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April 29, 2008
Daily Report for Tue, Apr 29, 2008
Markets Re-cap
Monday was a quiet day in the capital market as traders are awaiting the Federal Reserve Bank to hold its monetary policy meetings today and tomorrow.
The DJIA (-20.11), S&P 500 (-1.47), and NASDAQ (+1.47) closed with little change.
Shares of Ford Motor (F +9.5% to $8.21) revved up on news of Kirk Kerkorian's 20 million share purchase decision (at $8.50/share). But Continental (CAL -1.5%) was grounded after nixing plans for a potential United Air merger. The Airlines ($XAL), however, gain +2.2% on the day.
Papers (-2.6%), Chemicals (-1.8%) and Goldminers ($XAU -1.3%) in the Basic Materials (XLB -0.57%) were the weakest industries, while Utilities (XLU -0.97%) was the weakest sector.
The strongest stock of the Cara 100 is Netease.com (NTES +5.6%), the consumer electronic games company in China. The Chinese Internet stocks also performed in bullish fashion yesterday. The Cara 100 losers were the Indian banks (IBN -3.9% and HDB -2.9%) and Silver Wheaton (SLW -2.5%).
After the close, Visa (V +0.7%) reported Q2 net income of $314 million ($0.52/share), which beat consensus estimates.
Crude Oil futures ($WTIC +0.24/bbl to 118.76) remained at extreme over-bought levels due to supply disruptions caused by strikes and violence in the North Sea and Nigeria.
$GOLD gained +$2.69/oz to 892.39, as the $USD lost -0.32% to 72.57 as currency traders flattened positions ahead of the FOMC meeting. The Euro gained a bit (+0.13%) to 1.5638.
The long bond (30-year $USB) gained +0.38% to 116.03. The T-Bill yield lifted +3.5% to 1.33 percent.
In the spot precious metals market at 7:26am ET today, gold, palladium, platinum and silver are down (886.12, 427, 1945 and 16.75 respectively) as the $USD is stronger. The Euro futures are down -0.47% to 1.5539.
Crude futures have dropped -0.86/bbl to 117.89 and the DJIA futures are down -45 to 12845.
Comments & Outlook
Things are quiet in capital markets early this week. But the $USD is pushing gold to a significant support position, where if the line doesn’t hold at around 875, I think the prospects are for a drop to about 800, possibly down to the 870 level that I have previously opined would be the cycle bottom of the short-term bear phase.
But this is a Bull market for precious metals, longer-term. A primary Bull it is called.
One of the delights for the goldbugs is what JP Morgan discussed early today in that there seems to be a prospect that the People’s Bank of China could do a one-off upwards revaluation of the Yuan (to counter the high inflation there), but until it happens nobody knows. These stories seem to come out always when the technical support and resistance lines are nearby and threatening.
Links & Charts
International Economics Review
Knobias Cara100 Tables
|
Portfolio GAINERS |
| SYMB | LAST | CHG | %C | VOL |
| NTES | 21.490 | +1.130 | +5.6 | 2.3M |
| CEO | 179.480 | +6.250 | +3.6 | 453.8K |
| KB | 69.300 | +2.400 | +3.6 | 542.3K |
| STO | 35.760 | +1.060 | +3.1 | 1.5M |
| GRMN | 47.410 | +1.320 | +2.9 | 4M |
| NOK | 29.510 | +0.780 | +2.7 | 20.1M |
| MBT | 76.100 | +1.690 | +2.3 | 933.1K |
| MFC | 38.780 | +0.820 | +2.2 | 873K |
| RIMM | 122.390 | +2.350 | +2 | 11.8M |
| MICC | 111.390 | +2.050 | +1.9 | 684.7K |
| WFMI | 31.760 | +0.570 | +1.8 | 2.9M |
| GGB | 37.790 | +0.660 | +1.8 | 2.7M |
| NUE | 77.000 | +1.270 | +1.7 | 5.9M |
| DNA | 73.160 | +1.190 | +1.7 | 3.8M |
| BDK | 68.660 | +1.080 | +1.6 | 671.8K |
| ABB | 30.550 | +0.480 | +1.6 | 5.2M |
| GOOG | 552.120 | +8.060 | +1.5 | 4M |
| LEH | 47.520 | +0.650 | +1.4 | 13.4M |
| LLTC | 35.010 | +0.340 | +1 | 5.4M |
| WBK | 118.340 | +1.030 | +0.9 | 43.1K |
| VCP | 31.250 | +0.270 | +0.9 | 562.6K |
