY -2.1% and TM -1.6% were losers, but volumes were down.

The long bond ($USB) was also quiet, lifting +0.14% to 118.80. The T-Bill yield is now at 1.640.

Earlier today, the Asia-Pacific equity markets were down in Hong Kong and India, but up in Australia. The closes were: Australia’s All Ords index (+1.09% to 5143.3); Shanghai (+0.34% to 2350.1); Hong Kong (-2.29% to 20972.3); India’s Sensex (-1.74% to 14048.3); and Japan’s Nikkei (+0.12% to 12768.3).

In Europe, markets were well up at about 9:00am ET, with the French CAC +1.6% to 3082, German DAX +0.9% to 6381, and the UK FTSE +1.2% to 5593.

Yesterday there was more movement in the forex market, but this time it was the Euro strengthening: the $USD dropped -0.31% to 77.02, while the Euro gained +0.52% to 147.29. For the others, the Yen gained +0.14% to 91.33; the Pound lost -0.17% to 183.63, while the Cdn Loonie gained +0.18% to 95.57.

Crude Oil ($WTIC +0.33/bbl to 116.60) and precious metals ($GOLD -1.22/oz to 826.88) were quiet.

At 9:00am ET today, the Euro/USD was up strongly +0.46% to 1.4762, while the $USD is down -0.54% to 76.78.

Crude Oil futures ($WTIC) are up +1.30/bbl to 119.45, mostly due to TS Gustav, which is likely soon to be Hurricane Gustav, headed toward the Gulf of Mexico oil fields. The DJIA Sept futures are up +71 to 11568, despite the higher oil price, as traders are looking beyond the storm to lower oil prices.

At 9:04am ET, Spot Gold, palladium, platinum and silver futures are stronger, at 842.85, 293.0, 1487, and 13.93 respectively, which are all higher along with oil.


Comments & Outlook

As I commented yesterday, there is really not much to say about a market as quiet as this one. The situation does remind me of the summer of 1981, waiting for the next shoe to drop, although this time around the interest rates are well down waiting to rise and the rates then were at record highs and ready to fall. So the bond market then was the buy of the generation. This time, it’s close to being the opposite.


Links & Charts


International Economics Review

US Economic Calendar.



Knobias Cara100 Tables

 Portfolio GAINERS
SYMB LAST CHG %C VOL
CEO 156.960 +11.250 +7.7 1.2M
LEH 14.780 +0.750 +5.3 42.3M
TS 55.640 +2.350 +4.4 1.6M
CHA 52.600 +2.010 +4 305.3K
KB 55.480 +2.110 +4 525.6K
CCJ 30.250 +1.070 +3.7 2.3M
STO 31.180 +1.100 +3.7 580.5K
ABX 35.500 +1.190 +3.5 7.4M
PBR 53.200 +1.660 +3.2 10.4M
RIO 26.740 +0.820 +3.2 18M
PDA 49.370 +1.510 +3.2 82K
RY 43.360 +1.260 +3 624.8K
SNDK 14.830 +0.430 +3 6.9M
MBT 66.140 +1.910 +3 1.5M
GFI 9.360 +0.260 +2.9 4.9M
TEF 73.950 +1.930 +2.7 159.4K
ABB 23.860 +0.620 +2.7 5.8M
VIP 23.120 +0.600 +2.7 4.8M
CHL 61.510 +1.580 +2.6 4M
NUE 52.110 +1.320 +2.6 3.3M
MFC 35.150 +0.880 +2.6 748.6K
TCK 40.600 +0.990 +2.5 1.4M
CTSH 29.760 +0.720 +2.5 2.9M
WFMI 18.310 +0.440 +2.5 3.5M
GGB 18.330 +0.440 +2.5 3.6M

