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August 1, 2008
Daily Report for Fri, Aug 01, 2008
Markets Re-cap
The US equity market weakened badly into the close as traders were thinking ahead to this morning’s US Jobs Report for July. On Wednesday, the ADP data showed a surprising growth in jobs, but yesterday the jump in weekly jobless claims showed just the opposite.
Early in the day, there was much talk about the shocking revision to 4Q07 US GDP, which now shows a shrinking economy. After today’s Jobs Report, traders will be focused on another busy day of corporate earnings reports.
At the close, the DJIA (-205.67 -1.78% to 11378.02), S&P 500 (-16.88 -1.31% to 1267.38), and the NASDAQ Composite (-4.17 -0.18% to 2325.55) fell hard after two days of solid gains.
The Energy Sector (XLE -4.1%) was the weakest, following the prior day where the gain of +6.0% was by far the strongest. Industrials (XLI -3.1%) and Consumer staples (XLP -1.6%) were also weak. Strongest on the day was Healthcare (XLV +0.1%), which was the only sector that gained and that was due to the +4.1% gain in Biotech ($BTK).
Of the industry groups, Papers were very strong, up +11.5%, due to the sparkling performance of International Paper (IP), where Q2 earnings jumped +20% and the stock lifted +14.0% on the day.
BMW, however, issued a profit warning, saying it would not reach 2008 goals due to rapidly deteriorating economic conditions in the world. Also, General Motors (GM) has reported a loss of -$15.5 billion for Q2.
The IndyMac bank that was recently taken over by the FDIC has declared Chapter 7 bankruptcy.
Two of Japan’s biggest banks (Mizuho and Sumitomo Mitsui) reported Q1 weakness, which took the Nikkei 225 down -2.11% today, closing at 13094.59 for a 250 point loss on the week. Australia’s All Ords index also dropped, closing at 4978.0 (-1.48%). But, Shanghai (+0.94% to 2801.8), Hong Kong (+0.58% to 22862.6) and India’s Sensex (+2.26% to 14680.2) (with a closing hour flourish), closed higher today.
Strongest one day; weakest the next: the Oil Services ($OSX -4.2% following a gain of +6.1%) and Integrated Oils ($XOI -2.8% following a gain of +5.8%) were the leaders on the downside yesterday. NatGas ($XNG -2.2%) and Goldminers ($XAU -1.7%) were also weak.
In extreme Cara 100 trading, the natural resource players were weak: NUE (-5.0%), SU (-4.8%), XOM (-4.7%), POT (-4.3%) and GG (-4.2%). BA and DIS also each dropped -4.2%. The leaders were: MICC (+6.0%), RIMM (+3.0%) and SNDK (+2.8%).
In the Cara 100 stocks, Boeing (BA) set a 52-week low yesterday at $61.01, and so did Toyota (TM) at $85.59. Qualcomm (QCOM) set a high at $56.00.
The bond and forex markets were quiet again. The long bond ($USB) managed a solid gain (+0.6% to 115.50), mostly because of the safe-haven move from riskier equities, and to the downward revision of 4Q07 US GDP. The $USD lost -0.15% to $0.7323 and the Euro gained +0.15% to 1.5601.
In Europe at 7:09am ET (1209 GMT), the French CAC was down -0.78% to 4358; the German DAX down -0.49% to 6448; and the UK FTSE down -0.15% to 5404.
Precious metals are quiet. At the close yesterday, $GOLD was up +$10.40/oz to 922.70, while Crude Oil dropped -$2.69/bbl to 124.08.
Earlier this morning the USD was at $0.7348 and the Euro at 1.5532, with the USD gaining moderate strength from yesterday morning, and the Euro losing it.
Spot prices at about 7:11am ET are for gold, palladium, platinum and silver per oz (vs the prices in the past four mornings): 911.30 (910.80, 902.36, 925.31 and 930.05); 371 (374, 377, 386 and 383); 1713 (1751, 1740, 1763 and 1752); and 17.58 (17.53, 17.02, 17.41 and 17.42).
Crude Oil futures this morning are softer at 122.88, while the DJIA futures are up a bit (+29) to 11388.
Comments & Outlook
The big news will happen in a couple minutes and that is the US Jobs Report for July. This is a report that is highly spun by the Talking Heads on Financial Entertainment Television.
But, don't take your eye off the numerous earnings reports that will come today.
Links & Charts
International Economics Review
Knobias Cara100 Tables
Cara 100 Daily RSI-7 Charts
At least one RSI value >70:
At least one RSI value <30:
International Equity Markets Review
Europe
Here is the latest session data for the bourses of Europe.
Here is the latest session data for the London stock exchange FTSE.
Here is the latest session data for the German DAX.
Here is the latest session data for the French CAC 40.
Here is the latest session data for the Milan Italy stock exchange MIBTEL.
Here is the latest session data for the Swiss market index.
Asia-Pacific
Here is the latest session data for the Asia-Pacific stock exchanges.
Here is the latest chart for the Japanese Nikkei 225 index.
Here is the latest chart for the Singapore index .
Here is the latest chart for the Shanghai Composite index .
Here is the latest chart for the Hong Kong Hang Seng index .
Here is the latest chart for the India BSE 30 index .
Here is the latest chart for the Australian All Ordinaries index .
US Equity Markets Review
NASDAQ Composite (interactive) chart
Table 14: Dow 30 List
You can do this table yourself by entering the following string into the Summaries window at www.billcara2.com and then clicking on the link for Performance.
AA AIG AXP BA C CAT DD DIS GE GM HD HON HPQ IBM INTC JNJ JPM KO MCD MMM MO MRK MSFT PFE PG T UTX VZ WMT XOM
Here are the links to interactive Dow charts from Billcara2.com that I broke into groups of ten, which you can add technical indicators for as well. (list one) (list two) (list three)
The Americas
Here is the latest session data for the exchanges of the Americas.
Here is the latest chart for the Brazilian Bovespa stock exchange in Sao Paulo.
Here is the latest session data for the Toronto Stock Exchange composite index.
Sector ETF Summary for the US equity market
The tables I show in this section are for ten (GICS) Sector Index Funds (ETF's) only, but they cover the full spectrum of the US equity market.
Table 1: Cara ETF List
You can do this table yourself by entering the following string into the Summary window at Billcara2.com and then clicking on the link for Performance. XLE XLB XLI XLY XLP IYH XLF SMH IYZ XLU XLK SPY . You can also add more ETF’s – up to 30 in total.
For a list of components to any ETF, go to the AMEX.com web site, and click on ETF's.
10 (energy: XLE)