| JCP | 43.540 | +0.340 | +0.8 | 3.4M |
| ADBE | 37.180 | +0.290 | +0.8 | 5M |
| TS | 52.480 | +0.400 | +0.8 | 1.2M |
| IBKR | 31.140 | +0.220 | +0.7 | 775.1K |
|
Portfolio LOSERS |
| SYMB | LAST | CHG | %C | VOL |
| IBN | 45.380 | -1.820 | -3.9 | 2.6M |
| HDB | 111.590 | -3.290 | -2.9 | 279K |
| SLW | 14.230 | -0.360 | -2.5 | 3M |
| BHP | 82.530 | -1.970 | -2.3 | 3.3M |
| PTR | 146.580 | -2.920 | -2 | 1.3M |
| INFY | 42.290 | -0.830 | -1.9 | 1.9M |
| UBS | 35.360 | -0.640 | -1.8 | 3.7M |
| DOW | 40.160 | -0.700 | -1.7 | 3.7M |
| ABX | 39.040 | -0.630 | -1.6 | 6.3M |
| WHR | 75.270 | -1.130 | -1.5 | 1.5M |
| KSS | 49.920 | -0.730 | -1.4 | 4.4M |
| EXC | 85.170 | -1.220 | -1.4 | 2.7M |
| YHOO | 26.430 | -0.370 | -1.4 | 20.8M |
| GG | 36.100 | -0.490 | -1.3 | 5.8M |
| NKE | 67.820 | -0.920 | -1.3 | 2.9M |
| BBD | 21.850 | -0.290 | -1.3 | 8.9M |
| SBUX | 15.660 | -0.200 | -1.3 | 12M |
| BBBY | 33.010 | -0.420 | -1.3 | 4M |
| DELL | 18.870 | -0.240 | -1.3 | 17.7M |
| SU | 113.950 | -1.180 | -1 | 2M |
| COST | 70.830 | -0.710 | -1 | 3.6M |
| CSCO | 25.350 | -0.250 | -1 | 33.9M |
| GS | 190.240 | -1.760 | -0.9 | 6.3M |
| GSK | 44.820 | -0.300 | -0.7 | 930.5K |
| KO | 58.980 | -0.350 | -0.6 | 8M |
|
Portfolio 52-Wk HIGHS |
| SYMB | DAY HIGH | LAST | CHG | %CHG | VOL |
| NUE | 77.640 | 77.000 | +1.270 | +1.68 | 5.89M |
|
Portfolio 52-Wk LOWS |
| SYMB | DAY LOW | LAST | CHG | %CHG | VOL |
| NONE FOUND. | |||||
|
Portfolio VOLUME |
| SYMB | LAST | %C | VOL | %ADSV |
| NTES | 21.490 | +5.6 | 2.3M | +346 |
| PG | 66.210 | -0.5 | 18.2M | +47 |
| ABB | 30.550 | +1.6 | 5.2M | +30 |
| WBK | 118.340 | +0.9 | 43.1K | +23 |
| SWK | 49.190 | +0.5 | 808.6K | +18 |
| WFMI | 31.760 | +1.8 | 2.9M | +15 |
| BMY | 22.160 | +0 | 13.5M | +11 |
|
|
Analysts UPGRADES |
| SYMB | ANALYST | OLD | NEW | BEFORE | AFTER | ||
| NONE FOUND. | |||||||
| • PREVIOUS SESSION | |||||||
| AET | CSFB | --- |
|
45.00 | Underperform |
|
Neutral |
| WMT | Merrill Lynch | --- |
|
65.00 | Neutral |
|
Buy |
|
Analysts DOWNGRADES |
| SYMB | ANALYST | OLD | NEW | BEFORE | AFTER | ||
| KSS | Baird | --- |
|
52.00 | Outperform |
|
Neutral |
| RY | Smith Barney | --- |
|
--- | Hold |
|
Sell |
| • PREVIOUS SESSION | |||||||
| NKE | McAdams Wright | --- |
|
71.00 | Buy |
|
Hold |
Cara 100 Daily RSI-7 Charts
At least one RSI value >70:
| Ticker | Last | RSI-7M | RSI-7W | RSI-7D | Zone |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SYT | 61.26 | 86.01 | 63.35 | 47.18 | Sell alert (trig. 4 days ago [on 2008-04-23 at $61.87, -0.99% chg], after a 5 day DZ) |
| WMT | 57.35 | 82.99 | 84.46 | 71.47 | Distribution Zone (for 5 days) |
| ECA | 82.43 | 81.37 | 64.83 | 52.66 | Sell alert (trig. 5 days ago [on 2008-04-22 at $84.94, -2.96% chg], after a 5 day DZ) |
| COST | 70.83 | 74.16 | 68.68 | 69.04 | Sell alert (trig. 1 days ago [on 2008-04-28 at $70.83, +0.00% chg], after a 1 day DZ) |
| ABB | 30.55 | 74.02 | 74.50 | 83.01 | Distribution Zone (for 3 days) |
| EXC | 85.17 | 72.26 | 66.21 | 50.29 | Sell alert (trig. 6 days ago [on 2008-04-21 at $86.32, -1.33% chg], after a 2 day DZ) |
| TT | 46.14 | 71.67 | 63.87 | 46.74 | |
| RIMM | 122.39 | 71.54 | 65.05 | 55.61 | |
| NUE | 77.00 | 70.98 | 73.71 | 71.46 | Distribution Zone (for 1 days) |
| GGB | 37.79 | 70.65 | 67.71 | 57.81 | Sell alert (trig. 3 days ago [on 2008-04-24 at $37.71, +0.21% chg], after a 2 day DZ) |
| RIO | 38.02 | 70.22 | 63.56 | 55.37 | Sell alert (trig. 3 days ago [on 2008-04-24 at $37.33, +1.85% chg], after a 2 day DZ) |
| PBR | 122.76 | 70.03 | 61.59 | 54.16 | Sell alert (trig. 4 days ago [on 2008-04-23 at $126.18, -2.71% chg], after a 2 day DZ) |
| STO | 35.76 | 68.04 | 79.03 | 67.01 | |
| BHP | 82.53 | 66.79 | 70.04 | 57.13 | |
| JNJ | 67.32 | 63.90 | 71.28 | 76.00 | |
