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April 29, 2008

Daily Report for Tue, Apr 29, 2008

Markets Re-cap

Monday was a quiet day in the capital market as traders are awaiting the Federal Reserve Bank to hold its monetary policy meetings today and tomorrow.

The DJIA (-20.11), S&P 500 (-1.47), and NASDAQ (+1.47) closed with little change.

Shares of Ford Motor (F +9.5% to $8.21) revved up on news of Kirk Kerkorian's 20 million share purchase decision (at $8.50/share). But Continental (CAL -1.5%) was grounded after nixing plans for a potential United Air merger. The Airlines ($XAL), however, gain +2.2% on the day.

Papers (-2.6%), Chemicals (-1.8%) and Goldminers ($XAU -1.3%) in the Basic Materials (XLB -0.57%) were the weakest industries, while Utilities (XLU -0.97%) was the weakest sector.

The strongest stock of the Cara 100 is Netease.com (NTES +5.6%), the consumer electronic games company in China. The Chinese Internet stocks also performed in bullish fashion yesterday. The Cara 100 losers were the Indian banks (IBN -3.9% and HDB -2.9%) and Silver Wheaton (SLW -2.5%).

After the close, Visa (V +0.7%) reported Q2 net income of $314 million ($0.52/share), which beat consensus estimates.

Crude Oil futures ($WTIC +0.24/bbl to 118.76) remained at extreme over-bought levels due to supply disruptions caused by strikes and violence in the North Sea and Nigeria.

$GOLD gained +$2.69/oz to 892.39, as the $USD lost -0.32% to 72.57 as currency traders flattened positions ahead of the FOMC meeting. The Euro gained a bit (+0.13%) to 1.5638.

The long bond (30-year $USB) gained +0.38% to 116.03. The T-Bill yield lifted +3.5% to 1.33 percent.

In the spot precious metals market at 7:26am ET today, gold, palladium, platinum and silver are down (886.12, 427, 1945 and 16.75 respectively) as the $USD is stronger. The Euro futures are down -0.47% to 1.5539.

Crude futures have dropped -0.86/bbl to 117.89 and the DJIA futures are down -45 to 12845.


Comments & Outlook

Things are quiet in capital markets early this week. But the $USD is pushing gold to a significant support position, where if the line doesn’t hold at around 875, I think the prospects are for a drop to about 800, possibly down to the 870 level that I have previously opined would be the cycle bottom of the short-term bear phase.

But this is a Bull market for precious metals, longer-term. A primary Bull it is called.

One of the delights for the goldbugs is what JP Morgan discussed early today in that there seems to be a prospect that the People’s Bank of China could do a one-off upwards revaluation of the Yuan (to counter the high inflation there), but until it happens nobody knows. These stories seem to come out always when the technical support and resistance lines are nearby and threatening.


Links & Charts


International Economics Review

US Economic Calendar.



Knobias Cara100 Tables

 Portfolio GAINERS
SYMB LAST CHG %C VOL
NTES 21.490 +1.130 +5.6 2.3M
CEO 179.480 +6.250 +3.6 453.8K
KB 69.300 +2.400 +3.6 542.3K
STO 35.760 +1.060 +3.1 1.5M
GRMN 47.410 +1.320 +2.9 4M
NOK 29.510 +0.780 +2.7 20.1M
MBT 76.100 +1.690 +2.3 933.1K
MFC 38.780 +0.820 +2.2 873K
RIMM 122.390 +2.350 +2 11.8M
MICC 111.390 +2.050 +1.9 684.7K
WFMI 31.760 +0.570 +1.8 2.9M
GGB 37.790 +0.660 +1.8 2.7M
NUE 77.000 +1.270 +1.7 5.9M
DNA 73.160 +1.190 +1.7 3.8M
BDK 68.660 +1.080 +1.6 671.8K
ABB 30.550 +0.480 +1.6 5.2M
GOOG 552.120 +8.060 +1.5 4M
LEH 47.520 +0.650 +1.4 13.4M
LLTC 35.010 +0.340 +1 5.4M
WBK 118.340 +1.030 +0.9 43.1K
VCP 31.250 +0.270 +0.9 562.6K
JCP 43.540 +0.340 +0.8 3.4M
ADBE 37.180 +0.290 +0.8 5M
TS 52.480 +0.400 +0.8 1.2M
IBKR 31.140 +0.220 +0.7 775.1K

