Bill Cara: Daily Report for Sat, May 10, 2008

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May 10, 2008

Daily Report for Sat, May 10, 2008

Markets Re-cap

The worse-than-expected Q1 loss from AIG (AIG) and another record for Crude Oil pulled down the DJIA (-120.90), S&P 500 (-9.40), and Nasdaq (-5.72) on Friday.

After the close Thursday, AIG reported a Q1 loss of $3.09 a share, and reported it needs to raise $12.5 billion in new capital.

Citigroup (C) is in the same sinking boat, announcing it will sell up to $500 billion in unneeded assets to strengthen its balance sheet.

Due to the all-time record high energy prices, the declining imports of cars and oil helped narrow the US trade deficit in March to $58.21 billion from $61.71 billion the prior month.

Comments & Outlook

I will leave the comments and other details until the Sunday Week In Review.

Links & Charts

International Economics Review

US Economic Calendar.

Knobias Cara100 Tables

Portfolio GAINERS

SYMB	LAST	CHG	%C	VOL
ATVI	31.640	+3.940	+14.2	22.1M
NTES	23.250	+0.590	+2.6	995.4K
GGB	43.470	+0.930	+2.2	2.3M
IBKR	32.620	+0.670	+2.1	608.9K
MFC	37.130	+0.730	+2	1.8M
LEH	43.540	+0.610	+1.4	13.8M
BHP	87.920	+1.220	+1.4	4.3M
PBR	64.600	+0.820	+1.3	11.6M
SLW	13.940	+0.170	+1.2	4.2M
RIMM	132.770	+1.590	+1.2	15.2M
DELL	19.030	+0.190	+1	18.6M
WHR	72.430	+0.600	+0.8	815.2K
TM	101.310	+0.750	+0.7	683.5K
SU	124.850	+0.860	+0.7	3.5M
TGP	28.490	+0.190	+0.7	91.3K
CCJ	40.240	+0.260	+0.7	2.5M
DEO	81.350	+0.500	+0.6	540.2K
ERJ	40.690	+0.250	+0.6	242.3K
WBK	121.330	+0.630	+0.5	19K
RY	48.180	+0.250	+0.5	721K
PDA	55.880	+0.280	+0.5	168.4K
COST	71.440	+0.240	+0.3	2.8M
DNA	68.530	+0.210	+0.3	2.5M
VCP	30.820	+0.090	+0.3	327K
LLTC	36.300	+0.100	+0.3	4.3M

Portfolio LOSERS

SYMB	LAST	CHG	%C	VOL
BMY	21.710	-1.080	-4.7	28.9M
NUE	78.410	-3.460	-4.2	4.4M
NOK	28.670	-1.050	-3.5	12M
PTR	140.510	-4.490	-3.1	898K
WFMI	32.780	-0.900	-2.7	2.7M
MBT	76.930	-2.030	-2.6	2.1M
HDB	106.870	-2.550	-2.3	290.8K
HBC	84.070	-1.990	-2.3	1.6M
ABX	39.390	-0.850	-2.1	10.1M
STO	38.170	-0.770	-2	1.1M
ABV	74.100	-1.420	-1.9	607.8K
GOL	15.890	-0.300	-1.9	391K
CCL	39.720	-0.740	-1.8	3M
GOOG	573.200	-9.810	-1.7	4.5M
CHL	83.520	-1.350	-1.6	1.6M
IBN	42.480	-0.580	-1.3	2M
UTX	73.130	-0.930	-1.3	4M
XOM	88.820	-1.110	-1.2	24.1M
BDK	66.820	-0.830	-1.2	507.7K
DB	117.230	-1.390	-1.2	704.7K
AMAT	19.290	-0.220	-1.1	13.4M
YHOO	25.930	-0.290	-1.1	30.6M
GSK	43.900	-0.490	-1.1	1.4M
PG	65.210	-0.710	-1.1	9.8M
RIO	39.580	-0.430	-1.1	16.9M

Portfolio 52-Wk HIGHS

SYMB	DAY HIGH	LAST	CHG	%CHG	VOL
ATVI	31.710	31.640	+3.940	+14.22	22.08M
GGB	43.710	43.470	+0.930	+2.19	2.29M
BHP	88.050	87.920	+1.220	+1.41	4.29M
SU	125.970	124.850	+0.860	+0.69	3.54M
CVX	97.900	97.390	-0.050	-0.05	11.31M

Portfolio 52-Wk LOWS

SYMB	DAY LOW	LAST	CHG	%CHG	VOL
NONE FOUND.

