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February 22, 2008

Daily Report for Fri, Feb 22, 2008

Markets Re-cap

In the Thursday pre-market, traders had been buoyed by a reduction in jobless claims and by Citigroup's upgrade for Cisco, but then there was an awful Philly Fed manufacturing report that burst the balloon for equities.

The DJIA (-142.96), S&P 500 (-17.50), and Nasdaq Composite (-27.32) closed much lower, aided by energy stocks (XLE -2.74 pct) getting hammered as crude futures ($WTIC -1.47 pct) dipped to 98.43.

Other sharply negative sectors were Cons. Discretionary (XLY -2.38 pct) and Utilities (XLU -2.20 pct). Only Cons. Staples (XLP +0.37 pct) settled higher to offset recent losses.

Nat Gas stocks ($XNG) dropped -2.25 pct, while Oil Services stocks ($OSX) were pulled down -2.82 pct. The REITs ($DJR -2.22 pct) were also down.

On the strength of a rally in $GOLD (+11.40/oz +1.22 pct) to $949.20, the goldminers ($XAU +0.53 pct to 190.56) were strong.

On the econ front, the Philadelphia Fed index, which measures manufacturing activity in the region, weakened sharply to a contractive minus -24 reading. The Labor Department reported jobless claims fell 9,000 to 349,000 in the week ended Feb. 16, while the previous week was revised up by 10,000 claims to 358,000.

After the awful manufacturing data was released, the US Treasuries saw a big flight-to-safety bid. The long-term US Bonds ($USD) lifted (+1.16 pct) to 117.25. Yields dropped on the 30-year ($TYX -1.96 pct to 4.553), on the 10-year ($TNX -3.40 pct to 3.784), on the 5-year ($FVX -6.21 pct to 2.807 pct) and on the short T-Bills ($IRX -1.61 pct to 2.14 pct).

On the corporate earnings front, JC Penney (JCP) reported a -9.9 pct drop in Q4 net earnings to $430 million vs $477 million a year ago, which reflects a weakening consumer environment.

On the deals front, Reed Elsevier (RUK, ENL) plans to divest its business information unit and agreed to an acquisition of ChoicePoint Inc. (CPS) for GBP1.2 billion.

European shares rose on earnings news, closing higher for the FTSE (+0.65 pct to 5932.2), the CAC (+0.96 pct to 4858.9) and DAX to 6904.9. Earlier in the day, the Asia-Pacific markets closed broadly higher.

The $USD lost considerable ground (-0.70 pct) to 75.59, while all the other major currencies gained on the session, which reflects the booming precious metals prices. The Yen, Euro, Pound and Loonie were up +0.74 pct, +0.75 pct, +0.96 pct and +0.19 pct respectively. The Euro closed at 1.4817 to the USD, and the Loonie at 98.90.

Early this morning (7:15am ET), the Platinum and Palladium spot prices are getting hammered: plat is down -30 -1.38 pct, while pall is down -23 -4.47 pct from midnight. Spot gold and silver are down less, to 945.0 and 17.8725.

The FTSE, CAC and DAX are trading at 7:15am ET at 5928.3 (flat), 4840.6 (-0.38 pct) and 6819.6 (-1.24 pct). Traders are awaiting news on Lehman Bros, Merrill Lynch, and MBIA.

The March Euro is at 1.4824 (down from 1.4827 an hour ago), the April Crude at 99.35, up from 98.35 an hour ago, and the DJIA futures down -19 from midnight to 12302, but an hour ago had been up +4.


Comments & Outlook

This is an interesting story on (Cara 100) Starbucks (SBUX) that was released shortly before the company announced staff lay-offs and a restructuring.

My take on it is that Chairman and CEO is the right person driving the company, and I’m happy he’s back. I will not be pleased to see him roasting his beans on Financial Entertainment TV. He should send his CFO to CNBC and keep at the job of running his company for the stakeholders.


Links & Charts


International Economics Review

US Economic Calendar.



