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February 3, 2008

Week in Review #5 (2008-02-03)

I still hold the opinion that the equity market Bear trend exists and that any intermediate and short-term rallies are counter-trend.

I feel that, despite several trillion dollars of lost wealth in the equity market since October, the primary Bear is just half over. There are too many Bulls and too much hope for the condition referred to as capitulation to exist.

But, without any question, the combination of the Fed’s easing (double round of rate cuts in the past two weeks) and the US Government’s $150 billion stimulus plan will boost the domestic economy in the second half of 2008. The question is how much impact it will have on short and intermediate cycles and which industries are going to benefit most.

I have been scratching my head on this development wondering how somebody like Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, with a razor sharp intellect, can look into the cameras and tell Mom & Pop “this deal is for you”. I know it’s his job and all, but how pathetic can the misrepresentations be before the man simply cannot sleep at night.

These financial aid packages are here to help the banks and corporate America, not the consumers. Knowing that the government is cutting $150 billion checks to the People, prices in the stores for consumer products have already gone up and the Retailer stocks ($RLX + 18.0 pct in less than three weeks) have already skyrocketed.

Why not? Traders know that when Jane goes down to JC Penny to buy that dress she’s wanted, does she care the price jumped from $60 to $90? Not when the govt handed her the money. And when Joe pops into Home Depot to buy that power drill, would he care that he could have purchased the same item in December for 30 pct less? Nope. The govt made him do it.

So inside a couple weeks, JCP rocketed +45 pct and HD soared +28 pct. And Jane and Joe did nothing more than buy inflation. Thank you, Henry Paulson.

I say it was Mr. Treasury Secretary because I hardly think the President gave this one much thought.

And when Mary and John, the brother and sister of Jane and Joe, get their new “found” money, they might even do the prudent thing, which would be to pay down their bank loans and credit card debt. So, traders who figured that one out have already popped the stocks of banks and credit card companies. The $BKS surged +28.5 pct and Master Card (MC) jumped +22.6 pct in three weeks.

So sub-prime Mary & John help clean up the problems of the financial companies at the same time the Fed cuts the bankers’ cost of borrowing. But do prime rates come down? Do credit card rates come down? Nope. This is all about serving the interests of bankers. In fact, ‘sub-prime’ Mom & Pop are now going to fill up the bank reserves to help those banks lend even more to their ‘prime’ Friends & Family.

And when banks and insurance companies are freshened up with new capital, they are going to spend it on computer hardware, software and communications gear and bandwidth. Why? Because they need automation to replace the human staff (Mom, Pop & their kids) they recently terminated. Besides, the branch offices they closed need to be replaced with more ATM machines. Didn’t you hear? The world is going electronic. Doesn’t need people.

So smart traders, people like Henry Paulson, had it figured out. Print money. Reflate. Keep the game going hopefully through the new Presidential and congressional elections this Fall.

Had the US authorities actually wanted to do good, they could have held the line on rates, fought inflation, let the stronger banks take over the weak ones, and spent the $150 billion with matching funds from industry to create new jobs in situations like alleviating traffic jams and providing cheaper computers to educational facilities. You know, stuff that actually creates wealth and not inflation or more bonuses to bankers.

But, the leaders of America don’t get it. They think they can rip off Mom & Pop forever, transferring wealth from the masses to the classes, ignoring the resultant increase in dysfunctional society.

Please note: that’s not a political statement because the process continues under the watch of both Parties. Both Parties have sunk in the public polls, for good reason.

I’ll say this: when people can get good jobs, they become happy. They start to buy cars and homes. It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to figure out that America is screwed up today.

Some people – not me – will tell you that the -125 basis point cut in a bank’s borrowing cost and the gift of $500 to every man, woman and child is going to fix the problems.

Dream on.

Now, I have been asked a lot about what to do with cash on the sidelines. The high yielding business & royalty income funds have really boomed in the past couple weeks, so that is no longer an option. But should these securities come back down in price in the next couple weeks then that is where I would recommend cash be put to work.

Some of these instruments have very good underlying cash flow yields that serve to protect their high distribution yields. Traders need to check the current price-to-cash flow ratios as well.

You need to do your due diligence in this area though because should a recession occur and get serious, the share prices might fall off as distributions could potentially get cut.

As you know, with income securities, it’s all about Total Performance (distributions plus price appreciation).

Still, I think if the share price is right, this area (income investing in trusts) is probably the best place to be for now. The Accumulation Zone and Buy Alerts still apply, so keep a watchful eye.


Global Economics Review

Econoday International Report (Jan 25).

US Economic Calendar for next week.

It is important to review the following reports published this past week on the US economy that continues to worsen.

US Jobs Report for January.

The US New Home Sales report for December.

The US Durable Goods Orders report for December.

The Conference Board US Consumer Confidence Report for January.

The University of Michigan US Consumer Sentiment Survey for January.

The ISM Manufacturing Index and Report for January.

US Personal Income & Consumer Spending Report for January.

The US Advance GDP Report for Q4.

The economy slowed sharply in the final quarter of 2007 (from +4.9 pct annual growth rate in Q3 to +0.6 pct) and, in addition, inflation picked up significantly from +1.0 pct annual growth rate in Q3 to +2.6 pct.

The consensus had forecast that Q4 GDP would post a +1.2 percent annualized gain and that price inflation would pick up to an annualized rate of +2.5 pct. Consensus was too optimistic on both counts.

On Monday, the US Factory Orders data will be published.

The US Factory Orders data for December.

On Tuesday, the US Non-Manufacturing Business Activity data for January will be published.

The US Non-Manufacturing Business Activity data for January.


Industry and Cara 100 “Impulse” Review

Applied weekly to major industry groups, the “impulse system”, based on the excellent work of Dr. Alex Elder, gives a sense of market internals.

“Jock” reports:

THIS WEEK closed with 3 GREEN industries and 4 RED, compared to last week’s 0 green, 25 Red. Chemicals and Mining rose straight from RED to GREEN, Transportation from neutral to GREEN. Staying RED were: Energy, Food&Beverage, Drugs, and Utilities. The rest were neutral. All 31 major industries rose in price (from 1.94% for computer software/services to 9.97% for specialty retail.)


