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April 18, 2008

Daily Report for Fri, Apr 18, 2008

Markets Re-cap

The US equity market finished flat yesterday with moderate softness in small caps and NASDAQ tech stocks.

On the very busy earnings front, IBM (IBM) and United Tech (UTX) beat the street whereas Merrill Lynch (MER) and Pfizer (PFE) fell short.

The macro-economic data continued to be bad. Jobless claims for the week increased 17K to 372K and the Philly Fed manufacturing index was worse than anticipated.

Nokia (NOK) was hammered -14.1% on high volume as, despite a huge profit increase, the company’s guidance for the rest of the year was negative.


Comments & Outlook

The precious metals charts are looking bullish and the USD bearish, however, I think we are at a reversal point here.

Rather than continue to lower rates, I believe the Fed will now work toward a stronger $USD policy to achieve a similar impact.

I continue to advise against chasing precious metal bullion and stocks. Margined positions should be eliminated.


Links & Charts


International Economics Review

US Economic Calendar.



Knobias Cara100 Tables

 Portfolio GAINERS
SYMB LAST CHG %C VOL
LEH 43.640 +1.920 +4.6 22.1M
BBD 21.740 +0.890 +4.3 12M
WFMI 33.180 +0.750 +2.3 2.1M
NKE 67.550 +1.480 +2.2 3.5M
PBR 125.490 +2.650 +2.2 12.1M
ORCL 21.200 +0.430 +2.1 37.2M
MBT 71.950 +1.430 +2 5M
COST 68.490 +1.250 +1.9 4.9M
GS 172.100 +3.050 +1.8 8.7M
DELL 19.050 +0.330 +1.8 28.3M
NUE 73.840 +1.230 +1.7 11.8M
UBS 34.610 +0.520 +1.5 4.4M
DIS 30.780 +0.460 +1.5 13.4M
CCL 41.400 +0.590 +1.4 2.7M
JCP 38.670 +0.480 +1.3 4.1M
LLTC 33.400 +0.410 +1.2 5.7M
KSS 44.550 +0.480 +1.1 4.3M
BBBY 30.870 +0.330 +1.1 4.4M
EXC 87.100 +0.870 +1 3.4M
NTES 20.400 +0.190 +0.9 185.3K
SU 114.790 +0.910 +0.8 2.5M
PDA 51.330 +0.400 +0.8 171.9K
WHR 81.440 +0.570 +0.7 3.4M
TM 98.570 +0.590 +0.6 558.5K
HBC 84.550 +0.470 +0.6 895.6K

 Portfolio LOSERS
SYMB LAST CHG %C VOL
NOK 28.950 -4.740 -14.1 89.8M
VIP 30.000 -1.450 -4.6 4.9M
TGP 28.750 -1.230 -4.1 354.8K
SNDK 25.900 -0.800 -3 10.6M
ABV 77.560 -2.140 -2.7 610K
GG 42.270 -1.140 -2.6 5.3M
UTX 70.790 -1.840 -2.5 6.7M
PG 67.560 -1.710 -2.5 21M
CTSH 29.260 -0.740 -2.5 3.4M
STO 33.640 -0.830 -2.4 3.2M
TCK 46.800 -1.070 -2.2 1.2M
ABB 27.200 -0.610 -2.2 2M
CHRW 58.560 -1.270 -2.1 1.1M
WBK 105.750 -2.220 -2.1 38.6K
BHP 80.580 -1.690 -2.1 4.2M
BDK 66.720 -1.320 -1.9 716.7K
ABX 45.160 -0.880 -1.9 5.8M
IMO 58.220 -1.120 -1.9 287.7K
VCP 31.690 -0.580 -1.8 435.8K
BMY 21.590 -0.390 -1.8 9.7M
GRMN 42.500 -0.722 -1.7 2.9M
GOL 15.310 -0.250 -1.6 821.6K
TEF 88.790 -1.440 -1.6 386K
IBN 41.250 -0.660 -1.6 3.5M
CHL 83.400 -1.300 -1.5 3M

 Portfolio 52-Wk HIGHS
SYMB DAY HIGH LAST CHG %CHG VOL
PBR 126.070 125.490 +2.650 +2.16 12.07M
NUE 76.480 73.840 +1.230 +1.69 11.77M
EXC 87.600 87.100 +0.870 +1.01 3.42M
GGB 38.140 37.560 -0.210 -0.56 1.88M
ECA 85.450 83.750 -1.100 -1.30 3.03M

 Portfolio 52-Wk LOWS
SYMB DAY LOW LAST CHG %CHG VOL
NONE FOUND.