Knobias Cara100 Tables

 Portfolio GAINERS
SYMB LAST CHG %C VOL
NTES 20.870 +1.970 +10.4 6M
RIMM 106.690 +8.780 +9 43.4M
GG 40.350 +1.240 +3.2 16.5M
GFI 14.870 +0.410 +2.8 13.9M
TS 40.150 +0.940 +2.4 3.3M
MICC 111.160 +2.450 +2.3 1.2M
VCP 33.580 +0.490 +1.5 1.2M
SNDK 25.840 +0.350 +1.4 8.3M
WAG 36.440 +0.440 +1.2 7.7M
INFY 41.700 +0.460 +1.1 2.9M
TEF 84.670 +0.760 +0.9 884.4K
COST 64.970 +0.410 +0.6 6.2M
WHR 89.370 +0.550 +0.6 1.2M
GGB 30.440 +0.180 +0.6 5.5M
MFC 37.990 +0.190 +0.5 1.4M
GSK 44.500 +0.190 +0.4 2.6M
MBT 81.980 +0.350 +0.4 2.2M
WBK 104.450 +0.440 +0.4 13K
BBD 28.670 +0.120 +0.4 5M
ABX 50.460 +0.190 +0.4 11.2M
VIP 38.150 +0.070 +0.2 3.1M
WMT 49.790 +0.090 +0.2 21.9M
DEO 81.740 +0.140 +0.2 392.6K
JCP 48.030 +0.080 +0.2 10.4M

 Portfolio LOSERS
SYMB LAST CHG %C VOL
CEO 160.900 -7.240 -4.3 571.9K
BC 16.390 -0.710 -4.2 1.8M
PTR 148.010 -6.400 -4.1 1.3M
TGT 51.360 -2.040 -3.8 13.7M
CHA 75.010 -2.930 -3.8 400.9K
KSS 44.590 -1.480 -3.2 4.5M
UBS 32.680 -1.080 -3.2 6.1M
IBN 56.470 -1.850 -3.2 1.6M
CHRW 52.650 -1.640 -3 2.1M
WFMI 36.540 -1.110 -2.9 5.3M
BBBY 28.300 -0.850 -2.9 3.7M
SLW 15.650 -0.470 -2.9 4.4M
SU 96.470 -2.770 -2.8 1.8M
NUE 64.150 -1.840 -2.8 4.8M
ORCL 18.890 -0.540 -2.8 55.6M
GRMN 62.720 -1.750 -2.7 6.7M
AET 50.770 -1.360 -2.6 2.7M
DELL 19.270 -0.480 -2.4 31.4M
BA 82.010 -1.990 -2.4 6.7M
CTSH 32.260 -0.780 -2.4 2.6M
SBUX 17.830 -0.430 -2.4 15M
STO 29.190 -0.680 -2.3 946.6K
LEH 54.140 -1.250 -2.3 13.6M
GOL 17.590 -0.400 -2.2 1.9M
QCOM 42.420 -0.950 -2.2 17.2M

 Portfolio 52-Wk HIGHS
SYMB DAY HIGH LAST CHG %CHG VOL
GG 41.080 40.350 +1.240 +3.17 16.49M
PBR 121.890 118.200 -2.340 -1.94 7.28M

 Portfolio 52-Wk LOWS
SYMB DAY LOW LAST CHG %CHG VOL
NONE FOUND.

 Portfolio VOLUME
SYMB LAST %C VOL %ADSV
NTES 20.870 +10.4 6M +437
GG 40.350 +3.2 16.5M +103
RIMM 106.690 +9 43.4M +88
GGB 30.440 +0.6 5.5M +78
GOL 17.590 -2.2 1.9M +71
VCP 33.580 +1.5 1.2M +68
GFI 14.870 +2.8 13.9M +49
TEF 84.670 +0.9 884.4K +40
ORCL 18.890 -2.8 55.6M +36
JCP 48.030 +0.2 10.4M +35
WFMI 36.540 -2.9 5.3M +31
MICC 111.160 +2.3 1.2M +28
TS 40.150 +2.4 3.3M +24
DNA 71.750 -0.9 3.6M +21
GE 33.690 -1.1 54.4M +19
ABB 23.480 -0 9.9M +17
UBS 32.680 -3.2 6.1M +16
TGT 51.360 -3.8 13.7M +15
GRMN 62.720 -2.7 6.7M +12
XOM 86.920 -1.3 29.3M +11

 Analysts UPGRADES
SYMB ANALYST OLD   NEW BEFORE   AFTER
RIMM Caris & Co 96.00 120.00 Average Above Average
GRMN Baird 94.00 79.00 Neutral Outperform
CSCO Smith Barney 25.00 27.00 Hold Buy
GFI UBS Securities --- --- Neutral Buy
• PREVIOUS SESSION
RIMM Canaccord Adams --- 130.00 Hold Buy