33 Cara100’s were GREEN (Qualcomm) and 30 were RED. (Last week’s count was 1 to 69!)

TickerName Score
-5wks
Score
-4wks
Score
-3wks
Score
-2wks
Score
-1wks
Score
-0wks
ABBABB Ltd. +2 +0 -2 -2 -2 +0
ABVCOMP DE BEBA AM ADS +2 +2 +2 -2 -2 +2
ABXBarrick Gold Corp. +0 +2 +2 +0 +2 +2
ADBEAdobe Systems Inc. +0 -2 -2 -2 -2 -2
AETAetna Inc. +2 +0 +2 +0 -2 -2
AMATApplied Materials Inc. +0 -2 -2 +0 +0 +2
ATVIActivision Inc. +2 +0 +0 +0 +0 +0
BABoeing Co. +0 +0 -2 -2 -2 +0
BBBYBed Bath & Beyond Inc. -2 -2 -2 -2 +0 +2
BBDBanco Bradesco S.A. +2 -2 +0 -2 -2 -2
BCBrunswick Corp. +0 -2 -2 -2 +0 +2
BDKBlack & Decker Corp. -2 -2 -2 -2 +0 +0
BHPBHP Billiton Ltd. -2 -2 -2 -2 -2 +2
BMYBristol-Myers Squibb Co. -2 -2 +0 -2 -2 -2
CCJCameco Corp. +0 +2 +0 -2 -2 -2
CCLCarnival Corp. +2 -2 -2 -2 +0 +2
CEOCNOOC Ltd. +0 +0 +2 -2 -2 -2
CHAChina Telecom Corp. Ltd. +0 +2 +2 +0 -2 -2
CHLChina Mobile Limited +0 +0 +0 -2 -2 -2
CHRWCH Robinson Worldwide Inc. +2 +0 -2 -2 +0 +2
COSTCostco Wholesale Corp. +2 +0 +0 -2 -2 +2
CSCOCisco Systems, Inc. +0 -2 -2 -2 -2 +0
CTSHCognizant Technology Solutions Corp. +2 +0 -2 -2 -2 +0
CVXChevron Corp. +2 +2 +0 -2 -2 -2
DBDeutsche Bank AG +2 +2 -2 -2 -2 -2
DELLDell Inc. +0 -2 -2 -2 -2 +0
DEODiageo plc -2 -2 -2 -2 -2 +0
DISWalt Disney Co. +2 -2 -2 -2 -2 +0
DOWDow Chemical Co. +0 -2 -2 -2 +0 +2
DNAGenentech Inc. -2 -2 +0 +0 -2 +0
ECAEnCana Corp. +2 +2 +0 -2 -2 +2
ERJEMBRAER - Empresa Brasileira de Aeronutica S.A. +2 +2 +2 -2 -2 +0
ERTSElectronic Arts Inc. +2 -2 -2 -2 -2 -2
EXCExelon Corp. +0 +0 +2 -2 -2 -2
GEGeneral Electric Co. +0 +0 -2 -2 -2 +0
GFIGold Fields Ltd. -2 +0 +2 +0 -2 -2
GGGoldcorp Inc. +2 +2 +2 +0 +2 +0
GGBGerdau S.A. +2 +2 +2 -2 -2 +0
GOLGOL Linhas Areas Inteligentes S.A. +2 -2 -2 -2 -2 +0
GOOGGoogle Inc. +2 +0 -2 -2 -2 -2
GRMNGarmin Ltd. +2 -2 -2 -2 -2 +0
GSGoldman Sachs Group Inc. +2 -2 -2 -2 -2 +2
GSKGlaxosmithkline plc -2 -2 +2 -2 -2 -2
HBCHSBC HLDGS PLC ADS +0 -2 -2 -2 -2 +0
HDBHDFC Bank Ltd. +0 +0 +0 -2 -2 -2
IBKRInteractive Brokers Group, Inc.
IBNICICI Bank Ltd. +2 +0 +2 +0 +0 +0
IMOImperial Oil Ltd. +2 +2 +0 -2 -2 -2
INFYInfosys Technologies Ltd. +2 +0 +0 -2 -2 +2
INTCIntel Corp. +2 -2 -2 -2 -2 +0
JCPJ. C. Penney Company, Inc +0 +0 -2 +0 +0 +2
JNJJohnson & Johnson +0 -2 +0 +0 -2 -2
KBKookmin Bank +2 -2 -2 -2 -2 +0
KOCoca-Cola Co. +0 +0 +2 +0 -2 -2
KSSKohl's Corp. -2 -2 -2 -2 +0 +0
LEHLehman Brothers Holdings Inc. +2 -2 -2 -2 -2 +2
LLTCLinear Technology Corp. +2 +0 -2 -2 -2 +0
MBTMobile Telesystems OJSC +2 +2 +0 -2 -2 -2
MFCManulife Financial Corporation -2 -2 -2 -2 -2 +0
MICCMillicom International Cellular SA +2 +0 -2 -2 -2 +2
NKENike Inc. +2 -2 -2 -2 -2 +2
NOKNokia Corp. +0 +0 -2 -2 -2 +2
NTESNetease.com Inc. -2 -2 -2 -2 -2 -2
NUENucor Corp. +2 +0 -2 -2 +0 +2
ORCLOracle Corp. +2 +2 +0 -2 -2 -2
OXPSoptionsXpress Holdings, Inc. +2 +2 +0 -2 -2 -2
PAYXPaychex Inc. -2 -2 -2 -2 +0 +0
PBRPETROLEO BRASILEIRO +2 +2 +0 -2 +0 +2
PDAPerdigao S.A. +0 +0 +2 -2 -2 +0
PGProcter & Gamble Co. +0 +0 +0 -2 -2 -2
PTRPetroChina Co. Ltd. -2 -2 +0 -2 -2 -2
QCOMQUALCOMM Inc. +2 -2 -2 +0 +2 +2
RIOCOMPANHIA VALE ADS +0 +0 -2 -2 -2 +2
RIMMResearch In Motion Ltd. +2 +2 -2 -2 -2 -2
RYRoyal Bank of Canada -2 -2 -2 -2 +0 +2
SBUXStarbucks Corp. +0 -2 +0 +0 +0 +0
SLWSilver Wheaton Corp. +2 +2 +0 -2 +0 -2
SNDKSanDisk Corp. +0 +0 -2 -2 -2 +0
STOStatoilHydro ASA -2 +2 -2 -2 -2 +0
SUSuncor Energy Inc. +2 +2 +0 -2 -2 -2
SWKStanley Works +0 -2 +0 +0 +0 +2
TCKTeck Cominco Ltd. +0 +0 +0 -2 +0 +0
TEFTelefonica SA +0 +0 +2 -2 -2 -2
TGPTeekay LNG Partners LP. +0 +0 +2 +0 -2 +0
TGTTarget Corp. -2 -2 +0 +0 +0 +2
TMToyota Motor Corp. +0 -2 -2 -2 +0 +2
TOTTotal SA +2 +2 +2 -2 -2 -2
TSTenaris SA +0 +0 -2 -2 -2 +0
TTTrane Inc +2 +2 +0 +0 +0 +0
UBSUBS AG -2 +0 +0 -2 -2 +0
UTXUnited Technologies Corp. +2 +2 -2 -2 +0 +2
VCPVotorantim Celulose e Papel S.A. +0 +0 -2 -2 -2 +2
VIPVimpel-Communications +2 +2 +0 -2 -2 +0
WAGWalgreen Co. +0 -2 -2 -2 +0 +0
WBKWestpac Banking Corp. -2 -2 -2 -2 -2 +2
WFMIWhole Foods Market Inc. +0 -2 -2 -2 +0 +2
WHRWhirlpool Corp. +0 +0 -2 -2 +0 +2
WMTWal-Mart Stores Inc. +2 -2 +2 +0 +0 +2
XOMExxon Mobil Corp. +2 +2 +0 -2 -2 -2
YHOOYahoo! Inc. -2 -2 +0 -2 -2 +2
Summary:(+2/-2/other) 45/19/35 24/42/33 18/51/30 0/80/19 3/69/27 33/31/35
Net:(+2)-(-2) +26 -18 -33 -80 -66 +2

­All the major US stock indices rose to neutral. Remaining RED’s are: the US$ index, Shanghai, and Hong Kong composites. The Bombay composite was neutral.

GOLD and SILVER stocks stayed neutral.

BOTTOM LINE: Last week (after the 1st rate cut) the “net green count” (green minus red) moved from -29 industries to -25. This week, after the 2nd cut, the “net green” count moved from -25 to -1 !!! Still, looking forward, the market confounds. The two “technical gurus” I follow have virtually opposite outlooks for the intermediate term.

A digression:

Alex Elder expects an imminent retest of recent lows, but is an intermediate bull based on the 1/22/08 down-spike in the new high/new low index. It was one of the 3 deepest in the last decade. You have to go back to the week after 9/11 to find a deeper one. These downspikes define intermediate-term bottoms. As to whether the 2003 bull market is over, Alex is agnostic. (Write jock at billcara.com if you’d like to see Alex’ high/low charts.)

The venerable Don Worden’s Friday report acknowledges short-term and sub-intermediate term upturns in the 4 major averages, but concludes we are in primary and intermediate downtrends in all 4, and that “the grizzly carnivore will snarl again, possibly sooner than I’ve had in mind…” Worden is one of the wise, salty old dogs of technical analysis, who began charting with pencil and paper.

I find comfort in my uncertainty from a 3rd guru, Dick Davis, whose new book advises: whenever you arrive at a judgment about a stock’s or market’s direction, force yourself to describe an opposite scenario. As you make your moves, prepare yourself to deal with either outcome. - Amen.

Jock
______________________________________________________________
NOTE: Alex Elder’s “impulse system” considers both the “inertia” in prices (where prices stand vs. their 26 wk. moving average) and their “momentum” (the rate their 13wk. and 26wk. moving averages are converging or diverging).

When both indicators (EMA and MACD-H) tick up, the reading is “green”; when both decline, it’s “red”. Applied weekly to major industry groups, indices, and their components, a sense of market internals emerges.


US Equity Markets Review

DJIA ino.com chart

DJIA stockcharts.com chart

This week, for the Dow 30 stocks, 28 were up and 2 down (MSFT and MRK).

The Interventionists are pumping hard to put life back into a dead Bull. But, traders are nervous, and I still believe that the Bear lives. The big movers were the Financials (C up +11.5 pct W/W and +19.0 pct over 2 weeks!!) (JPM up +10.6 pct W/W and +20.5 pct over 2 weeks!!)

Even with all the help from their friends in Washington, these banks did not solve their problems.


NASDAQ Composite ino.com chart

NASDAQ Composite stockcharts.com chart

Some of the moves this week were incredible (SNDK up +8.3 pct on Friday), and corresponded with our recent Buy Alerts. However, I think that the Semi-conductors had one good day – Friday.

Several weeks ago I wrote in this space, “Here is the list of the ten highest-weighted non-financial stocks in the Nasdaq Composite. Put them in a watchlist (see Google Finance Portfolio) and watch them like a hawk:
AAPL MSFT GOOG QCOM RIMM CSCO INTC ORCL GILD EBAY” I said that the Techs would lead the market one way or the other, and you know which way I was indicating.

Daily RSI-7 for the Nasdaq 100 Big-10


Weekly RSI-7 for the Nasdaq 100 Big-10


Monthly RSI-7 for the Nasdaq 100 Big-10


The US equity market Sector ETF Summary

The tables I show are for ten (GICS) Sector Index Funds (ETF’s) only, but they cover the full spectrum of the US equity market.

This week the scoreboard reads ten up and zero down.

The best performer was Financials (again) and the worst, Staples.

Volatility means traders must use prudence as in a Bear market, there are many confounding whip-saws. Still, if there is to be a rally, the AZ/BA is the place to look.

Sophisticated traders will wait for the Buy signals in Bear markets to sell positions into strength. All traders have to learn this tactic.

In any case, a technology feature I hope to implement will be a table that tracks the gains and losses of this simple RSI-7 system. It is an unsophisticated system that I can easily flesh out into something very valuable.

Table 1: Cara ETF List is sorted by price performance Week over Week (W/W), i.e. 1W%N.

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
XLF 29.56 0.42 1.44% 8.76% 14.57% 4.90% 4.23% -7.86% -11.55% -20.75%
SMH 30.24 2.09 7.42% 7.92% 9.84% -1.85% -3.57% -11.24% -20.25% -11.32%
XLB 40.92 0.97 2.43% 6.45% 10.80% -2.69% -0.92% -3.35% 3.65% 11.53%
IYZ 26.56 0.30 1.14% 6.33% 0.49% -8.41% -8.95% -15.09% -20.76% -13.43%
XLY 32.80 0.22 0.68% 6.29% 10.59% 3.02% 1.86% -8.25% -11.35% -17.17%
XLI 37.85 0.85 2.30% 5.73% 8.92% -1.79% -1.71% -5.04% -4.66% 4.99%
XLU 40.24 1.02 2.60% 5.40% -0.96% -4.26% -4.40% -3.25% 3.37% 9.02%
XLE 71.35 1.75 2.51% 3.86% 3.78% -11.30% -10.25% -4.51% 3.63% 22.38%
IYH 67.88 0.88 1.31% 2.90% -3.73% -3.72% -3.17% -4.19% 0.68% -1.55%
XLP 27.47 0.27 0.99% 2.88% -0.29% -2.73% -3.24% -1.36% 3.23% 2.69%

You can do this table yourself by entering the following string into the Summary window at Billcara2.com and then clicking on the link for Performance. XLE XLB XLI XLY XLP IYH XLF SMH IYZ XLU . You can also add more ETF’s – up to 30 in total.

For a list of components to any ETF, go to the AMEX.com web site, and click on ETF’s.


