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February 19, 2008

Daily Report for Tue, Feb 19, 2008

Markets Re-cap

US stocks are set to start the Presidents Day holiday shortened week on a lift of some +100 points in the Dow following Friday’s close. The news of Cuban President Castro’s resignation has prompted US Pres. Bush to call for the start of a democratic transition in Cuba.

The major Asia-Pacific equity markets were positive earlier today. The Hang Seng of Hong Kong gained +363 points (+1.53 pct) to 24123, while Tokyo's Nikkei 225 added +122 points (+0.90 pct) to 13757.91. The Shanghai Composite was strongest, gaining +2.10 pct to 4664.29.

European markets thrashed about early in the session after the second largest Swiss bank Credit Suisse (CS) cut the value of its assets by $2.9 billion.

(WSJ) Credit Suisse Group said it has cut the value of certain asset-backed securities by $2.85 billion, blaming some of the hit on "mis-markings and pricing errors" by a number of its traders. The Swiss bank, until now perceived as relatively unscathed by the global credit crisis, said it is reviewing whether the move will affect its 2007 financial results, announced a week earlier. "In the first quarter to date, we estimate we remain profitable after giving effect to these reductions," the bank said.

UK-based financial services provider Barclays Plc (BCS) reported a lower profit in its fiscal year 2007, reflecting a -91 decline in profit on disposals, and losses due to US sub-prime credit market issues. Barclay’s earnings before these business disposals had increased. The Company said its Board decided on a +10-pct increase in its final dividend.

At 7:00am ET, the FTSE and DAX were up by almost +0.20 pct, while the French CAC was flat. By 7:38am ET, these indexes were up +0.9 pct for the FTSE and DAX and +0.7 pct for the CAC.

There may be a strong start to the Family Day shortened week for Canadian stocks today. The new Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney confirmed that the central bank would likely cut interest rates at its March 4 meeting. He ruled out an emergency rate cut, but indicated that the BOC might be more aggressive than the modest quarter-point cuts made in December and January.

Early this morning, the commodity futures and spot markets are booming.

March Crude Oil is up to 97.20 from 95.50 at the end of last week. The March Euro is now at 1.4738, up from 1.4657.

Spot prices for gold, silver, platinum and palladium are up +0.89 pct, +0.52 pct, +1.37 pct and +1.28 pct respectively.


Comments & Outlook

My associate in China, the Shanghai Fly, says, “6.6-pct PPI reported on Monday, a 3-year high, and 6.1-pct CPI reported today, which is an 11-year high… Markets up on both days, it appears there is strength in the Chinese markets. Unless Western equities crash, Chinese markets seem to be showing an upward bias.”

Inflation in China will have dire consequences for America, which will import that price inflation.


Links & Charts


International Economics Review

US Economic Calendar.



Knobias Cara100 Tables

 Portfolio GAINERS
SYMB LAST CHG %C VOL
CHA 80.220 +5.040 +6.7 0K
CEO 158.550 +7.680 +5.1 0K
VIP 36.780 +1.250 +3.5 0K
AET 50.840 +1.620 +3.3 0K
QCOM 42.200 +1.330 +3.3 0K
STO 28.840 +0.870 +3.1 0K
PTR 151.410 +4.160 +2.8 0K
IBN 59.390 +1.190 +2 0K
GSK 44.190 +0.870 +2 0K
ATVI 26.990 +0.500 +1.9 0K
CHL 75.970 +1.400 +1.9 0K
GG 36.860 +0.620 +1.7 0K
JCP 46.660 +0.760 +1.7 0K
IBKR 34.450 +0.490 +1.4 0K
TM 110.990 +1.470 +1.3 0K
BHP 70.000 +0.910 +1.3 0K
GRMN 66.350 +0.830 +1.3 0K
MICC 106.720 +1.250 +1.2 0K
GS 178.410 +1.850 +1 0K
CVX 83.600 +0.760 +0.9 0K
DNA 72.670 +0.550 +0.8 0K
LEH 54.770 +0.380 +0.7 0K
EXC 78.650 +0.510 +0.7 0K
SBUX 18.290 +0.110 +0.6 0K
HDB 117.120 +0.700 +0.6 0K

