« Daily Report for Mon, Jun 16, 2008 | Main | Bill Cara's Community Chat, Tues., June 17, 2008, 9:29am ET »

June 17, 2008

Daily Report for Tue, Jun 17, 2008

Markets Re-cap

In a mixed session yesterday, the DJIA (-38.27 -0.31% to 12269.08), S&P 500 (+0.11 +0.01% to 1360.14) and NASDAQ Composite (+20.28 +0.83% to 2474.78) were quiet. The NASDAQ index was led higher by RIMM, which was up +6.0%.

The US Dollar, which has been firming up, softened by -0.69% to 73.62. The long-dated US Bond ($USB) was up +0.22% to 112.80. The T-Bill yield lifted a bit to 1.96%.

Financials (XLF +0.94%) took the lead while consumer staples held back, losing -1.07% on the day.

The leading industries were the Goldminers ($XAU +1.72%) and Semi-conductors ($SOX +1.51%).

Cara 100 winners were RIMM +6.0%, SYT +3.8%, and PDA +3.6%. Losers were KO -2.2%, VCP -2.4%, NOK -2.3% and CCL -2.1%. Unable to make the usual profits, cruise ship operator CCL hit a 52-week low of 35.96. GE also hit a low of 28.38.

The $GOLD futures closed +$13.20/oz to 886.30 on the weaker $USD (-0.69% to 73.62.
Precious metal spot prices this morning for gold, palladium, platinum and silver were: 877.10 (-6.82), 454, 2039, and 16.89 (-0.27). The $USD is gaining strength. There could be a test of 850 gold this week.

On the macro-economics front, the story these days is mostly about inflation, and what the central banks intend to do about it.

UK inflation reached +3.3% in May, which was the highest since at least 1997. Bank of England Governor Mervyn King predicts it will exceed +4% later this year, well ahead of the 2% target.

The US Producer Price Index for May also lifted, as expected. But, the Consensus had been for a growth in PPI M/M of an astounding +1.0%, and the reported number was +1.4%. So, wholesale prices jumped at the fastest pace in six months as energy and food costs rocketed higher. However, stripping out those prices, the "core" rate of inflation rose +0.2%, which was an improvement from April’s +0.4% increase.

German investor confidence is at a 15-year low.

Crude oil futures closed at 135.34 for West Texas Intermediate, down -$0.13/bbl.

The All Ordinaries equities index of Australia closed today at 5525.9, up +0.91%, and India’s Sensex 30 was also higher at 15696.9, up +1.96%, but the Nikkei 225 and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng were flat. Shanghai Composite dropped -2.76% to 2794.8.

The equity futures are pointing to a higher open.


Comments & Outlook

There will be a lot of talk about the Goldman Sachs report today. Goldman reported earnings this past quarter of $2.05 billion ($4.58 per share) versus $2.29 billion ($4.93/share) a year earlier. Revenue dropped -7.0% to $9.42 billion from $10.18 billion a year earlier. The Consensus forecast according to Thomson Financial was for Goldman to earn $3.42/share on revenue of $8.74 billion.

The results look good to me. But that’s not to say that Goldman can continue this way. Market conditions are tightening.

I'm not chasing these Financials.


Links & Charts


International Economics Review

US Economic Calendar.



Knobias Cara100 Tables

 Portfolio GAINERS
SYMB LAST CHG %C VOL
RIMM 140.980 +8.020 +6 21.3M
LEH 27.200 +1.390 +5.4 74.5M
PDA 60.880 +2.120 +3.6 141.5K
TCK 48.460 +1.650 +3.5 744.8K
AMAT 20.790 +0.700 +3.5 32M
MICC 119.610 +3.730 +3.2 647.1K
STO 38.460 +1.150 +3.1 967.3K
ECA 93.410 +2.350 +2.6 3.8M
ABX 39.520 +0.970 +2.5 6.4M
GG 39.390 +0.930 +2.4 4.5M
ABB 30.640 +0.700 +2.3 5M
GOL 12.780 +0.280 +2.2 1M
OXPS 24.670 +0.540 +2.2 637K
RY 48.730 +1.040 +2.2 602.3K
GS 182.090 +3.800 +2.1 16.3M
GRMN 45.850 +0.940 +2.1 2.9M
TGP 28.850 +0.590 +2.1 68.8K
GSK 42.850 +0.810 +1.9 1.1M
MFC 38.240 +0.710 +1.9 1.2M
ATVI 34.960 +0.590 +1.7 3.1M
CCJ 38.240 +0.520 +1.4 2M
ORCL 22.940 +0.310 +1.4 32.6M
BBBY 30.440 +0.410 +1.4 3.2M
NUE 78.110 +1.050 +1.4 5.7M
HDB 85.760 +1.120 +1.3 679.5K

