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August 30, 2008

Daily Report for Sat, Aug 30, 2008

Markets Weekend Re-cap

DELL rang the bell on Friday, down -13.8% on the day on more than 3 times average daily volume. That took the Tech stocks (XLK -2.2%) down, which took the DJIA index down (-171.63 -1.47%) to close the week at 11543.55.

At the close, the S&P 500 (-17.85 -1.37% to 1282.83) and NASDAQ Composite (-44.12 -1.83% to 2367.52) were also knocked down following three days of higher prices. The Russell 2000 small cap index also dropped -1.11% to 739.50.

In Canada, the Toronto Exchange Composite managed to gain +0.15% to 13771, while the Venture Board gained +1.01% to 1983.6.

The only winning sector in NY on Friday was the Financials (XLF +0.1%), which got a small boost from Goldman Sachs (GS +1.3%). But, the important point is there was extremely low volume again.

Of the extreme Cara 100 stocks, the winners were PDA +2.7% and BDK +1.5%, while DELL -13.8%, SNDK -4.7%, RIMM -4.0%, ADBE -3.3% and ORCL -3.0% were the big losers. Note, these are all Tech companies. The concern is that DELL managed to sustain revenues, but only with lower prices, which squeezed margins, which might be happening across the tech space.

The long bond ($USB) was down -0.50% at 118.19. The T-Bill market remained quiet at a yield of 1.690.

As noted yesterday, the Asia-Pacific equity markets were all up sharply across the board. Call it the Obama factor. The closes were: Australia’s All Ords index (+1.40% to 5215.5); Shanghai (+2.01% to 2397.4); Hong Kong (+1.38% to 21261.9); India’s Sensex (+3.67% to 14564.5); and Japan’s Nikkei (+2.39% to 13072.9). These are major bullish moves.

In Europe the markets were also up, but not as much, with the French CAC +0.47% to 4482.6, German DAX +0.03% to 6422.3, and the UK FTSE +0.63% to 5636.6.

At the close for the week, the forex market was quiet, with the Euro weakening a tad (-0.16% to 1.4678) and the $USD up +0.25% to 77.31. The Yen gained +0.69% to 91.62, but the British Pound dropped -0.38% to 182.32 and the Cdn Loonie plunged -1.05% to 115.46 on news that a federal government election is about to be called for the Fall. Traders are thinking another minority government situation is not healthy for the Cdn Dollar.

Crude Oil Oct contracts closed at 115.46, down -$0.13/bbl. $GOLD lost -$2.00/oz to close the week at 835.20.

At the close, Spot Gold, palladium, platinum and silver futures were: 829.85, 303, 1482, and 13.60. The plat and pall were a bit stronger and the gold and silver a bit weaker due to modest strength in the $USD.


Comments:

This is a long weekend in North America. Traders will be watching the Republican Party convention get off to a strange start with Gustav the headliner and a relative political unknown as running mate for John McCain.

I’ll return Sunday with the Week In Review, but I can say now that this should have been a vacation week. Not much happened, but there were a few subtle changes underway that I’ll be discussing.


International Economics Review

US Economic Calendar.



Knobias Cara100 Tables

 Portfolio GAINERS
SYMB LAST CHG %C VOL
PDA 50.370 +1.310 +2.7 193.7K
BDK 63.250 +0.910 +1.5 594.8K
LEH 16.090 +0.220 +1.4 31.1M
GS 163.970 +2.140 +1.3 7.6M
GOL 8.900 +0.090 +1 653.8K
TM 89.590 +0.890 +1 598.4K
TCK 41.460 +0.360 +0.9 1.2M
DEO 74.400 +0.620 +0.8 535.4K
CEO 155.760 +1.180 +0.8 339.4K
IBN 31.020 +0.220 +0.7 2.1M
ERJ 33.950 +0.220 +0.7 428.6K
GGB 18.710 +0.070 +0.4 3.5M
WFMI 18.310 +0.060 +0.3 2.4M
SWK 47.950 +0.150 +0.3 409.9K
DNA 98.750 +0.300 +0.3 1.7M
ECA 74.900 +0.210 +0.3 3.6M
KB 54.800 +0.150 +0.3 289.6K
TGP 22.750 +0.060 +0.3 46.5K
ABB 24.570 +0.060 +0.2 2.2M
BC 13.790 +0.030 +0.2 949.5K
MFC 35.790 +0.050 +0.1 834.4K
RY 45.680 +0.040 +0.1 786.6K
HBC 78.710 +0.030 +0 692.4K