10 (energy: XLE)

ETF Chart for Energy:XLE

15 (basic materials: XLB)

ETF Chart for Basic Materials:XLB

20 (industrial: XLI)

ETF Chart for Industrial:XLI

25 (consumer discretionary: XLY)

ETF Chart for Energy:XLY

30 (consumer staples: XLP)

ETF Chart for Consumer Staples:XLP

35 (healthcare: IYH)

ETF Chart for Health Care:IYH

40 (financial: XLF)

ETF Chart for Financial:XLF

45 (technology, semiconductor: SMH)

ETF Chart for Technology, Semiconductor:SMH

50 (telecom: IYZ)

ETF Chart for Telecom:IYZ

55 (utilities: XLU)

ETF Chart for Utilities:XLU


Individual Sector ETF Review

Sector 10 (energy: XLE, IYE, VDE, OIH, PBW and IXC)

Here’s the XLE Monthly, Weekly and Daily data charts:

XLE Monthly data:

XLE Monthly Data

XLE Weekly data:


XLE Weekly Data

XLE Daily data:

XLE Daily Data


The Energy sector ETF (XLE), pumped from 68.70 up +3.86 pct to 71.35. But on Friday, both XOM and CVX dropped. Crude Oil took a big hit (-1.93 pct W/W because it dropped -3.04 pct on Friday).

The 200-day Moving Average of $WTIC is up to 79.46, up from 78.81, up from 78.30, which continues to rise. But, the 50-day MA is now at 92.55 down from 92.69, down from 93.21, and falling.

A week ago, XOM on Friday dropped -2.40 pct. This Friday XOM dropped as well, and so did CVX. Yes, XLE was up +2.51 pct on Friday, but those Big Oil stocks dropped Friday. Warning.

PBR was up +8.1 pct this week, and +22.2 pct over 2 weeks, on news of a major discovery. The Cdns, ECA (+7.2 pct W/W and +10.0 pct over 2 weeks) and SU (+6.2 pct W/W) were winners.

Table 2: Senior oil & gas equities

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
PBR 113.06 2.10 1.89% 8.07% 22.15% -3.17% -4.84% 20.66% 77.24% 127.71%
ECA 67.78 1.72 2.60% 7.21% 9.98% -4.84% -2.63% -4.12% 10.00% 39.98%
SU 94.88 0.94 1.00% 6.17% 6.01% -15.98% -13.96% -10.62% 5.27% 27.07%
CEO 153.22 7.93 5.46% 5.31% 3.96% -9.79% -8.48% -24.15% 33.50% 79.69%
STO 27.07 0.79 3.01% 5.04% 5.04% -14.77% -13.35% -16.86% -7.39% 0.71%
IMO 50.27 1.05 2.13% 2.91% 3.97% -8.50% -8.47% -4.72% 7.32% 39.21%
XOM 85.95 -0.45 -0.52% 2.39% 2.43% -8.40% -8.08% -2.88% 0.13% 14.48%
TOT 74.02 1.24 1.70% 1.79% -4.13% -13.02% -11.12% -4.31% -6.03% 7.18%
CVX 82.49 -0.76 -0.91% 0.82% -0.31% -12.81% -11.74% -7.36% -3.15% 10.77%


Integrated Oil & Gas - Canada

Oil & Gas Exploration & Production -Canada


Sector 15 (basic materials: IYM, XLB, IGE and VAW)

Here’s the XLB Monthly, Weekly and Daily data charts:

XLB Monthly data:

XLB Monthly Data

XLB Weekly data:

XLB Weekly Data

XLB Daily data:

XLB Daily Data

XLB (Basic Materials) was up +6.45 pct W/W from 38.44 to 40.92. There was a gain of +2.43 pct on Friday.

Over the past week, the winners were RTP +19.3 pct (+28.4 pct over 2 weeks), BHP +16.2 pct (+21.5 pct over 2 weeks), and RIO +14.2 pct.

These stocks are all in play for M&A. These trades are not based on operations data or financial results. Ultimately BHP will take over Rio Tinto (RTP), it appears, and CVRD (RIO) will buy Xstrata (whose shares trade in Europe).

Huge steelmaker Mittal (MT) did well, but most of the big golds were actually down, mostly due to the -14.50 sell-off Friday in $GOLD.

The Cara system gave Sells recently on Barrick, Goldcorp, Kinross, Goldfields, etc. I continue to believe the goldminers, like the oil producers, are headed south, along with the broad market. Rallies that take place over a day or two or even a week or two don’t impress me unless they are driven by factors other than Intervention and short-covering.

Still, there are some really impressive stock analysts and buy-side managers who believe this equity market is poised to run much, much higher from here, so I have to say that.

Table 3: Senior metals and steel equities:

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
RTP 441.00 34.05 8.37% 19.29% 28.38% 2.97% 5.08% 22.26% 58.60% 102.43%
BHP 73.72 6.15 9.10% 16.24% 21.49% 2.03% 4.70% -10.57% 17.99% 77.98%
RIO 31.63 1.62 5.40% 14.15% 11.81% -4.41% -3.30% -13.18% -34.77% -7.24%
MT 71.45 5.06 7.62% 13.45% 16.79% -5.81% -6.48% -5.13% 9.40% 47.62%
AA 34.28 1.19 3.60% 11.70% 19.07% -5.28% -5.12% -9.55% -9.67% 4.51%
NUE 59.58 1.74 3.01% 8.39% 18.45% 4.80% 2.78% 2.88% 17.77% -8.08%
GGB 26.72 0.74 2.85% 8.31% 5.03% -8.77% -6.90% -11.84% 5.65% 56.99%
TCK 35.18 2.49 7.62% 8.21% 15.69% -3.35% -2.92% -26.68% -19.16% -53.06%
TS 40.94 0.97 2.43% 7.79% 11.98% -8.72% -7.77% -20.75% -14.83% -14.53%
PKX 137.01 1.51 1.11% 4.17% 5.64% -7.26% -6.45% -17.46% -1.43% 49.72%


Sector 20 (industrial: IYJ, XLI, VIS, and IYT)

Here’s the XLI Monthly, Weekly and Daily data charts:


XLI Monthly data:


XLI Monthly Data


XLI Weekly data:

XLI Weekly Data

XLI Daily data:

XLI Daily Data


Table 4: Senior capital goods makers and transportation:

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
CAT 71.76 0.77 1.08% 8.84% 14.87% 1.96% 1.60% -2.11% -10.45% 10.42%
ERJ 44.60 1.20 2.76% 8.83% 5.26% -4.41% -1.17% -6.48% 2.46% 8.57%
MMM 81.21 1.56 1.96% 7.55% 8.34% -1.80% -1.81% -3.21% -8.82% 9.76%
BA 82.76 -0.42 -0.50% 7.44% 4.07% -4.85% -4.46% -14.33% -20.83% -9.10%
ABB 26.00 0.98 3.92% 7.22% 10.64% -7.41% -9.22% -12.69% 9.24% 44.28%
GE 36.16 0.80 2.26% 6.35% 8.88% -1.74% -1.63% -10.36% -7.16% -0.19%
FDX 93.42 0.10 0.11% 3.85% 12.85% 7.00% 8.43% -7.70% -15.94% -16.51%
HON 60.21 1.14 1.93% 3.36% 8.35% 0.02% 0.52% 1.98% 5.35% 31.09%
UTX 74.12 0.85 1.16% 1.88% 8.86% -2.83% -1.45% -0.80% -0.71% 8.08%

XLI (Industrials) lifted +5.73 pct from 35.80 to 37.85.

The winners were CAT +8.8 pct and MMM (+7.6 pct), both of which are Dow 30 stocks. ERJ gained +8.8 pct. A week ago, the loser was ERJ (-3.3 pct W/W).


Sector 25 (consumer discretionary: XLY, IYC and VCR)

Here’s the XLY Monthly, Weekly and Daily data charts:


XLY Monthly data:


XLY Monthly Data


XLY Weekly data:


XLY Weekly Data


XLY Daily data:


XLY Daily Data

Consumer Discretionary (XLY) lifted +6.29 pct from 30.86 to 32.80. As I wrote two weeks ago in this space, right before the surge in prices of the Retailer stocks, “Traders must have been listening to the President’s $150 billion stimulus package speech. Besides oil prices are on the downswing.”

I wrote three weeks ago in the WIR, “I can’t see US shoppers returning to the stores and malls until the gasoline price drops at the fuel pump. Right now, they are tapped out according to the credit card companies.”

Then along came the President’s man and HB&B’s man Henry Paulson with his plan to give $500 to every man, woman and child in America, with checks going out in June I understand. Simply amazing. The People are up to their eyes in credit card debt, then give them enough for a few payments to tide them through to the Dem win in November. Then we can blame the recession on them.

That’s what it looks like to me. Clinton did the same to Bush, so it’s an eye for an eye.