 Portfolio VOLUME
SYMB LAST %C VOL %ADSV
NOK 28.950 -14.1 89.8M +414
MBT 71.950 +2 5M +201
STO 33.640 -2.4 3.2M +139
GOOG 449.540 -1.2 13M +127
WHR 81.440 +0.7 3.4M +122
NUE 73.840 +1.7 11.8M +121
PG 67.560 -2.5 21M +88
BBD 21.740 +4.3 12M +35
UTX 70.790 -2.5 6.7M +33
VIP 30.000 -4.6 4.9M +31
PDA 51.330 +0.8 171.9K +27
PBR 125.490 +2.2 12.1M +24
OXPS 19.770 -0.5 1.1M +24
GOL 15.310 -1.6 821.6K +21
ABV 77.560 -2.7 610K +21
WBK 105.750 -2.1 38.6K +20
DIS 30.780 +1.5 13.4M +18
TOT 80.270 -1.2 1.8M +14
COST 68.490 +1.9 4.9M +12
ECA 83.750 -1.3 3M +11

 Analysts UPGRADES
SYMB ANALYST OLD   NEW BEFORE   AFTER
NONE FOUND.
• PREVIOUS SESSION
NUE Longbow --- --- Neutral Buy

 Analysts DOWNGRADES
SYMB ANALYST OLD   NEW BEFORE   AFTER
NOK Davenport --- 32.00 Buy Neutral
PG Deutsche Bank 76.00 74.00 Buy Hold
• PREVIOUS SESSION
TEF Lehman --- --- Equal-weight Underweight


Cara 100 Daily RSI-7 Charts


At least one RSI value >70:
rsi
TickerLastRSI-7MRSI-7WRSI-7DZone
SYT63.1889.4772.0772.15Distribution Zone (for 2 days)
WMT56.6782.8281.4775.60Distribution Zone (for 4 days)
ECA83.7579.0377.0074.37Distribution Zone (for 3 days)
ATVI27.4878.6259.5067.11
GGB37.5678.4074.3966.93Sell alert (trig. 5 days ago [on 2008-04-11 at $35.94, +4.51% chg], after a 1 day DZ)
GG42.2777.8762.7060.31
PBR125.4976.6365.6582.12
TT46.5476.6271.0163.53
RIMM118.6376.1264.1654.77
SU114.7974.7269.1781.78
RIO37.9873.7466.4974.68Sell alert (trig. 1 days ago [on 2008-04-17 at $37.98, +0.00% chg], after a 1 day DZ)
EXC87.1072.4276.4282.62Distribution Zone (for 1 days)
IMO58.4472.2064.7572.79Sell alert (trig. 1 days ago [on 2008-04-17 at $58.44, +0.00% chg], after a 1 day DZ)
PDA51.3371.9759.9166.14
NKE67.5570.6767.9559.42
NUE73.8470.4279.6566.59
BHP80.5868.8067.1571.16
CEO170.3668.6157.7670.33
CHRW58.5668.2578.1755.70
COST68.4967.9665.0571.73
XOM93.3864.5668.7081.06
TS52.8663.9570.3268.55
CVX91.9963.8864.8380.01
NTES20.4061.1058.2773.17
LLTC33.4056.6674.9470.33
DOW39.4348.7660.9570.29
PAYX36.4648.4665.8470.88
CCJ37.8845.8555.1870.73
INFY41.0545.0157.6579.79

At least one RSI value <30:
rsi
TickerLastRSI-7MRSI-7WRSI-7DZone
SBUX17.6612.0736.7950.20
BC15.6723.4036.4437.61
JCP38.6724.8933.0043.70
BBD21.7425.9516.997.80Accumulation Zone (for 2 days)
GOL15.3127.3526.9341.59
DELL19.0528.0335.0551.49Buy alert (trig. 2 days ago [on 2008-04-16 at $18.72, +1.76% chg], after a 2 day AZ)
GSK42.6629.5438.2043.59
AET41.3631.0717.7042.10Buy alert (trig. 3 days ago [on 2008-04-15 at $42.07, -1.69% chg], after a 1 day AZ)
GRMN42.5033.8117.7318.40Buy alert (trig. 6 days ago [on 2008-04-10 at $46.56, -8.72% chg], after a 1 day AZ)
OXPS19.7733.9022.2127.44
GE32.0235.7030.5522.26
NOK28.9542.8834.0025.98
DNA73.3145.3241.0618.23
MBT71.9549.6831.8329.81
PG67.5655.4845.9020.92


International Equity Markets Review

Europe

Here is the latest session data for the bourses of Europe.


Here is the latest session data for the London stock exchange FTSE.


Here is the latest session data for the German DAX.


Here is the latest session data for the French CAC 40.


Here is the latest session data for the Milan Italy stock exchange MIBTEL.


Here is the latest session data for the Swiss market index.


Asia-Pacific

Here is the latest session data for the Asia-Pacific stock exchanges.


Here is the latest chart for the Japanese Nikkei 225 index.


Here is the latest chart for the Singapore index .


Here is the latest chart for the Shanghai Composite index .


Here is the latest chart for the Hong Kong Hang Seng index .


Here is the latest chart for the India BSE 30 index .

Here is the latest chart for the Australian All Ordinaries index .