Table 2: Senior oil & gas equities
15 (basic materials: XLB)

Table 3: Senior metals and steel equities
Table 12: Senior gold equities
20 (industrial: XLI)

Table 4: Senior capital goods makers and transportation
25 (consumer discretionary: XLY)

Table 5: Senior consumer discretionary equities
30 (consumer staples: XLP)

Table 6: Senior consumer staples equities
35 (healthcare: IYH)

Table 7: Senior healthcare equities
40 (financial: XLF)

Table 8: Senior financial company equities
45 (technology, semiconductor: SMH)

Table 9: Senior technology equities
50 (telecom: IYZ)

55 (utilities: XLU)

International Equity Market USD-denominated ETF Review
Table 13: International equities perspective
Japanese equity market ETF: EWJ
Here is the Japanese (EWJ) equity market ETF Daily data charts:


U.K. equity market ETF
Here is the United Kingdom (EWU) equity market ETF Daily data charts:
EWU Daily data:


Canada's equity market
Here is the Canadian (EWC) equity market ETF Daily data charts:


Bonds & Yields Review
Table 10: Yahoo Finance U.S. Treasury Debt, Municipal and Corporate Bond Yields
Here is the $USB 30-year Treasury Bond chart.

US Bond Funds -- Interactive Daily Data Charts
SHY Daily data series chart:
IEF Daily data series chart:
TLT Daily data series chart:
AGG Daily data series chart:
LQD Daily data series chart:
TIP Daily data series chart:
Table 11: Interest-sensitive securities
Consumer Finance -USA -- Interactive Daily Data Charts
Commodities Review
Interactive Chart of Daily CRB Commodities Index:

Interactive Chart of Weekly CRB Commodities Index:

Oil Review
Here is the e-miNY Mar-08 Crude Oil chart.
Interactive Chart of Daily Crude Oil:

Interactive Chart of Weekly Crude Oil:

Gold & Precious Metals Review
Interactive Chart of Daily Gold EOD Continuous Contract Index:

Interactive Chart of Weekly Gold EOD Continuous Contract Index:

Spot silver chart for the week
Interactive daily data
Interactive Chart of Daily Silver EOD Continuous Contract Index:

Interactive chart of the Silver Bullion index.
Interactive Chart of Weekly Silver EOD Continuous Contract Index:

Spot platinum chart for the past three days
Interactive Chart of Daily Platinum EOD Continuous Contract Index:

Interactive Chart of Weekly Platinum EOD Continuous Contract Index:

Interactive chart of the Platinum metal index.
Spot palladium chart for the week
Interactive Chart of Daily Palladium EOD Continuous Contract Index:

Interactive Chart of Weekly Palladium EOD Continuous Contract Index:

Interactive chart of the Palladium metal index.
Interactive Chart of Weekly Copper EOD Continuous Contract Index:


Interactive Chart of Daily Copper EOD Continuous Contract Index:
Interactive chart of the Copper metal index.
Table 12: Senior gold equities
To watch the moves in precious metal miners, you will have to monitor the individual stock charts, preferably in real-time, as follows:
NEM ABX AU GFI GG HMY AUY KGC BVN
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data
MDG LIHRY AEM BGO IAG EGO RGLD GOLD CDE GRS
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data
CBJ SSRI SIL NG KRY UXG GRZ TSE_HRG TSE_GUY TSE_AGI
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data
NXG GSS MNG DROOY MFN RNO RANGY MRB CLG
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data
Here are the key Silver miners and the SLV ETF:
SLV SIL CDE HL PAAS SSRI SLW MGN
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data
Here are the Weekly and Daily Data charts of the indexes:
Interactive Chart of Daily U.S. Goldminers Index:

Interactive Chart of Weekly U.S. Goldminers Index:

The U.S. goldminer share trust ETF trades under the ticker symbol GDX.
Here are the U.S. Goldminer ETF (GDX) index Weekly and Daily data charts:
GDX Daily data:

GDX Weekly data:

The Toronto Exchange-listed goldminer iUnits S&P/TSX Capped Gold Index ETF trades under the ticker symbol TSE:XGD. Yes, just like GDX on the AMEX, you can trade XGD on Toronto.
Here are the Weekly and Daily data charts for the TSX Goldshares (XGD) index:
Interactive Chart of XGD Daily data:

Interactive Chart of XGD Weekly data:

Forex Review
Here is the chart of the week's trading in the $USD.
Interactive Chart of Daily U.S. Dollar Index:

Interactive Chart of Daily Euro Dollar Index, priced in USD:

Daily British Pound Index:

Daily Japanese Yen Index:

Daily Canadian Dollar Index:

Wrap-up
Posted by Posted by Bill Cara on August 1, 2008 07:28:56 AM | Category: Daily Report