Table 5: Senior consumer discretionary equities

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
JCP 48.50 1.15 2.43% 14.17% 24.30% 21.74% 16.45% -10.04% -29.42% -42.79%
BC 19.28 0.36 1.90% 12.75% 29.66% 17.20% 13.95% -12.04% -31.68% -44.31%
NKE 62.51 1.18 1.92% 11.62% 11.66% -0.32% -1.22% -2.05% 9.86% 24.18%
WHR 85.72 0.43 0.50% 10.21% 22.81% 8.34% 7.31% 10.24% -14.58% -7.08%
CCL 44.78 0.38 0.86% 8.14% 17.44% 4.26% 2.57% -4.32% -0.04% -14.13%
TM 109.80 1.48 1.37% 7.65% 11.36% 2.71% 3.14% -4.06% -7.86% -17.62%
EBAY 28.81 1.92 7.14% 7.38% 2.45% -12.27% -11.33% -17.69% -12.11% -10.39%
DIS 30.66 0.82 2.75% 6.90% 6.57% -3.49% -3.71% -9.29% -9.37% -12.43%
SBUX 19.22 0.31 1.64% -2.24% 0.89% 2.78% -0.47% -25.59% -29.34% -44.14%


Sector 30 (consumer staples: XLP, VDC, RTH and IYK)

Here's the XLP Monthly, Weekly and Daily data charts:


XLP Monthly data:

XLP Monthly Data

XLP Weekly data:

XLP Weekly Data

XLP Daily data:

XLP Daily Data


Table 6: Senior consumer staples equities

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
ABV 75.73 4.71 6.63% 13.16% 17.50% 1.54% 4.48% -6.29% 12.04% 44.36%
WFMI 40.76 1.32 3.35% 8.55% 15.60% 3.19% 2.52% -13.66% 3.14% -7.30%
WMT 51.18 0.44 0.87% 6.43% 7.79% 10.35% 9.13% 16.24% 10.73% 7.12%
WAG 36.32 1.28 3.65% 5.95% 8.94% 3.59% -2.73% -6.94% -18.80% -20.59%
DEO 82.01 1.24 1.54% 4.01% 5.87% -3.87% -3.59% -9.18% 0.22% 3.20%
MO 75.44 -0.35 -0.46% 2.01% -1.77% -0.25% 0.68% 4.95% 13.31% 14.91%
BUD 48.06 1.56 3.35% 1.71% -3.40% -8.65% -6.91% -4.66% -3.51% -6.50%
KO 59.26 0.26 0.44% 1.46% -4.48% -4.00% -3.00% -2.69% 11.24% 23.20%
PG 66.05 0.63 0.96% 1.13% -2.97% -8.66% -8.66% -3.70% 4.58% 1.09%
PEP 68.83 0.78 1.15% -0.13% -4.54% -9.17% -8.58% -4.92% 3.61% 5.28%

XLP (consumer staples) gained +2.88 pct from 26.70 to 27.47 this beer-filled Super Bowl Week.

It’s been a great week (+13.2 pct) and two weeks (+17.5 pct) for the world’s biggest brewer, ABV. Pump, pump, pump… drink, drink, drink…

It’s only an American football game for Pete’s sake. You’d think it soccer or cricket!! (LOL)


Sector 35 (healthcare: IYH, XLV, VHT, IXJ, and IBB)

Here’s the IYH Monthly, Weekly and Daily data charts:


IYH Monthly data:

IYH Monthly Data


IYH Weekly data:

IYH Weekly Data

IYH Daily data:

IYH Daily Data


Table 7: Senior healthcare equities

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
DNA 70.81 0.65 0.93% 4.45% 1.52% 5.51% 5.06% -3.15% -4.83% -18.80%
PFE 23.59 0.23 0.98% 4.33% 2.74% 1.77% 2.97% -1.50% -0.17% -11.38%
BMY 23.96 0.94 4.08% 4.31% -3.62% -8.23% -8.30% -17.83% -16.43% -16.81%
JNJ 63.36 0.10 0.16% 1.44% -6.59% -3.90% -3.87% -2.01% 3.94% -5.45%
AET 53.22 -0.04 -0.08% 1.18% -6.35% -6.97% -6.04% -3.27% 8.90% 25.88%
NVS 50.43 -0.36 -0.71% 0.38% -5.05% -8.28% -7.59% -4.62% -6.54% -13.78%
BMET 45.99 0.06 0.13% 0.24% 0.31% 0.48% 10.90% 0.00% 0.46% 10.90%
UNH 50.10 -0.74 -1.46% 0.20% -7.84% -12.00% -11.59% 3.19% 4.40% -5.11%
GSK 47.01 -0.37 -0.78% 0.19% -7.28% -7.41% -6.30% -7.48% -8.91% -14.07%
AMGN 47.36 0.77 1.65% -1.62% -0.13% 3.66% 1.63% -17.26% -9.08% -31.87%

IYH (healthcare) gained +2.90 pct this week, 65.97 to 67.88.

Big win for Clinton in California, and the voters know she won’t likely bring in an Obama-style Universal Health Plan. She’s already been paid off, don’t you think?


Sector 40 (financial: IYG, IYF, XLF, VFH, IXG, VNQ, RWR, IYR, and ICF)

Here’s the XLF Monthly, Weekly and Daily data charts:


XLF Monthly data:


XLF Monthly Data

XLF Weekly data:


XLF Weekly Data

XLF Daily data:


XLF Daily Data


Table 8: Senior financial company equities

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
LEH 66.00 1.95 3.04% 14.05% 20.75% 8.20% 6.13% 9.09% 8.52% -22.33%
C 29.69 1.52 5.40% 11.45% 18.95% 2.63% 2.66% -22.90% -36.63% -45.75%
JPM 48.25 0.85 1.79% 10.56% 20.50% 15.21% 14.42% 8.87% 8.72% -5.78%
GS 207.78 8.23 4.12% 8.58% 8.80% 1.44% 0.09% -13.50% 9.94% -1.99%
CS 58.33 1.56 2.75% 8.12% 11.53% -2.39% -2.26% -9.28% -8.20% -18.24%
MER 58.40 2.04 3.62% 6.26% 18.10% 12.33% 10.69% -6.09% -20.05% -38.38%
DB 115.85 3.02 2.68% 3.97% 0.36% -10.12% -10.24% -8.82% -15.38% -18.07%
HBC 77.17 1.86 2.47% 1.94% 4.57% -6.37% -6.39% -19.21% -17.00% -16.41%
UBS 42.04 0.76 1.84% 1.01% 2.81% -7.77% -8.19% -17.16% -22.23% -33.78%
MS 48.25 -1.09 -2.21% -1.31% 6.63% -5.28% -5.30% -22.70% -25.05% -42.46%

The Financials (XLF) boomed again this week, up +8.76 pct from 27.18 to 29.56, aided and abetted by the Fed and the Administration, as traders are now figuring out who really is going to get the biggest chunk of that $150 billion windfall?

I can just hear those friendly bankers getting ready to phone Mr & Mrs Sub-prime to call their loans, ie, up to, but not exceeding, the $150 billion. From the tax-payers to the banks via the Sub-prime families. Paulson’s Pride.

JPM +10.6 pct (and +20.5 pct over 2 weeks), C +11.5 pct (+19.0 pct over 2 weeks), and LEH +14.1 pct (yup, this week alone) (and +20.8 pct over 2 weeks)… all pumping the same shotgun.

Doesn’t mean to say I have any interest. I’d like to see all the skeletons in the closet before laying down good money.

I mean, Bank of America must be over the moon with Mozilo, with Countrywide (CFC) up +26.3 pct this week and +38.7 pct over 2 weeks.


Sector 45 (technology: IGM, IGV, IGW, XLK, VGT, IYW, IGN, IXN, MTK and SMH)

Here’s the SMH Monthly, Weekly and Daily data charts:


SMH Monthly data:


SMH Monthly Data

SMH Weekly data:


SMH Weekly Data

SMH Daily data:


SMH Daily Data


Table 9: Senior technology equities

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
CTSH 29.84 1.94 6.95% 11.05% 10.19% -8.89% -7.42% -24.72% -26.14% -29.95%
INFY 43.50 2.10 5.07% 10.83% 12.52% -0.89% -2.09% -12.86% -11.55% -25.91%
INTC 21.77 0.67 3.17% 8.85% 12.62% -11.76% -14.12% -17.85% -8.53% 3.13%
SNDK 27.55 2.10 8.25% 7.53% 0.44% -14.68% -16.94% -37.23% -48.20% -32.38%
QCOM 42.20 -0.22 -0.52% 5.50% 8.04% 11.35% 9.92% 2.20% 1.96% 12.80%
SAP 48.15 0.44 0.92% 5.20% -1.49% -4.82% -5.09% -8.81% -11.49% 2.97%
CSCO 24.94 0.44 1.80% 3.06% 2.51% -6.77% -6.03% -22.50% -16.22% -6.21%
ORCL 20.68 0.13 0.63% 1.97% -3.41% -10.51% -8.05% -4.96% 4.50% 21.29%
ADSK 41.96 0.81 1.97% 1.60% 2.62% -12.29% -13.02% -12.22% -3.96% -5.20%
ADBE 34.48 -0.45 -1.29% -1.03% -3.01% -17.49% -17.33% -26.51% -12.89% -11.04%

A week ago I reported, “The SMH (semi-conductor) actually gained a bit, from 27.91 to 28.02. Every little bit helps when there are days like Friday where INTC dropped -3.3 pct, SNDK -4.2 pct and CSCO -5.6 pct. That’s some pretty heavy hitting going on there.”

Then I opined, “Semi-conductors (SMH) have lost over -30 pct over the past six months, which means, you know, that when the Bull market does start, this group will be either number #1 or #2 on the leader board.”

Well, SMH zoomed into #2 performer spot this week, right behind Financials (XLF). But, you know, that W/W gain of +7.92 pct happened over the space of a couple hours Friday (+7.42 pct), and shucks, most of Europe and all of Asia-Pacific missed it. I guess they will just have to catch up on Monday morning. (LOL)

It’s been a long time since INTC had a week up +8.9 pct and be up +12.6 pct over two. Must be quite a few hurting short sellers out there. Well, you know who took your money, don’t you? Hmmm hmm, HB&B. Must have been Lehman, Citi and JP Morgan, the way those stocks were flying.


Sector 50 (telecom: IYZ, VOX and IXP)


Here’s the IYZ Monthly, Weekly and Daily data charts:


IYZ Monthly data:


IYZ Monthly Data


IYZ Weekly data:


IYZ Weekly Data


IYZ Daily data:


IYZ Daily Data

IYZ (telecommunications) lifted +6.33 pct from 24.98 to 26.56.

Could this be the revival of telecom, or maybe just the shorts in T being forced to cover. T jumped +8.6 pct this week. I didn’t think Ma could jump that high. Must have had a McDonald’s coffee spilled in her lap in the drive-thru. I see that MCD was only up +0.22 pct over the whole five days.


