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May 8, 2008

Daily Report for Thu, May 08, 2008

Markets Re-cap

With a focus on problems with energy cost driven inflation and a shaky financial services sector (XLF -3.6%), the DJIA (-206 -1.61% to 12814), S&P 500 (-26 -1.81% to 1393), and NASDAQ Composite (-45 -1.84% to 2438) were trounced on Wednesday.

The Banks ($XBK) and Broker-Dealers ($XBD), both down -3.6% on the session, led the sell-off.

As noted earlier, (Cara 100 companies) Disney (DIS +2.9%) reported a +22% gain in earnings to $1.13 billion ($0.58/share), and Cisco (CSCO) at $0.38/share) beat Wall Street consensus estimates by 2 cents, although they did warn that revenue growth could slow this quarter. Cognizant Technology Solutions (CTSH -10.5%) was hammered due to lower guidance this quarter even though Q1 earnings beat estimates ($0.34/sh vs $0.33).

On the US economics front, Q1 productivity was strong (up +2.2%) – which happens after lay-offs – while Unit Labor Costs were up + 2.2%, a bit below expectations. Pending home sales for March fell -1.0%, although the figure was expected to be -1.8%, and are down Y/Y by -20%.

The European Central Bank (ECB) left its borrowing rate steady at 4% this morning. The Bank of England (BoE) did the same, leavings its rate at 5%.

Yesterday, the US long bond ($USB was stronger ($USB +0.28%) at $115.75. Yields fell as traders fled to the safety of the US Treasury market as they sold equities.

Crude Oil ($WTIC) gained a further +1.69/bbl to close at 123.53, after hitting a record high of 123.93.

$GOLD dropped -$6.50/oz to 871.20 yesterday, but is a bit stronger this morning.

Asia-Pacific equity markets were mixed overnight. In trading at mid-session in Europe, there were minimal losses of -0.1% to -0.5%. The June Dow 30 futures are up slightly to 12848.

June Crude Oil futures are quiet at 123.50 and the June Euro a tad softer at 1.5320.

Spot prices for precious metals are a little stronger due to this morning’s statements by ECB and BoE to keep the key bank borrowing rate stable.


Comments & Outlook

While the ECB and BoE stand pat in their efforts to fight rising inflation with borrowing rates of 4% and 5% respectively, the US Federal Reserve has lowered its rate seven times in seven months to 2%.

The 15-nation Euro bloc covers 317 million people and 22% of global gross domestic product, more than Japan and China, but still below the US at 27% of global GDP.

At some point there will be a dawning realization by the People that the Fed, regardless of its front man (Bernanke, Greenspan, etc) is a toady for the gnomes who control America’s banks and big business.

In my Community Chat today, I pointed you to “The Story of Deep Capture” - by Mark Mitchell. I hope you read it, ponder the implications if it is true – and I assert that most of it is – and start acting accordingly. Stop listening to the Talking Heads for bankers who would mislead you.

Capital markets need to be operated in the interests of the owners of capital, not for the servants in the form of financial services providers. The last 70 years has witnessed the biggest transfer of wealth as a percentage of all wealth created by man to the pockets of a few bankers and their Friends & Family.

For the benefit of society, this process must be reversed.


Links & Charts


International Economics Review

US Economic Calendar.



Knobias Cara100 Tables

 Portfolio GAINERS
SYMB LAST CHG %C VOL
VIP 32.980 +1.800 +5.8 8.5M
MBT 77.510 +2.740 +3.7 2.4M
DIS 34.700 +0.970 +2.9 30.9M
IBKR 32.730 +0.490 +1.5 1.1M
GG 37.380 +0.520 +1.4 8.2M
STO 38.060 +0.360 +1 1.5M
BDK 67.770 +0.620 +0.9 1.1M
WMT 56.830 +0.480 +0.9 25M
TGP 28.350 +0.190 +0.7 134K
CCJ 37.780 +0.120 +0.3 3.5M
ATVI 27.490 +0.070 +0.3 4.8M
JCP 43.998 +0.098 +0.2 5.1M
ECA 84.010 +0.090 +0.1 3.9M
IMO 58.040 +0.050 +0.1 457.4K

