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June 20, 2008

Daily Report for Fri, Jun 20, 2008

Markets Re-cap

Helped by falling oil prices, which boosted the Industrials (XLI +1.30%) and Consumer Discretionary (XLY +1.27%) sectors, the DJIA (+34.03 +0.28% to 12063.09), S&P 500 (+5.02 +0.38% to 1342.83), and NASDAQ Composite (+32.36 +1.33% to 2462.06) all lifted on Thursday. Friday, however, is off to a different start.

Energy (XLE -2.40%) was a loser. The Oil Services ($OSX) dropped -1.46%.

For the winning industries, there were the Transports, REIT’s, Semi-conductors ($SOX +2.55%) and Retailers ($RLX +2.06%).

Of the Cara 100 extreme performers, the winners were Tenaris (TS +9.4%), Carnival Cruises (CCL +5.3%), PTR (+4.4%) and KSS (+4.0%).

The US long bond (%USB) lost -0.29% to 113.25, but yields elsewhere dropped. The T-Bill yield is now down to 1.830, which seems to be forewarning more problems in the Financials.

The $USD gained +0.08%, which wasn’t much. $GOLD moved up +$10.70/oz to 904.20. This morning there is more $USD weakness (-0.56%) to 73.46 and the Euro futures are up +0.73% to 1.5539, so the precious metals have some further gains.

Overnight, only Shanghai was up (+3.01%) while everything else was down. The Nikkei dropped -1.33% to 13942. The Sensex 30 of India dropped -3.42% to 14571. In mid-session, the European bourses are down between -0.9% and -1.4%

The oil futures today up a bit to 135.15, and the DJIA is down some -71 to 11976.


Comments & Outlook

Today is a triple witching, which can lead to extreme trading volatility in mid-session.

But, frankly, the overall picture is bearish, and the focus is squarely on the Financials, and with good reason.

That is sufficient cause to hold back on the several Buy Alerts that were issued yesterday from my "simple little system".


Links & Charts


International Economics Review

US Economic Calendar.



Knobias Cara100 Tables

 Portfolio GAINERS
SYMB LAST CHG %C VOL
TS 68.380 +5.890 +9.4 5.3M
CCL 36.840 +1.870 +5.3 12.3M
PTR 140.490 +5.960 +4.4 4.3M
KSS 45.200 +1.740 +4 9.3M
CHRW 61.300 +2.240 +3.8 2.2M
GOL 13.510 +0.480 +3.7 1M
ATVI 37.300 +1.300 +3.6 5.2M
GRMN 44.470 +1.380 +3.2 2.8M
ERTS 48.440 +1.480 +3.2 4.2M
BA 76.950 +2.300 +3.1 7.4M
WHR 66.900 +1.900 +2.9 1.2M
WFMI 26.570 +0.730 +2.8 2.9M
CTSH 36.710 +0.980 +2.7 4.9M
BDK 59.660 +1.570 +2.7 684.9K
ADBE 42.000 +1.060 +2.6 5.7M
QCOM 50.360 +1.260 +2.6 25.7M
INTC 22.850 +0.570 +2.6 48.5M
BC 12.450 +0.300 +2.5 3.5M
BBBY 29.680 +0.670 +2.3 7.9M
GS 186.930 +4.160 +2.3 10.5M
OXPS 23.940 +0.520 +2.2 577.8K
SWK 46.870 +1.000 +2.2 503.8K
RIMM 147.550 +3.100 +2.1 18.2M
INFY 46.360 +0.930 +2 2.6M
PAYX 33.260 +0.660 +2 2.7M

 Portfolio LOSERS
SYMB LAST CHG %C VOL
SU 61.580 -3.920 -6 5.6M
ECA 90.700 -5.020 -5.2 4M
UBS 23.070 -1.020 -4.2 9.4M
NOK 24.440 -0.970 -3.8 27.8M
TGP 27.330 -0.930 -3.3 174.7K
CEO 163.200 -5.260 -3.1 734.1K
PBR 66.650 -2.000 -2.9 18.1M
CHA 57.340 -1.610 -2.7 402K
IMO 55.340 -1.490 -2.6 391.6K
CVX 96.860 -2.400 -2.4 15.3M
XOM 85.790 -2.040 -2.3 25.6M
VCP 29.310 -0.690 -2.3 1.1M
WBK 100.640 -2.070 -2 28.6K
IBN 35.570 -0.730 -2 2.1M
STO 37.570 -0.710 -1.9 636.6K
AET 41.850 -0.750 -1.8 13.1M
DEO 73.310 -1.230 -1.7 1.1M
GFI 10.880 -0.150 -1.4 4.6M
GG 40.370 -0.530 -1.3 8.3M
LEH 24.460 -0.320 -1.3 33M
NTES 23.050 -0.300 -1.3 465K
TEF 80.390 -0.850 -1 223.7K
BBD 22.010 -0.210 -0.9 7.6M
ABX 40.070 -0.370 -0.9 8.8M
VIP 30.920 -0.270 -0.9 1.9M

