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March 18, 2008
Daily Report for Tue, Mar 18, 2008
Markets Re-cap
Financial turmoil led in the morning on Monday to a crushing of equity market prices and portfolio values of those traders who were not already in cash. But by the end of the day, there was a sense of stability.
On Monday, the collapse of Bear Stearns, which had been the fifth largest investment bank on Wall Street and its dramatic fire-sale take-over by JP Morgan, was the biggest news of at least the past year.
By the end of the day, the DJIA (+21.16 to 11972), S&P 500 (-11.54 to 1276.6), Nasdaq Composite (-35.48 to 2177) and Toronto Composite (12952), held stable after a massive liquidity pump by the Fed that started about 2:00pm ET, following which the DJIA, for example gained about +175 points.
The losing sectors were Energy (XLE -3.49%), Financials (XLF -2.29%) and Basic Materials (XLB -2.20%), while the Utilities (XLU +0.66%) gained a bit.
The Broker-Dealers ($XBD -10.3%) were hammered as the Bear Stearns fiasco erupted. But at noon the $XBD had been down by -14.9%.
International equity markets were also hammered.
Today, the world awaits the FOMC decision at 2:15pm ET. There are expectations of a Fed Rate cut of up to -1.00 point (-100 basis points), which would be dramatic. Yesterday, in an emergency action, the Fed cut its discount window by a quarter of a percentage point to 3.25%.
On the economics front, the New York Fed's Empire State Manufacturing Survey for March fell to its lowest point ever. US Industrial production for February fell -0.5%, capacity utilization dropped to 80.9%.
Crude Oil ($WTIC) dropped -$4.51/bbl to 104.23 under the weight of this worsening macro-economic picture.
$GOLD lifted by +$3.10/oz to 1002.60 as the $USD fell -0.32% to 71.44. The Euro (+0.54% to 157.22) and the Yen (+2.07% to 102.87) were very strong, but the Pound (-1.01% to 202.14) and Cdn Loonie (-1.37% to 100.15) sold off to support the USD.
This morning, the Japanese and Hong Kong equity markets were strong, and so too are the big three of Europe. The DJIA futures are up some +300 points over the noon reading yesterday.
The Euro is 1.5740, Crude Oil at 107.075, and precious metals up a bit overnight but far off yesterday morning highs in the market blow-up. This morning, the gold, palladium, platinum and silver prices at 6:50am ET were 1005.85, 473, 2000 and 20.22.
Comments & Outlook
Had the Federal Reserve Bank not intervened, what is called the credit ring of the global financial services industry would have failed, leading to a collapse of the capital market as one bank after another would have reneged on payments to others, causing a domino effect of bank failures. The concept of financial Armageddon almost became reality.
History is being made in the capital markets. It is prudent for the owners of capital to now stand aside, ie, to withdraw all liquidity, to cause enough of a run on banks that the bottom line is that the weakest financial services companies fail and the strongest return to us, the owners of capital, a market that is free of the most basic conflicts of interest that have existed since the 1933 and 1934 US Securities Act and Regulations that permitted such behavior.
In effect, Wall Street has been hoisted on their own petard.
[From the urban dictionary] Petard: a device contrived to hurt another person; boobytrap; an explosive contraption used in warfare to blow in a door or form a breach in a wall.To "hoist by one's own petard" means you have been hurt or caught by the very device that you intended to hurt someone else. This phrase is often used mockingly, as if to say that you stepped in your own mess.
The revolution in the financial services industry has begun. Should we join it, the victors will enjoy the spoils, with not much changed. But, if we decide to step back and force their hand, ie, let these banks destroy themselves, the victors will have to return to us with a new and much improved capital market, one that works for us and not against us.
It is time for those who provide services to be the servants and for the owners of capital to be the masters.
A simple philosophy in life, yes, but we all need to get back to the basics.