 Portfolio LOSERS
SYMB LAST CHG %C VOL
DELL 21.730 -3.480 -13.8 98.7M
SNDK 14.460 -0.710 -4.7 6.2M
RIMM 121.600 -5.050 -4 16.7M
GFI 9.100 -0.340 -3.6 3.4M
ADBE 42.830 -1.480 -3.3 6.9M
ORCL 21.930 -0.710 -3.1 35.3M
AMAT 17.920 -0.580 -3.1 19.9M
INTC 22.870 -0.720 -3.1 53.5M
SBUX 15.560 -0.420 -2.6 9.9M
NOK 25.170 -0.670 -2.6 12.3M
GE 28.100 -0.730 -2.5 47.1M
CSCO 24.050 -0.610 -2.5 33.1M
QCOM 52.650 -1.320 -2.4 14.5M
PAYX 34.080 -0.820 -2.3 3M
WBK 99.880 -2.300 -2.3 13.1K
GRMN 34.760 -0.790 -2.2 1.4M
GOOG 463.290 -10.490 -2.2 3.8M
BHP 70.510 -1.490 -2.1 1.1M
KO 52.070 -1.050 -2 8.9M
CCL 37.060 -0.720 -1.9 4.5M
CHL 56.720 -1.100 -1.9 2.6M
LLTC 32.640 -0.610 -1.8 3M
SLW 11.520 -0.210 -1.8 1.5M
PG 69.770 -1.240 -1.7 9.6M
CHRW 52.110 -0.900 -1.7 1.3M

 Portfolio 52-Wk HIGHS
SYMB DAY HIGH LAST CHG %CHG VOL
NONE FOUND.

 Portfolio 52-Wk LOWS
SYMB DAY LOW LAST CHG %CHG VOL
CHL 56.250 56.720 -1.100 -1.90 2.65M

 Portfolio VOLUME
SYMB LAST %C VOL %ADSV
DELL 21.730 -13.8 98.7M +328
PDA 50.370 +2.7 193.7K +41
ORCL 21.930 -3.1 35.3M +27
ADBE 42.830 -3.3 6.9M +23
GOOG 463.290 -2.2 3.8M +19
GE 28.100 -2.5 47.1M +15
DEO 74.400 +0.8 535.4K +15
PAYX 34.080 -2.3 3M +15
RIMM 121.600 -4 16.7M +13
AMAT 17.920 -3.1 19.9M +11

 Analysts UPGRADES
SYMB ANALYST OLD   NEW BEFORE   AFTER
RY BMO Capital --- --- Underperform Market Perform
• PREVIOUS SESSION
NONE FOUND.

 Analysts DOWNGRADES
SYMB ANALYST OLD   NEW BEFORE   AFTER
NONE FOUND.
• PREVIOUS SESSION
CHL JP Morgan --- --- Overweight Underweight
KO CSFB 60.00 57.00 Outperform Neutral


Cara 100 Daily RSI-7 Charts


At least one RSI value >70:
TickerLastRSI-7MRSI-7WRSI-7DZone
WMT59.0781.2963.8452.21
NTES26.1173.5168.2257.51Sell alert (trig. 4 days ago [on 2008-08-26 at $26.30, -0.72% chg], after a 3 day DZ)
DNA98.7573.2185.7266.50Sell alert (trig. 8 days ago [on 2008-08-20 at $97.99, +0.78% chg], after a 18 day DZ)
CEO155.7651.5852.2670.64
ERJ33.9542.1059.9772.03