 Portfolio LOSERS
SYMB LAST CHG %C VOL
VCP 30.850 -0.760 -2.4 813.2K
NOK 25.490 -0.590 -2.3 14M
KO 54.180 -1.240 -2.2 15.4M
CCL 36.220 -0.770 -2.1 4.8M
KSS 44.720 -0.850 -1.9 5.3M
WBK 102.640 -1.470 -1.4 22.5K
ERJ 31.110 -0.440 -1.4 2.1M
SU 63.050 -0.880 -1.4 4.2M
SWK 47.900 -0.440 -0.9 478.4K
QCOM 49.540 -0.450 -0.9 21.7M
NKE 68.380 -0.610 -0.9 3.2M
JCP 39.130 -0.340 -0.9 5.4M
TGT 53.090 -0.450 -0.8 6.4M
PG 65.900 -0.550 -0.8 12.2M
DIS 33.650 -0.280 -0.8 10.9M
EXC 89.120 -0.630 -0.7 2.8M
DEO 75.740 -0.530 -0.7 667K
JNJ 65.840 -0.430 -0.6 7.9M
GE 28.970 -0.180 -0.6 85.6M
DB 95.820 -0.530 -0.6 552.1K
UBS 24.540 -0.130 -0.5 4.3M
INFY 47.080 -0.240 -0.5 2.1M
IMO 56.500 -0.270 -0.5 341.1K
XOM 87.990 -0.370 -0.4 18.3M
DOW 38.900 -0.150 -0.4 5M

 Portfolio 52-Wk HIGHS
SYMB DAY HIGH LAST CHG %CHG VOL
ATVI 35.240 34.960 +0.590 +1.72 3.08M
QCOM 50.180 49.540 -0.450 -0.90 21.73M

 Portfolio 52-Wk LOWS
SYMB DAY LOW LAST CHG %CHG VOL
CCL 35.960 36.220 -0.770 -2.08 4.80M
GE 28.380 28.970 -0.180 -0.62 85.62M

 Portfolio VOLUME
SYMB LAST %C VOL %ADSV
ERJ 31.110 -1.4 2.1M +96
TOT 81.280 +1 4M +78
GS 182.090 +2.1 16.3M +67
VCP 30.850 -2.4 813.2K +47
AMAT 20.790 +3.5 32M +40
RIMM 140.980 +6 21.3M +40
WHR 68.420 -0.1 1.5M +38
BMY 20.060 -0.3 16.2M +34
GE 28.970 -0.6 85.6M +32
MFC 38.240 +1.9 1.2M +29
KO 54.180 -2.2 15.4M +29
HDB 85.760 +1.3 679.5K +24
YHOO 23.540 +0.3 44.7M +22
ADBE 42.850 +0.3 6.7M +20
LEH 27.200 +5.4 74.5M +15
GOL 12.780 +2.2 1M +13
ECA 93.410 +2.6 3.8M +13

 Analysts UPGRADES
SYMB ANALYST OLD   NEW BEFORE   AFTER
NONE FOUND.
• PREVIOUS SESSION
YHOO Stifel Nicolaus --- --- Hold Buy
YHOO Soleil --- --- Sell Hold

 Analysts DOWNGRADES
SYMB ANALYST OLD   NEW BEFORE   AFTER
GE JP Morgan --- --- Overweight Neutral
• PREVIOUS SESSION
YHOO Gabelli --- --- Hold Sell
YHOO Needham --- --- Buy Hold


