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June 18, 2008

Daily Report for Wed, Jun 18, 2008

Markets Re-cap

Any interest sparked by the positive Goldman Sachs (GS) report early yesterday failed to hold as the Broker-Dealers ($XBD -3.89%) and Banks ($BKX -3.68%) plunged.

At the end of the day, beaten down by downbeat US and European macro-economic data and a perceived crisis taking shape between the European Central Bank and the Fed, the DJIA (-108.78 -0.89% to 12160.30), S&P 500 (-9.21 -0.68% to 1350.93) and NASDAQ Composite (-17.05 -0.69% to 2457.73) were hammered.

The only strength in the US equity market yesterday was in Energy (XLE +1.66%) as the Financials (XLF -2.92%), including Insurance and REITs, plunged. In the oil complex, the Oils, Oil Services and Chemicals were all strong, but the NatGas stocks ($XNG +2.35%) were the leaders.

Crude Oil ($WTIC -0.81/bbl to 134.53) dropped for a third day in a row, but not by much.

As for Goldman Sachs, the Company beat Consensus expectations again, although they did report that Q2 earnings dropped -10% to $2.05 billion ($4.58/share).

On the economics front, inflation concerns in the US lifted with the headline PPI number being up +1.4%, well ahead of Consensus growth of +1.0%, That means the prices paid by producers rose at their quickest rate in six months, caused largely by rising energy costs. Also, the US Commerce Department reported that housing starts for May dropped -3.3% to a seasonally adjusted rate of 975,000.

The US Dollar weakened with the bad US econ data. The $USD closed the session down -0.15% to 73.51.

The long-dated US Bond ($USB) was flat on the day.

Cara 100 winners were Brazil’s GGB +5.5%, GOL +4.6% and RIO +3.8%. ATVI gained +4.9%. Losers were GRMN -5.2%, WHR -3.5% and brokers OXPS -3.7% and IBKR -3.4%.

The $GOLD futures closed up just 60 cents/oz to 886.90.

Despite a slightly positive $USD this morning, the precious metal spot prices are up a bit: 885.50, 456, 2081 and 17.05 for gold, palladium, platinum and silver, respectively.

Crude oil futures are trading up +0.515/bbl to 134.525 at this point in the morning, and the DJIA futures are down -42 to 12129.

The All Ordinaries equities index of Australia closed today at 5550.3, up +0.44%, but India’s Sensex 30 was down -1.75% to 15422.3. The Nikkei 225 (+0.73% to 14452.8) and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng (+1.16% to 23326) were strong, but the strongest on the board anywhere today was Shanghai, up +5.24% to 2941.1.


Comments & Outlook

Technical analysts have been aware of the Bull-Bear fight for DJIA=12200. Yesterday the Bears won that battle, and today appear to be moving closer to the kill.

On the matter of the housing industry crisis in the US that has been played up so much (while I have been saying that the US media is missing the story that this industry is in crisis everywhere, and that the problem is not just sub-prime), here is an interesting read from the UK. Its like old news!


Links & Charts


International Economics Review

US Economic Calendar.



Knobias Cara100 Tables

 Portfolio GAINERS
SYMB LAST CHG %C VOL
GGB 51.220 +2.670 +5.5 3.3M
ATVI 36.660 +1.700 +4.9 6.9M
GOL 13.370 +0.590 +4.6 1.2M
RIO 36.180 +1.340 +3.8 28.8M
BHP 85.820 +2.740 +3.3 4.1M
BBD 22.650 +0.650 +3 9.4M
SU 64.220 +1.170 +1.9 4.9M
GG 40.080 +0.690 +1.8 4.6M
SLW 13.770 +0.220 +1.6 1.2M
CEO 169.790 +2.710 +1.6 485.8K
PBR 69.620 +1.100 +1.6 11.6M
KB 61.330 +0.860 +1.4 561.7K
IBN 37.330 +0.450 +1.2 3.2M
VIP 31.340 +0.310 +1 2.3M
NOK 25.720 +0.230 +0.9 17.7M
TS 63.110 +0.560 +0.9 1.8M
DB 96.670 +0.850 +0.9 512.2K
CVX 100.370 +0.880 +0.9 9.1M
ABX 39.860 +0.340 +0.9 4.2M
RIMM 142.160 +1.180 +0.8 21.8M
PTR 132.020 +0.960 +0.7 662.1K
XOM 88.620 +0.630 +0.7 21.5M
HDB 86.370 +0.610 +0.7 468.4K
DNA 75.170 +0.520 +0.7 2.9M
MFC 38.500 +0.260 +0.7 1M

