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July 24, 2008
Daily Report for Thu, Jul 24, 2008
Markets Re-cap
After a weak open, losing about -50 points, the DJIA then rallied about +125 points as spin doctors were effusive in their praise that earnings were beating the Street expectations. Then came the oil and gas inventory data, which served to knock the bull out of the rally. At the end of the session, the US equity market was up a bit, partly because of falling oil prices, but bonds were down a second straight day.
Yesterday, the DJIA (+29.88 +0.26% to 11632.38), S&P 500 (+5.19 +0.41% to 1282.19) and NASDAQ Composite (+21.92 +0.95% to 2325.88) did manage a small gain, which may be given back at the open this morning.
Crude Oil ($WTIC dropped -$3.98/bbl to 124.44 after the day earlier loss of -$3.40/bbl. Along with the continuing squeeze on commodity prices, as the $USD is regaining strength, $GOLD dropped -$25.70/oz to 922.80, which followed the prior day’s loss of -$15.20/oz.
With the lower commodity prices, the Toronto Composite index lost -131 -0.96% to 13512.66 and the Toronto Venture board dropped -1.79% to 2223.13.
In NY, Consumer Discretionary (XLY +1.9%) and Tech (XLK +1.8%) were the leading sectors while Energy (XLE -3.6%), Utilities (XLU -2.4%) and Basic Materials (XLB -1.3%) were the losers.
The big industry mover was Airlines again ($XAL +8.5%), following the day earlier gain of +22.2%. Insurance ($INSR) gained +5.2%. Goldminers ($XAU -5.3%), Oil Services ($OSX -4.8%) and NatGas ($XNG -4.4%) were the losing groups.
Cara 100 stocks were definitely on the move, both up and down, in heavier volume and more extreme price action. AET +12.7%, WHR +12.5%, GOL +9.5%, IBN +8.6%, and WFMI +8.4% were way up and CHRW -15.6%, COST -11.9%, ABX -7.8% and GG -6.5% just the opposite. The COST traded 5.2 times average daily volume as traders did not like the company report.
Today and tomorrow, traders will be reviewing the US housing data.
The 30-year US Bond ($USB) lost -0.48% to 113.61, following the loss of -0.34% the previous day. Yields were up across the board, but moderately so.
Earlier today, the Asia-Pacific markets were mixed. Tokyo (+2.18% to 13603.3, which was a 1-month high), Shanghai (+2.55% to 2910.3) and Australia (+0.52% to 5188.4) were up, but Hong Kong (-0.20% to 23087.7) and India (-1.11% to 14777) were down.
In Europe this morning at 8:35am ET (1335 GMT), there are losses. The UK FTSE is down -0.66% to 5408, the French CAC -0.72% to 4378, and the German DAX -0.88% to 6478.
Crude Oil futures are up +$0.31/bbl to 124.75, after being down about that much a half hour ago. The $USD is at $0.73085 while the Euro is at 1.5630. DJIA futures are down -28 to 11585 at 8:27am ET vs -35 a half hour ago.
At 8.38am ET, Gold, palladium, platinum and silver spot prices are presently at: 922.10, 386, 1727 and 17.37 respectively, in quiet trading at the moment.
Comments & Outlook
There is a strengthening USD here as commodity prices sink. To what extent this action is regulator and HB&B induced is unknown by the great unwashed. But we have our thoughts on the matter.
In any case, I believe the market is cueing in on the lower commodity prices still, which is serving to support the broad equity market. So far, the bond market is not being helped, but that situation is dynamic. Bond traders are still cautious because this Treasury Secretary and Fed head are likely to print, print, print money as their solution to what ails America, which when you think of it is the reason America is in economic trouble in the first place.
I am curious about the extreme trading of certain stocks. They are up +10% in a day and down the same the next. This gives rise to my concern there is massive front-running of orders by institutional block traders at HB&B. In a pinch (and these banks and broker-dealers are being squeezed, possibly to death, not just being pinched), the Street is likely to pull any stunt in an effort to survive. I think the regulators ought to be on the look-out, if they care at all.
I’ve been there, so listen up Mr. Regulator.
Links & Charts
International Economics Review
Knobias Cara100 Tables
Cara 100 Daily RSI-7 Charts
At least one RSI value >70:
At least one RSI value <30:
International Equity Markets Review
Europe
Here is the latest session data for the bourses of Europe.
Here is the latest session data for the London stock exchange FTSE.
Here is the latest session data for the German DAX.
Here is the latest session data for the French CAC 40.
Here is the latest session data for the Milan Italy stock exchange MIBTEL.
Here is the latest session data for the Swiss market index.
Asia-Pacific
Here is the latest session data for the Asia-Pacific stock exchanges.
Here is the latest chart for the Japanese Nikkei 225 index.
Here is the latest chart for the Singapore index .
Here is the latest chart for the Shanghai Composite index .
Here is the latest chart for the Hong Kong Hang Seng index .
Here is the latest chart for the India BSE 30 index .
Here is the latest chart for the Australian All Ordinaries index .
US Equity Markets Review
NASDAQ Composite (interactive) chart
Table 14: Dow 30 List
You can do this table yourself by entering the following string into the Summaries window at www.billcara2.com and then clicking on the link for Performance.
AA AIG AXP BA C CAT DD DIS GE GM HD HON HPQ IBM INTC JNJ JPM KO MCD MMM MO MRK MSFT PFE PG T UTX VZ WMT XOM
Here are the links to interactive Dow charts from Billcara2.com that I broke into groups of ten, which you can add technical indicators for as well. (list one) (list two) (list three)
The Americas
Here is the latest session data for the exchanges of the Americas.
Here is the latest chart for the Brazilian Bovespa stock exchange in Sao Paulo.
Here is the latest session data for the Toronto Stock Exchange composite index.
Sector ETF Summary for the US equity market
The tables I show in this section are for ten (GICS) Sector Index Funds (ETF's) only, but they cover the full spectrum of the US equity market.
Table 1: Cara ETF List
You can do this table yourself by entering the following string into the Summary window at Billcara2.com and then clicking on the link for Performance. XLE XLB XLI XLY XLP IYH XLF SMH IYZ XLU XLK SPY . You can also add more ETFâs â up to 30 in total.
For a list of components to any ETF, go to the AMEX.com web site, and click on ETF's.
10 (energy: XLE)

