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May 15, 2008
Daily Report for Thu, May 15, 2008
Markets Re-cap
In yesterday’s CPI report, headline inflation for April reportedly lifted a mild +0.1% with the Y/Y rate up +3.9%, and core inflation lifted +0.2% with the Y/Y rate up +2.3%. That supposedly good news, coupled with an easing of petroleum prices due to a smaller-than expected inventory build, set off a modest gain in the US equity markets on Wednesday.
The DJIA (+66 +0.52% to 12898.38), S&P 500 (+5.6 +0.40% to 1408.66), and NASDAQ Composite (+1.58 +0.06% to 2496.7) closed a bit higher.
The Consumer Discretionary sector (XLY +1.12%) including Retailers ($RLX +1.61%) was the leader and Energy (XLE -1.14%) including Oil Services ($OSX -2.17%) the loser. Goldminers ($XAU -1.80%) were soft along with a modestly firmer $USD (+0.15%) to 73.35.
Teekay LNG Partnership (NYSE: TGP) had strong increases in distributable cash flow the previous quarter and cash distribution. The stock was the Cara 100 winner on the session, up +5.9%.
The loser was Whole Foods Market Inc (WFMI -13.9%), which reported Q2 revenues were $1,866.5 million that was up +27.56% vs a year ago. But there was a miss of the revenue consensus by -1.4%. Q2 EPS was $0.29, down -9.4% vs a year earlier, which also missed consensus by -3.33%.
Also on the earnings front, Deere (DE) reported a +22% earnings gain, but guided weaker this quarter due to rising raw-material prices. Macy's (M) reported Q1 EPS $0.02 vs $0.16. That beat consensus, which was for a loss of -$0.02/share. Early this morning, (Cara 100) JC Penney reported a -50% drop in Q1 earnings, and guided significant weakness throughout 2008.
$GOLD yesterday lost -$3.10/oz to 866.50. But that was yesterday.
On the economics front, the Fed just reported that industrial production dropped -0.7% last month, more than double the consensus. Manufacturing output fell by -0.8%, a large part of which was from cutbacks in auto production as demand has dropped.
Traders immediately saw that as a requirement for the Fed to drop rates, and the precious metals have taken off on a moonshot in the past few minutes: spot gold +$21.44 (+2.5%) to 884.28; palladium +4.5 to 433; platinum up +72 to 2069; and silver up +0.4025 to 16.935.
June Crude Oil has also popped +$1.24/bbl to 124.25 as the $USD weakened. The June Dow 30 futures are up about +17 to 12896.
Comments & Outlook
The US Industrial Production report showing plunging manufacturing output is the dominant force this morning. Watch UPS and FDX.
Have a great day.
Links & Charts
International Economics Review
Knobias Cara100 Tables
|
Portfolio GAINERS |
| SYMB | LAST | CHG | %C | VOL |
| TGP | 29.950 | +1.670 | +5.9 | 928.7K |