 Portfolio LOSERS
SYMB LAST CHG %C VOL
LEH 25.140 -2.060 -7.6 54.7M
GRMN 43.480 -2.370 -5.2 3.8M
OXPS 23.750 -0.920 -3.7 820.1K
WHR 66.030 -2.390 -3.5 1.5M
IBKR 33.630 -1.200 -3.4 480.4K
BBBY 29.400 -1.040 -3.4 4.6M
ADBE 41.400 -1.450 -3.4 9M
BC 12.920 -0.350 -2.6 3.3M
CCJ 37.460 -0.780 -2 2.5M
SWK 46.930 -0.970 -2 479.8K
BDK 59.000 -1.200 -2 946.2K
CCL 35.510 -0.710 -2 5.7M
PAYX 33.040 -0.630 -1.9 2.4M
QCOM 48.630 -0.910 -1.8 17.4M
WFMI 26.880 -0.490 -1.8 2.4M
ORCL 22.530 -0.410 -1.8 27.3M
SNDK 23.710 -0.420 -1.7 7.6M
GSK 42.120 -0.730 -1.7 915.5K
AMAT 20.450 -0.340 -1.6 28.3M
AET 43.670 -0.720 -1.6 2.8M
DIS 33.110 -0.540 -1.6 9.1M
LLTC 33.680 -0.520 -1.5 5.8M
NUE 76.940 -1.170 -1.5 4.3M
GS 179.440 -2.650 -1.5 24.4M
WAG 35.730 -0.520 -1.4 4M

 Portfolio 52-Wk HIGHS
SYMB DAY HIGH LAST CHG %CHG VOL
ATVI 36.840 36.660 +1.700 +4.86 6.91M
RIMM 145.940 142.160 +1.180 +0.84 21.77M

 Portfolio 52-Wk LOWS
SYMB DAY LOW LAST CHG %CHG VOL
BDK 58.900 59.000 -1.200 -1.99 946.21K
CCL 35.510 35.510 -0.710 -1.96 5.73M
ERJ 30.620 30.720 -0.390 -1.25 1.54M

 Portfolio VOLUME
SYMB LAST %C VOL %ADSV
GS 179.440 -1.5 24.4M +137
ATVI 36.660 +4.9 6.9M +122
TOT 81.250 -0 4.1M +74
VCP 30.950 +0.3 917.1K +65
HBC 80.750 -0.4 2.3M +62
ADBE 41.400 -3.4 9M +61
RIMM 142.160 +0.8 21.8M +39
WHR 66.030 -3.5 1.5M +36
ERJ 30.720 -1.3 1.5M +30
BC 12.920 -2.6 3.3M +29
GOL 13.370 +4.6 1.2M +28
BDK 59.000 -2 946.2K +23
CCL 35.510 -2 5.7M +22
AMAT 20.450 -1.6 28.3M +20
GRMN 43.480 -5.2 3.8M +13
BBD 22.650 +3 9.4M +12

 Analysts UPGRADES
SYMB ANALYST OLD   NEW BEFORE   AFTER
LEH Ladenburg 35.00 30.00 Sell Neutral
• PREVIOUS SESSION
NONE FOUND.

 Analysts DOWNGRADES
SYMB ANALYST OLD   NEW BEFORE   AFTER
CCL Raymond James --- --- Strong Buy Mkt Perform
ADBE Kaufman Bro --- 47.00 Buy Hold
• PREVIOUS SESSION
GE JP Morgan --- --- Overweight Neutral