 Portfolio 52-Wk HIGHS
SYMB DAY HIGH LAST CHG %CHG VOL
TS 69.120 68.380 +5.890 +9.43 5.31M
ATVI 37.300 37.300 +1.300 +3.61 5.19M
QCOM 50.820 50.360 +1.260 +2.57 25.73M
RIMM 148.130 147.550 +3.100 +2.15 18.24M
GGB 52.430 51.540 +0.260 +0.51 2.85M
EXC 91.150 90.450 +0.350 +0.39 3.01M

 Portfolio 52-Wk LOWS
SYMB DAY LOW LAST CHG %CHG VOL
NOK 24.360 24.440 -0.970 -3.82 27.79M
DEO 72.340 73.310 -1.230 -1.65 1.07M
DB 93.550 94.960 -0.200 -0.21 516.88K
GE 27.800 27.910 +0.010 +0.04 55.96M
BMY 19.550 19.920 +0.140 +0.71 12.45M
BC 11.990 12.450 +0.300 +2.47 3.48M
WFMI 25.750 26.570 +0.730 +2.83 2.88M
CCL 33.870 36.840 +1.870 +5.35 12.32M

 Portfolio VOLUME
SYMB LAST %C VOL %ADSV
PTR 140.490 +4.4 4.3M +317
AET 41.850 -1.8 13.1M +230
CCL 36.840 +5.3 12.3M +139
TS 68.380 +9.4 5.3M +117
VCP 29.310 -2.3 1.1M +86
GSK 43.640 +1.6 2.3M +77
MFC 37.690 -0.7 1.6M +75
NOK 24.440 -3.8 27.8M +60
BBBY 29.680 +2.3 7.9M +57
ERJ 29.850 +0.4 2.1M +57
CHA 57.340 -2.7 402K +56
ATVI 37.300 +3.6 5.2M +55
KSS 45.200 +4 9.3M +45
CHRW 61.300 +3.8 2.2M +37
ORCL 22.700 +1.2 41.1M +35
WBK 100.640 -2 28.6K +34
GG 40.370 -1.3 8.3M +33
GOOG 560.200 -0.4 5.7M +31
CEO 163.200 -3.1 734.1K +29
BC 12.450 +2.5 3.5M +26
DEO 73.310 -1.7 1.1M +24
ERTS 48.440 +3.2 4.2M +23
JCP 37.250 +1.4 6.1M +22
SNDK 23.440 +2 10M +21
ECA 90.700 -5.2 4M +19

 Analysts UPGRADES
SYMB ANALYST OLD   NEW BEFORE   AFTER
TOT Goldman Sachs --- --- Neutral Buy
• PREVIOUS SESSION
NONE FOUND.

 Analysts DOWNGRADES
SYMB ANALYST OLD   NEW BEFORE   AFTER
UBS CSFB --- --- Outperform Neutral
• PREVIOUS SESSION
CCL ABN Amro --- --- Buy Hold
INFY Susquehanna --- --- Positive Neutral


Cara 100 Daily RSI-7 Charts


At least one RSI value >70:
TickerLastRSI-7MRSI-7WRSI-7DZone
ATVI37.3089.3087.8475.98Distribution Zone (for 1 days)
GGB51.5486.5978.1965.88
RIMM147.5583.5672.4876.27Distribution Zone (for 2 days)
SYT65.1182.1468.1760.59Sell alert (trig. 1 days ago [on 2008-06-19 at $65.11, +0.00% chg], after a 1 day DZ)
WMT57.6981.0958.5240.32
TS68.3877.8481.5878.85Distribution Zone (for 1 days)
TT46.4976.6565.6256.92
PDA59.0574.9961.9946.82
ECA90.7074.9267.0045.35
EXC90.4572.7869.7364.76
ABB31.0671.4558.2152.22
QCOM50.3670.6684.5464.89
CTSH36.7155.5066.9170.89
DELL24.3454.6879.4065.34
GS186.9346.9957.2070.00

At least one RSI value <30:
TickerLastRSI-7MRSI-7WRSI-7DZone
BC12.4518.4920.1730.76Buy alert (trig. 1 days ago [on 2008-06-19 at $12.45, +0.00% chg], after a 1 day AZ)
UBS23.0721.7419.0335.38Buy alert (trig. 6 days ago [on 2008-06-12 at $23.09, -0.09% chg], after a 1 day AZ)
WFMI26.5722.8225.0137.78Buy alert (trig. 1 days ago [on 2008-06-19 at $26.57, +0.00% chg], after a 1 day AZ)
GOL13.5124.1735.6051.34Buy alert (trig. 4 days ago [on 2008-06-16 at $12.78, +5.71% chg], after a 4 day AZ)
BMY19.9225.4631.7432.35Buy alert (trig. 1 days ago [on 2008-06-19 at $19.92, +0.00% chg], after a 1 day AZ)
BDK59.6625.7624.2942.47Buy alert (trig. 1 days ago [on 2008-06-19 at $59.66, +0.00% chg], after a 2 day AZ)
SBUX17.9925.9352.8053.26
DB94.9626.1912.2825.20Accumulation Zone (for 2 days)
ERJ29.8526.5211.3411.35Accumulation Zone (for 13 days)
JCP37.2526.5332.2336.00Buy alert (trig. 1 days ago [on 2008-06-19 at $37.25, +0.00% chg], after a 1 day AZ)
GE27.9126.5318.1214.66Accumulation Zone (for 6 days)
GFI10.8828.3721.5816.96Accumulation Zone (for 2 days)
SNDK23.4431.9333.8028.16
AET41.8533.7734.1918.09
NOK24.4436.0120.6921.41
DEO73.3136.5216.5724.67
IBN35.5737.1323.7343.61
HDB83.4638.1821.7134.07
YHOO22.7338.9123.7912.89
KO53.3640.2422.7527.19
TGP27.3340.7435.0724.33
CHA57.3444.1431.4729.23
HBC80.1046.7138.8327.69
CHL69.1648.1929.6836.44
TEF80.3948.5429.8628.95
VCP29.3153.8339.4818.84
TOT79.8254.6143.9829.42