 Analysts DOWNGRADES
SYMB ANALYST OLD   NEW BEFORE   AFTER
TGT Smith Barney 55.00 48.00 Hold Sell
• PREVIOUS SESSION
WMT BMO Capital --- 52.00 Outperform Market Perform
GOL Avondale --- --- Mkt Perform Underperform


Cara 100 Daily RSI-7 Charts


At least one RSI value >70:
rsi
TickerLastRSI-7MRSI-7WRSI-7DZone
PBR118.2079.3966.4361.78
ABX50.4678.8863.0159.98
ATVI26.8578.4458.5152.29
VIP38.1577.1160.0968.80
GG40.3576.1967.5475.63
IBKR34.6071.7268.5862.04
RIMM106.6970.4157.3074.60
VCP33.5869.6769.3978.52
RIO34.7968.4962.4976.37
MICC111.1668.1957.4576.88
GGB30.4467.6762.5182.12
NTES20.8762.1567.2686.28
BBD28.6760.1551.0572.34

At least one RSI value <30:
rsi
TickerLastRSI-7MRSI-7WRSI-7DZone
UBS32.6814.1513.6224.82Accumulation Zone (for 5 days)
SBUX17.8315.0624.7533.41
BBBY28.3016.2742.0537.78
BC16.3921.3135.5432.64
HBC73.1122.7024.1047.52Buy alert (trig. 7 days ago [on 2008-02-12 at $72.71, +0.55% chg], after a 4 day AZ)
KSS44.5923.1244.8848.08
SNDK25.8424.2824.9145.94
DELL19.2724.8728.7339.83
KB61.7525.9930.7239.62
LLTC27.2628.3832.6147.49
GOL17.5928.4030.0329.04
BMY22.7629.6125.5535.59
BDK67.0529.6936.2636.91
CSCO23.1930.7627.6940.90
WFMI36.5434.2036.9526.01
GS175.1737.0927.3932.18
GE33.6937.1229.3439.01
GRMN62.7239.9629.4835.19
GOOG502.8643.1928.2331.02
ORCL18.8944.5826.2135.26
WBK104.4544.6424.7728.44
ABB23.4855.3929.6943.86
TEF84.6759.0829.5947.28


International Equity Markets Review

Europe

Here is the latest session data for the bourses of Europe.


Here is the latest session data for the London stock exchange FTSE.


Here is the latest session data for the German DAX.


Here is the latest session data for the French CAC 40.


Here is the latest session data for the Milan Italy stock exchange MIBTEL.


Here is the latest session data for the Swiss market index.


Asia-Pacific

Here is the latest session data for the Asia-Pacific stock exchanges.


Here is the latest chart for the Japanese Nikkei 225 index.


Here is the latest chart for the Singapore index .


Here is the latest chart for the Shanghai Composite index .


Here is the latest chart for the Hong Kong Hang Seng index .


Here is the latest chart for the India BSE 30 index .

Here is the latest chart for the Australian All Ordinaries index .


US Equity Markets Review

DJIA (interactive) chart

NASDAQ Composite (interactive) chart

Table 14: Dow 30 List

You can do this table yourself by entering the following string into the Summaries window at www.billcara2.com and then clicking on the link for Performance.

AA AIG AXP BA C CAT DD DIS GE GM HD HON HPQ IBM INTC JNJ JPM KO MCD MMM MO MRK MSFT PFE PG T UTX VZ WMT XOM

Here are the links to interactive Dow charts from Billcara2.com that I broke into groups of ten, which you can add technical indicators for as well. (list one) (list two) (list three)



The Americas

Here is the latest session data for the exchanges of the Americas.


Here is the latest chart for the Brazilian Bovespa stock exchange in Sao Paulo.


Here is the latest session data for the Toronto Stock Exchange composite index.



Sector ETF Summary for the US equity market

The tables I show in this section are for ten (GICS) Sector Index Funds (ETF's) only, but they cover the full spectrum of the US equity market.

Table 1: Cara ETF List

You can do this table yourself by entering the following string into the Summary window at Billcara2.com and then clicking on the link for Performance. XLE XLB XLI XLY XLP IYH XLF SMH IYZ XLU XLK SPY . You can also add more ETF’s – up to 30 in total.