| NTES | 21.49 | 62.98 | 63.49 | 82.64 | |
| CVX | 92.50 | 62.39 | 70.58 | 57.69 | |
| LLTC | 35.01 | 60.22 | 73.87 | 79.02 | |
| WBK | 118.34 | 60.20 | 60.55 | 73.86 | |
| MICC | 111.39 | 60.10 | 61.19 | 80.73 | |
| HBC | 85.85 | 56.79 | 71.19 | 71.03 | |
| IBKR | 31.14 | 55.01 | 56.72 | 76.87 | |
| GOOG | 552.12 | 52.50 | 60.29 | 76.55 | |
| DIS | 32.43 | 51.06 | 58.53 | 74.30 | |
| GS | 190.24 | 48.71 | 57.53 | 74.71 | |
| BA | 84.98 | 48.56 | 65.03 | 82.93 | |
| KSS | 49.92 | 43.95 | 66.16 | 77.74 | |
| JCP | 43.54 | 36.14 | 53.41 | 71.52 |
At least one RSI value <30:
| Ticker | Last | RSI-7M | RSI-7W | RSI-7D | Zone |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SBUX | 15.66 | 12.17 | 30.29 | 22.66 | Buy alert (trig. 2 days ago [on 2008-04-25 at $15.86, -1.26% chg], after a 1 day AZ) |
| BC | 16.38 | 15.54 | 47.58 | 59.46 | |
| DELL | 18.87 | 20.92 | 38.58 | 42.02 | |
| GOL | 15.03 | 24.78 | 33.15 | 45.82 | Buy alert (trig. 3 days ago [on 2008-04-24 at $14.78, +1.69% chg], after a 1 day AZ) |
| WFMI | 31.76 | 29.58 | 36.36 | 41.59 | |
| ABX | 39.04 | 48.16 | 31.56 | 25.71 | |
| YHOO | 26.43 | 48.92 | 45.57 | 23.02 | |
| SLW | 14.23 | 49.59 | 36.34 | 21.73 | |
| PG | 66.21 | 50.07 | 36.48 | 19.20 | |
| GG | 36.10 | 58.20 | 41.14 | 26.28 | |
| KO | 58.98 | 61.91 | 43.33 | 28.44 |
International Equity Markets Review
Europe
Here is the latest session data for the bourses of Europe.
Here is the latest session data for the London stock exchange FTSE.
Here is the latest session data for the German DAX.
Here is the latest session data for the French CAC 40.
Here is the latest session data for the Milan Italy stock exchange MIBTEL.
Here is the latest session data for the Swiss market index.
Asia-Pacific
Here is the latest session data for the Asia-Pacific stock exchanges.
Here is the latest chart for the Japanese Nikkei 225 index.
Here is the latest chart for the Singapore index .
Here is the latest chart for the Shanghai Composite index .
Here is the latest chart for the Hong Kong Hang Seng index .
Here is the latest chart for the India BSE 30 index .
Here is the latest chart for the Australian All Ordinaries index .
US Equity Markets Review
NASDAQ Composite (interactive) chart
Table 14: Dow 30 List
| Symbol | Close | 1Day Change |
1Day %Change |
1W %Change |
2W %Change |
4W %Change |
YTD %Change |
3M %Change |
6M %Change |
12M %Change |
You can do this table yourself by entering the following string into the Summaries window at www.billcara2.com and then clicking on the link for Performance.
AA AIG AXP BA C CAT DD DIS GE GM HD HON HPQ IBM INTC JNJ JPM KO MCD MMM MO MRK MSFT PFE PG T UTX VZ WMT XOM
Here are the links to interactive Dow charts from Billcara2.com that I broke into groups of ten, which you can add technical indicators for as well. (list one) (list two) (list three)
The Americas
Here is the latest session data for the exchanges of the Americas.
Here is the latest chart for the Brazilian Bovespa stock exchange in Sao Paulo.
Here is the latest session data for the Toronto Stock Exchange composite index.
Sector ETF Summary for the US equity market
The tables I show in this section are for ten (GICS) Sector Index Funds (ETF's) only, but they cover the full spectrum of the US equity market.
Table 1: Cara ETF List
| Symbol | Close | 1Day Change |
1Day %Change |
1W %Change |
2W %Change |
4W %Change |
YTD %Change |
3M %Change |
6M %Change |
12M %Change |
You can do this table yourself by entering the following string into the Summary window at Billcara2.com and then clicking on the link for Performance. XLE XLB XLI XLY XLP IYH XLF SMH IYZ XLU XLK SPY . You can also add more ETFâs â up to 30 in total.
For a list of components to any ETF, go to the AMEX.com web site, and click on ETF's.
10 (energy: XLE)

