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April 8, 2008
Daily Report for Tue, Apr 08, 2008
Markets Re-cap
Following a ferocious bullish media campaign in the early hours of financial entertainment television, US equity prices headed higher on low volume for most of Monday. But, profit-taking set in and the indexes closed flat.
The DJIA (+3 +0.02% to 12612), S&P 500 (+2 +0.16% to 1372.5) and Nasdaq Composite (-6.15 -0.26% to 2364.8) were quiet and mixed. The Toronto Exchange gained +77 (+0.56%) to 13800.
In the Far East, Hong Kong (+1.29% to 24579) and Japan (+1.18% to 13450) were up just about +1.25% to start the day. Then the European bourses followed through with gains of +1.0%: FTSE (+1.14% to 6015); CAC (+0.89% to 4945); and DAX (+0.85% to 6821). That boosted the US to open higher, at least.
During the day, the Healthcare sector (XLV +1.14%) was the only notable mover. Among industries, the Banks ($BKX +1.58%) and Broker-Dealers ($XBD +1.32%) were stronger, but nothing really stood out.
On the corporate scene, Alcoa (AA) reported 1Q net earnings dropped from $662 million ($0.75/sh) to $303 million ($0.37/sh), missing at $0.44/sh the Street expectations for continuing operations of $0.48/sh. Higher costs were cited.
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) said it would cut 10% of its work force, which traders see as a company suffering from business pressures from industry leader Intel (INTC).
On the economics front, consumer debt grew at a more restrained pace.
Crude Oil ($WTIC) jumped +$2.86/bbl to 109.09 after a fire at Finnish company Neste Oil extended its Porvoo refinery shutdown.
The 30-year US Bond ($USB) dropped -0.64% to 118.34, while yields gained across the board (30-year $TYX +1.18% to 4.369) (10-year $TNX +2.15% to 3.556) (5-year $FVX +4.18% to 2.743) and (T-Bills +3.03% to 1.360). That strengthened the US Dollar.
Despite the $USD strengthening (+0.32%) to 72.22, while all major currencies slumped (Euro -0.08% to 157.17; Yen -0.92% to 97.60; Pound -0.26% to 198.78; and the Loonie -0.42% to 98.68), $GOLD lifted +$13.60 (+1.49%) to 926.80.
Earlier today, the All Ords of Australia (-0.87%), Hong Kong (-1.09%), BSE 30 of India (-1.08%) and Nikkei of Japan (-1.49%) were all down. At 8:27am ET, Europe was down about -1.0% (FTSE -0.73%) (CAC -0.99%) (DAX -1.01%).
The futures market has the DJIA (12555 -47), Crude Oil (108.79) and Euro (1.5645), all a bit weaker.
Spot gold, palladium, platinum and silver are at 912.94, 445, 2003, and 17.71 respectively, which has softened.
The talk is of softening economic data.
Comments & Outlook
If unemployment is going to become a crisis in America, I think that the US Retailers ($RLX) will continue under pressure. Part of that pressure will also come from inflated import prices, and high costs of fuel for automobiles.
As we go into the 10th and the few days following, traders have to be watching this industry. “No shoes for baby” could become a mantra.
Yesterday, some of the US retailers continued to be knocked down (KSS -2.7% among the Cara 100 companies). I noted many losers, such as Ann Taylor (ANN -6.5%), Pacific Sunwear (PSUN -5.6%), Dilards (DDS -6.5%), TJX Stores (TJX -3.1%), Tween Brands (TWB -4.2%) and The Buckle (BKE -4.1%) all very weak on the day.
Just something to watch. Either the US consumer has savings or credit, or they do not. The US economy is weakening because they do not.