Cara 100 Daily RSI-7 Charts


At least one RSI value >70:
TickerLastRSI-7MRSI-7WRSI-7DZone
ATVI36.6690.7293.5479.31Distribution Zone (for 1 days)
SYT65.0488.1667.9065.85Sell alert (trig. 8 days ago [on 2008-06-06 at $63.52, +2.39% chg], after a 1 day DZ)
GGB51.2287.8083.4363.90
WMT58.6985.6369.5651.13Sell alert (trig. 8 days ago [on 2008-06-06 at $58.37, +0.55% chg], after a 1 day DZ)
ECA93.7084.3670.2162.43
RIMM142.1683.0272.0868.44
PBR69.6278.7864.8058.23
PDA60.8078.7263.1056.96
TT46.4976.6565.6256.92
TS63.1174.1177.7258.05Sell alert (trig. 6 days ago [on 2008-06-10 at $63.23, -0.19% chg], after a 3 day DZ)
SU64.2274.0461.4840.76
EXC89.2373.1866.6956.69
QCOM48.6372.6874.5053.66
CVX100.3772.3571.1057.30
NKE68.0071.6159.3351.13
STO38.4870.0369.1854.89
DELL24.1554.1678.0664.75
DNA75.1751.2258.7575.47

At least one RSI value <30:
TickerLastRSI-7MRSI-7WRSI-7DZone
UBS24.5521.6127.9349.62Buy alert (trig. 4 days ago [on 2008-06-12 at $23.09, +6.32% chg], after a 1 day AZ)
BC12.9222.0424.1030.58Buy alert (trig. 4 days ago [on 2008-06-12 at $13.08, -1.22% chg], after a 1 day AZ)
ERJ30.7222.0515.0810.74Accumulation Zone (for 11 days)
SBUX18.1222.8756.7357.12
WFMI26.8823.8427.2633.53Buy alert (trig. 3 days ago [on 2008-06-13 at $27.16, -1.03% chg], after a 2 day AZ)
BDK59.0026.6025.2328.88Accumulation Zone (for 1 days)
BMY20.0326.7628.8930.22Buy alert (trig. 3 days ago [on 2008-06-13 at $20.12, -0.45% chg], after a 3 day AZ)
DB96.6726.9522.0430.19Buy alert (trig. 3 days ago [on 2008-06-13 at $96.35, +0.33% chg], after a 3 day AZ)
GOL12.7826.9827.1132.92Buy alert (trig. 1 days ago [on 2008-06-16 at $12.78, +0.00% chg], after a 4 day AZ)
GE28.8627.5221.9822.74Accumulation Zone (for 4 days)
WHR66.0332.1721.9933.45
CCL35.5133.1328.4631.04
GFI11.1633.1624.6720.60
SNDK23.7134.0133.7923.26
NOK25.7236.9625.7334.76
DEO75.1937.0423.0434.02
AET43.6738.3438.8829.12
YHOO23.2538.5733.7015.47
KO53.9642.6132.2228.22
CHA58.1744.1230.6829.07
LLTC33.6853.4947.7029.54
VCP30.9559.3045.3528.87


International Equity Markets Review

Europe

Here is the latest session data for the bourses of Europe.


Here is the latest session data for the London stock exchange FTSE.


Here is the latest session data for the German DAX.


Here is the latest session data for the French CAC 40.


Here is the latest session data for the Milan Italy stock exchange MIBTEL.


Here is the latest session data for the Swiss market index.


Asia-Pacific

Here is the latest session data for the Asia-Pacific stock exchanges.


Here is the latest chart for the Japanese Nikkei 225 index.


Here is the latest chart for the Singapore index .


Here is the latest chart for the Shanghai Composite index .


Here is the latest chart for the Hong Kong Hang Seng index .


Here is the latest chart for the India BSE 30 index .

Here is the latest chart for the Australian All Ordinaries index .