At least one RSI value <30:
TickerLastRSI-7MRSI-7WRSI-7DZone
WFMI18.3114.9022.5739.42Buy alert (trig. 3 days ago [on 2008-08-27 at $18.31, +0.00% chg], after a 2 day AZ)
GOL8.9020.6332.3143.66Buy alert (trig. 2 days ago [on 2008-08-28 at $8.81, +1.02% chg], after a 1 day AZ)
TGP22.7522.3828.9154.13Buy alert (trig. 6 days ago [on 2008-08-22 at $22.16, +2.66% chg], after a 3 day AZ)
SNDK14.4622.4631.5138.55
UBS21.8922.6745.4766.52
TTM9.8625.1734.9855.96
SBUX15.5626.9345.9745.45
GRMN34.7627.5829.4834.56
TM89.5927.8041.0554.77
DB84.8728.5829.5742.28Buy alert (trig. 6 days ago [on 2008-08-22 at $85.69, -0.96% chg], after a 1 day AZ)
KB54.8029.4540.6444.97
VCP21.1230.9621.0040.76
CHL56.7235.6717.4732.22
CCJ30.0836.4528.7447.64
RIO26.5538.2127.9651.35
KO52.0738.7737.4127.78
GOOG463.2938.9233.8828.60
VIP24.0339.3229.2756.25
DELL21.7343.2337.6617.85
BBD18.4145.5229.6044.47


International Equity Markets Review

Europe

Here is the latest session data for the bourses of Europe.


Here is the latest session data for the London stock exchange FTSE.


Here is the latest session data for the German DAX.


Here is the latest session data for the French CAC 40.


Here is the latest session data for the Milan Italy stock exchange MIBTEL.


Here is the latest session data for the Swiss market index.


Asia-Pacific

Here is the latest session data for the Asia-Pacific stock exchanges.


Here is the latest chart for the Japanese Nikkei 225 index.


Here is the latest chart for the Singapore index .


Here is the latest chart for the Shanghai Composite index .


Here is the latest chart for the Hong Kong Hang Seng index .


Here is the latest chart for the India BSE 30 index .

Here is the latest chart for the Australian All Ordinaries index .


US Equity Markets Review

DJIA (interactive) chart

NASDAQ Composite (interactive) chart

Table 14: Dow 30 List

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
AIG 21.49 -0.02 -0.09% 8.15% -6.52% -19.78% -61.83% -39.19% -54.14% -67.50%
C 18.99 -0.09 -0.47% 4.69% 2.37% 0.64% -34.34% -13.84% -19.91% -59.55%
BAC 31.14 -0.29 -0.92% 3.08% 1.43% -6.57% -23.22% -10.00% -21.64% -38.40%
T 31.99 -0.24 -0.74% 2.63% 1.04% 5.09% -21.98% -20.42% -8.15% -20.42%
AXP 39.68 -0.71 -1.76% 2.29% 1.56% 6.70% -22.26% -15.12% -6.19% -31.75%
JPM 38.49 -0.39 -1.00% 2.18% 1.10% -5.57% -8.73% -11.66% -5.31% -12.78%
MRK 35.67 -0.73 -2.01% 1.13% -1.36% 7.25% -37.82% -8.35% -19.48% -28.55%
CAT 70.73 -0.95 -1.33% 0.65% 0.54% 3.80% 0.14% -14.56% -2.21% -5.74%
DIS 32.35 -0.24 -0.74% 0.47% -0.46% 7.55% 1.60% -4.32% -0.19% -4.54%
HD 27.12 -0.30 -1.09% 0.04% -1.49% 13.47% 3.87% -2.13% 2.15% -25.80%
BA 65.56 -0.78 -1.18% 0.02% 1.72% 5.72% -24.31% -20.16% -20.81% -32.34%
HPQ 46.92 -0.41 -0.87% -0.30% 2.92% 6.73% -5.80% 0.02% -1.78% -3.10%
XOM 80.01 -1.17 -1.44% -0.36% 3.81% 0.36% -14.44% -10.45% -8.05% -6.12%
AA 32.13 -0.27 -0.83% -0.46% 1.01% -0.03% -11.07% -20.35% -13.49% -11.71%
VZ 35.12 -0.35 -0.99% -0.48% 0.46% 3.29% -18.72% -8.47% -3.30% -16.84%
UTX 65.59 -1.13 -1.69% -0.59% -1.81% 3.19% -12.79% -6.61% -6.98% -11.78%
WMT 59.07 -0.81 -1.35% -0.62% -0.51% 2.29% 25.95% 1.95% 19.12% 33.67%
DD 44.44 -0.83 -1.83% -0.78% -2.76% 2.61% 1.60% -7.03% -4.27% -8.75%
MMM 71.60 -0.90 -1.24% -0.94% -2.57% 2.07% -13.43% -7.92% -8.67% -19.33%
JNJ 70.43 -0.98 -1.37% -1.39% -1.26% 3.42% 6.86% 6.04% 13.67% 13.85%
MSFT 27.29 -0.65 -2.33% -1.98% -1.87% 7.27% -22.52% -3.60% 0.33% -4.55%
CVX 86.32 -0.86 -0.99% -2.02% 2.46% 2.38% -7.64% -12.68% -0.39% -0.44%
MCD 62.05 -0.84 -1.34% -2.16% -2.48% 3.81% 6.80% 4.32% 14.67% 26.14%
IBM 121.73 -2.85 -2.29% -2.56% -3.66% -3.88% 16.28% -6.15% 6.91% 6.25%
PG 69.77 -1.24 -1.75% -2.57% -2.56% 7.42% -3.51% 6.57% 5.42% 7.14%
INTC 22.87 -0.72 -3.05% -2.64% -5.73% 2.33% -9.78% -1.17% 14.52% -8.85%
PFE 19.11 -0.16 -0.83% -3.24% -4.31% 2.74% -16.59% -1.49% -14.23% -22.54%
GE 28.10 -0.73 -2.53% -3.50% -5.70% -0.39% -23.56% -8.29% -15.21% -27.41%
GM 10.00 -0.34 -3.29% -4.21% -10.55% -2.25% -59.03% -42.46% -57.04% -67.31%
KO 52.07 -1.05 -1.98% -4.23% -5.43% -2.01% -14.77% -10.02% -10.93% -2.69%