 Portfolio LOSERS
SYMB LAST CHG %C VOL
BMY 21.520 -0.460 -2.1 19.2M
TM 88.000 -1.390 -1.6 619.8K
VCP 20.380 -0.260 -1.3 543.9K
GOOG 468.580 -5.580 -1.2 4.4M
IBN 29.960 -0.350 -1.2 1.5M
GOL 8.570 -0.080 -0.9 1.1M
WAG 35.280 -0.300 -0.8 5.3M
ERJ 32.980 -0.130 -0.4 653K
BC 13.370 -0.050 -0.4 1.1M
NOK 25.950 -0.090 -0.3 8.8M
KSS 48.310 -0.140 -0.3 4.1M
GS 155.480 -0.430 -0.3 6.7M
DNA 97.900 -0.210 -0.2 1.8M
TGT 52.850 -0.100 -0.2 7.6M
GE 28.220 -0.050 -0.2 33.4M
UBS 21.010 -0.010 -0 2.3M

 Portfolio 52-Wk HIGHS
SYMB DAY HIGH LAST CHG %CHG VOL
NONE FOUND.

 Portfolio 52-Wk LOWS
SYMB DAY LOW LAST CHG %CHG VOL
VCP 20.290 20.380 -0.260 -1.26 543.92K

 Portfolio VOLUME
SYMB LAST %C VOL %ADSV
CEO 156.960 +7.7 1.2M +112
BMY 21.520 -2.1 19.2M +92
CHL 61.510 +2.6 4M +54
VIP 23.120 +2.7 4.8M +41
ABB 23.860 +2.7 5.8M +39
GOOG 468.580 -1.2 4.4M +37
PAYX 34.790 +1.8 3.2M +18
CHA 52.600 +4 305.3K +14

 Analysts UPGRADES
SYMB ANALYST OLD   NEW BEFORE   AFTER
NONE FOUND.
• PREVIOUS SESSION
NONE FOUND.

 Analysts DOWNGRADES
SYMB ANALYST OLD   NEW BEFORE   AFTER
NOK WestLB --- --- Buy Hold
• PREVIOUS SESSION
NONE FOUND.


Cara 100 Daily RSI-7 Charts


At least one RSI value >70:
TickerLastRSI-7MRSI-7WRSI-7DZone
WMT59.2979.1760.5957.35
NTES26.5573.0873.5667.47Sell alert (trig. 2 days ago [on 2008-08-26 at $26.30, +0.95% chg], after a 3 day DZ)
DNA97.9072.3085.1556.76Sell alert (trig. 6 days ago [on 2008-08-20 at $97.99, -0.09% chg], after a 18 day DZ)
QCOM54.0871.9868.8346.99
JNJ71.2170.7081.0863.41Sell alert (trig. 3 days ago [on 2008-08-25 at $70.80, +0.58% chg], after a 1 day DZ)
DELL25.6360.9873.5267.54
PG70.0660.5672.1052.69
CEO156.9652.9251.5175.32
IMO52.1552.5553.5370.59

At least one RSI value <30:
TickerLastRSI-7MRSI-7WRSI-7DZone
WFMI18.3113.7718.8338.37Buy alert (trig. 1 days ago [on 2008-08-27 at $18.31, +0.00% chg], after a 2 day AZ)
GOL8.5717.6129.7529.34Accumulation Zone (for 1 days)
TTM9.8022.2736.9453.66
TM88.0022.5634.5742.82
UBS21.0123.2142.2860.07
GRMN34.9724.2430.1932.91
DB83.9924.8330.4434.98Buy alert (trig. 4 days ago [on 2008-08-22 at $85.69, -1.98% chg], after a 1 day AZ)
SNDK14.8325.0128.6142.07
SBUX15.5925.3545.9745.78
TGP22.8425.8429.0757.33Buy alert (trig. 4 days ago [on 2008-08-22 at $22.16, +3.07% chg], after a 3 day AZ)
BC13.3728.5450.5246.03
VCP20.3834.4018.1119.84
GS155.4835.6630.9829.04
TEF73.9537.0529.0952.06
NUE52.1137.6521.3752.35
VIP23.1239.7921.4445.49
GOOG468.5840.7428.9627.98
MBT66.1441.1121.6941.68
RIO26.7441.5129.8854.72
ABB23.8642.7729.1747.80
BBD18.2546.6529.4239.11


International Equity Markets Review

Europe

Here is the latest session data for the bourses of Europe.