Cara 100 Daily RSI-7 Charts


At least one RSI value >70:
TickerLastRSI-7MRSI-7WRSI-7DZone
ATVI34.9690.3489.2967.89Sell alert (trig. 5 days ago [on 2008-06-10 at $33.80, +3.43% chg], after a 1 day DZ)
GGB48.5590.1272.0645.63
SYT63.0887.0363.2656.62Sell alert (trig. 7 days ago [on 2008-06-06 at $63.52, -0.69% chg], after a 1 day DZ)
ECA93.4186.6070.1061.46
PDA60.8882.7960.3357.40
RIMM140.9882.5568.2366.36
WMT59.3182.4975.4559.61Sell alert (trig. 7 days ago [on 2008-06-06 at $58.37, +1.61% chg], after a 1 day DZ)
PBR68.5279.7863.5452.44
SU63.0578.6954.7432.44
TT46.4976.6565.6256.92
STO38.4674.6465.6754.72
TS62.5574.2370.3153.13Sell alert (trig. 5 days ago [on 2008-06-10 at $63.23, -1.08% chg], after a 3 day DZ)
QCOM49.5472.5878.4061.63
EXC89.1272.4468.9556.05
CVX99.4971.2666.9052.10
MICC119.6170.8070.6166.09
ORCL22.9469.2271.9861.17
AMAT20.7960.7863.4977.37
DELL24.4555.7578.1873.75
DNA74.6550.2557.1271.95
OXPS24.6750.1564.6276.16

At least one RSI value <30:
TickerLastRSI-7MRSI-7WRSI-7DZone
GE28.9724.2422.2624.18Accumulation Zone (for 3 days)
ERJ31.1124.4717.3111.99Accumulation Zone (for 10 days)
BC13.2724.6528.0137.76Buy alert (trig. 3 days ago [on 2008-06-12 at $13.08, +1.45% chg], after a 1 day AZ)
UBS24.5426.4828.0049.65Buy alert (trig. 3 days ago [on 2008-06-12 at $23.09, +6.28% chg], after a 1 day AZ)
GOL12.7826.9827.1132.92Buy alert (trig. 1 days ago [on 2008-06-16 at $12.78, +0.00% chg], after a 4 day AZ)
WFMI27.3729.0530.8038.71Buy alert (trig. 2 days ago [on 2008-06-13 at $27.16, +0.77% chg], after a 2 day AZ)
DB95.8230.3120.3423.74Buy alert (trig. 2 days ago [on 2008-06-13 at $96.35, -0.55% chg], after a 3 day AZ)
BMY20.0630.6728.4430.63Buy alert (trig. 2 days ago [on 2008-06-13 at $20.12, -0.30% chg], after a 3 day AZ)
BDK60.2033.1328.2736.50Buy alert (trig. 3 days ago [on 2008-06-12 at $59.68, +0.87% chg], after a 1 day AZ)
GFI11.2633.2723.9522.08
SNDK24.1334.8535.8425.56
WHR68.4235.2727.9444.36
NOK25.4936.4625.9828.82
TGP28.2639.4442.5428.59
YHOO23.5440.8131.1516.90
DEO75.7441.2028.3837.23
HDB85.7641.8628.4139.62
KO54.1844.2527.9029.40
CHA58.8845.1327.2231.37
CHL68.8848.2729.6032.28
RIO34.8458.0939.6527.79
VCP30.8558.3344.9526.92


International Equity Markets Review

Europe

Here is the latest session data for the bourses of Europe.


Here is the latest session data for the London stock exchange FTSE.


Here is the latest session data for the German DAX.


Here is the latest session data for the French CAC 40.


Here is the latest session data for the Milan Italy stock exchange MIBTEL.


Here is the latest session data for the Swiss market index.


Asia-Pacific

Here is the latest session data for the Asia-Pacific stock exchanges.


Here is the latest chart for the Japanese Nikkei 225 index.


Here is the latest chart for the Singapore index .


Here is the latest chart for the Shanghai Composite index .


Here is the latest chart for the Hong Kong Hang Seng index .


Here is the latest chart for the India BSE 30 index .

Here is the latest chart for the Australian All Ordinaries index .