Sector 55 (utilities: IDU, XLU, and VPU)

Here’s the XLU Monthly, Weekly and Daily data charts:

XLU Monthly data:


XLU Monthly Data

XLU Weekly data:


XLU Weekly Data

XLU Daily data:


XLU Daily Data

XLU (Utilities) lifted +5.40 pct from 38.18 to 40.24, including a gain of +2.60 pct on Friday.


Bonds & Yields Review

Table 10: US Treasury Yields

US Treasury Bonds
Maturity Yield Yesterday Last Week Last Month
3 Month 2.00 1.80 2.17 3.13
6 Month 2.05 1.97 2.27 3.17
2 Year 2.07 2.09 2.18 2.87
3 Year 2.04 2.05 2.14 2.81
5 Year 2.74 2.76 2.77 3.28
10 Year 3.59 3.59 3.56 3.90
30 Year 4.31 4.32 4.27 4.35
Municipal Bonds
Maturity Yield Yesterday Last Week Last Month
2yr AA 2.31 2.28 2.19 2.98
2yr AAA 2.35 2.37 2.34 3.07
2yr A 2.47 2.44 2.70 3.37
5yr AAA 2.79 2.81 2.76 3.23
5yr AA 2.72 2.74 2.70 3.20
5yr A 3.08 3.10 3.04 3.51
10yr AAA 3.51 3.55 3.44 3.74
10yr AA 3.37 3.41 3.36 3.45
10yr A 3.73 3.78 3.67 3.96
20yr AAA 4.37 4.37 4.29 4.35
20yr AA 4.51 4.51 4.42 4.49
20yr A 4.48 4.48 4.43 4.30
Corporate Bonds
Maturity Yield Yesterday Last Week Last Month
2yr AA 3.37 3.41 3.40 4.13
2yr A 3.43 3.48 3.52 4.35
5yr AAA 4.00 4.13 3.93 4.43
5yr AA 4.16 4.23 4.23 4.60
5yr A 4.25 4.26 4.16 4.68
10yr AAA 4.96 5.00 4.94 4.90
10yr AA 5.13 5.18 5.11 5.19
10yr A 5.26 5.29 5.28 5.50
20yr AAA 5.38 5.42 5.35 5.25
20yr AA 5.71 5.72 5.63 5.63
20yr A 5.94 6.03 5.94 5.99


The booming bond market turned quiet this week.

There was not much movement other than a few sales out of the long end and into the short end. But that’s not new.

The 20-year TLT dropped -0.75 pct W/W, while the TIPS dropped -0.11 pct, including a loss of -0.46 pct on Friday. I suppose the bankers convinced a few people that inflation is dead and that they could take some added risk in stocks like LEH, C and JPM.

Slow motion.

Here is the $USB 30-year Treasury Bond chart.

Interest rates and bond yields.

TNX0X Weekly Data

IRX0X Weekly Data


Interactive Daily data charts:

TNX0X Daily Data

IRX0X Daily Data


Interactive Chart of Interest rates and bond yields.



Bond Yields Curve


Don’t you think “it’s time that central banks and HB&B told us what is happening there with respect to the repayment of these repo agreements”?


US Bond Funds -- Interactive Monthly Data Charts

SHY Monthly data series chart:

US Bond Funds - Monthly Data For SHY


IEF Monthly data series chart:

US Bond Funds - Monthly Data For IEF


TLT Monthly data series chart:

US Bond Funds - Monthly Data For TLT


AGG Monthly data series chart:

US Bond Funds - Monthly Data For AGG


LQD Monthly data series chart:

US Bond Funds - Monthly Data For LQD


TIP Monthly data series chart:

US Bond Funds - Monthly Data For TIP


US Bond Funds -- Interactive Weekly Data Charts


SHY Weekly data series chart:

US Bond Funds - Weekly Data For SHY

IEF Weekly data series chart:

US Bond Funds - Weekly Data For IEF

TLT Weekly data series chart:

US Bond Funds - Weekly Data For TLT

AGG Weekly data series chart:

US Bond Funds - Weekly Data For AGG

LQD Weekly data series chart:

US Bond Funds - Weekly Data For LQD

TIP Weekly data series chart:

US Bond Funds - Weekly Data For TIP


US Bond Funds -- Interactive Daily Data Charts

SHY Daily data series chart:

US Bond Funds - Daily Data For SHY

IEF Daily data series chart:

US Bond Funds - Daily Data For IEF

TLT Daily data series chart:

US Bond Funds - Daily Data For TLT

AGG Daily data series chart:

US Bond Funds - Daily Data For AGG

LQD Daily data series chart:

US Bond Funds - Daily Data For LQD

TIP Daily data series chart:

US Bond Funds - Daily Data For TIP


Table 11: Interest-sensitive securities

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance.
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
CFC 7.600 0.640 9.20% 26.25% 38.69% -13.34% -15.56% -47.33% -72.08% -82.74%
FNM 35.40 1.62 4.80% 11.32% 1.14% -1.45% -5.50% -35.05% -40.21% -38.06%
FRE 32.45 2.06 6.78% 9.70% 11.59% 0.78% -0.89% -34.35% -42.97% -50.54%
AGG 102.99 -0.52 -0.50% -0.10% -0.27% 1.05% 1.32% 2.54% 4.74% 3.73%
TIP 109.08 -0.50 -0.46% -0.11% 0.63% 1.94% 2.29% 5.47% 9.15% 10.52%
SHY 83.38 -0.17 -0.20% -0.14% 0.46% 1.10% 1.26% 2.55% 3.98% 4.51%
IEF 89.94 0.01 0.01% -0.29% 0.22% 2.43% 2.64% 5.99% 9.55% 10.07%
TLT 95.23 0.24 0.25% -0.75% -0.96% 1.04% 0.90% 4.94% 9.25% 9.35%

About Countrywide Fiasco (CFC), and the down and dirty duo of Fanny and Freddie (FNM and FRE), I really have nothing to say except Red 3 wins this week… CFC pays off +26.3 pct… FNM +11.3 pct… FRE +9.7 pct.



Consumer Finance -USA -- Interactive Weekly Data Charts

Consumer Finance -USA- Weekly Data Charts CFC

Consumer Finance -USA- Weekly Data Charts FNM

Consumer Finance -USA- Weekly Data Charts FRE




Consumer Finance -USA -- Interactive Daily Data Charts


Consumer Finance -USA- Daily Data Charts CFC

Consumer Finance -USA- Daily Data Charts FNM

Consumer Finance -USA- Daily Data Charts FRE


Commodities Review

The $CRB lifted this week +0.75 pct from 361.64 to 364.34, but fell -1.39 pct on Friday as gold and silver had bad days, and the $USD was up +0.41 pct.

The 50-day Moving Average for $CRB is presently at 355.75, up from 354.00, up from 353.32 and the 200-day MA is now 330.48, up from 329.12, up from 328.11, and still rising.

The Administration and Fed are oblivious, apparently. I thought the $USD nonsense would stop at $CRB 320-something.

$CRB Index

Open Futures Contracts


Interactive Chart of Weekly CRB Commodities Index:

CRB Commodities Index - Weekly Chart


Interactive Chart of Daily CRB Commodities Index:

CRB Commodities Index - Daily Chart


Oil Review

$WTIC (US Light Sweet Crude called West Texas Intermediate) fell from 89.80 to 88.96 this week.

The 50d MA for $WTIC is now at 92.55, down from 92.69, down from 93.21, whereas the 200d MA is 79.46, up from 78.81, up from 78.30.

As I wrote in this space three weeks ago, “The price probably peaked seven sessions ago at 100.09. I look for lower prices over the next several months.”

Here is the e-miNY Dec-07 Crude Oil chart.

Interactive Chart of Weekly Crude Oil:


Crude Oil- Weekly Chart


Interactive Chart of Daily Crude Oil:

Crude Oil- Daily Chart


Gold & Precious Metals Review

A week ago, the $GOLD contract rocketed from 881.70 to 914.12 in the four-session week. This week, however, $GOLD flattened out at 913.50, and actually dropped -14.50 on Friday.

The 50-day MA for $GOLD is now 847.93, up from 834.69, up from 829.09, and the 200d MA is 738.94, up from 733.05, up from 728.68.

I feel that the sell-off action in the major miners is the sign of weakness.


Spot gold chart for the week

Interactive Chart of Weekly Gold EOD Continuous Contract Index:

GOLD EOD Continuous Contract Index - Weekly Chart


Interactive Chart of Daily Gold EOD Continuous Contract Index:


GOLD EOD Continuous Contract Index- Daily Chart

Interactive chart of recent trading for the Gold Bullion index.


Spot silver chart for the week

Interactive daily data

This week, $SILVER lifted +2.30 pct from 16.47 to 16.87. Just like gold, there was a loss on Friday as the $USD gained strength.

For $SILVER, the 50d MA is now 15.25, up from 15.02, up from 14.95, and the 200d MA is 13.78, up from 13.71, up from 13.66.


Interactive Chart of Weekly Silver EOD Continuous Contract Index:


SILVER EOD Continuous Contract Index - Weekly Chart


Interactive Chart of Daily Silver EOD Continuous Contract Index:

SILVER EOD Continuous Contract Index- Daily Chart


Interactive chart of the Silver Bullion index.


$PLAT, which had been very strong, this week exploded to the upside with a new price record. At the close, $PLAT was 1757.50, up +4.61 pct from 1613, up from 1565.50. The gain on Friday was +1.89 pct, so $PLAT kept on chugging.

The 50d MA for $PLAT is 1539.30, up from 1505.71, up from 1487.62. The 200d MA is 1385.29, up from 1372.28, up from 1359.50.

I still think this $PLAT market hinges on the wealth effect in China.

Spot platinum chart for the week


Interactive Chart of Weekly Platinum EOD Continuous Contract Index:

PLAT EOD Continuous Contract Index - Weekly Chart


Interactive Chart of Daily Platinum EOD Continuous Contract Index:

PLAT EOD Continuous Contract Index- Daily Chart

Interactive chart of the Platinum metal index.