 Portfolio LOSERS
SYMB LAST CHG %C VOL
GOL 18.530 -0.820 -4.2 0K
WFMI 39.120 -1.700 -4.2 0K
SNDK 25.370 -0.690 -2.6 0K
UBS 33.140 -0.800 -2.4 0K
BBBY 29.250 -0.660 -2.2 0K
TGP 29.890 -0.600 -2 0K
LLTC 27.160 -0.540 -1.9 0K
BC 17.030 -0.320 -1.8 0K
OXPS 25.210 -0.440 -1.7 0K
CCL 41.350 -0.720 -1.7 0K
INTC 20.110 -0.350 -1.7 0K
DEO 83.550 -1.450 -1.7 0K
UTX 71.530 -1.120 -1.5 0K
WBK 105.870 -1.620 -1.5 0K
PAYX 33.670 -0.500 -1.5 0K
ECA 69.790 -1.000 -1.4 0K
VCP 30.290 -0.400 -1.3 0K
WHR 88.490 -1.090 -1.2 0K
IMO 53.600 -0.660 -1.2 0K
DELL 19.570 -0.240 -1.2 0K
ERJ 44.170 -0.540 -1.2 0K
SU 96.360 -1.170 -1.2 0K
BBD 27.280 -0.320 -1.2 0K
TEF 83.390 -0.950 -1.1 0K
HBC 72.280 -0.820 -1.1 0K

 Portfolio 52-Wk HIGHS
SYMB DAY HIGH LAST CHG %CHG VOL
NONE FOUND.

 Portfolio 52-Wk LOWS
SYMB DAY LOW LAST CHG %CHG VOL
NONE FOUND.

 Portfolio VOLUME
SYMB LAST %C VOL %ADSV
NONE FOUND.

 Analysts UPGRADES
SYMB ANALYST OLD   NEW BEFORE   AFTER
NONE FOUND.
• PREVIOUS SESSION
MFC BMO Capital --- --- Market Perform Outperform

 Analysts DOWNGRADES
SYMB ANALYST OLD   NEW BEFORE   AFTER
NONE FOUND.
• PREVIOUS SESSION
WFMI Lehman --- --- Equal-weight Underweight


Cara 100 Daily RSI-7 Charts


At least one RSI value >70:
rsi
TickerLastRSI-7MRSI-7WRSI-7DZone
PBR114.4577.8362.8358.14
ATVI26.9977.2960.6756.65
VIP36.7877.2654.1361.37
ABX47.5974.1355.1538.83
TT44.6673.0164.5855.73
GG36.8670.3359.0255.28
IMO53.6065.3361.4170.11
NUE62.0159.3563.0274.33
YHOO29.6657.8767.3971.05
STO28.8450.6850.5274.61
BA85.1844.1250.0971.76
DNA72.6743.1456.8576.50
CCJ36.2240.9345.5573.44

At least one RSI value <30:
rsi
TickerLastRSI-7MRSI-7WRSI-7DZone
SBUX18.2912.9025.8139.97
UBS33.1417.3312.6218.21Accumulation Zone (for 2 days)
LLTC27.1623.6831.0942.33
SNDK25.3723.8019.9737.13
KB61.9224.4029.0840.35Buy alert (trig. 7 days ago [on 2008-02-07 at $62.17, -0.40% chg], after a 2 day AZ)
BC17.0326.1241.9738.25
DELL19.5726.7221.4742.22Buy alert (trig. 7 days ago [on 2008-02-07 at $19.43, +0.72% chg], after a 2 day AZ)
HBC72.2826.8227.6141.81Buy alert (trig. 4 days ago [on 2008-02-12 at $72.71, -0.59% chg], after a 4 day AZ)
CSCO23.3031.0522.8938.87
DB110.2731.1028.3842.35
BMY23.3032.6729.5145.45
ADBE34.6733.0129.5851.34
GFI13.2237.6629.3927.65
OXPS25.2145.1629.3138.57
WBK105.8746.8833.4929.97


International Equity Markets Review

Europe

Here is the latest session data for the bourses of Europe.