 Portfolio LOSERS
SYMB LAST CHG %C VOL
IBN 45.380 -1.820 -3.9 2.6M
HDB 111.590 -3.290 -2.9 279K
SLW 14.230 -0.360 -2.5 3M
BHP 82.530 -1.970 -2.3 3.3M
PTR 146.580 -2.920 -2 1.3M
INFY 42.290 -0.830 -1.9 1.9M
UBS 35.360 -0.640 -1.8 3.7M
DOW 40.160 -0.700 -1.7 3.7M
ABX 39.040 -0.630 -1.6 6.3M
WHR 75.270 -1.130 -1.5 1.5M
KSS 49.920 -0.730 -1.4 4.4M
EXC 85.170 -1.220 -1.4 2.7M
YHOO 26.430 -0.370 -1.4 20.8M
GG 36.100 -0.490 -1.3 5.8M
NKE 67.820 -0.920 -1.3 2.9M
BBD 21.850 -0.290 -1.3 8.9M
SBUX 15.660 -0.200 -1.3 12M
BBBY 33.010 -0.420 -1.3 4M
DELL 18.870 -0.240 -1.3 17.7M
SU 113.950 -1.180 -1 2M
COST 70.830 -0.710 -1 3.6M
CSCO 25.350 -0.250 -1 33.9M
GS 190.240 -1.760 -0.9 6.3M
GSK 44.820 -0.300 -0.7 930.5K
KO 58.980 -0.350 -0.6 8M

 Portfolio 52-Wk HIGHS
SYMB DAY HIGH LAST CHG %CHG VOL
NUE 77.640 77.000 +1.270 +1.68 5.89M

 Portfolio 52-Wk LOWS
SYMB DAY LOW LAST CHG %CHG VOL
NONE FOUND.

 Portfolio VOLUME
SYMB LAST %C VOL %ADSV
NTES 21.490 +5.6 2.3M +346
PG 66.210 -0.5 18.2M +47
ABB 30.550 +1.6 5.2M +30
WBK 118.340 +0.9 43.1K +23
SWK 49.190 +0.5 808.6K +18
WFMI 31.760 +1.8 2.9M +15
BMY 22.160 +0 13.5M +11

 Analysts UPGRADES
SYMB ANALYST OLD   NEW BEFORE   AFTER
NONE FOUND.
• PREVIOUS SESSION
AET CSFB --- 45.00 Underperform Neutral
WMT Merrill Lynch --- 65.00 Neutral Buy

 Analysts DOWNGRADES
SYMB ANALYST OLD   NEW BEFORE   AFTER
KSS Baird --- 52.00 Outperform Neutral
RY Smith Barney --- --- Hold Sell
• PREVIOUS SESSION
NKE McAdams Wright --- 71.00 Buy Hold


Cara 100 Daily RSI-7 Charts


At least one RSI value >70:
rsi
TickerLastRSI-7MRSI-7WRSI-7DZone
SYT61.2686.0163.3547.18Sell alert (trig. 4 days ago [on 2008-04-23 at $61.87, -0.99% chg], after a 5 day DZ)
WMT57.3582.9984.4671.47Distribution Zone (for 5 days)
ECA82.4381.3764.8352.66Sell alert (trig. 5 days ago [on 2008-04-22 at $84.94, -2.96% chg], after a 5 day DZ)
COST70.8374.1668.6869.04Sell alert (trig. 1 days ago [on 2008-04-28 at $70.83, +0.00% chg], after a 1 day DZ)
ABB30.5574.0274.5083.01Distribution Zone (for 3 days)
EXC85.1772.2666.2150.29Sell alert (trig. 6 days ago [on 2008-04-21 at $86.32, -1.33% chg], after a 2 day DZ)
TT46.1471.6763.8746.74
RIMM122.3971.5465.0555.61
NUE77.0070.9873.7171.46Distribution Zone (for 1 days)
GGB37.7970.6567.7157.81Sell alert (trig. 3 days ago [on 2008-04-24 at $37.71, +0.21% chg], after a 2 day DZ)
RIO38.0270.2263.5655.37Sell alert (trig. 3 days ago [on 2008-04-24 at $37.33, +1.85% chg], after a 2 day DZ)
PBR122.7670.0361.5954.16Sell alert (trig. 4 days ago [on 2008-04-23 at $126.18, -2.71% chg], after a 2 day DZ)
STO35.7668.0479.0367.01
BHP82.5366.7970.0457.13
JNJ67.3263.9071.2876.00
NTES21.4962.9863.4982.64
CVX92.5062.3970.5857.69
LLTC35.0160.2273.8779.02
WBK118.3460.2060.5573.86
MICC111.3960.1061.1980.73
HBC85.8556.7971.1971.03
IBKR31.1455.0156.7276.87
GOOG552.1252.5060.2976.55
DIS32.4351.0658.5374.30
GS190.2448.7157.5374.71
BA84.9848.5665.0382.93
KSS49.9243.9566.1677.74
JCP43.5436.1453.4171.52