US Equity Markets Review

DJIA (interactive) chart

NASDAQ Composite (interactive) chart

Table 14: Dow 30 List

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
JPM 39.94 0.36 0.91% 6.48% -5.24% -14.16% -5.29% 9.30% -11.64% -21.00%
C 20.83 0.35 1.71% 6.28% -2.94% -9.90% -27.97% 5.31% -32.15% -61.41%
MSFT 28.93 -0.14 -0.48% 4.40% 4.06% -3.53% -17.86% 3.47% -18.07% -5.12%
HD 27.50 -0.03 -0.11% 3.62% 1.25% -5.50% 5.32% 6.80% 3.27% -27.54%
BAC 30.32 0.54 1.81% 2.40% -9.71% -16.17% -25.25% -15.05% -28.08% -39.46%
DD 47.13 -0.07 -0.15% 1.99% 0.19% -5.04% 7.75% 0.32% 5.37% -8.43%
UTX 68.88 0.32 0.47% 1.97% -2.62% -6.87% -8.42% 1.73% -10.18% -4.35%
AIG 34.01 -0.17 -0.50% 1.55% -5.19% -13.55% -39.59% -17.41% -38.89% -53.12%
BA 75.02 -0.10 -0.13% 1.45% -7.55% -11.92% -13.39% -1.59% -15.15% -23.57%
DIS 33.65 -0.28 -0.83% 1.42% 1.05% -3.61% 5.68% 9.32% 1.94% -2.18%
AXP 44.68 0.02 0.04% 1.29% -1.26% -8.22% -12.46% 8.95% -14.55% -29.94%
MCD 59.94 -0.01 -0.02% 1.06% 2.37% -0.97% 3.17% 9.42% -1.99% 14.89%
IBM 126.71 0.56 0.44% 0.68% -0.51% -0.87% 21.03% 9.96% 19.80% 20.57%
INTC 22.86 0.20 0.88% 0.44% -1.47% -8.56% -9.82% 10.65% -13.05% -5.69%
JNJ 65.84 -0.43 -0.65% 0.32% -1.01% -1.26% -0.11% 5.09% -2.59% 4.89%
CAT 80.91 -0.59 -0.72% 0.12% -1.72% -3.33% 14.55% 8.18% 10.25% -0.25%
HPQ 47.58 0.13 0.27% -0.10% 2.88% 0.61% -4.48% 3.61% -8.75% 4.09%
PG 65.90 -0.55 -0.83% -0.26% 0.83% -1.27% -8.86% -1.26% -10.83% 5.32%
WMT 59.31 0.13 0.22% -0.44% 3.69% 3.98% 26.46% 19.05% 24.52% 20.21%
MMM 75.20 -0.92 -1.21% -0.82% -1.38% -4.40% -9.08% -3.01% -12.49% -14.22%
XOM 87.99 -0.37 -0.42% -1.21% 0.20% -5.05% -5.90% 2.42% -3.50% 2.39%
PFE 17.77 -0.22 -1.22% -1.39% -7.35% -11.28% -22.44% -13.91% -23.07% -32.87%
GM 16.23 -0.22 -1.34% -1.52% -6.94% -21.52% -33.51% -15.56% -38.80% -53.17%
CVX 99.49 0.09 0.09% -1.69% 0.12% -0.89% 6.45% 16.58% 8.12% 19.62%
KO 54.18 -1.24 -2.24% -3.01% -4.95% -5.06% -11.31% -5.82% -15.09% 5.04%
GE 28.97 -0.18 -0.62% -3.63% -4.74% -9.84% -21.19% -14.34% -21.51% -24.00%
T 36.17 -0.51 -1.39% -3.70% -9.35% -9.73% -11.78% 3.25% -12.08% -10.20%
VZ 36.24 -1.09 -2.92% -4.48% -4.28% -6.53% -16.13% 7.16% -18.32% -15.70%
MRK 35.01 -0.52 -1.46% -5.35% -8.28% -12.48% -38.98% -14.55% -41.23% -30.99%
AA 39.70 0.24 0.61% -5.86% -2.29% -8.00% 9.88% 3.41% 12.82% -4.57%

You can do this table yourself by entering the following string into the Summaries window at www.billcara2.com and then clicking on the link for Performance.

AA AIG AXP BA C CAT DD DIS GE GM HD HON HPQ IBM INTC JNJ JPM KO MCD MMM MO MRK MSFT PFE PG T UTX VZ WMT XOM

Here are the links to interactive Dow charts from Billcara2.com that I broke into groups of ten, which you can add technical indicators for as well. (list one) (list two) (list three)



The Americas

Here is the latest session data for the exchanges of the Americas.


Here is the latest chart for the Brazilian Bovespa stock exchange in Sao Paulo.


Here is the latest session data for the Toronto Stock Exchange composite index.



Sector ETF Summary for the US equity market

The tables I show in this section are for ten (GICS) Sector Index Funds (ETF's) only, but they cover the full spectrum of the US equity market.

Table 1: Cara ETF List

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
<