 Portfolio LOSERS
SYMB LAST CHG %C VOL
CTSH 30.210 -3.540 -10.5 14.8M
PTR 145.030 -11.700 -7.5 1.9M
WBK 114.280 -7.640 -6.3 41.3K
HDB 109.510 -6.760 -5.8 357.4K
LEH 43.640 -2.670 -5.8 16.5M
CHA 67.720 -4.120 -5.7 296.7K
CHL 83.140 -4.960 -5.6 4.1M
INFY 43.240 -2.560 -5.6 4.6M
CHRW 63.790 -3.480 -5.2 2.5M
GOL 16.140 -0.870 -5.1 873.2K
UBS 32.050 -1.720 -5.1 6M
BHP 82.710 -4.120 -4.7 3.9M
RIO 39.060 -1.840 -4.5 24.8M
CEO 175.600 -7.870 -4.3 798K
MICC 115.230 -5.070 -4.2 735.6K
GS 189.760 -7.850 -4 7.1M
OXPS 21.760 -0.890 -3.9 524.6K
BBBY 32.580 -1.220 -3.6 3.3M
BBD 22.830 -0.820 -3.5 10.5M
VCP 30.490 -1.070 -3.4 489.7K
ABV 76.000 -2.660 -3.4 905.7K
PDA 55.850 -1.950 -3.4 248.3K
DB 118.080 -4.110 -3.4 543.1K
KB 64.810 -2.150 -3.2 538.6K
GGB 41.240 -1.300 -3.1 3.2M

 Portfolio 52-Wk HIGHS
SYMB DAY HIGH LAST CHG %CHG VOL
STO 38.370 38.060 +0.360 +0.95 1.53M
NUE 80.360 78.570 -0.440 -0.56 5.21M
COST 74.080 72.080 -0.570 -0.78 3.66M
PBR 131.490 126.750 -3.540 -2.72 8.98M
GGB 43.000 41.240 -1.300 -3.06 3.17M
RIO 41.050 39.060 -1.840 -4.50 24.83M

 Portfolio 52-Wk LOWS
SYMB DAY LOW LAST CHG %CHG VOL
NONE FOUND.

 Portfolio VOLUME
SYMB LAST %C VOL %ADSV
TT 46.180 -0.4 5.9M +261
CTSH 30.210 -10.5 14.8M +239
VIP 32.980 +5.8 8.5M +227
DIS 34.700 +2.9 30.9M +172
TS 53.690 -2.9 3.3M +100
ERJ 40.800 -2.8 1.1M +82
KO 57.030 -2.1 14.9M +75
CSCO 25.780 -2.1 91.3M +72
YHOO 25.640 -0.3 84.6M +72
CEO 175.600 -4.3 798K +63
TEF 86.950 -2.2 502.9K +62
ATVI 27.490 +0.3 4.8M +48
PTR 145.030 -7.5 1.9M +47
NTES 23.230 -1.9 1.2M +45
UBS 32.050 -5.1 6M +44
CCJ 37.780 +0.3 3.5M +42
CHL 83.140 -5.6 4.1M +42
BDK 67.770 +0.9 1.1M +40
PDA 55.850 -3.4 248.3K +38
CHRW 63.790 -5.2 2.5M +37
SU 120.270 -0.1 4M +37
ECA 84.010 +0.1 3.9M +35
IBKR 32.730 +1.5 1.1M +33
CVX 95.280 -1.6 14.9M +33
IBN 44.260 -2.4 3.1M +30

 Analysts UPGRADES
SYMB ANALYST OLD   NEW BEFORE   AFTER
ABX Blackmont --- --- Hold Buy
• PREVIOUS SESSION
YHOO Smith Barney --- 26.00 Sell Hold

 Analysts DOWNGRADES
SYMB ANALYST OLD   NEW BEFORE   AFTER
PTR JP Morgan --- --- Neutral Underweight
• PREVIOUS SESSION
UBS Deutsche Bank --- --- Buy Hold
HBC UBS Securities --- --- Buy Neutral
PTR Goldman Sachs --- --- Buy Sell