| INFY | 44.330 | +1.310 | +3 | 3.2M |
| BHP | 90.210 | +2.410 | +2.7 | 6.3M |
| OXPS | 22.090 | +0.590 | +2.7 | 1.2M |
| SNDK | 31.420 | +0.830 | +2.7 | 12.7M |
| NKE | 67.440 | +1.780 | +2.7 | 3.8M |
| GRMN | 44.790 | +1.090 | +2.5 | 4M |
| WHR | 76.690 | +1.790 | +2.4 | 886.4K |
| CTSH | 30.630 | +0.710 | +2.4 | 4.4M |
| YHOO | 27.140 | +0.580 | +2.2 | 63.8M |
| RY | 49.530 | +1.010 | +2.1 | 727K |
| KSS | 49.590 | +1.010 | +2.1 | 5.8M |
| BBBY | 33.710 | +0.660 | +2 | 4.9M |
| IBN | 43.280 | +0.830 | +2 | 2.7M |
| WMT | 57.450 | +1.040 | +1.8 | 17M |
| WAG | 36.100 | +0.640 | +1.8 | 4.2M |
| CEO | 187.810 | +3.060 | +1.7 | 471.6K |
| BDK | 67.510 | +1.090 | +1.6 | 1.4M |
| DOW | 42.430 | +0.670 | +1.6 | 7.6M |
| TS | 56.480 | +0.790 | +1.4 | 2.1M |
| TCK | 49.160 | +0.670 | +1.4 | 939.4K |
| DIS | 34.800 | +0.470 | +1.4 | 9.9M |
| EXC | 84.410 | +0.970 | +1.2 | 3M |
| TGT | 53.850 | +0.600 | +1.1 | 6.5M |
| ATVI | 32.520 | +0.340 | +1.1 | 5.3M |
|
Portfolio LOSERS |
| SYMB | LAST | CHG | %C | VOL |
| WFMI | 28.960 | -4.680 | -13.9 | 27.4M |
| CCJ | 39.110 | -1.370 | -3.4 | 2.7M |
| ERTS | 52.780 | -1.790 | -3.3 | 8.8M |
| ABX | 37.760 | -0.910 | -2.4 | 9.4M |
| GGB | 44.310 | -1.020 | -2.3 | 2.1M |
| GFI | 13.520 | -0.260 | -1.9 | 7.9M |
| GG | 38.290 | -0.710 | -1.8 | 4.8M |
| NUE | 79.990 | -1.400 | -1.7 | 3.5M |
| LEH | 42.230 | -0.720 | -1.7 | 17M |
| RIMM | 138.560 | -2.280 | -1.6 | 20.7M |
| PBR | 66.270 | -1.080 | -1.6 | 11.2M |
| GOL | 16.010 | -0.200 | -1.2 | 381.5K |
| DEO | 79.830 | -0.950 | -1.2 | 1.3M |
| GOOG | 576.300 | -6.700 | -1.1 | 4.4M |
| BC | 16.630 | -0.180 | -1.1 | 1.1M |
| SU | 125.950 | -1.360 | -1.1 | 2.4M |
| IMO | 57.415 | -0.605 | -1 | 274.9K |
| RIO | 40.500 | -0.410 | -1 | 23.8M |
| QCOM | 44.130 | -0.440 | -1 | 15.9M |
| PDA | 57.190 | -0.550 | -1 | 81K |
| BBD | 22.790 | -0.210 | -0.9 | 10.8M |
| CCL | 39.620 | -0.290 | -0.7 | 4.8M |
| HBC | 86.420 | -0.600 | -0.7 | 1.1M |
| VIP | 32.440 | -0.200 | -0.6 | 2.9M |
| TM | 100.770 | -0.580 | -0.6 | 234.1K |
|
Portfolio 52-Wk HIGHS |
| SYMB | DAY HIGH | LAST | CHG | %CHG | VOL |
| BHP | 92.580 | 90.210 | +2.410 | +2.74 | 6.29M |
| TS | 57.240 | 56.480 | +0.790 | +1.42 | 2.12M |
| ATVI | 32.920 | 32.520 | +0.340 | +1.06 | 5.31M |
| COST | 75.230 | 74.220 | +0.240 | +0.32 | 4.17M |
| ABB | 32.500 | 32.140 | +0.080 | +0.25 | 4.48M |
| CVX | 99.000 | 97.720 | -0.010 | -0.01 | 13.40M |
| NTES | 25.370 | 24.410 | -0.020 | -0.08 | 1.58M |
| RIO | 41.960 | 40.500 | -0.410 | -1.00 | 23.83M |
| SU | 128.620 | 125.950 | -1.360 | -1.07 | 2.40M |
| RIMM | 144.500 | 138.560 | -2.280 | -1.62 | 20.69M |
| NUE | 82.400 | 79.990 | -1.400 | -1.72 | 3.47M |
|
Portfolio 52-Wk LOWS |
| SYMB | DAY LOW | LAST | CHG | %CHG | VOL |