Table 2: Senior oil & gas equities
| Symbol | Close | 1Day Change |
1Day %Change |
1W %Change |
2W %Change |
4W %Change |
YTD %Change |
3M %Change |
6M %Change |
12M %Change |
15 (basic materials: XLB)

Table 3: Senior metals and steel equities
| Symbol | Close | 1Day Change |
1Day %Change |
1W %Change |
2W %Change |
4W %Change |
YTD %Change |
3M %Change |
6M %Change |
12M %Change |
Table 12: Senior gold equities
| Symbol | Close | 1Day Change |
1Day %Change |
1W %Change |
2W %Change |
4W %Change |
YTD %Change |
3M %Change |
6M %Change |
12M %Change |
20 (industrial: XLI)

Table 4: Senior capital goods makers and transportation
| Symbol | Close | 1Day Change |
1Day %Change |
1W %Change |
2W %Change |
4W %Change |
YTD %Change |
3M %Change |
6M %Change |
12M %Change |
25 (consumer discretionary: XLY)

Table 5: Senior consumer discretionary equities
| Symbol | Close | 1Day Change |
1Day %Change |
1W %Change |
2W %Change |
4W %Change |
YTD %Change |
3M %Change |
6M %Change |
12M %Change |
30 (consumer staples: XLP)