US Equity Markets Review

DJIA (interactive) chart

NASDAQ Composite (interactive) chart

Table 14: Dow 30 List

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
MSFT 28.80 -0.13 -0.45% 3.26% 5.46% -2.24% -18.23% 1.77% -16.25% -5.54%
DD 47.15 0.02 0.04% 3.13% 1.09% -4.75% 7.80% 2.88% 8.04% -8.39%
UTX 68.41 -0.47 -0.68% 1.98% -1.94% -8.00% -9.04% 1.26% -8.84% -5.00%
JPM 39.04 -0.90 -2.25% 1.96% -6.80% -15.11% -7.42% -3.15% -12.33% -22.78%
CVX 100.37 0.88 0.88% 1.61% 2.56% -1.79% 7.39% 19.22% 11.55% 20.68%
C 20.46 -0.37 -1.78% 0.99% -4.48% -11.00% -29.25% 9.88% -33.51% -62.10%
BA 74.38 -0.64 -0.85% 0.96% -4.79% -14.57% -14.13% -1.47% -14.90% -24.22%
XOM 88.62 0.63 0.72% 0.83% 3.40% -6.08% -5.23% 3.30% -1.41% 3.12%
CAT 80.69 -0.22 -0.27% 0.74% -2.10% -4.26% 14.24% 8.37% 13.39% -0.52%
HD 26.87 -0.63 -2.29% 0.60% -0.81% -6.93% 2.91% 4.55% 3.59% -29.20%
JNJ 65.59 -0.25 -0.38% -0.05% -1.75% -1.56% -0.49% 2.42% -2.90% 4.49%
INTC 22.58 -0.28 -1.22% -0.44% -1.57% -9.24% -10.93% 8.30% -12.21% -6.85%
HPQ 47.34 -0.24 -0.50% -0.48% 2.38% 1.35% -4.96% 1.98% -7.05% 3.57%
IBM 125.10 -1.61 -1.27% -0.67% -2.14% -1.10% 19.50% 8.26% 19.68% 19.04%
MCD 59.21 -0.73 -1.22% -0.94% 2.87% -2.05% 1.91% 9.08% -0.92% 13.49%
PFE 17.72 -0.05 -0.28% -1.23% -6.79% -12.41% -22.65% -13.86% -22.86% -33.06%
BAC 29.24 -1.08 -3.56% -1.28% -12.22% -19.00% -27.91% -18.69% -29.88% -41.61%
PG 65.80 -0.10 -0.15% -1.29% 0.60% -1.59% -9.00% -1.86% -10.16% 5.16%
MMM 74.97 -0.23 -0.31% -1.36% -1.65% -5.16% -9.36% -4.51% -12.60% -14.49%
WMT 58.69 -0.62 -1.05% -1.82% 1.59% 4.06% 25.14% 17.50% 22.71% 18.95%
DIS 33.11 -0.54 -1.60% -2.13% -0.21% -4.64% 3.99% 8.70% 0.36% -3.75%
AXP 42.76 -1.92 -4.30% -3.59% -3.50% -11.94% -16.22% 2.52% -18.05% -32.95%
T 35.69 -0.48 -1.33% -4.11% -7.97% -11.90% -12.95% -0.28% -11.88% -11.40%
VZ 35.89 -0.35 -0.97% -4.34% -3.93% -8.21% -16.94% 3.70% -16.73% -16.52%
MRK 34.68 -0.33 -0.94% -4.70% -9.57% -13.34% -39.55% -17.13% -41.70% -31.64%
GE 28.86 -0.11 -0.38% -4.85% -5.25% -10.93% -21.49% -15.93% -20.89% -24.29%
AIG 32.28 -1.73 -5.09% -5.83% -10.36% -17.12% -42.66% -18.89% -41.32% -55.50%
GM 15.82 -0.41 -2.53% -5.89% -10.01% -24.20% -35.19% -13.32% -40.05% -54.36%
KO 53.96 -0.22 -0.41% -6.98% -4.33% -6.19% -11.67% -6.47% -13.62% 4.61%
AA 39.45 -0.25 -0.63% -7.65% -0.38% -11.53% 9.19% 6.33% 16.37% -5.17%

You can do this table yourself by entering the following string into the Summaries window at www.billcara2.com and then clicking on the link for Performance.

AA AIG AXP BA C CAT DD DIS GE GM HD HON HPQ IBM INTC JNJ JPM KO MCD MMM MO MRK MSFT PFE PG T UTX VZ WMT XOM

Here are the links to interactive Dow charts from Billcara2.com that I broke into groups of ten, which you can add technical indicators for as well. (list one) (list two) (list three)



The Americas

Here is the latest session data for the exchanges of the Americas.


Here is the latest chart for the Brazilian Bovespa stock exchange in Sao Paulo.


Here is the latest session data for the Toronto Stock Exchange composite index.



Sector ETF Summary for the US equity market

The tables I show in this section are for ten (GICS) Sector Index Funds (ETF's) only, but they cover the full spectrum of the US equity market.

Table 1: Cara ETF List

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
XLE 88.41 1.38 1.59% 2.36% 4.44% -1.11% 11.21% 22.54% 17.75% 24.56%