This week, $PALL gained +1.54 pct W/W to 395.00 from 379.30. There was a loss of 0.78 pct on Friday.

The 50d MA is 370.90, up from 368.49, and the 200d MA is 367.40, up from 366.92.

Two weeks ago (at lower prices), I wrote, “I think the 50d and 200d technical support may not hold for palladium, but we will have to see on that score.” I think $PALL may be the first of the precious metals to show weakness, but I am not so sure of that.

Spot palladium chart for the week


Interactive Chart of Weekly Palladium EOD Continuous Contract Index:

PALL EOD Continuous Contract Index - Weekly Chart


Interactive Chart of Daily Palladium EOD Continuous Contract Index:

PALL EOD Continuous Contract Index- Daily Chart

Interactive chart of the Palladium metal index.


This week, $COPPER gained +2.80 pct from 320.00 to 327.30, which follows a loss the previous week.

The 50d MA of $COPPER is 311.99, up from 310.61, but down from 328.81 just seven weeks ago, and the 200d MA is 337.57, down from 338.37, down from 339.05.

I still feel good about my comment of two weeks ago: “The $COPPER price could, in fact, easily burst down through support of the 50d-MA (310.77 at the time).”

Interactive Chart of Weekly Copper EOD Continuous Contract Index:


COPPER EOD Continuous Contract Index - Weekly Chart


Interactive Chart of Daily Copper EOD Continuous Contract Index:

COPPER EOD Continuous Contract Index- Daily Chart

Interactive chart of the Copper metal index.


Table 12: Senior gold equities

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
BVN 65.57 -1.46 -2.18% 2.45% 8.09% 3.72% 7.70% 15.54% 66.25% 123.26%
AUY 15.89 -0.61 -3.70% 1.73% 7.36% 7.00% 14.56% 10.27% 46.99% 15.82%
MDG 35.50 -0.58 -1.61% 1.69% 1.46% -0.87% 35.03% 11.60% 26.83% 35.03%
NEM 53.23 -1.02 -1.88% -0.06% 0.64% -1.08% 1.60% 7.51% 27.99% 17.90%
AEM 62.12 -0.96 -1.52% -0.99% 16.03% 6.19% 9.91% 13.13% 48.75% 52.82%
KGC 21.96 -0.15 -0.68% -0.99% 5.48% 5.53% 8.98% 12.85% 73.73% 67.38%
ABX 50.90 -0.54 -1.05% -2.43% 9.42% 4.50% 10.60% 19.76% 55.66% 68.04%
GG 36.75 -0.48 -1.29% -2.93% 8.31% -3.01% 0.30% 8.41% 48.13% 30.78%
GFI 14.08 -0.92 -6.13% -7.06% -13.67% -13.25% -8.57% -18.71% -12.38% -17.13%

This week, $XAU (the Philadelphia Exchange goldminer index) dropped -0.50 pct from 185.54 to 184.61. Not much, but the loss came on Friday, and was led by the Big Three.

Three weeks ago $XAU was at 193.55.

Recently I wrote, “The past few weeks have been much more explosive to the upside than I had expected, and I was looking for a pull back.” I am still looking for a pull-back, but the Fed and the Administration are keeping the full-court press on with their pump, pump, pumping action.

The 50d MA for $XAU is 177.18, up from 175.69, and the 200d MA is 158.31, up from 157.28, up from 156.51.


To watch the moves in precious metal miners, you will have to monitor the individual stock charts, preferably in real-time, as follows:

NEM ABX AU GFI GG HMY AUY KGC BVN
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data


MDG LIHRY AEM BGO IAG EGO RGLD GOLD CDE GRS
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data


SSRI SIL NG KRY UXG GRZ TSE_HRG TSE_GUY TSE_AGI
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data


NXG GSS MNG DROOY MFN RNO RANGY MRB CLG
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data


Here are the key Silver miners and the SLV ETF:

SLV SIL CDE HL PAAS SSRI SLW MGN

Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data


Here are the Weekly and Daily Data charts of the indexes:

Weekly U.S. Goldminers Index:


Interactive Chart of Weekly U.S. Goldminers Index:


Weekly U.S. Goldminers Index - Weekly Chart


Interactive Chart of Daily U.S. Goldminers Index:

Daily U.S. Goldminers Index - Daily Chart



The U.S. goldminer share trust ETF trades under the ticker symbol GDX.


Here are the U.S. Goldminer ETF (GDX) index Weekly and Daily data charts:

GDX Weekly data:


GDX Weekly Data Chart


GDX Daily data:


GDX Daily Data Chart


The Toronto Exchange-listed goldminer iUnits S&P/TSX Capped Gold Index ETF trades under the ticker symbol TSE:XGD. Yes, just like GDX on the AMEX, you can trade XGD on Toronto.

Here are the Weekly and Daily data charts for the TSX Goldshares (XGD) index:

Interactive Chart of XGD Weekly data:

XGD Weekly Data Chart

Interactive Chart of XGD Daily data:

XGD Daily Data Chart


Forex Review

The following data is a simulation of M3 as of the past week.

“US M3 (estimated) continues to grow at an excessive rate, as it does in Europe. Central bankers are constantly diluting all fiat money at extreme rates.”

Here is the chart of the week’s trading.

This week the $USD dropped again from 76.37 to 75.99 to 75.48, because the
Admin and the Fed are up to reflation tricks. But on Friday the $USD did gain +0.41 pct.

The 50d MA of the $USD is 76.15, down from 76.20, and up from 76.16 two weeks ago, and down from where it was three weeks ago at 76.20. The 200d MA is 79.21, down from 79.37, down from 79.51 two weeks ago and from 79.68 three weeks ago.

At some point, I am expecting to see a rally – right around the time that HB&B cleans the Street of the small speculators in precious metals.

Interactive Chart of Weekly U.S. Dollar Index:


Weekly U.S. Dollar Index - Weekly Chart


Interactive Chart of Daily U.S. U.S. Dollar Index:


Daily U.S. Dollar Index - Weekly Chart


The Euro ($XEU) moved to 148.16 from 146.66, up from 146.25 two weeks ago.

The Euro 50d MA is 146.79, up from 146.61, and the 200d MA is 140.24, up from 139.92.

Interactive Chart of Weekly Euro Dollar Index, priced in USD:

Weekly Euro Dollar Index - Priced in USD

Interactive Chart of Daily Euro Dollar Index, priced in USD:

Daily Euro Dollar Index - Priced in USD


The Pound moved down from 198.03 to 196.89. There was a loss of -1.01 pct on Friday as the $USD popped.

The 50d MA is now 200.41, down from 201.10, down from 202.08 two weeks ago, and from 203.30 three weeks ago, and the 200d MA is still 201.45-201.46 for three weeks.

Weekly British Pound Index:

Weekly British Pound - Weekly Chart


Daily British Pound Index:

Daily British Pound Index - Daily Chart


Weekly Japanese Yen Index:

The Japanese Yen ($XJY) moved up to 93.98 from 93.43, and from 93.45 two weeks ago. There is a reversal of the Carry Trade underway.

The 50d MA of the Yen is 91.07, up from 90.74, up from 90.40 two weeks ago, and from 89.80 three weeks ago, and the 200d MA is 86.29, up from 86.05, up from 85.85 two weeks ago, and from 85.64 three weeks ago.

“As the Yen gains, the money flow is out of US and Japanese equities and back into the banks to repay loans… And vice versa.” Banks are getting reliquified on a Just In Time basis…

But you know that… :-)

Weekly Japanese Yen - Weekly Chart


Daily Japanese Yen Index:


Daily Japanese Yen Index - Daily Chart


After a gain on Friday of +1.01 pct, the Loonie (Cdn Dollar) lifted from 98.09 to 100.61, just where Goldman Sach’s new man in the Bank of Canada presumably wants it. (LOL)

The Loonie’s 50d MA is 99.68, down from 99.93, down from 100.56 two weeks ago, and from 101.45 three weeks ago. The 200d MA is 97.09.

The current price of 100.61 is still a far northern Ontario wilderness cry from 110.17, just a few weeks ago. I suppose if and when gold passes the 1000 mark, it could get back up there.

Weekly Canadian Dollar Index:

Weekly Canadian Dollar - Weekly Chart


Daily Canadian Dollar Index:


Daily Canadian Dollar Index - Daily Chart


International Equity Markets Review

The international markets were mixed this week. I don’t have much time, so I’ll comment only that the Toronto Exchange lifted from 12894.8 to 13318.4, up Friday +1.24 pct, largely on the strength of the US market.


I have added another 16 country index charts from StockCharts.com (with their formal approval btw as long as I don’t publish too many) because I think it is important to be watching these markets move through a trend juncture together, and in relation to currency and commodity strength or weakness.

One of the improvements I plan to make in 2008 is to set up tables that include sector and industry indexes within various international markets so that you can observe and determine commonality of trends and cycles across different markets.

The world is now a very small one in capital markets and international business. No longer are corporations just American, British, French, German, Italian, Canadian or Japanese. Most do business internationally. We need to observe their businesses and capital market prices on a global basis.


Here is the latest session data for the exchanges of the Americas.

Here is the latest chart for the Brazilian Bovespa stock exchange in Sao Paulo.

Brazilian Bovespa stockcharts.com chart


Here is the latest session data for the Toronto Stock Exchange composite index.

Toronto 300 stockcharts.com chart

Toronto CDNX stockcharts.com chart


Europe

Here is the latest session data for the bourses of Europe.


Here is the latest session data for the London stock exchange FTSE.

FTSE 100 stockcharts.com chart


Here is the latest session data for the German DAX.

DAX stockcharts.com chart


Here is the latest session data for the French CAC 40.

CAC 40 stockcharts.com chart


Here is the latest session data for the Milan Italy stock exchange MIBTEL.

Italian Milan Index stockcharts.com chart


Here is the latest session data for the Swiss market index.

Swiss Market Index stockcharts.com chart


Asia-Pacific

Here is the latest session data for the Asia-Pacific stock exchanges.