Links & Charts
International Economics Review
Knobias Cara100 Tables
|
Portfolio GAINERS |
| SYMB | LAST | CHG | %C | VOL |
| JNJ | 64.040 | +1.390 | +2.2 | 22.1M |
| GE | 34.330 | +0.510 | +1.5 | 81.5M |
| INTC | 20.850 | +0.190 | +0.9 | 66.9M |
| GOL | 14.860 | +0.100 | +0.7 | 659.5K |
| PDA | 48.660 | +0.300 | +0.6 | 143.4K |
| LLTC | 29.840 | +0.170 | +0.6 | 7.1M |
| GRMN | 57.290 | +0.320 | +0.6 | 3.8M |
| PG | 67.050 | +0.310 | +0.5 | 17.1M |
| GSK | 41.030 | +0.180 | +0.4 | 1.2M |
| AMAT | 20.670 | +0.090 | +0.4 | 28M |
| KO | 57.690 | +0.160 | +0.3 | 10.8M |
| WMT | 49.950 | +0.130 | +0.3 | 22.1M |
| BC | 15.370 | +0.030 | +0.2 | 1.7M |
|
Portfolio LOSERS |
| SYMB | LAST | CHG | %C | VOL |
| LEH | 31.750 | -7.510 | -19.1 | 224.5M |
| IBKR | 25.370 | -4.350 | -14.6 | 7.5M |
| IBN | 35.160 | -5.180 | -12.8 | 12.3M |
| UBS | 24.660 | -3.100 | -11.2 | 24.5M |
| NTES | 18.550 | -1.630 | -8.1 | 2.8M |
| HDB | 88.060 | -7.060 | -7.4 | 1.2M |
| OXPS | 19.560 | -1.410 | -6.7 | 3M |
| SLW | 18.170 | -1.210 | -6.2 | 5.2M |
| VIP | 29.770 | -1.960 | -6.2 | 5M |
| CHA | 62.610 | -3.770 | -5.7 | 530.6K |
| ADBE | 30.790 | -1.820 | -5.6 | 15.1M |
| MICC | 95.520 | -5.630 | -5.6 | 951.6K |
| CCJ | 37.350 | -2.150 | -5.4 | 2.8M |
| BHP | 66.820 | -3.790 | -5.4 | 5.3M |
| TCK | 41.060 | -2.140 | -5 | 2.5M |
| RIO | 32.160 | -1.660 | -4.9 | 31.1M |
| ABB | 24.260 | -1.220 | -4.8 | 6M |
| IMO | 51.720 | -2.500 | -4.6 | 795.4K |
| TS | 46.880 | -2.220 | -4.5 | 3.6M |
| KB | 52.050 | -2.400 | -4.4 | 1.1M |
| PBR | 103.570 | -4.650 | -4.3 | 10.8M |
| GOOG | 419.870 | -18.050 | -4.1 | 7.9M |
| ECA | 76.340 | -3.250 | -4.1 | 3.4M |
| ERJ | 40.460 | -1.680 | -4 | 1.1M |
| CEO | 149.990 | -6.160 | -3.9 | 726.7K |
|
Portfolio 52-Wk HIGHS |
| SYMB | DAY HIGH | LAST | CHG | %CHG | VOL |
| GG | 46.300 | 44.220 | -1.370 | -3.01 | 11.91M |
|
Portfolio 52-Wk LOWS |
| SYMB | DAY LOW | LAST | CHG | %CHG | VOL |
| IBN | 33.670 | 35.160 | -5.180 | -12.84 | 12.34M |
| OXPS | 18.550 | 19.560 | -1.410 | -6.72 | 2.99M |
| ADBE | 30.700 | 30.790 | -1.820 | -5.58 | 15.06M |
| KB | 50.860 | 52.050 | -2.400 | -4.41 | 1.13M |
| GOOG | 412.110 | 419.870 | -18.050 | -4.12 | 7.86M |
| GS | 140.270 | 151.020 | -5.840 | -3.72 | 38.66M |
| RY | 43.060 | 44.480 | -1.690 | -3.66 | 2.08M |
| CCL | 36.100 | 36.480 | -1.370 | -3.62 | 6.01M |
| BDK | 61.710 | 62.470 | -2.120 | -3.28 | 1.53M |
| DB | 102.360 | 105.830 | -3.050 | -2.80 | 1.19M |
| INFY | 32.650 | 33.010 | -0.930 | -2.74 | 3.36M |
| WFMI | 29.990 | 30.650 | -0.520 | -1.67 | 3.91M |
| BMY | 20.050 | 20.460 | -0.180 | -0.87 | 19.19M |
| GOL | 14.060 | 14.860 | +0.100 | +0.68 | 659.50K |
|
Portfolio VOLUME |
| SYMB | LAST | %C | VOL | %ADSV |
| LEH | 31.750 | -19.1 | 224.5M | +820 |
| IBKR | 25.370 | -14.6 | 7.5M | +652 |
| IBN | 35.160 | -12.8 | 12.3M | +253 |
| UBS | 24.660 | -11.2 | 24.5M | +192 |
| GS | 151.020 | -3.7 | 38.7M | +177 |
| TT | 45.460 | +0 | 7.3M | +158 |
| OXPS | 19.560 | -6.7 | 3M | +142 |