Here is the latest session data for the London stock exchange FTSE.


Here is the latest session data for the German DAX.


Here is the latest session data for the French CAC 40.


Here is the latest session data for the Milan Italy stock exchange MIBTEL.


Here is the latest session data for the Swiss market index.


Asia-Pacific

Here is the latest session data for the Asia-Pacific stock exchanges.


Here is the latest chart for the Japanese Nikkei 225 index.


Here is the latest chart for the Singapore index .


Here is the latest chart for the Shanghai Composite index .


Here is the latest chart for the Hong Kong Hang Seng index .


Here is the latest chart for the India BSE 30 index .

Here is the latest chart for the Australian All Ordinaries index .


US Equity Markets Review

DJIA (interactive) chart

NASDAQ Composite (interactive) chart

Table 14: Dow 30 List

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
HD 27.17 0.15 0.56% 4.62% 2.45% 14.45% 4.06% -0.40% -6.02% -22.92%
AXP 38.82 0.77 2.02% 3.71% 5.23% 3.41% -23.94% -15.42% -15.74% -35.26%
C 18.12 0.28 1.57% 3.60% 1.74% -3.67% -37.34% -16.34% -29.55% -62.08%
MRK 35.73 0.31 0.88% 2.26% -0.03% 8.37% -37.72% -7.48% -21.37% -28.71%
XOM 80.47 0.52 0.65% 2.11% 2.94% -4.63% -13.95% -10.39% -9.98% -5.46%
BA 64.52 1.06 1.67% 2.07% 0.40% 1.10% -25.51% -22.14% -23.14% -34.52%
T 31.20 0.58 1.89% 1.66% -0.32% 0.94% -23.90% -19.65% -11.36% -22.19%
WMT 59.29 0.29 0.49% 1.59% 2.44% 1.25% 26.42% 5.12% 15.28% 35.30%
HPQ 46.80 -0.06 -0.13% 1.39% 2.61% 3.86% -6.04% 2.41% -4.37% -2.07%
BAC 29.65 0.63 2.17% 1.23% 2.74% -11.78% -26.90% -13.23% -30.85% -41.71%
AA 32.08 0.47 1.49% 1.17% -0.53% -7.92% -11.21% -20.55% -17.79% -13.25%
CAT 69.56 0.88 1.28% 1.10% -0.39% -3.48% -1.51% -14.65% -6.28% -8.47%
MSFT 27.56 0.29 1.06% 0.99% -1.25% 5.07% -21.75% -3.09% -2.48% -3.26%
VZ 34.71 0.47 1.37% 0.75% 1.05% 1.08% -19.67% -7.14% -4.62% -18.50%
DD 44.34 0.45 1.03% 0.73% -1.77% 0.16% 1.37% -5.66% -6.87% -9.20%
IBM 123.38 0.88 0.72% 0.71% -1.92% -4.25% 17.85% -3.09% 5.94% 8.76%
UTX 65.05 0.16 0.25% 0.46% -1.59% -1.81% -13.51% -8.12% -10.80% -11.76%
GM 10.20 0.16 1.59% 0.39% -0.58% -10.53% -58.21% -41.45% -58.90% -66.36%
JPM 37.14 0.53 1.45% 0.38% 0.62% -10.66% -11.93% -13.65% -16.37% -17.30%
CVX 86.62 0.83 0.97% 0.19% 0.44% -0.73% -7.32% -13.01% -1.81% -0.44%
JNJ 71.21 0.50 0.71% 0.18% 0.01% 4.60% 8.04% 9.30% 12.96% 15.60%
INTC 23.41 0.26 1.12% 0.09% -2.94% 5.31% -7.65% -0.81% 12.71% -4.25%
MMM 70.72 0.00 0.00% 0.04% -3.07% -0.81% -14.50% -7.16% -12.13% -20.27%
DIS 31.76 0.05 0.16% -0.19% 0.06% 0.28% -0.25% -5.59% -4.05% -6.15%
PG 70.06 0.22 0.32% -0.34% 0.66% 5.24% -3.11% 7.67% 4.24% 7.40%
MCD 62.08 -0.05 -0.08% -0.56% -1.12% 2.70% 6.85% 6.83% 12.20% 25.49%
KO 53.79 0.27 0.50% -1.03% -2.57% 4.83% -11.95% -8.19% -10.42% -0.41%
PFE 19.08 -0.20 -1.04% -1.04% -2.85% 1.06% -16.72% -1.29% -16.13% -22.94%
GE 28.22 -0.05 -0.18% -1.50% -3.72% -2.59% -23.23% -7.17% -17.05% -27.64%
AIG 20.00 0.36 1.83% -3.85% -9.30% -25.26% -64.48% -45.39% -61.72% -70.17%