Table 6: Senior consumer staples equities
| Symbol | Close | 1Day Change |
1Day %Change |
1W %Change |
2W %Change |
4W %Change |
YTD %Change |
3M %Change |
6M %Change |
12M %Change |
35 (healthcare: IYH)

Table 7: Senior healthcare equities
| Symbol | Close | 1Day Change |
1Day %Change |
1W %Change |
2W %Change |
4W %Change |
YTD %Change |
3M %Change |
6M %Change |
12M %Change |
40 (financial: XLF)

Table 8: Senior financial company equities
| Symbol | Close | 1Day Change |
1Day %Change |
1W %Change |
2W %Change |
4W %Change |
YTD %Change |
3M %Change |
6M %Change |
12M %Change |
45 (technology, semiconductor: SMH)

Table 9: Senior technology equities
| Symbol | Close | 1Day Change |
1Day %Change |
1W %Change |
2W %Change |
4W %Change |
YTD %Change |
3M %Change |
6M %Change |
12M %Change |
50 (telecom: IYZ)

55 (utilities: XLU)

International Equity Market USD-denominated ETF Review
Table 13: International equities perspective
| Symbol | Close | 1Day Change |
1Day %Change |
1W %Change |
2W %Change |
4W %Change |
YTD %Change |
3M %Change |
6M %Change |
12M %Change |
Japanese equity market ETF: EWJ
Here is the Japanese (EWJ) equity market ETF Daily data charts:


U.K. equity market ETF
Here is the United Kingdom (EWU) equity market ETF Daily data charts:
EWU Daily data:


Canada's equity market
Here is the Canadian (EWC) equity market ETF Daily data charts:


Bonds & Yields Review
Table 10: Yahoo Finance U.S. Treasury Debt, Municipal and Corporate Bond Yields
| Maturity | Yield | Yesterday | Last Week | Last Month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Month | 1.30 | 1.29 | 1.24 | 1.29 |
| 6 Month | 1.64 | 1.65 | 1.60 | 1.46 |
| 2 Year | 2.34 | 2.41 | 2.17 | 1.64 |
| 3 Year | 2.28 | 2.33 | 2.10 | 1.52 |
| 5 Year | 3.12 | 3.17 | 2.93 | 2.51 |
| 10 Year | 3.83 | 3.87 | 3.73 | 3.44 |
| 30 Year | 4.56 | 4.59 | 4.49 | 4.31 |
| Maturity | Yield | Yesterday | Last Week | Last Month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2yr AA | 2.45 | 2.47 | 2.39 | 2.54 |
| 2yr AAA | 2.43 | 2.42 | 2.31 | 2.40 |
| 2yr A | 2.86 | 2.79 | 2.70 | 2.72 |
| 5yr AAA | 3.05 | 3.10 | 3.01 | 2.95 |
| 5yr AA | 3.12 | 3.11 | 3.03 | 3.12 |
| 5yr A | 3.47 | 3.35 | 3.42 | 3.06 |
| 10yr AAA | 3.71 | 3.74 | 3.70 | 3.76 |
| 10yr AA | 3.65 | 3.64 | 3.55 | 3.96 |
| 10yr A | 3.86 | 4.03 | 3.77 | 3.99 |
| 20yr AAA | 4.46 | 4.45 | 4.38 | 4.75 |
| 20yr AA | 4.85 | 4.84 | 4.72 | 4.97 |
| 20yr A | 4.66 | 4.66 | 4.60 | 5.10 |
| Maturity | Yield | Yesterday | Last Week | Last Month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2yr AA | 4.27 | 4.30 | 4.22 | 3.91 |
| 2yr A | 3.88 | 3.97 | 3.81 | 3.64 |
| 5yr AAA | 4.52 | 4.35 | 4.36 | 4.00 |
| 5yr AA | 5.00 | 5.01 | 4.67 | 4.29 |
| 5yr A | 5.36 | 5.02 | 5.23 | 5.23 |
| 10yr AAA | 5.64 | 5.56 | 5.04 | 4.67 |
| 10yr AA | 5.77 | 5.92 | 5.75 | 5.82 |
| 10yr A | 5.55 | 5.55 | 5.46 | 5.46 |
| 20yr AAA | 6.10 | 6.50 | 6.53 | 6.44 |
| 20yr AA | 6.03 | 6.09 | 5.97 | 6.12 |
| 20yr A | 6.35 | 6.37 | 6.40 | 6.31 |
Here is the $USB 30-year Treasury Bond chart.