Cara 100 Daily RSI-7 Charts


At least one RSI value >70:
rsi
TickerLastRSI-7MRSI-7WRSI-7DZone
PBR126.7592.6666.4358.44
GGB41.2481.7181.6463.78Sell alert (trig. 1 days ago [on 2008-05-07 at $41.24, +0.00% chg], after a 3 day DZ)
RIO39.0679.8275.4352.09
NUE78.5778.2879.1668.23Sell alert (trig. 1 days ago [on 2008-05-07 at $78.57, +0.00% chg], after a 1 day DZ)
ECA84.0177.6671.3361.77
WMT56.8376.2472.5448.01Sell alert (trig. 6 days ago [on 2008-04-30 at $57.98, -1.98% chg], after a 7 day DZ)
TT46.1875.0962.0044.19
ATVI27.4975.0658.8761.28
PDA55.8574.8474.3655.77Sell alert (trig. 2 days ago [on 2008-05-06 at $57.80, -3.37% chg], after a 2 day DZ)
SYT58.2274.8056.4435.57
BHP82.7173.5364.8451.06
RIMM129.9873.4777.7059.85Sell alert (trig. 2 days ago [on 2008-05-06 at $132.10, -1.60% chg], after a 1 day DZ)
ABB30.5571.8877.6263.67Sell alert (trig. 1 days ago [on 2008-05-07 at $30.55, +0.00% chg], after a 9 day DZ)
NKE66.7571.6261.6942.78
CHRW63.7971.3182.6152.61Sell alert (trig. 1 days ago [on 2008-05-07 at $63.79, +0.00% chg], after a 4 day DZ)
STO38.0671.2385.6076.77Distribution Zone (for 4 days)
BBD22.8370.9074.3751.34Sell alert (trig. 2 days ago [on 2008-05-06 at $23.65, -3.47% chg], after a 2 day DZ)
SU120.2770.3773.7568.55
COST72.0869.1873.7667.74Sell alert (trig. 1 days ago [on 2008-05-07 at $72.08, +0.00% chg], after a 5 day DZ)
CVX95.2866.1570.5257.86
IBKR32.7366.0562.7581.48
VIP32.9865.5154.3178.57
DIS34.7064.4773.8384.38
TS53.6964.0871.2851.77
NTES23.2363.2176.6075.73
LLTC35.4162.2280.2361.08
GOOG579.0055.7270.0564.26

At least one RSI value <30:
rsi
TickerLastRSI-7MRSI-7WRSI-7DZone
SBUX15.9516.6427.4233.53
BC16.6027.7150.2254.87
UBS32.0528.0236.8029.54
DELL18.9028.0534.9644.70
GOL16.1428.6842.6449.39
GRMN42.8929.6926.2642.65Buy alert (trig. 5 days ago [on 2008-05-01 at $43.12, -0.53% chg], after a 1 day AZ)
DNA67.6537.4729.3928.92
ABX39.0147.2129.6043.27
PG65.8048.9333.7526.59
KO57.0353.0429.1015.82


International Equity Markets Review

Europe

Here is the latest session data for the bourses of Europe.


Here is the latest session data for the London stock exchange FTSE.


Here is the latest session data for the German DAX.


Here is the latest session data for the French CAC 40.


Here is the latest session data for the Milan Italy stock exchange MIBTEL.


Here is the latest session data for the Swiss market index.


Asia-Pacific

Here is the latest session data for the Asia-Pacific stock exchanges.


Here is the latest chart for the Japanese Nikkei 225 index.


Here is the latest chart for the Singapore index .


Here is the latest chart for the Shanghai Composite index .


Here is the latest chart for the Hong Kong Hang Seng index .


Here is the latest chart for the India BSE 30 index .

Here is the latest chart for the Australian All Ordinaries index .