Here is the latest session data for the London stock exchange FTSE.


Here is the latest session data for the German DAX.


Here is the latest session data for the French CAC 40.


Here is the latest session data for the Milan Italy stock exchange MIBTEL.


Here is the latest session data for the Swiss market index.


Asia-Pacific

Here is the latest session data for the Asia-Pacific stock exchanges.


Here is the latest chart for the Japanese Nikkei 225 index.


Here is the latest chart for the Singapore index .


Here is the latest chart for the Shanghai Composite index .


Here is the latest chart for the Hong Kong Hang Seng index .


Here is the latest chart for the India BSE 30 index .

Here is the latest chart for the Australian All Ordinaries index .


US Equity Markets Review

DJIA (interactive) chart

NASDAQ Composite (interactive) chart

Table: Dow 30 List

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
BA 85.18 -0.04 -0.05% 7.37% 2.92% 7.12% -1.66% -6.74% -10.82% -7.12%
MRK 47.53 0.63 1.34% 6.74% 3.37% -13.38% -17.15% -17.94% -4.52% 8.32%
AA 35.72 0.36 1.02% 5.81% 4.20% 24.07% -1.13% -1.68% 5.99% 2.91%
CVX 83.60 0.72 0.87% 5.48% 1.35% 1.03% -10.55% -0.67% 3.52% 17.15%
HPQ 43.87 0.61 1.41% 4.75% -1.24% 2.02% -11.93% -10.29% -4.94% 2.79%
XOM 85.37 -0.18 -0.21% 4.48% -0.67% 1.74% -8.70% 1.04% 4.50% 13.31%
T 37.88 0.04 0.11% 4.15% -1.04% 1.55% -7.61% -3.78% -0.29% 1.75%
VZ 37.83 -0.19 -0.50% 3.87% -2.37% -7.53% -12.45% -12.11% -6.59% -1.48%
CAT 69.95 -0.84 -1.19% 2.85% -2.52% 11.97% -0.96% 0.32% -6.67% 3.45%
IBM 106.16 0.03 0.03% 2.80% -2.68% 5.00% 1.40% 2.47% -4.56% 7.32%
PG 66.30 -0.33 -0.50% 1.97% 0.38% -2.60% -8.31% -7.70% 4.44% 2.02%
MMM 79.95 -0.34 -0.42% 1.77% -1.55% 6.66% -3.34% 0.38% -6.01% 3.95%
GE 34.37 -0.02 -0.06% 1.57% -4.95% 3.49% -6.50% -10.28% -6.86% -4.90%
JNJ 62.90 0.11 0.18% 1.40% -0.73% -7.27% -4.57% -5.95% 2.61% -4.39%
WMT 49.44 -0.53 -1.06% 1.39% -3.40% 4.13% 5.42% 7.01% 14.23% 2.23%
GM 26.13 0.31 1.20% 1.28% -9.83% 14.40% 7.05% -13.30% -17.15% -28.29%
DIS 32.49 0.17 0.53% 1.15% 5.97% 12.93% 2.04% 0.28% 2.46% -6.29%
BAC 42.70 0.46 1.09% 0.99% -5.17% 15.69% 5.28% -3.13% -11.47% -20.71%
AXP 45.11 -0.58 -1.27% 0.29% -9.05% 5.72% -11.62% -22.54% -20.50% -23.35%
UTX 71.53 -1.12 -1.54% 0.25% -3.49% 5.05% -4.89% -3.27% -0.14% 3.77%
PFE 22.33 -0.12 -0.53% 0.13% -5.34% -2.74% -2.53% -4.12% -5.10% -15.83%
DD 45.49 -0.73 -1.58% 0.11% -1.00% 6.29% 4.00% 0.26% -3.05% -12.13%
MSFT 28.42 -0.08 -0.28% -0.49% -6.67% -14.16% -19.31% -15.82% 1.14% -3.76%
MCD 55.30 -0.28 -0.50% -0.61% 1.99% 6.39% -4.82% -3.29% 16.27% 22.94%
INTC 20.11 -0.35 -1.71% -0.79% -7.63% 4.04% -20.67% -21.23% -13.39% -5.63%
KO 58.76 0.21 0.36% -0.83% -0.84% -5.29% -3.81% -5.15% 9.16% 22.80%
JPM 43.25 0.64 1.50% -1.30% -10.36% 8.02% 2.56% -0.64% 0.58% -15.54%
HD 27.52 0.01 0.04% -1.61% -9.62% 4.84% 5.40% -5.04% -17.51% -33.94%
C 25.48 -0.21 -0.82% -2.11% -14.18% 2.08% -11.89% -26.32% -44.14% -53.00%
AIG 46.11 0.61 1.34% -9.02% -17.26% -15.04% -18.10% -19.03% -27.06% -33.29%