US Bond Funds -- Interactive Daily Data Charts
SHY Daily data series chart:
IEF Daily data series chart:
TLT Daily data series chart:
AGG Daily data series chart:
LQD Daily data series chart:
TIP Daily data series chart:
Table 11: Interest-sensitive securities
| Symbol | Close | 1Day Change |
1Day %Change |
1W %Change |
2W %Change |
4W %Change |
YTD %Change |
3M %Change |
6M %Change |
12M %Change |
Consumer Finance -USA -- Interactive Daily Data Charts
Commodities Review
Interactive Chart of Daily CRB Commodities Index:

Interactive Chart of Weekly CRB Commodities Index:

Oil Review
Here is the e-miNY Mar-08 Crude Oil chart.
Interactive Chart of Daily Crude Oil:

Interactive Chart of Weekly Crude Oil:

Gold & Precious Metals Review
Interactive Chart of Daily Gold EOD Continuous Contract Index:

Interactive Chart of Weekly Gold EOD Continuous Contract Index:

Spot silver chart for the week
Interactive daily data
Interactive Chart of Daily Silver EOD Continuous Contract Index:

Interactive chart of the Silver Bullion index.
Interactive Chart of Weekly Silver EOD Continuous Contract Index:

Spot platinum chart for the past three days
Interactive Chart of Daily Platinum EOD Continuous Contract Index:

Interactive Chart of Weekly Platinum EOD Continuous Contract Index:

Interactive chart of the Platinum metal index.
Spot palladium chart for the week
Interactive Chart of Daily Palladium EOD Continuous Contract Index:

Interactive Chart of Weekly Palladium EOD Continuous Contract Index:

Interactive chart of the Palladium metal index.
Interactive Chart of Weekly Copper EOD Continuous Contract Index:


Interactive Chart of Daily Copper EOD Continuous Contract Index:
Interactive chart of the Copper metal index.
Table 12: Senior gold equities
| Symbol | Close | 1Day Change |
1Day %Change |
1W %Change |
2W %Change |
4W %Change |
YTD %Change |
3M %Change |
6M %Change |
12M %Change |
To watch the moves in precious metal miners, you will have to monitor the individual stock charts, preferably in real-time, as follows:
NEM ABX AU GFI GG HMY AUY KGC BVN
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data
MDG LIHRY AEM BGO IAG EGO RGLD GOLD CDE GRS
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data
CBJ SSRI SIL NG KRY UXG GRZ TSE_HRG TSE_GUY TSE_AGI
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data
NXG GSS MNG DROOY MFN RNO RANGY MRB CLG
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data
Here are the key Silver miners and the SLV ETF:
SLV SIL CDE HL PAAS SSRI SLW MGN
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data
Here are the Weekly and Daily Data charts of the indexes:
Interactive Chart of Daily U.S. Goldminers Index:

Interactive Chart of Weekly U.S. Goldminers Index:

The U.S. goldminer share trust ETF trades under the ticker symbol GDX.
Here are the U.S. Goldminer ETF (GDX) index Weekly and Daily data charts:
GDX Daily data:

GDX Weekly data:

The Toronto Exchange-listed goldminer iUnits S&P/TSX Capped Gold Index ETF trades under the ticker symbol TSE:XGD. Yes, just like GDX on the AMEX, you can trade XGD on Toronto.
Here are the Weekly and Daily data charts for the TSX Goldshares (XGD) index:
Interactive Chart of XGD Daily data:

Interactive Chart of XGD Weekly data:

Forex Review
Here is the chart of the week's trading in the $USD.
Interactive Chart of Daily U.S. Dollar Index:

Interactive Chart of Daily Euro Dollar Index, priced in USD:

Daily British Pound Index:

Daily Japanese Yen Index:

Daily Canadian Dollar Index:

Wrap-up
Posted by Posted by Bill Cara on April 29, 2008 07:53:52 AM | Category: Daily Report