Links & Charts
International Economics Review
Knobias Cara100 Tables
|
Portfolio GAINERS |
| SYMB | LAST | CHG | %C | VOL |
| IBN | 41.570 | +2.640 | +6.8 | 3.4M |
| HDB | 101.100 | +5.700 | +6 | 1M |
| CHA | 68.580 | +3.440 | +5.3 | 530.6K |
| UBS | 34.880 | +1.230 | +3.7 | 8.5M |
| NTES | 19.960 | +0.590 | +3 | 544.6K |
| PTR | 139.630 | +4.050 | +3 | 1.2M |
| GGB | 37.210 | +1.060 | +2.9 | 4.6M |
| BBD | 30.730 | +0.820 | +2.7 | 6.1M |
| MBT | 83.880 | +2.080 | +2.5 | 1.9M |
| BHP | 75.070 | +1.850 | +2.5 | 5.3M |
| TCK | 45.900 | +1.030 | +2.3 | 2.4M |
| STO | 31.770 | +0.680 | +2.2 | 1.6M |
| VCP | 31.750 | +0.620 | +2 | 847.9K |
| GS | 178.730 | +3.330 | +1.9 | 10.3M |
| DB | 119.750 | +2.010 | +1.7 | 405.2K |
| VIP | 32.640 | +0.490 | +1.5 | 5.2M |
| CHRW | 59.830 | +0.880 | +1.5 | 2.9M |
| TEF | 91.870 | +1.350 | +1.5 | 469.4K |
| MICC | 95.550 | +1.370 | +1.5 | 628.9K |
| CHL | 82.530 | +1.090 | +1.3 | 3.3M |
| GOL | 16.000 | +0.210 | +1.3 | 525.8K |
| LEH | 44.600 | +0.550 | +1.2 | 19.6M |
| GOOG | 476.820 | +5.730 | +1.2 | 5.9M |
| ERJ | 41.960 | +0.500 | +1.2 | 587.3K |
| GFI | 13.860 | +0.150 | +1.1 | 10.1M |
|
Portfolio LOSERS |
| SYMB | LAST | CHG | %C | VOL |
| AMAT | 20.190 | -0.700 | -3.4 | 35.9M |
| WBK | 112.360 | -3.340 | -2.9 | 38.8K |
| KSS | 43.630 | -1.190 | -2.7 | 5.5M |
| BC | 16.960 | -0.450 | -2.6 | 1.1M |
| GRMN | 52.700 | -1.370 | -2.5 | 3.7M |
| NKE | 66.830 | -1.680 | -2.5 | 3.3M |
| YHOO | 27.700 | -0.660 | -2.3 | 29.4M |
| CSCO | 23.940 | -0.450 | -1.8 | 54.6M |
| CCJ | 34.720 | -0.600 | -1.7 | 2.4M |
| RIMM | 118.070 | -1.920 | -1.6 | 21.2M |
| BBBY | 31.110 | -0.490 | -1.6 | 4.3M |
| DELL | 19.230 | -0.300 | -1.5 | 26.1M |
| LLTC | 31.760 | -0.470 | -1.5 | 6.7M |
| WHR | 89.900 | -1.310 | -1.4 | 951.2K |
| CTSH | 28.970 | -0.420 | -1.4 | 2.4M |
| DNA | 78.650 | -1.080 | -1.4 | 3.6M |
| OXPS | 21.410 | -0.290 | -1.3 | 694.1K |
| SLW | 16.450 | -0.220 | -1.3 | 3.2M |
| DEO | 84.930 | -1.060 | -1.2 | 530.4K |
| ABV | 79.110 | -0.960 | -1.2 | 405.5K |
| PAYX | 35.980 | -0.410 | -1.1 | 3.8M |
| SNDK | 25.570 | -0.270 | -1 | 9.3M |
| SBUX | 18.310 | -0.190 | -1 | 6.3M |
| QCOM | 41.670 | -0.380 | -0.9 | 12.1M |
| EXC | 82.430 | -0.740 | -0.9 | 3.3M |
|
Portfolio 52-Wk HIGHS |
| SYMB | DAY HIGH | LAST | CHG | %CHG | VOL |
| GGB | 37.610 | 37.210 | +1.060 | +2.93 | 4.57M |
| CHRW | 60.740 | 59.830 | +0.880 | +1.49 | 2.86M |
| RIO | 38.460 | 36.770 | +0.100 | +0.27 | 33.50M |
|
Portfolio 52-Wk LOWS |
| SYMB | DAY LOW | LAST | CHG | %CHG | VOL |
| NONE FOUND. | |||||
|
Portfolio VOLUME |
| SYMB | LAST | %C | VOL | %ADSV |
| GGB | 37.210 | +2.9 | 4.6M | +67 |
| TCK | 45.900 | +2.3 | 2.4M | +53 |