At least one RSI value <30:
rsi
TickerLastRSI-7MRSI-7WRSI-7DZone
SBUX15.6612.1730.2922.66Buy alert (trig. 2 days ago [on 2008-04-25 at $15.86, -1.26% chg], after a 1 day AZ)
BC16.3815.5447.5859.46
DELL18.8720.9238.5842.02
GOL15.0324.7833.1545.82Buy alert (trig. 3 days ago [on 2008-04-24 at $14.78, +1.69% chg], after a 1 day AZ)
WFMI31.7629.5836.3641.59
ABX39.0448.1631.5625.71
YHOO26.4348.9245.5723.02
SLW14.2349.5936.3421.73
PG66.2150.0736.4819.20
GG36.1058.2041.1426.28
KO58.9861.9143.3328.44


International Equity Markets Review

Europe

Here is the latest session data for the bourses of Europe.


Here is the latest session data for the London stock exchange FTSE.


Here is the latest session data for the German DAX.


Here is the latest session data for the French CAC 40.


Here is the latest session data for the Milan Italy stock exchange MIBTEL.


Here is the latest session data for the Swiss market index.


Asia-Pacific

Here is the latest session data for the Asia-Pacific stock exchanges.


Here is the latest chart for the Japanese Nikkei 225 index.


Here is the latest chart for the Singapore index .


Here is the latest chart for the Shanghai Composite index .


Here is the latest chart for the Hong Kong Hang Seng index .


Here is the latest chart for the India BSE 30 index .

Here is the latest chart for the Australian All Ordinaries index .