Here is the latest chart for the Japanese Nikkei 225 index.

Tokyo Nikkei 225 Index stockcharts.com chart


Here is the latest chart for the Singapore index .

Singapore Straits Times Index stockcharts.com chart


Here is the latest chart for the Shanghai Composite index .

Shanghai Composite Index stockcharts.com chart


Here is the latest chart for the Hong Kong Hang Seng index .

Hong Kong Hang Seng stockcharts.com chart


Here is the latest chart for the India BSE 30 index .

Mumbai BSE 30 Sensex Index stockcharts.com chart


Here is the latest chart for the Australian All Ordinaries index .

Sydney All Ordinaries Index stockcharts.com chart


Russia (RTS) stockcharts.com chart


Table 13: International equities via an ETF perspective (in $USD)

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
EWZ 77.95 1.46 1.91% 5.77% 11.76% -3.30% -3.71% -6.29% 23.87% 62.43%
SPY 139.58 2.28 1.66% 4.92% 4.61% -3.64% -3.69% -7.58% -4.70% -3.48%
IEV 105.90 1.62 1.55% 4.56% 1.65% -7.29% -7.13% -12.89% -7.16% -1.03%
EWC 30.92 0.64 2.10% 4.30% 8.25% -4.99% -4.58% -12.00% 4.48% 20.86%
QQQQ 45.59 0.46 1.02% 3.64% 0.40% -9.94% -9.63% -15.57% -4.82% 3.61%
TRF 62.77 1.77 2.90% 3.58% 5.99% -13.44% -14.59% -12.33% -4.89% -18.03%
EWU 22.46 0.30 1.35% 3.45% 4.22% -6.53% -5.95% -15.50% -9.14% -5.23%
EWJ 12.85 0.13 1.02% 3.05% 5.50% -3.24% -2.87% -9.38% -10.08% -11.38%
FXI 150.90 6.83 4.74% 1.39% 1.26% -9.53% -10.15% -27.47% 10.22% 44.62%
IFN 54.12 1.73 3.30% 0.88% 0.78% -8.43% -12.57% -12.99% 18.30% 18.95%


Japanese equity market ETF: EWJ

Here is the Japanese (EWJ) equity market ETF Monthly, Weekly and Daily data charts:

Interactive EWJ Monthly data:

Interactive EWJ Weekly data:


Weekly EWJ


Interactive EWJ Daily data:


Daily EWJ


U.K. equity market ETF

Here is the United Kingdom (EWU) equity market ETF Monthly, Weekly and Daily data charts:

Interactive EWU Monthly data:

Interactive EWU Weekly data:


Weekly EWU Data


Interactive EWU Daily data:

EWU Daily data:


Daily EWU Data


Canada’s equity market

Here is the Canadian (EWC) equity market ETF Monthly, Weekly and Daily data charts:

Interactive EWC Monthly data:

Interactive EWC Weekly data:


Weekly EWC Data

Interactive EWC Daily data:


Daily EWC Data


US Equity Markets Review

The S&P 500 lifted +1.22 pct on Friday. A lot of shorts were trapped. It was a great day for the Bulls in Semi-conductors as well as Utilities, Energy, Materials, and Industrials, but not that hot for the Consumer Discretionary and Staples that may have had their run.

A week ago, I wrote: “Where to from here? I think there is still some buying power to come regarding the interventionist action, but the rally is just about spent. The action on Friday showed that with a gap up at the open, followed by a steady sell off all day. The closing half hour action did not change any attitude. It remains negative.”

I still feel the same, but there are many who were taken aback by the force of the Interventionist move. Lots of shorts were taken out of the market. That’s actually good if you remain bullish.

I still (no change) “haven’t decided whether the rapid-fire selling (ie, drying up of liquidity as bids are pulled) that has characterized the equity market this year is going to take the indexes down south-east as in 2000-2002 or south as in 1987.”

But, there are times when I see how much the pumping action does that I feel there could be a long, slow slide happen, then a boom right before the election, particularly if Obama is looking good at that point. Do you think we could see Oprah as Secretary of State? A pleasant kind of Condi, I’d say.

I still believe we need to hear from central bankers if they have been extending those supposedly short-term loan agreements to HB&B.

Just remember, the smart money is always watching the price series data, and tuning out the noise.

A dozen NASDAQ stocks to watch.


Here is the Monthly data chart of the Interactive Chart of Nasdaq Composite, S&P 500, Dow30, and Russell 2000 (small cap) indexes.


Monthly Nasdaq Composite Data

Monthly S&P 500 Data

Monthly Dow 30 Data

Monthly Russell 2000 Data


Here is the Weekly data chart of the Interactive Chart of Nasdaq Composite, S&P 500, Dow30, and Russell 2000 (small cap) indexes.


Weekly Nasdaq Composite Data

Weekly S&P 500 Data

Weekly Dow 30 Data

Weekly Russell 2000 Data


Here is the Daily data chart of the Interactive Chart of Nasdaq Composite, S&P 500, Dow30, and Russell 2000 (small cap) indexes.


Daily Nasdaq Composite Data

Daily S&P 500 Data

Daily Dow 30 Data

Daily Russell 2000 Data



Table 14: Dow 30 List

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
GM 28.98 0.77 2.73% 12.37% 26.88% 21.15% 18.72% -22.20% -11.46% -12.26%
AA 34.28 1.19 3.60% 11.70% 19.07% -5.28% -5.12% -9.55% -9.67% 4.51%
C 29.69 1.52 5.40% 11.45% 18.95% 2.63% 2.66% -22.90% -36.63% -45.75%
JPM 48.25 0.85 1.79% 10.56% 20.50% 15.21% 14.42% 8.87% 8.72% -5.78%
AXP 49.60 0.47 0.96% 9.15% 16.24% -1.61% -2.82% -15.05% -16.82% -14.59%
INTC 21.77 0.67 3.17% 8.85% 12.62% -11.76% -14.12% -17.85% -8.53% 3.13%
CAT 71.76 0.77 1.08% 8.84% 14.87% 1.96% 1.60% -2.11% -10.45% 10.42%
T 38.28 -0.21 -0.55% 8.56% 2.63% -7.51% -6.63% -5.39% -4.85% 1.40%
MMM 81.21 1.56 1.96% 7.55% 8.34% -1.80% -1.81% -3.21% -8.82% 9.76%
BA 82.76 -0.42 -0.50% 7.44% 4.07% -4.85% -4.46% -14.33% -20.83% -9.10%
DIS 30.66 0.82 2.75% 6.90% 6.57% -3.49% -3.71% -9.29% -9.37% -12.43%
HD 30.45 -0.19 -0.62% 6.73% 16.00% 17.93% 16.62% -0.78% -19.38% -25.88%
WMT 51.18 0.44 0.87% 6.43% 7.79% 10.35% 9.13% 16.24% 10.73% 7.12%
GE 36.16 0.80 2.26% 6.35% 8.88% -1.74% -1.63% -10.36% -7.16% -0.19%
AIG 55.73 0.76 1.38% 4.72% 2.69% -1.28% -1.01% -6.00% -13.69% -19.13%
IBM 109.08 1.97 1.84% 4.36% 7.89% 3.98% 4.19% -4.02% -2.64% 10.18%
PFE 23.59 0.23 0.98% 4.33% 2.74% 1.77% 2.97% -1.50% -0.17% -11.38%
HON 60.21 1.14 1.93% 3.36% 8.35% 0.02% 0.52% 1.98% 5.35% 31.09%
DD 45.95 0.77 1.70% 2.75% 7.36% 4.24% 5.05% -4.15% -2.92% -9.15%
VZ 38.75 -0.08 -0.21% 2.62% -5.28% -10.73% -10.32% -13.39% -10.38% 1.97%
XOM 85.95 -0.45 -0.52% 2.39% 2.43% -8.40% -8.08% -2.88% 0.13% 14.48%
MO 75.44 -0.35 -0.46% 2.01% -1.77% -0.25% 0.68% 4.95% 13.31% 14.91%
UTX 74.12 0.85 1.16% 1.88% 8.86% -2.83% -1.45% -0.80% -0.71% 8.08%
HPQ 44.42 0.70 1.60% 1.55% 3.30% -10.53% -10.82% -13.75% -4.94% 4.86%
KO 59.26 0.26 0.44% 1.46% -4.48% -4.00% -3.00% -2.69% 11.24% 23.20%
JNJ 63.36 0.10 0.16% 1.44% -6.59% -3.90% -3.87% -2.01% 3.94% -5.45%
PG 66.05 0.63 0.96% 1.13% -2.97% -8.66% -8.66% -3.70% 4.58% 1.09%
MCD 54.22 0.64 1.19% 0.22% 4.31% -6.40% -6.68% -8.10% 12.33% 21.90%
MRK 45.98 -0.12 -0.26% -3.79% -16.20% -19.78% -19.85% -19.84% -9.88% 1.88%
MSFT 30.45 -2.15 -6.60% -7.56% -8.03% -13.91% -13.54% -17.84% 3.92% -0.33%

You can do this table yourself by entering the following string into the Summaries window at www.billcara2.com and then clicking on the link for Performance.

AA AIG AXP BA C CAT DD DIS GE GM HD HON HPQ IBM INTC JNJ JPM KO MCD MMM MO MRK MSFT PFE PG T UTX VZ WMT XOM

Here are the links to interactive Dow charts from Billcara2.com that I broke into groups of ten, which you can add technical indicators for as well. (list one) (list two) (list three)


Value Line Report(s) this past Friday

This week, Value Line reported on Altria Group Inc [GICS 30, Dow 30]
and Coca Cola [GICS 30, Dow 30].


Altria Group Inc
(MO: Value Line Report Feb. 1: next one is due May 2)

I have no comment about Atria (Philip Morris) as I do not care to support an industry that admits to making lethal products. The stock may have appeal to income-oriented investors, but I believe there are better options available in markets.