| GFI | 13.860 | +1.1 | 10.1M | +40 |
| TM | 97.470 | -0.5 | 1.2M | +39 |
| RIO | 36.770 | +0.3 | 33.5M | +34 |
| VIP | 32.640 | +1.5 | 5.2M | +27 |
| HDB | 101.100 | +6 | 1M | +27 |
| CHRW | 59.830 | +1.5 | 2.9M | +27 |
| AMAT | 20.190 | -3.4 | 35.9M | +26 |
| WBK | 112.360 | -2.9 | 38.8K | +23 |
| STO | 31.770 | +2.2 | 1.6M | +19 |
| MBT | 83.880 | +2.5 | 1.9M | +13 |
| LLTC | 31.760 | -1.5 | 6.7M | +13 |
| BHP | 75.070 | +2.5 | 5.3M | +12 |
|
|
Analysts UPGRADES |
| SYMB | ANALYST | OLD | NEW | BEFORE | AFTER | ||
| UBS | UBS Securities | --- |
|
--- | Neutral |
|
Buy |
| • PREVIOUS SESSION | |||||||
| BHP | Bernstein | --- |
|
--- | Mkt Perform |
|
Outperform |
|
Analysts DOWNGRADES |
| SYMB | ANALYST | OLD | NEW | BEFORE | AFTER | ||
| AMAT | CSFB | --- |
|
--- | Outperform |
|
Neutral |
| NUE | Morgan Stanley | --- |
|
--- | Overweight |
|
Equal-weight |
| • PREVIOUS SESSION | |||||||
| DELL | WR Hambrecht | --- |
|
--- | Buy |
|
Hold |
| DELL | Goldman Sachs | --- |
|
--- | Buy |
|
Neutral |
Cara 100 Daily RSI-7 Charts
At least one RSI value >70:
| Ticker | Last | RSI-7M | RSI-7W | RSI-7D | Zone |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PBR | 111.10 | 83.05 | 55.52 | 66.86 | |
| SYT | 60.82 | 80.61 | 69.67 | 66.25 | Sell alert (trig. 1 days ago [on 2008-04-07 at $60.82, +0.00% chg], after a 1 day DZ) |
| GGB | 37.21 | 78.45 | 72.39 | 81.74 | Distribution Zone (for 1 days) |
| TT | 46.40 | 76.19 | 78.11 | 64.24 | |
| NUE | 71.28 | 75.90 | 70.16 | 59.40 | |
| RIO | 36.77 | 75.03 | 64.54 | 73.66 | |
| ATVI | 27.25 | 74.46 | 59.58 | 53.10 | |
| NKE | 66.83 | 73.58 | 62.80 | 51.21 | Sell alert (trig. 4 days ago [on 2008-04-02 at $67.97, -1.68% chg], after a 1 day DZ) |
| WMT | 54.23 | 71.55 | 76.31 | 65.15 | Sell alert (trig. 2 days ago [on 2008-04-04 at $54.40, -0.31% chg], after a 3 day DZ) |
| RIMM | 118.07 | 70.34 | 66.74 | 58.09 | |
| PDA | 50.11 | 70.19 | 55.76 | 57.44 | |
| ECA | 76.78 | 70.15 | 62.67 | 60.64 | |
| VCP | 31.75 | 69.15 | 59.55 | 72.20 | |
| BHP | 75.07 | 67.19 | 61.64 | 82.17 | |
| CHRW | 59.83 | 67.06 | 67.28 | 70.24 | |
| TEF | 91.87 | 64.78 | 62.05 | 78.27 | |
| CHL | 82.53 | 63.69 | 63.05 | 76.90 | |
| TCK | 45.90 | 63.03 | 67.79 | 75.13 | |
| CVX | 88.27 | 58.82 | 59.57 | 70.69 | |
| STO | 31.77 | 57.69 | 64.48 | 78.32 | |
| HBC | 84.82 | 53.83 | 72.14 | 66.99 | |
| ERTS | 52.30 | 50.91 | 60.07 | 70.05 | |
| PAYX | 35.98 | 47.42 | 63.08 | 73.19 | |
| DOW | 38.80 | 45.83 | 57.79 | 71.13 | |
| TGP | 30.30 | 42.58 | 56.92 | 83.77 | |
| GSK | 45.03 | 37.51 | 51.71 | 70.38 | |
| UBS | 34.88 | 28.88 | 48.95 | 72.78 |
At least one RSI value <30:
| Ticker | Last | RSI-7M | RSI-7W | RSI-7D | Zone |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SBUX | 18.31 | 21.37 | 44.30 | 56.53 | |