You can do this table yourself by entering the following string into the Summaries window at www.billcara2.com and then clicking on the link for Performance.

AA AIG AXP BA C CAT DD DIS GE GM HD HON HPQ IBM INTC JNJ JPM KO MCD MMM MO MRK MSFT PFE PG T UTX VZ WMT XOM

Here are the links to interactive Dow charts from Billcara2.com that I broke into groups of ten, which you can add technical indicators for as well. (list one) (list two) (list three)



The Americas

Here is the latest session data for the exchanges of the Americas.


Here is the latest chart for the Brazilian Bovespa stock exchange in Sao Paulo.


Here is the latest session data for the Toronto Stock Exchange composite index.



Sector ETF Summary for the US equity market

The tables I show in this section are for ten (GICS) Sector Index Funds (ETF's) only, but they cover the full spectrum of the US equity market.

Table 1: Cara ETF List

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
XLF 21.35 0.00 0.00% 3.24% 0.23% -1.57% -24.72% -14.67% -17.50% -36.48%
IYZ 23.92 -0.16 -0.66% 0.84% -0.58% 4.05% -18.00% -10.98% 1.23% -27.65%
XLI 35.22 -0.44 -1.23% -0.20% -1.18% 2.83% -8.54% -8.85% -3.29% -9.76%
XLB 39.60 -0.43 -1.07% -0.25% 0.33% 0.61% -4.12% -10.41% -3.37% 2.27%
XLU 37.72 -0.66 -1.72% -0.34% 2.03% 2.17% -10.38% -9.06% -0.03% -3.06%
XLE 74.50 -0.63 -0.84% -0.35% 5.12% 0.01% -6.29% -12.48% -2.04% 8.28%
XLY 30.53 -0.29 -0.94% -0.42% -2.21% 7.50% -5.19% -6.06% -2.02% -17.04%
SPY 128.79 -1.40 -1.08% -0.66% -1.06% 2.13% -11.14% -8.01% -3.72% -12.12%
IYH 66.48 -0.69 -1.03% -1.73% -2.81% 2.86% -5.16% 3.09% 1.25% -2.49%
XLP 28.10 -0.33 -1.16% -1.89% -3.00% 2.74% -1.02% -1.13% 3.50% 4.15%
XLK 22.80 -0.47 -2.02%