You can do this table yourself by entering the following string into the Summaries window at www.billcara2.com and then clicking on the link for Performance.

AA AIG AXP BA C CAT DD DIS GE GM HD HON HPQ IBM INTC JNJ JPM KO MCD MMM MO MRK MSFT PFE PG T UTX VZ WMT XOM

Here are the links to interactive Dow charts from Billcara2.com that I broke into groups of ten, which you can add technical indicators for as well. (list one) (list two) (list three)



The Americas

Here is the latest session data for the exchanges of the Americas.


Here is the latest chart for the Brazilian Bovespa stock exchange in Sao Paulo.


Here is the latest session data for the Toronto Stock Exchange composite index.



Sector ETF Summary for the US equity market

The tables I show in this section are for ten (GICS) Sector Index Funds (ETF's) only, but they cover the full spectrum of the US equity market.

Table 1: Cara ETF List

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
XLE 76.19 1.16 1.55% 2.49% 4.06% -1.65% -4.16% -11.10% -1.47% 11.39%
XLU 38.15 0.18 0.47% 2.09% 2.55% -0.78% -9.36% -7.22% -2.43% -1.17%
XLF 20.52 0.37 1.84% 1.03% -0.53% -5.87% -27.64% -17.19% -25.54% -39.89%
IYZ 23.55 0.36 1.55% 0.90% -0.46% 0.68% -19.27% -10.05% -3.21% -29.02%
XLI 34.84 0.11 0.32% 0.84% -1.36% -1.44% -9.53% -8.77% -7.07% -10.92%
XLY 30.12 0.22 0.74% 0.84% -1.05% 4.73% -6.46% -5.70% -8.17% -17.57%
SPY 128.63 1.24 0.97% 0.82% -0.02% 0.08% -11.25% -7.23% -6.94% -12.47%
XLB 39.50 0.44 1.13% 0.05% -0.70% -2.83% -4.36% -9.55% -6.91% 1.15%
XLK 23.13 0.18 0.78% 0.00% -1.41% 2.98% -11.45% -7.03% 1.09% -9.72%
XLP 28.24 0.13 0.46% -0.53% -1.16% 1.69% -0.53% 0.28% 1.58% 4.59%
IYH 66.57 -0.10 -0.15% -0.67% -1.48% 2.70% -5.04% 4.54% -0.76% -2.69%
SMH 28.80 0.12 0.42% -0.86% -5.26% 3.00% -8.16% -11.60% -3.58% -22.64%

You can do this table yourself by entering the following string into the Summary window at Billcara2.com and then clicking on the link for Performance. XLE XLB XLI XLY XLP IYH XLF SMH IYZ XLU XLK SPY . You can also add more ETF’s – up to 30 in total.

For a list of components to any ETF, go to the AMEX.com web site, and click on ETF's.


10 (energy: XLE)

ETF Chart for Energy:XLE

Table 2: Senior oil & gas equities

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
CEO 156.96 11.25 7.72% 10.50% 13.25% 4.13% -6.25% -16.64% -9.72% 26.35%
STO 31.18 1.10 3.66% 5.41% 9.40% -3.47% -0.19%