US Equity Markets Review

DJIA (interactive) chart

NASDAQ Composite (interactive) chart

Table 14: Dow 30 List

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
AA 38.09 0.09 0.24% 9.52% 7.81% 3.39% 5.42% 16.20% 1.84% -1.40%
DIS 34.70 0.97 2.88% 7.00% 9.67% 12.48% 8.98% 9.39% 3.58% -3.77%
HPQ 48.65 0.01 0.02% 4.96% 1.31% 5.55% -2.33% 20.12% -6.15% 11.07%
INTC 23.17 -0.41 -1.74% 4.09% 2.70% 8.17% -8.60% 15.56% -13.87% 5.51%
IBM 124.14 1.32 1.07% 2.85% 0.44% 6.31% 18.58% 21.30% 11.76% 20.34%
MRK 39.01 0.17 0.44% 2.55% 1.01% -4.71% -32.00% -14.64% -28.03% -25.02%
MSFT 29.21 -0.49 -1.65% 2.42% -7.12% 1.11% -17.06% 3.88% -17.76% -4.88%
AXP 48.70 -2.26 -4.43% 1.42% 9.73% 8.03% -4.58% 4.84% -12.05% -23.03%
BAC 38.00 -1.24 -3.16% 1.23% 3.09% 0.18% -6.31% -12.38% -12.26% -26.10%
UTX 73.03 -1.65 -2.21% 0.77% 1.63% 3.14% -2.90% 2.18% -1.92% 5.76%
T 38.82 -0.74 -1.87% 0.28% 0.75% 1.65% -5.32% 4.92% 0.41% -1.97%
JNJ 66.91 -0.67 -0.99% -0.27% -0.52% 0.94% 1.52% 6.53% 4.69% 4.12%
MMM 76.68 -1.08 -1.39% -0.29% -4.90% -3.66% -7.29% -3.08% -7.91% -9.71%
CAT 81.63 -1.60 -1.92% -0.31% -0.07% 7.18% 15.57% 19.48% 10.91% 12.33%
MCD 59.38 -1.11 -1.84% -0.34% 1.18% 6.53% 2.20% 9.03% 1.71% 19.96%
BA 84.55 -1.60 -1.86% -0.37% 3.00% 7.57% -2.39% 6.02% -12.74% -10.59%
GE 32.57 -0.43 -1.30% -0.40% 0.65% -10.62% -11.40% -4.85% -16.66% -12.54%
VZ 38.28 -0.61 -1.57% -0.52% 5.37% 6.27% -11.41% 3.60% -11.18% -6.25%
DD 48.54 -1.11 -2.24% -0.76% -2.88% -1.02% 10.97% 7.44% 2.95% -5.98%
HD 28.56 -0.72 -2.46% -0.83% 1.53% 3.22% 9.38% 0.56% -2.66% -26.47%
CVX 95.28 -1.59 -1.64% -0.90% 0.85% 5.93% 1.95% 21.01% 8.84% 19.73%
PFE 19.92 -0.50 -2.45% -0.94% 0.20% -4.64% -13.05% -12.13% -14.58% -27.25%
PG 65.80 -0.85 -1.28% -1.86% -2.04% -6.28% -9.00% 0.05% -5.21% 5.82%
WMT 56.83 0.48 0.85% -1.98% -0.16% 4.97% 21.17% 14.02% 29.36% 16.91%
JPM 46.57 -1.63 -3.38% -2.27% 3.15% 5.12% 10.43% 3.24% 10.25% -11.68%
AIG 45.08 -3.32 -6.86% -2.42% 2.78% -1.05% -19.93% -12.72% -22.14% -37.04%
KO 57.03 -1.24 -2.13% -3.13% -5.45% -6.17% -6.65% -2.43% -4.89% 6.38%
C 24.48 -1.39 -5.37% -3.13% -0.61% 3.82% -15.35% -8.31% -26.73% -54.57%
XOM 88.82 -1.25 -1.39% -4.57% -5.73% -0.98% -5.02% 8.46% 1.86% 9.88%
GM 21.40 -0.94 -4.21% -7.76% 2.20% 6.31% -12.33% -18.63% -36.97% -28.95%

You can do this table yourself by entering the following string into the Summaries window at www.billcara2.com and then clicking on the link for Performance.

AA AIG AXP BA C CAT DD DIS GE GM HD HON HPQ IBM INTC JNJ JPM KO MCD MMM MO MRK MSFT PFE PG T UTX VZ WMT XOM

Here are the links to interactive Dow charts from Billcara2.com that I broke into groups of ten, which you can add technical indicators for as well. (list one) (list two) (list three)



The Americas

Here is the latest session data for the exchanges of the Americas.


Here is the latest chart for the Brazilian Bovespa stock exchange in Sao Paulo.


Here is the latest session data for the Toronto Stock Exchange composite index.



Sector ETF Summary for the US equity market

The tables I show in this section are for ten (GICS) Sector Index Funds (ETF's) only, but they cover the full spectrum of the US equity market.

Table 1: Cara ETF List

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change