You can do this table yourself by entering the following string into the Summaries window at www.billcara2.com and then clicking on the link for Performance.

AA AIG AXP BA C CAT DD DIS GE GM HD HON HPQ IBM INTC JNJ JPM KO MCD MMM MO MRK MSFT PFE PG T UTX VZ WMT XOM

Here are the links to interactive Dow charts from Billcara2.com that I broke into groups of ten, which you can add technical indicators for as well. (list one) (list two) (list three)



The Americas

Here is the latest session data for the exchanges of the Americas.


Here is the latest chart for the Brazilian Bovespa stock exchange in Sao Paulo.


Here is the latest session data for the Toronto Stock Exchange composite index.



Sector ETF Summary for the US equity market

The tables I show in this section are for eleven (GICS) Sector Index Funds (ETF's) for ten sectors, which cover the full spectrum of the US equity market. I added the S&P 500 Index ETF (SPY) for comparison purposes.

Table 1: Cara ETF List is sorted by price performance Week over Week (W/W), i.e. 1W%N.

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
XLE 72.85 0.13 0.18% 4.29% 2.10% 5.96% -8.36% 2.90% 10.65% 25.63%
XLY 32.23 0.17 0.53% 2.51% -1.74% 8.66% 0.09% -5.32% -8.31% -19.32%
XLU 39.85 0.35 0.89% 2.21% -0.97% -1.92% -5.32% -4.37% 4.79% 4.37%
IYZ 25.46 -0.03 -0.12% 2.13% -4.14% -3.67% -12.72% -13.49% -18.48% -17.79%
XLP 27.35 0.12 0.44% 1.94% -0.44% -0.73% -3.66% -3.83% 3.91% 1.79%
XLI 36.77 -0.23 -0.62% 1.66% -2.85% 5.81% -4.52% -5.23% -1.76% -0.11%
SPY 135.14 0.03 0.02% 1.57% -3.18% 1.28% -6.75% -7.15% -4.22% -7.31%
SMH 28.58 -0.36 -1.24% 1.53% -5.49% 3.81% -8.86% -12.60% -20.83% -17.16%
XLK 22.72 -0.08 -0.35% 1.47% -3.32% -3.36% -13.02% -12.45% -8.24% -5.14%
XLB 40.25 -0.35 -0.86% 1.05% -1.64% 8.99% -2.54% -0.12% 10.12% 6.23%
IYH 66.80 0.35 0.53% 0.97% -1.59% -5.26% -4.71% -5.30% -0.13% -3.45%
XLF 26.83 0.21 0.79% -1.07% -9.24% 3.99% -5.39% -12.58% -16.75% -28.96%

You can do this table yourself by entering the following string into the Summary window at Billcara2.com and then clicking on the link for Performance. XLE XLB XLI XLY XLP IYH XLF SMH IYZ XLU . You can also add more ETFâ?™s â?“ up to 30 in total.

For a list of components to any ETF, go to the AMEX.com web site, and click on ETF's.

10 (energy: XLE)

ETF Chart for Energy:XLE

Table 2: Senior oil & gas equities

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
STO 28.84 0.87 3.11% 10.92% 6.54% 11.91% -7.68% -5.41% 9.