Portfolio VOLUME

SYMB	LAST	%C	VOL	%ADSV
ATVI	31.640	+14.2	22.1M	+531
BMY	21.710	-4.7	28.9M	+147
MFC	37.130	+2	1.8M	+86
DB	117.230	-1.2	704.7K	+43
HBC	84.070	-2.3	1.6M	+24
TM	101.310	+0.7	683.5K	+23
DEO	81.350	+0.6	540.2K	+22
TEF	86.750	-0	395.5K	+19
EXC	82.940	-1	3.7M	+18
SU	124.850	+0.7	3.5M	+18
KO	56.150	-0.2	10.4M	+12
DOW	41.230	-0.1	6.3M	+12
TS	53.350	-1	2M	+11
NTES	23.250	+2.6	995.4K	+10

Analysts UPGRADES

SYMB	ANALYST	OLD	NEW	BEFORE	AFTER
MFC	Scotia Cap	---	---	Sector Perform	Sector Outperform
MFC	CIBC	---	---	Sector Perform	Outperform
ATVI	SG Cowen	---	---	Neutral	Outperform
ATVI	Gabelli	---	---	Hold	Buy
ATVI	Kaufman Bro	27.50	34.00	Hold	Buy
• PREVIOUS SESSION
GG	Salman Partners	---	---	Hold	Buy

Analysts DOWNGRADES

SYMB	ANALYST	OLD	NEW	BEFORE	AFTER
HBC	Morgan Stanley	---	---	Equal-weight	Underweight
• PREVIOUS SESSION
TS	Smith Barney	55.00	61.00	Buy	Hold

Cara 100 Daily RSI-7 Charts

At least one RSI value >70:
rsi

Ticker	Last	RSI-7M	RSI-7W	RSI-7D	Zone
PBR	64.60	91.52	68.59	64.60
GGB	43.47	84.71	82.09	74.25	Distribution Zone (for 2 days)
ATVI	31.64	82.66	83.04	94.51	Distribution Zone (for 1 days)
ECA	85.93	81.26	66.85	68.07
RIO	39.58	78.88	68.71	54.81
SYT	60.21	78.35	59.33	52.58
WMT	57.18	77.16	76.55	53.43	Sell alert (trig. 8 days ago [on 2008-04-30 at $57.98, -1.38% chg], after a 6 day DZ)
BHP	87.92	75.74	76.04	65.37
RIMM	132.77	74.55	71.74	65.85	Sell alert (trig. 4 days ago [on 2008-05-06 at $132.10, +0.51% chg], after a 1 day DZ)
NUE	78.41	74.48	75.55	57.32	Sell alert (trig. 1 days ago [on 2008-05-09 at $78.41, +0.00% chg], after a 1 day DZ)
SU	124.85	74.17	71.76	76.02	Distribution Zone (for 2 days)
TT	46.10	74.14	58.76	41.17
PDA	55.88	71.09	63.56	55.88	Sell alert (trig. 4 days ago [on 2008-05-06 at $57.80, -3.32% chg], after a 2 day DZ)
ABB	31.14	70.69	74.79	68.82	Sell alert (trig. 1 days ago [on 2008-05-09 at $31.14, +0.00% chg], after a 1 day DZ)
CHRW	63.92	70.66	72.62	52.58	Sell alert (trig. 3 days ago [on 2008-05-07 at $63.79, +0.20% chg], after a 4 day DZ)
STO	38.17	69.97	80.40	68.23	Sell alert (trig. 1 days ago [on 2008-05-09 at $38.17, +0.00% chg], after a 5 day DZ)
CVX	97.39	66.86	74.65	68.62
LLTC	36.30	66.10	76.69	70.41
NTES	23.25	64.56	74.28	68.33
VIP	33.58	63.53	58.49	81.28
IBKR	32.62	61.29	61.38	70.25
DIS	34.30	60.86	70.70	72.30
DOW	41.23	55.24	70.79	71.82
CCJ	40.24	51.37	61.42	80.59

At least one RSI value <30:
rsi

Ticker Last RSI-7M RSI-7W RSI-7D Zone

SBUX 15.86 12.49 34.29 31.99

BC 16.21 25.69 44.62 41.43

UBS 31.04 26.87 35.69 24.10

DELL 19.03 28.95 39.25 50.33

GRMN 42.08 31.71 19.49 38.70 Buy alert (trig. 7 days ago [on 2008-05-01 at $43.12, -2.41% chg], after a 1 day AZ)

KB 61.96 36.11 45.39 28.28

PG 65.21 47.63 32.67 22.47

KO 56.15 48.72 25.07 11.45

International Equity Markets Review

Europe

Here is the latest session data for the bourses of Europe.

Here is the latest session data for the London stock exchange FTSE.

Here is the latest session data for the German DAX.

Here is the latest session data for the French CAC 40.

Here is the latest session data for the Milan Italy stock exchange MIBTEL.

Here is the latest session data for the Swiss market index.

Asia-Pacific

Here is the latest session data for the Asia-Pacific stock exchanges.

Here is the latest chart for the Japanese Nikkei 225 index.

Here is the latest chart for the Singapore index .

Here is the latest chart for the Shanghai Composite index .

Here is the latest chart for the Hong Kong Hang Seng index .

Here is the latest chart for the India BSE 30 index .

Here is the latest chart for the Australian All Ordinaries index .