US Equity Markets Review

DJIA (interactive) chart

NASDAQ Composite (interactive) chart

Table 14: Dow 30 List

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
BA 84.98 0.14 0.17% 7.45% 10.05% 14.27% -1.89% 9.51% -11.50% -9.61%
C 26.81 0.21 0.79% 7.11% 19.10% 25.16% -7.30% -3.04% -37.11% -49.77%
VZ 37.95 0.91 2.46% 5.53% 7.39% 4.12% -12.17% -0.42% -16.78% 0.16%
AXP 47.89 0.12 0.25% 4.79% 12.10% 9.54% -6.17% 1.03% -21.06% -22.93%
JPM 47.34 -0.45 -0.94% 4.67% 14.07% 10.22% 12.26% 3.88% 0.04% -9.91%
MRK 41.44 0.72 1.77% 4.57% 0.10% 9.20% -27.77% -15.86% -28.03% -20.09%
GM 21.94 0.56 2.62% 3.15% 15.47% 15.17% -10.12% -17.30% -41.91% -30.48%
DIS 32.43 0.07 0.22% 3.08% 7.96% 3.35% 1.85% 10.42% -5.67% -7.29%
HD 29.73 -0.05 -0.17% 2.59% 6.52% 6.29% 13.86% 2.02% -5.17% -22.72%
GE 33.17 -0.16 -0.48% 2.19% 4.47% -10.38% -9.77% -4.46% -17.86% -9.96%
T 38.30 -0.28 -0.73% 1.89% 2.96% 0.00% -6.59% 5.22% -7.62% -0.88%
WMT 57.35 -0.30 -0.52% 1.72% 3.99% 8.86% 22.28% 17.74% 28.47% 18.64%
MCD 59.59 -0.08 -0.13% 1.57% 7.29% 6.85% 2.56% 16.68% 1.92% 21.74%
BAC 38.18 -0.12 -0.31% 1.52% 7.31% 0.71% -5.87% -7.33% -20.51% -24.80%
JNJ 67.32 0.01 0.01% 1.51% 2.40% 3.78% 2.14% 6.74% 4.70% 4.91%
UTX 73.04 0.36 0.50% 1.32% 4.36% 6.13% -2.89% -0.94% -3.18% 7.90%
INTC 22.71 0.15 0.66% 1.11% 9.76% 7.22% -10.41% 11.93% -12.45% 3.84%
AIG 47.04 -0.49 -1.03% 1.07% 8.66% 8.76% -16.45% -14.08% -24.31% -32.93%
PFE 20.23 -0.20 -0.98% 0.15% -1.61% -3.34% -11.70% -12.01% -16.78% -23.98%
CVX 92.50 -0.19 -0.20% -0.22% 3.58% 8.36% -1.03% 11.63% 0.93% 18.47%
CAT 83.03 0.78 0.95% -0.36% 9.92% 6.05% 17.56% 21.73% 10.65% 12.57%
AA 35.74 0.02 0.06% -1.41% 5.33% -0.89% -1.08% 13.57% -9.17% -0.69%
HPQ 47.59 0.14 0.30% -1.78% 3.86% 4.23% -4.46% 8.65% -9.30% 12.53%
XOM 92.45 -0.01 -0.01% -1.92% 3.07% 9.30% -1.13% 8.60% 0.26% 15.04%
IBM 121.69 -1.39 -1.13% -2.14% 3.76% 5.69% 16.24% 15.92% 7.00% 20.28%
KO 58.98 -0.35 -0.59% -2.27% -3.31% -3.10% -3.45% -0.72% -4.21% 13.29%
PG 66.21 -0.34 -0.51% -2.35% -5.58% -5.51% -8.44% 1.41% -7.72% 5.13%
MSFT 28.99 -0.84 -2.82% -4.70% 3.31% 2.15% -17.69% -11.40% -17.24% -3.75%
DD 49.18 -0.70 -1.40% -5.88% 0.78% 5.18% 12.44% 9.68% 1.67% -1.03%
MMM 77.13 -0.69 -0.89% -6.33% -1.44% -2.55% -6.75% -0.40% -10.45% -5.42%

You can do this table yourself by entering the following string into the Summaries window at www.billcara2.com and then clicking on the link for Performance.

AA AIG AXP BA C CAT DD DIS GE GM HD HON HPQ IBM INTC JNJ JPM KO MCD MMM MO MRK MSFT PFE PG T UTX VZ WMT XOM

Here are the links to interactive Dow charts from Billcara2.com that I broke into groups of ten, which you can add technical indicators for as well. (list one) (list two) (list three)



The Americas

Here is the latest session data for the exchanges of the Americas.


Here is the latest chart for the Brazilian Bovespa stock exchange in Sao Paulo.


Here is the latest session data for the Toronto Stock Exchange composite index.



Sector ETF Summary for the US equity market

The tables I show in this section are for ten (GICS) Sector Index Funds (ETF's) only, but they cover the full spectrum of the US equity market.

Table 1: Cara ETF List

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
IYZ 25.03 0.14 0.56% 4.34% 7.70% 7.10% -14.19% -2.23% -22.77% -21.63%
XLF 26.93 -0.04 -0.15% 3.34% 9.87% 8.28% -5.04% -4.33% -20.07% -27.80%
IYH 64.26 0.22 0.34% 1.32% 1.20% 2.62% -8.33% -3.86% -9.89% -10.34%
XLI 38.59 0.22 0.57% 1.26% 5.87% 3.18% 0.21% 6.10% -4.24% 2.52%
XLY 32.37 0.01 0.03% 0.94% 5.47% 5.37% 0.53% 3.25% -11.17% -17.91%
SPY 139.63 0.03 0.02% 0.78% 5.04% 5.80% -3.66% 3.25% -9.11% -6.62%
XLP 28.04 0.11 0.39% 0.07% 0.94% 0.65% -1.23% 4.20%