| WFMI | 28.850 | 28.960 | -4.680 | -13.91 | 27.44M |
|
Portfolio VOLUME |
| SYMB | LAST | %C | VOL | %ADSV |
| WFMI | 28.960 | -13.9 | 27.4M | +877 |
| ERTS | 52.780 | -3.3 | 8.8M | +186 |
| DEO | 79.830 | -1.2 | 1.3M | +179 |
| AMAT | 19.900 | +0.2 | 43M | +110 |
| BDK | 67.510 | +1.6 | 1.4M | +79 |
| OXPS | 22.090 | +2.7 | 1.2M | +72 |
| NTES | 24.410 | -0.1 | 1.6M | +57 |
| SNDK | 31.420 | +2.7 | 12.7M | +45 |
| GFI | 13.520 | -1.9 | 7.9M | +40 |
| CCL | 39.620 | -0.7 | 4.8M | +36 |
| BHP | 90.210 | +2.7 | 6.3M | +33 |
| DOW | 42.430 | +1.6 | 7.6M | +30 |
| NOK | 28.290 | +0.2 | 26.9M | +30 |
| SWK | 50.000 | +0.5 | 837.8K | +28 |
| ABB | 32.140 | +0.2 | 4.5M | +21 |
| CCJ | 39.110 | -3.4 | 2.7M | +18 |
| TS | 56.480 | +1.4 | 2.1M | +18 |
| RIMM | 138.560 | -1.6 | 20.7M | +15 |
| BMY | 21.600 | +0 | 15.7M | +14 |
| NKE | 67.440 | +2.7 | 3.8M | +12 |
| KO | 56.540 | +0.1 | 10.4M | +11 |
| ATVI | 32.520 | +1.1 | 5.3M | +11 |
| RY | 49.530 | +2.1 | 727K | +11 |
| CVX | 97.720 | -0 | 13.4M | +10 |
| IBN | 43.280 | +2 | 2.7M | +10 |
|
|
Analysts UPGRADES |
| SYMB | ANALYST | OLD | NEW | BEFORE | AFTER | ||
| NONE FOUND. | |||||||
| • PREVIOUS SESSION | |||||||
| NONE FOUND. | |||||||
|
Analysts DOWNGRADES |
| SYMB | ANALYST | OLD | NEW | BEFORE | AFTER | ||
| CCJ | Research Cap | --- |
|
--- | Buy |
|
Hold |
| PTR | Goldman Sachs | --- |
|
--- | Buy |
|
Sell |
| CCJ | UBS Securities | --- |
|
--- | Buy |
|
Neutral |
| • PREVIOUS SESSION | |||||||
| WMT | Buckingham | --- |
|
52.00 | Neutral |
|
Underperform |
Cara 100 Daily RSI-7 Charts
At least one RSI value >70:
| Ticker | Last | RSI-7M | RSI-7W | RSI-7D | Zone |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECA | 90.51 | 89.17 | 80.22 | 73.36 | Distribution Zone (for 3 days) |
| RIMM | 138.56 | 86.21 | 83.00 | 66.41 | Sell alert (trig. 1 days ago [on 2008-05-14 at $138.56, +0.00% chg], after a 2 day DZ) |
| ATVI | 32.52 | 85.67 | 85.13 | 85.84 | Distribution Zone (for 4 days) |
| SYT | 61.20 | 84.83 | 66.74 | 59.91 | |
| GGB | 44.31 | 84.57 | 85.99 | 68.56 | Sell alert (trig. 1 days ago [on 2008-05-14 at $44.31, +0.00% chg], after a 4 day DZ) |
| PBR | 66.27 | 82.50 | 71.57 | 65.60 | |
| SU | 125.95 | 82.35 | 78.51 | 71.91 | Distribution Zone (for 5 days) |
| RIO | 40.50 | 80.40 | 80.16 | 59.05 | |
| PDA | 57.19 | 78.66 | 77.50 | 58.87 | Sell alert (trig. 7 days ago [on 2008-05-06 at $57.80, -1.06% chg], after a 2 day DZ) |
| TT | 46.63 | 76.96 | 66.50 | 62.87 | |
| WMT | 57.45 | 75.95 | 75.58 | 56.42 | |
| IMO | 57.36 | 75.35 | 58.95 | 47.41 | |
| ABB | 32.14 | 75.22 | 82.77 | 79.48 | Distribution Zone (for 3 days) |
| BHP | 90.21 | 74.36 | 73.49 | 70.44 | Distribution Zone (for 1 days) |