| NTES | 18.550 | -8.1 | 2.8M | +106 |
| ADBE | 30.790 | -5.6 | 15.1M | +94 |
| CHRW | 51.530 | -2.1 | 3M | +87 |
| SBUX | 17.260 | -0.7 | 22.7M | +82 |
| JNJ | 64.040 | +2.2 | 22.1M | +78 |
| HDB | 88.060 | -7.4 | 1.2M | +77 |
| CTSH | 26.810 | -1.7 | 6.7M | +77 |
| DEO | 79.120 | -2 | 910.5K | +73 |
| IMO | 51.720 | -4.6 | 795.4K | +71 |
| GE | 34.330 | +1.5 | 81.5M | +68 |
| DB | 105.830 | -2.8 | 1.2M | +67 |
| VIP | 29.770 | -6.2 | 5M | +63 |
| EXC | 79.390 | -0.5 | 5.3M | +56 |
| KSS | 39.970 | -3.4 | 7.6M | +47 |
| BBBY | 28.820 | -0.1 | 7.3M | +47 |
| TM | 99.200 | -1.1 | 954.1K | +45 |
| KB | 52.050 | -4.4 | 1.1M | +45 |
| PBR | 103.570 | -4.3 | 10.8M | +44 |
|
|
Analysts UPGRADES |
| SYMB | ANALYST | OLD | NEW | BEFORE | AFTER | ||
| NONE FOUND. | |||||||
| • PREVIOUS SESSION | |||||||
| XOM | CSFB | --- |
|
102.00 | Neutral |
|
Outperform |
|
Analysts DOWNGRADES |
| SYMB | ANALYST | OLD | NEW | BEFORE | AFTER | ||
| DB | Fox-Pitt | --- |
|
--- | Outperform |
|
In-line |
| INFY | Oppenheimer | --- |
|
--- | Outperform |
|
Sector Perform |
| NKE | Caris & Co | --- |
|
--- | Buy |
|
Above Average |
| • PREVIOUS SESSION | |||||||
| BBD | Goldman Sachs | --- |
|
--- | Buy |
|
Neutral |
Cara 100 Daily RSI-7 Charts
At least one RSI value >70:
| Ticker | Last | RSI-7M | RSI-7W | RSI-7D | Zone |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GG | 44.22 | 80.86 | 69.93 | 56.57 | Sell alert (trig. 7 days ago [on 2008-03-07 at $42.75, +3.44% chg], after a 1 day DZ) |
| ATVI | 26.54 | 77.68 | 51.71 | 36.45 | |
| ABX | 52.32 | 76.08 | 60.98 | 55.37 | |
| ECA | 76.34 | 76.01 | 74.18 | 50.27 | Sell alert (trig. 1 days ago [on 2008-03-17 at $76.34, +0.00% chg], after a 2 day DZ) |
| SLW | 18.17 | 75.97 | 65.67 | 52.43 | Sell alert (trig. 1 days ago [on 2008-03-17 at $18.17, +0.00% chg], after a 2 day DZ) |
| GGB | 32.24 | 75.73 | 61.12 | 51.96 | |
| TT | 45.46 | 71.52 | 67.40 | 51.23 | Sell alert (trig. 2 days ago [on 2008-03-14 at $45.46, +0.00% chg], after a 1 day DZ) |
| NUE | 70.42 | 66.98 | 71.09 | 60.18 | Sell alert (trig. 8 days ago [on 2008-03-06 at $68.50, +2.80% chg], after a 1 day DZ) |
At least one RSI value <30:
| Ticker | Last | RSI-7M | RSI-7W | RSI-7D | Zone |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SBUX | 17.26 | 14.41 | 27.76 | 38.08 | Buy alert (trig. 5 days ago [on 2008-03-11 at $17.74, -2.71% chg], after a 2 day AZ) |
| UBS | 24.66 | 14.84 | 9.56 | 17.27 | Accumulation Zone (for 2 days) |
| KB | 52.05 | 18.90 | 21.40 | 22.09 | Accumulation Zone (for 2 days) |
| LEH | 31.75 | 19.85 | 17.87 | 15.17 | Accumulation Zone (for 2 days) |
| SNDK | 21.60 | 20.32 | 20.36 | 34.33 | Buy alert (trig. 4 days ago [on 2008-03-12 at $22.52, -4.09% chg], after a 8 day AZ) |
| BC | 15.37 | 24.49 | 33.57 | 38.93 | |
| DELL | 19.39 | 26.20 | 28.22 | 41.80 | |
| INFY | 33.01 | 26.63 | 25.89 | 21.73 | Accumulation Zone (for 1 days) |
| GOL | 14.86 | 26.67 | 18.78 | 22.82 | Accumulation Zone (for 8 days) |