US Equity Markets Review

DJIA (interactive) chart

NASDAQ Composite (interactive) chart

Table 14: Dow 30 List

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
XOM 93.38 0.49 0.53% 4.28% 5.84% 10.60% -0.14% 11.29% -1.50% 19.11%
CAT 78.59 -0.43 -0.54% 3.80% 1.97% 6.59% 11.27% 25.80% 1.89% 16.15%
WMT 56.67 -0.40 -0.70% 3.68% 3.17% 11.60% 20.83% 19.36% 23.22% 17.65%
IBM 123.08 2.61 2.17% 3.62% 6.09% 5.25% 17.57% 21.74% 6.31% 26.73%
DD 51.21 0.11 0.22% 3.16% 4.34% 12.62% 17.08% 19.65% 6.00% 2.73%
JPM 45.12 0.16 0.36% 2.87% -2.51% 6.24% 7.00% 12.69% -2.70% -10.08%
CVX 91.99 0.06 0.07% 2.67% 4.87% 12.33% -1.57% 11.17% -1.36% 18.00%
MCD 57.33 0.15 0.26% 2.65% 1.94% 6.84% -1.33% 10.29% 0.65% 16.98%
HPQ 47.31 0.21 0.45% 1.59% 0.75% 1.55% -5.02% 10.02% -9.95% 14.80%
C 24.03 0.59 2.52% 1.35% -1.35% 17.74% -16.91% -3.73% -46.19% -54.25%
AIG 46.17 0.70 1.54% 1.34% -1.75% 9.46% -17.99% -14.93% -29.83% -32.25%
MSFT 29.22 0.27 0.93% 0.38% 0.76% 2.10% -17.04% -11.75% -5.98% 1.28%
MMM 80.65 -0.04 -0.05% 0.37% 0.60% 1.48% -2.49% 7.59% -14.44% 4.36%
INTC 22.11 -0.02 -0.09% 0.14% 0.82% 4.84% -12.78% 14.38% -17.25% 5.39%
VZ 35.85 0.00 0.00% 0.06% -5.83% 2.05% -17.03% -12.37% -20.79% -4.30%
BAC 37.47 0.49 1.33% -0.58% -7.18% -2.83% -7.62% 1.52% -25.10% -26.96%
AXP 44.70 0.95 2.17% -0.80% -4.24% 6.43% -12.42% 4.76% -25.60% -23.25%
JNJ 65.76 0.06 0.09% -0.86% 0.75% 1.36% -0.23% -3.05% 1.40% 1.87%
HD 28.12 0.10 0.36% -0.92% -3.76% 4.77% 7.70% 7.12% -11.52% -28.70%
KO 60.68 -0.47 -0.77% -1.06% 0.20% 1.20% -0.67% -2.19% 2.69% 17.67%
UTX 70.79 -1.84 -2.53% -1.48% 0.04% 2.95% -5.88% 3.97% -7.83% 6.97%
AA 35.57 -0.40 -1.11% -1.50% -7.71% -0.14% -1.55% 23.55% -6.32% 2.30%
T 37.57 -0.04 -0.11% -1.65% -3.69% 4.22% -8.37% 0.72% -10.40% -4.13%
DIS 30.78 0.46 1.52% -1.82% -2.38% -1.47% -3.33% 6.99% -13.00% -12.43%
GM 19.79 -0.11 -0.55% -1.88% -8.34% 3.99% -18.93% -13.35% -48.84% -38.41%
BA 76.91 0.24 0.31% -1.94% 1.01% 4.71% -11.21% -3.28% -19.54% -14.97%
PFE 20.40 -0.70 -3.32% -2.49% -4.40% -1.02% -10.96% -11.15% -16.90% -24.16%
PG 67.56 -1.71 -2.47% -3.73% -4.13% -0.37% -6.57% -0.75% -4.29% 5.73%
MRK 39.22 -1.09 -2.70% -5.97% 2.24% -8.77% -31.64% -28.52% -26.58% -21.58%
GE 32.02 -0.21 -0.65% -12.87% -15.38% -10.03% -12.89% -3.58% -21.90% -9.03%

You can do this table yourself by entering the following string into the Summaries window at www.billcara2.com and then clicking on the link for Performance.

AA AIG AXP BA C CAT DD DIS GE GM HD HON HPQ IBM INTC JNJ JPM KO MCD MMM MO MRK MSFT PFE PG T UTX VZ WMT XOM

Here are the links to interactive Dow charts from Billcara2.com that I broke into groups of ten, which you can add technical indicators for as well. (list one) (list two) (list three)



The Americas

Here is the latest session data for the exchanges of the Americas.


Here is the latest chart for the Brazilian Bovespa stock exchange in Sao Paulo.


Here is the latest session data for the Toronto Stock Exchange composite index.



Sector ETF Summary for the US equity market

The tables I show in this section are for ten (GICS) Sector Index Funds (ETF's) only, but they cover the full spectrum of the US equity market.

Table 1: Cara ETF List

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
XLE 82.11 0.00