Table 2: Senior oil & gas equities
15 (basic materials: XLB)

Table 3: Senior metals and steel equities
Table 12: Senior gold equities
20 (industrial: XLI)

Table 4: Senior capital goods makers and transportation
25 (consumer discretionary: XLY)

Table 5: Senior consumer discretionary equities
30 (consumer staples: XLP)

Table 6: Senior consumer staples equities
35 (healthcare: IYH)

Table 7: Senior healthcare equities
40 (financial: XLF)

Table 8: Senior financial company equities
45 (technology, semiconductor: SMH)

Table 9: Senior technology equities
50 (telecom: IYZ)

55 (utilities: XLU)

International Equity Market USD-denominated ETF Review
Table 13: International equities perspective
Japanese equity market ETF: EWJ
Here is the Japanese (EWJ) equity market ETF Daily data charts:


U.K. equity market ETF
Here is the United Kingdom (EWU) equity market ETF Daily data charts:
EWU Daily data:


Canada's equity market
Here is the Canadian (EWC) equity market ETF Daily data charts:


Bonds & Yields Review
Table 10: Yahoo Finance U.S. Treasury Debt, Municipal and Corporate Bond Yields
Here is the $USB 30-year Treasury Bond chart.

US Bond Funds -- Interactive Daily Data Charts
SHY Daily data series chart:
IEF Daily data series chart:
TLT Daily data series chart:
AGG Daily data series chart:
LQD Daily data series chart:
TIP Daily data series chart:
Table 11: Interest-sensitive securities
Consumer Finance -USA -- Interactive Daily Data Charts
Commodities Review
Interactive Chart of Daily CRB Commodities Index:

Interactive Chart of Weekly CRB Commodities Index:

Oil Review
Here is the e-miNY Mar-08 Crude Oil chart.
Interactive Chart of Daily Crude Oil:

Interactive Chart of Weekly Crude Oil:

Gold & Precious Metals Review
Interactive Chart of Daily Gold EOD Continuous Contract Index:

Interactive Chart of Weekly Gold EOD Continuous Contract Index:

Spot silver chart for the week
Interactive daily data
Interactive Chart of Daily Silver EOD Continuous Contract Index:

Interactive chart of the Silver Bullion index.
Interactive Chart of Weekly Silver EOD Continuous Contract Index:

Spot platinum chart for the past three days
Interactive Chart of Daily Platinum EOD Continuous Contract Index:

Interactive Chart of Weekly Platinum EOD Continuous Contract Index:

Interactive chart of the Platinum metal index.
Spot palladium chart for the week
Interactive Chart of Daily Palladium EOD Continuous Contract Index:

Interactive Chart of Weekly Palladium EOD Continuous Contract Index:

Interactive chart of the Palladium metal index.
Interactive Chart of Weekly Copper EOD Continuous Contract Index:


Interactive Chart of Daily Copper EOD Continuous Contract Index:
Interactive chart of the Copper metal index.
Table 12: Senior gold equities
To watch the moves in precious metal miners, you will have to monitor the individual stock charts, preferably in real-time, as follows:
NEM ABX AU GFI GG HMY AUY KGC BVN
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data
MDG LIHRY AEM BGO IAG EGO RGLD GOLD CDE GRS
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data
CBJ SSRI SIL NG KRY UXG GRZ TSE_HRG TSE_GUY TSE_AGI
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data
NXG GSS MNG DROOY MFN RNO RANGY MRB CLG
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data
Here are the key Silver miners and the SLV ETF:
SLV SIL CDE HL PAAS SSRI SLW MGN
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data
Here are the Weekly and Daily Data charts of the indexes:
Interactive Chart of Daily U.S. Goldminers Index:

Interactive Chart of Weekly U.S. Goldminers Index:

The U.S. goldminer share trust ETF trades under the ticker symbol GDX.
Here are the U.S. Goldminer ETF (GDX) index Weekly and Daily data charts:
GDX Daily data:

GDX Weekly data:

The Toronto Exchange-listed goldminer iUnits S&P/TSX Capped Gold Index ETF trades under the ticker symbol TSE:XGD. Yes, just like GDX on the AMEX, you can trade XGD on Toronto.
Here are the Weekly and Daily data charts for the TSX Goldshares (XGD) index:
Interactive Chart of XGD Daily data:

Interactive Chart of XGD Weekly data:

Forex Review
Here is the chart of the week's trading in the $USD.
Interactive Chart of Daily U.S. Dollar Index:

Interactive Chart of Daily Euro Dollar Index, priced in USD:

Daily British Pound Index:

Daily Japanese Yen Index:

Daily Canadian Dollar Index:

Wrap-up
Posted by Posted by Bill Cara on July 24, 2008 08:53:31 AM | Category: Daily Report