| BMY | 20.46 | 26.77 | 16.98 | 20.02 | Accumulation Zone (for 2 days) |
| PAYX | 31.01 | 26.97 | 30.35 | 38.05 | Buy alert (trig. 5 days ago [on 2008-03-11 at $31.63, -1.96% chg], after a 3 day AZ) |
| JCP | 37.56 | 27.24 | 30.73 | 16.25 | |
| GSK | 41.03 | 27.40 | 28.48 | 31.11 | Buy alert (trig. 1 days ago [on 2008-03-17 at $41.03, +0.00% chg], after a 1 day AZ) |
| KSS | 39.97 | 28.55 | 29.50 | 24.06 | Accumulation Zone (for 1 days) |
| ADBE | 30.79 | 28.77 | 21.86 | 24.31 | Accumulation Zone (for 1 days) |
| TGP | 27.30 | 28.97 | 34.06 | 16.08 | |
| DB | 105.83 | 30.41 | 27.10 | 33.24 | |
| WFMI | 30.65 | 30.56 | 23.30 | 13.48 | |
| BDK | 62.47 | 31.97 | 29.85 | 32.75 | Buy alert (trig. 5 days ago [on 2008-03-11 at $64.94, -3.80% chg], after a 1 day AZ) |
| GS | 151.02 | 32.50 | 21.05 | 27.78 | |
| OXPS | 19.56 | 33.41 | 14.59 | 26.93 | |
| CCL | 36.48 | 33.89 | 31.06 | 27.38 | |
| TM | 99.20 | 34.07 | 32.26 | 28.11 | |
| GOOG | 419.87 | 34.13 | 19.34 | 28.97 | |
| AET | 42.82 | 34.20 | 16.74 | 24.63 | |
| IBN | 35.16 | 34.94 | 21.25 | 17.19 | |
| TGT | 48.50 | 35.31 | 32.79 | 18.23 | |
| CTSH | 26.81 | 35.89 | 31.60 | 26.93 | |
| ERJ | 40.46 | 37.67 | 36.99 | 28.25 | |
| RY | 44.48 | 39.82 | 27.59 | 25.76 | |
| IBKR | 25.37 | 40.43 | 30.07 | 18.87 | |
| MFC | 34.63 | 40.57 | 32.18 | 21.45 | |
| PTR | 124.04 | 40.76 | 24.78 | 26.58 | |
| HDB | 88.06 | 41.92 | 25.21 | 27.45 | |
| QCOM | 38.50 | 44.64 | 38.76 | 27.35 | |
| YHOO | 25.85 | 47.56 | 45.13 | 21.53 | |
| NOK | 31.09 | 48.39 | 30.80 | 20.29 | |
| CHA | 62.61 | 48.57 | 34.08 | 27.27 | |
| NTES | 18.55 | 51.38 | 43.97 | 20.51 | |
| CHL | 67.58 | 51.60 | 29.33 | 31.96 | |
| MICC | 95.52 | 55.09 | 39.17 | 27.41 | |
| VIP | 29.77 | 55.68 | 34.37 | 28.45 | |
| VCP | 28.14 | 56.27 | 42.07 | 29.03 | |
| IMO | 51.88 | 61.66 | 46.93 | 27.82 | |
| PBR | 103.57 | 66.68 | 44.23 | 27.53 |
International Equity Markets Review
Europe
Here is the latest session data for the bourses of Europe.
Here is the latest session data for the London stock exchange FTSE.
Here is the latest session data for the German DAX.
Here is the latest session data for the French CAC 40.
Here is the latest session data for the Milan Italy stock exchange MIBTEL.
Here is the latest session data for the Swiss market index.
Asia-Pacific
Here is the latest session data for the Asia-Pacific stock exchanges.
Here is the latest chart for the Japanese Nikkei 225 index.
Here is the latest chart for the Singapore index .
Here is the latest chart for the Shanghai Composite index .
Here is the latest chart for the Hong Kong Hang Seng index .
Here is the latest chart for the India BSE 30 index .
Here is the latest chart for the Australian All Ordinaries index .
US Equity Markets Review
NASDAQ Composite (interactive) chart
Table 14: Dow 30 List
| Symbol | Close | 1Day Change |
1Day %Change |
1W %Change |
2W %Change |
4W %Change |
YTD %Change |
3M %Change |
6M %Change |
12M %Change |