| NUE | 79.99 | 74.07 | 80.99 | 58.26 | Sell alert (trig. 4 days ago [on 2008-05-09 at $78.41, +2.02% chg], after a 1 day DZ) |
| CEO | 187.81 | 72.96 | 64.29 | 68.45 | |
| NKE | 67.44 | 72.35 | 64.57 | 58.67 | |
| NTES | 24.41 | 72.22 | 80.71 | 78.33 | Distribution Zone (for 2 days) |
| STO | 37.93 | 71.82 | 84.04 | 61.42 | Sell alert (trig. 2 days ago [on 2008-05-13 at $37.93, +0.00% chg], after a 1 day DZ) |
| CHRW | 65.69 | 71.12 | 85.64 | 63.66 | Sell alert (trig. 6 days ago [on 2008-05-07 at $63.79, +2.98% chg], after a 4 day DZ) |
| COST | 74.22 | 70.94 | 78.71 | 77.50 | Distribution Zone (for 2 days) |
| EXC | 84.41 | 70.63 | 60.67 | 52.76 | |
| BBD | 22.79 | 69.91 | 73.63 | 49.14 | Sell alert (trig. 7 days ago [on 2008-05-06 at $23.65, -3.64% chg], after a 2 day DZ) |
| CVX | 97.72 | 69.20 | 75.55 | 70.14 | |
| LLTC | 36.65 | 68.53 | 84.40 | 76.19 | |
| MICC | 121.34 | 67.44 | 69.55 | 72.87 | |
| TS | 56.48 | 66.76 | 77.95 | 69.99 | |
| TCK | 49.16 | 63.81 | 68.60 | 70.39 | |
| TOT | 84.79 | 63.54 | 71.94 | 66.34 | |
| DIS | 34.80 | 60.10 | 74.24 | 70.51 | |
| DOW | 42.43 | 57.95 | 78.04 | 84.29 | |
| INTC | 23.84 | 56.57 | 69.85 | 70.29 | |
| ADBE | 40.94 | 55.57 | 73.83 | 73.22 | |
| RY | 49.53 | 53.94 | 62.91 | 70.05 | |
| TGP | 29.95 | 48.71 | 60.23 | 82.15 | |
| SNDK | 31.42 | 42.64 | 68.72 | 82.50 | |
| DELL | 20.06 | 36.08 | 53.07 | 74.14 |
At least one RSI value <30:
| Ticker | Last | RSI-7M | RSI-7W | RSI-7D | Zone |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SBUX | 15.92 | 12.02 | 27.17 | 36.34 | |
| UBS | 30.87 | 29.43 | 32.49 | 28.68 | |
| WFMI | 28.96 | 30.65 | 23.96 | 21.90 | |
| ABX | 37.76 | 44.81 | 26.92 | 34.76 | |
| KO | 56.54 | 50.34 | 27.01 | 23.31 |
International Equity Markets Review
Europe
Here is the latest session data for the bourses of Europe.
Here is the latest session data for the London stock exchange FTSE.
Here is the latest session data for the German DAX.
Here is the latest session data for the French CAC 40.
Here is the latest session data for the Milan Italy stock exchange MIBTEL.
Here is the latest session data for the Swiss market index.
Asia-Pacific
Here is the latest session data for the Asia-Pacific stock exchanges.
Here is the latest chart for the Japanese Nikkei 225 index.
Here is the latest chart for the Singapore index .
Here is the latest chart for the Shanghai Composite index .
Here is the latest chart for the Hong Kong Hang Seng index .
Here is the latest chart for the India BSE 30 index .
Here is the latest chart for the Australian All Ordinaries index .
US Equity Markets Review
NASDAQ Composite (interactive) chart
Table 14: Dow 30 List
| Symbol | Close | 1Day Change |
1Day %Change |
1W %Change |
2W %Change |
4W %Change |
YTD %Change |
3M %Change |
6M %Change |
12M %Change |