US Equity Markets Review

DJIA (interactive) chart

NASDAQ Composite (interactive) chart

Table 14: Dow 30 List

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change 1Day
%Change 1W
%Change 2W
%Change 4W
%Change YTD
%Change 3M
%Change 6M
%Change 12M
%Change

AA 39.04 -0.61 -1.54% 8.11% 9.29% 11.07% 8.05% 15.64% 5.26% 0.80%

DIS 34.30 -0.26 -0.75% 2.42% 6.00% 13.65% 7.73% 6.79% 4.76% -5.04%

CVX 97.39 -0.05 -0.05% 2.17% 5.07% 9.67% 4.21% 22.87% 11.61% 22.12%

HPQ 49.13 0.07 0.14% 1.59% 3.54% 8.05% -1.37% 17.31% 1.53% 9.35%

IBM 124.06 -0.86 -0.69% 0.71% 0.80% 6.95% 18.50% 20.13% 23.75% 18.85%

MSFT 29.39 0.12 0.41% 0.51% -1.48% 3.93% -16.55% 2.91% -12.87% -4.52%

WMT 57.18 0.02 0.03% -0.56% -0.82% 4.34% 21.92% 17.27% 33.29% 19.30%

XOM 88.82 -1.11 -1.23% -0.88% -3.94% 0.23% -5.02% 8.70% 2.27% 9.09%

INTC 23.37 -0.03 -0.13% -0.89% 3.59% 10.03% -7.81% 15.29% -7.08% 4.01%

MRK 38.99 -0.10 -0.26% -0.97% -4.25% -5.23% -32.04% -12.44% -30.25% -25.09%

CAT 81.76 -0.66 -0.80% -1.26% -0.60% 9.30% 15.76% 20.22% 16.12% 9.38%

BA 84.06 -0.70 -0.83% -1.90% -0.92% 9.37% -2.96% 5.96% -10.77% -10.65%

PG 65.21 -0.71 -1.08% -2.38% -2.01% -6.84% -9.82% 0.29% -7.40% 5.16%

JNJ 66.55 -0.35 -0.52% -2.51% -1.13% 0.83% 0.97% 7.29% 2.13% 3.81%

UTX 73.13 -0.93 -1.26% -2.62% 0.62% 5.18% -2.77% 2.49% -0.52% 6.34%

MCD 59.24 -0.53 -0.89% -2.81% -0.72% 6.93% 1.96% 6.47% 1.59% 18.86%

MMM 76.32 -0.63 -0.82% -2.84% -1.93% -2.74% -7.73% -2.85% -4.01% -10.59%

DD 48.44 -0.89 -1.80% -2.85% -2.89% -1.80% 10.75% 6.60% 3.53% -6.14%

AXP 48.96 0.11 0.23% -2.86% 2.49% 12.84% -4.08% 8.85% -13.33% -22.63%

GE 32.27 -0.32 -0.98% -3.21% -3.18% 0.69% -12.21% -4.64% -15.92% -13.39%

T 38.59 -0.27 -0.69% -3.84% 0.03% 3.46% -5.88% 6.10% -1.56% -2.23%

PFE 19.79 -0.18 -0.90% -3.98% -3.13% -3.23% -13.62% -11.26% -13.32% -27.14%

VZ 37.91 -0.34 -0.89% -4.24% 2.35% 6.52% -12.27% 4.09% -11.36% -7.90%

JPM 46.57 0.52 1.13% -4.30% -2.55% 9.50% 10.43% 6.28% 10.07% -12.46%

KO 56.15 -0.14 -0.25% -4.46% -5.36% -6.87% -8.09% -5.23% -7.69% 5.72%

HD 27.98 0.06 0.21% -7.10% -6.04% -0.67% 7.16% 0.04% -0.25% -28.59%

BAC 36.65 -0.68 -1.82% -7.89% -4.31% -0.79% -9.64% -13.32% -16.67% -28.77%

C 23.63 -0.67 -2.76% -10.46% -11.17% 1.16% -18.29% -9.22% -28.61% -56.34%

GM 20.29 -0.86 -4.07% -12.54% -5.10% 3.41% -16.88% -21.36% -35.13% -31.57%

AIG 40.28 -3.87 -8.77% -17.86% -15.25% -8.56% -28.45% -20.52% -29.41% -44.06%

You can do this table yourself by entering the following string into the Summaries window at www.billcara2.com and then clicking on the link for Performance.

AA AIG AXP BA C CAT DD DIS GE GM HD HON HPQ IBM INTC JNJ JPM KO MCD MMM MO MRK MSFT PFE PG T UTX VZ WMT XOM

Here are the links to interactive Dow charts from Billcara2.com that I broke into groups of ten, which you can add technical indicators for as well. (list one) (list two) (list three)

The Americas

Here is the latest session data for the exchanges of the Americas.

Here is the latest chart for the Brazilian Bovespa stock exchange in Sao Paulo.

Here is the latest session data for the Toronto Stock Exchange composite index.

Sector ETF Summary for the US equity market

The tables I show in this section are for ten (GICS) Sector Index Funds (ETF's) only, but they cover the full spectrum of the US equity market.

Table 1: Cara ETF List

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change 1Day
%Change 1W
%Change 2W
%Change 4W
%Change YTD
%Change 3M
%Change 6M
%Change 12M
%Change

XLE 84.77 -0.16 -0.19% 4.05% 2.28% 9.38% 6.63% 21.36% 13.86% 30.82%

XLB 43.60 -0.33 -0.75% 2.42%