| TM | 97.47 | 23.64 | 34.03 | 31.77 | |
| INFY | 36.96 | 26.50 | 42.34 | 54.40 | |
| GOL | 16.00 | 26.86 | 37.79 | 50.33 | |
| JCP | 40.26 | 27.46 | 43.20 | 48.06 | |
| AET | 42.31 | 28.22 | 18.98 | 40.40 | |
| BA | 74.98 | 28.57 | 31.45 | 44.35 | |
| BC | 16.96 | 28.58 | 49.03 | 52.98 | |
| UBS | 34.88 | 28.88 | 48.95 | 72.78 | |
| KSS | 43.63 | 28.98 | 45.60 | 44.28 | |
| SNDK | 25.57 | 29.06 | 46.45 | 67.43 | |
| DELL | 19.23 | 29.18 | 33.56 | 37.01 | |
| GRMN | 52.70 | 32.70 | 29.68 | 34.84 |
International Equity Markets Review
Europe
Here is the latest session data for the bourses of Europe.
Here is the latest session data for the London stock exchange FTSE.
Here is the latest session data for the German DAX.
Here is the latest session data for the French CAC 40.
Here is the latest session data for the Milan Italy stock exchange MIBTEL.
Here is the latest session data for the Swiss market index.
Asia-Pacific
Here is the latest session data for the Asia-Pacific stock exchanges.
Here is the latest chart for the Japanese Nikkei 225 index.
Here is the latest chart for the Singapore index .
Here is the latest chart for the Shanghai Composite index .
Here is the latest chart for the Hong Kong Hang Seng index .
Here is the latest chart for the India BSE 30 index .
Here is the latest chart for the Australian All Ordinaries index .
US Equity Markets Review
NASDAQ Composite (interactive) chart
Table 14: Dow 30 List
| Symbol | Close | 1Day Change |
1Day %Change |
1W %Change |
2W %Change |
4W %Change |
YTD %Change |
3M %Change |
6M %Change |
12M %Change |
You can do this table yourself by entering the following string into the Summaries window at www.billcara2.com and then clicking on the link for Performance.
AA AIG AXP BA C CAT DD DIS GE GM HD HON HPQ IBM INTC JNJ JPM KO MCD MMM MO MRK MSFT PFE PG T UTX VZ WMT XOM
Here are the links to interactive Dow charts from Billcara2.com that I broke into groups of ten, which you can add technical indicators for as well. (list one) (list two) (list three)
The Americas
Here is the latest session data for the exchanges of the Americas.
Here is the latest chart for the Brazilian Bovespa stock exchange in Sao Paulo.
Here is the latest session data for the Toronto Stock Exchange composite index.
Sector ETF Summary for the US equity market
The tables I show in this section are for ten (GICS) Sector Index Funds (ETF's) only, but they cover the full spectrum of the US equity market.
Table 1: Cara ETF List
| Symbol | Close | 1Day Change |
1Day %Change |
1W %Change |
2W %Change |
4W %Change |
YTD %Change |
3M %Change |
6M %Change |
12M %Change |