Coca Cola
(KO: Value Line Report Feb. 1: next one is due May 2)

This company is ranked highly by Value Line in terms of Timeliness (“1”), Safety (“1”), and Technical (“2”). However, the VL analyst has opined that there is “below-average price appreciation potential for the 2010-2012 pull.”

Recessions hit companies like Coca-Cola rather hard. I’m surprised that the VL analyst is looking for earnings growth for 2008 of the kind that the company routinely had during the past several years.

Given that the share buy-backs are minimal, and the $USD might be about to rally this year, which would hold down profits from abroad (74 pct of the total), the earnings projections may be on the high side.

I like the company products and marketing, I like the operating margins and return on equity performance. It’s just not a great time to be buying the stock, in my view. In fact, I think KO could under-perform the S&P 500 by -10 pct this year and maybe next.

Conclusion: I pass on KO for this year. Maybe next. I like the company.


The Dow 30 Company links

Alcoa [GICS 15, Dow 30]
(AA: Yahoo Finance file)
(AA: StockChart chart)
(AA: Billcara2 chart)
(AA: ADVFN Financial Data)
(AA: Value Line Report Oct. 19: next one is due Jan. 18)


Altria Group Inc [GICS 30, Dow 30]
(MO: Yahoo Finance file)
(MO: StockChart chart)
(MO: Billcara2 chart)
(MO: ADVFN Financial Data)
(MO: Value Line Report Nov. 2: next one is due Feb. 1)


American International Group [GICS 40, Dow 30]
(AIG: Yahoo Finance file)
(AIG: StockChart chart)
(AIG: Billcara2 chart)
(AIG: ADVFN Financial Data)
(AIG: Value Line Report Nov. 23: next one is due Feb. 22)


American Express [GICS 40, Dow 30]
(AXP: Yahoo Finance file)
(AXP: StockChart chart)
(AXP: Billcara2 chart)
(AXP: ADVFN Financial Data)
(AXP: Value Line Report Nov. 23: next one is due Feb. 22)


AT&T [GICS 50, Dow 30]
(T: Yahoo Finance file)
(T: StockChart chart)
(T: Billcara2 chart)
(T: ADVFN Financial Data)
(T: Value Line Report Dec. 28: next one is due Mar. 28)


Boeing Co [GICS 20, Dow 30. Cara 100]
(BA: Yahoo Finance file)
(BA: StockChart chart)
(BA: Billcara2 chart)
(BA: ADVFN Financial Data)
(BA: Value Line Report Dec. 21: next one is due Mar. 21)


Caterpillar [GICS 20, Dow 30]
(CAT: Yahoo Finance file)
(CAT: StockChart chart)
(CAT: Billcara2 chart)
(CAT: ADVFN Financial Data)
(CAT: Value Line Report Jan. 25: next one is due Apr. 25)


Citigroup [GICS 40, Dow 30]
(C: Yahoo Finance file)
(C: StockChart chart)
(C: Billcara2 chart)
(C: ADVFN Financial Data)
(C: Value Line Report Nov. 23: next one is due Feb. 22)


Coca Cola [GICS 30, Dow 30]
(KO: Yahoo Finance file)
(KO: StockChart chart)
(KO: Billcara2 chart)
(KO: ADVFN Financial Data)
(KO: Value Line Report Nov. 2: next one is due Feb. 1)


Disney [GICS 25, Dow 30, Cara 100]
(DIS: Yahoo Finance file)
(DIS: StockChart chart)
(DIS: Billcara2 chart)
(DIS: ADVFN Financial Data)
(DIS: Value Line Report Nov. 16: next one is due Feb. 15)


Dupont [GICS 15, Dow 30]
(DD: Yahoo Finance file)
(DD: StockChart chart)
(DD: Billcara2 chart)
(DD: ADVFN Financial Data)
(DD: Value Line Report Oct. 19: next one is due Jan. 18)


ExxonMobil [GICS 10, Dow 30, Cara 100]
(XOM: Yahoo Finance file)
(XOM: StockChart chart)
(XOM: Billcara2 chart)
(XOM: ADVFN Financial Data)
(XOM: Value Line Report Dec. 14: next one is due Mar. 14)


General Electric [GICS 20, Dow 30, Cara 100]
(GE: Yahoo Finance file)
(GE: StockChart chart)
(GE: Billcara2 chart)
(GE: ADVFN Financial Data)
(GE: Value Line Report Jan. 11: next one is due Apr. 11)


General Motors [GICS 25, Dow 30]
(GM: Yahoo Finance file)
(GM: StockChart chart)
(GM: Billcara2 chart)
(GM: ADVFN Financial Data)
(GM: Value Line Report Aug. 31: next one is due Feb. 29)


Hewlett-Packard [GICS 45, Dow 30]
(HPQ: Yahoo Finance file)
(HPQ: StockChart chart)
(HPQ: Billcara2 chart)
(HPQ: ADVFN Financial Data)
(HPQ: Value Line Report Jan. 11: next one is due Apr. 11)


Home Depot [GICS 25, Dow 30]
(HD: Yahoo Finance file)
(HD: StockChart chart)
(HD: Billcara2 chart)
(HD: ADVFN Financial Data)
(HD: Value Line Report Jan. 4: next one is due Apr. 4)


Honeywell [GICS 20, Dow 30]
(HON: Yahoo Finance file)
(HON: StockChart chart)
(HON: Billcara2 chart)
(HON: ADVFN Financial Data)
(HON: Value Line Report Jan. 11: next one is due Apr. 11)


IBM [GICS 45, Dow 30]
(IBM: Yahoo Finance file)
(IBM: StockChart chart)
(IBM: Billcara2 chart)
(IBM: ADVFN Financial Data)
(IBM: Value Line Report Jan. 11: next one is due Apr. 11)


Intel [GICS 45, Dow 30, Cara 100]
(INTC: Yahoo Finance file)
(INTC: StockChart chart)
(INTC: Billcara2 chart)
(INTC: ADVFN Financial Data)
(INTC: Value Line Report Jan. 11: next one is due Apr. 11)


Johnson & Johnson [GICS 35, Dow 30, Cara 100]
(JNJ: Yahoo Finance file)
(JNJ: StockChart chart)
(JNJ: Billcara2 chart)
(JNJ: ADVFN Financial Data)
(JNJ: Value Line Report Aug. 31: next one is due Feb. 29)


JP Morgan [GICS 40, Dow 30]
(JPM: Yahoo Finance file)
(JPM: StockChart chart)
(JPM: Billcara2 chart)
(JPM: ADVFN Financial Data)
(JPM: Value Line Report Nov. 23: next one is due Feb. 22)


McDonalds [GICS 30, Dow 30]
(MCD: Yahoo Finance file)
(MCD: StockChart chart)
(MCD: Billcara2 chart)
(MCD: ADVFN Financial Data)
(MCD: Value Line Report Dec. 7: next one is due Mar. 7)


3M Company [GICS 20, Dow 30, Cara US 100 June 25-06]
(MMM: Yahoo Finance file)
(MMM: StockChart chart)
(MMM: Billcara2 chart)
(MMM: ADVFN Financial Data)
(MMM: Value Line Report Nov. 16: next one is due Feb. 15)


Merck [GICS 35, Dow 30]
(MRK: Yahoo Finance file)
(MRK: StockChart chart)
(MRK: Billcara2 chart)
(MRK: ADVFN Financial Data)
(MRK: Value Line Report Oct. 19: next one is due Jan. 18)


Microsoft [GICS 45, Dow 30]
(MSFT: Yahoo Finance file)
(MSFT: StockChart chart)
(MSFT: Billcara2 chart)
(MSFT: ADVFN Financial Data)
(MSFT: Value Line Report Nov. 23: next one is due Feb. 22)


Pfizer [GICS 35, Dow 30]
(PFE: Yahoo Finance file)
(PFE: StockChart chart)
(PFE: Billcara2 chart)
(PFE: ADVFN Financial Data)
(PFE: Value Line Report Oct. 19: next one is due Jan. 18)


Procter & Gamble Co. [GICS 30, Dow 30, Cara 100]
(PG: Yahoo Finance file)
(PG: StockChart chart)
(PG: Billcara2 chart)
(PG: ADVFN Financial Data)
(PG: Value Line Report Jan. 4: next one is due Apr. 4)


United Technologies [GICS 20, Dow 30, Cara 100]
(UTX: Yahoo Finance file)
(UTX: StockChart chart)
(UTX: Billcara2 chart)
(UTX: ADVFN Financial Data)
(UTX: Value Line Report Jan. 25: next one is due Apr. 25)


Verizon [GICS 50, Dow 30]
(VZ: Yahoo Finance file)
(VZ: StockChart chart)
(VZ: Billcara2 chart)
(VZ: ADVFN Financial Data)
(VZ: Value Line Report Dec. 28: next one is due Mar. 28)


Wal-Mart [GICS 30, Dow 30, Cara 100]
(WMT: Yahoo Finance file)
(WMT: StockChart chart)
(WMT: Billcara2 chart)
(WMT: ADVFN Financial Data)
(WMT: Value Line Report Nov 9: next one is due Feb 8)


Wrap up:

“We are also sharing more here. Thank you. It’s quite inspiring to receive the mail I get. It’s a lot of mail, mind you, but every one of them is welcome.”

That’s what I wrote a week ago. In fact, I could write it every week now because your mail and contributions to the daily Discourse is quite inspiring.

On Tuesday, the National/Financial Post will be publishing an article that will cover my trading and blogging. Fingers crossed it turns out ok.

I have a lot going on, but I had to shorten this week because this is Super Bowl Sunday and I have family visiting.

Ciao. I have a football game to watch. Too bad I couldn’t make it to Cousey’s party at the Sunrise. But I’m sure his people were devastated by the Green Bay loss.

That’s the problem with life: we can’t all be winners.

btw, we had some computer problems with the charts. I was late to get to it, and then took longer than usual. MY apologies for the ton of typos I'm sure are here. But the truth is I just type and don't look back.


Posted by Posted by Bill Cara on February 3, 2008 06:49:44 PM | Category: Cara Week in Review