International Equity Markets Review

Europe

Here is the latest session data for the bourses of Europe.


Here is the latest session data for the London stock exchange FTSE.


Here is the latest session data for the German DAX.


Here is the latest session data for the French CAC 40.


Here is the latest session data for the Milan Italy stock exchange MIBTEL.


Here is the latest session data for the Swiss market index.


Asia-Pacific

Here is the latest session data for the Asia-Pacific stock exchanges.


Here is the latest chart for the Japanese Nikkei 225 index.


Here is the latest chart for the Singapore index .


Here is the latest chart for the Shanghai Composite index .


Here is the latest chart for the Hong Kong Hang Seng index .


Here is the latest chart for the India BSE 30 index .

Here is the latest chart for the Australian All Ordinaries index .


US Equity Markets Review

DJIA (interactive) chart

NASDAQ Composite (interactive) chart

Table 14: Dow 30 List

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
BA 76.95 2.30 3.08% 3.82% -0.47% -5.22% -11.16% 4.77% -11.16% -20.60%
AA 39.12 0.02 0.05% 3.66% -2.40% -6.19% 8.28% 9.83% 13.42% -5.92%
INTC 22.85 0.57 2.56% 3.63% -4.27% -3.42% -9.86% 8.35% -12.75% -5.19%
HD 27.18 0.63 2.37% 2.64% -2.62% 0.93% 4.10% 1.27% 3.58% -28.98%
MSFT 28.93 0.47 1.65% 2.44% 2.23% 2.41% -17.86% 1.08% -16.84% -5.02%
DD 47.40 0.78 1.67% 2.35% -0.69% -2.27% 8.37% 4.24% 11.32% -9.21%
JPM 38.65 -0.09 -0.23% 1.68% -8.19% -8.99% -8.35% -8.99% -12.12% -23.99%
C 20.17 -0.23 -1.13% 1.41% -4.95% -4.23% -30.26% -1.18% -33.23% -62.83%
UTX 68.82 0.75 1.10% 1.33% -1.64% -4.44% -8.50% 0.09% -9.21% -4.04%
IBM 125.02 0.86 0.69% 0.94% -2.69% 1.25% 19.42% 6.91% 16.69% 17.39%
MRK 35.60 0.74 2.12% 0.56% -8.46% -9.02% -37.95% -17.19% -40.01% -29.25%
PFE 17.77 0.00 0.00% 0.23% -4.82% -9.93% -22.44% -13.78% -23.64% -32.20%
VZ 36.50 0.52 1.45% -0.35% -6.31% -1.93% -15.53% 3.90% -16.38% -15.25%
HPQ 46.59 0.00 0.00% -0.81% -3.96% 4.00% -6.46% 0.00% -8.91% 1.50%
DIS 32.89 -0.06 -0.18% -1.05% -4.64% -2.29% 3.30% 5.28% 1.95% -5.38%
CVX 96.86 -2.40 -2.42% -1.22% -3.13% -5.98% 3.64% 18.28% 6.56% 16.29%
MCD 58.59 0.38 0.65% -1.26% 0.93% -0.32% 0.84% 9.19% -0.44% 11.64%
CAT 79.48 -0.22 -0.28% -1.27% -3.93% -4.70% 12.53% 7.80% 12.20% -3.65%
XOM 85.79 -2.04 -2.32% -1.46% -3.94% -8.41% -8.26% 1.61% -6.17% -0.06%
JNJ 64.62 0.18 0.28% -1.63% -3.49% -1.69% -1.96% -0.40% -4.01% 3.52%
AIG 33.07 1.55 4.92% -1.81% -9.17% -11.72% -41.26% -21.60% -41.87% -54.46%
AXP 42.63 0.21 0.50% -1.82% -10.12% -6.27% -16.48% 1.50% -17.88% -32.49%
MMM 74.12 -0.18 -0.24% -1.89% -4.36% -2.63% -10.39% -6.73% -12.73% -15.60%
PG 64.90 -0.10 -0.15% -2.35% -2.65% -0.41% -10.25% -4.29% -11.07% 4.98%
WMT 57.69 0.02 0.03% -2.40% -3.53% 4.45% 23.01% 13.61% 19.99% 18.19%
T 35.15 -0.10 -0.28% -3.41% -10.92% -9.62%