For a list of components to any ETF, go to the AMEX.com web site, and click on ETF's.


10 (energy: XLE)

ETF Chart for Energy:XLE

Table 2: Senior oil & gas equities


15 (basic materials: XLB)

ETF Chart for Basic Materials:XLB

Table 3: Senior metals and steel equities

Table 12: Senior gold equities



20 (industrial: XLI)

ETF Chart for Industrial:XLI

Table 4: Senior capital goods makers and transportation



25 (consumer discretionary: XLY)

ETF Chart for Energy:XLY

Table 5: Senior consumer discretionary equities



30 (consumer staples: XLP)

ETF Chart for Consumer Staples:XLP

Table 6: Senior consumer staples equities



35 (healthcare: IYH)

ETF Chart for Health Care:IYH

Table 7: Senior healthcare equities



40 (financial: XLF)

ETF Chart for Financial:XLF

Table 8: Senior financial company equities



45 (technology, semiconductor: SMH)

ETF Chart for Technology, Semiconductor:SMH

Table 9: Senior technology equities



50 (telecom: IYZ)

ETF Chart for Telecom:IYZ



55 (utilities: XLU)

ETF Chart for Utilities:XLU


International Equity Market USD-denominated ETF Review

Table 13: International equities perspective


Japanese equity market ETF: EWJ

Here is the Japanese (EWJ) equity market ETF Daily data charts:

Interactive EWJ Daily data:


Daily EWJ

Interactive EWJ Weekly data:


Weekly EWJ



U.K. equity market ETF

Here is the United Kingdom (EWU) equity market ETF Daily data charts:

Interactive EWU Daily data:

EWU Daily data:


Daily EWU Data

Interactive EWU Weekly data:


Weekly EWU Data


Canada's equity market

Here is the Canadian (EWC) equity market ETF Daily data charts:

Interactive EWC Daily data:


Daily EWC Data

Interactive EWC Weekly data:


Weekly EWC Data


Bonds & Yields Review

Table 10: Yahoo Finance U.S. Treasury Debt, Municipal and Corporate Bond Yields

US Treasury Bonds
Maturity Yield Yesterday Last Week Last Month
3 Month 2.11 2.15 2.19 2.16
6 Month 2.02 2.08 2.02 2.29
2 Year 1.96 2.13 1.89 2.00
3 Year 2.00 2.14 1.92 1.95
5 Year 2.79 2.98 2.76 2.57
10 Year 3.77 3.89 3.80 3.44
30 Year 4.54 4.61 4.62 4.20
Municipal Bonds
Maturity Yield Yesterday Last Week Last Month
2yr AA 2.43 2.40 2.26 2.24
2yr AAA 2.39 2.38 2.26 2.36
2yr A 2.56 2.49 2.36 2.48
5yr AAA 2.85 2.84 2.78 2.69
5yr AA 2.88 2.83 2.68 2.60
5yr A 3.04 3.03 3.07 2.97
10yr AAA 3.58 3.50 3.47 3.21
10yr AA 3.50 3.63 3.49 3.18
10yr A 3.75 3.89 3.70 3.44
20yr AAA 4.42 4.41 4.41 4.13
20yr AA 4.74 4.43 4.44 4.27
20yr A 4.90 4.93 4.43 4.08
Corporate Bonds
Maturity Yield Yesterday Last Week Last Month
2yr AA 3.35 3.55 3.32 3.28
2yr A 3.37 3.36 3.39 3.58
5yr AAA 3.91 4.14 4.04 4.02
5yr AA 4.22 4.40 4.09 4.16
5yr A 4.56 4.76 4.45 4.35
10yr AAA 5.23 5.38 5.18 4.78
10yr AA 5.40 5.55 5.40 5.23
10yr A 5.86 5.90 5.68 5.32
20yr AAA 5.73 5.78 5.72 5.53
20yr AA 6.31 6.40 6.10 5.65
20yr A 6.31 6.36 6.30 6.02


Here is the $USB 30-year Treasury Bond chart.


Bond Yields Curve



US Bond Funds -- Interactive Daily Data Charts

SHY Daily data series chart:

US Bond Funds - Daily Data For SHY

IEF Daily data series chart:

US Bond Funds - Daily Data For IEF

TLT Daily data series chart:

US Bond Funds - Daily Data For TLT

AGG Daily data series chart:

US Bond Funds - Daily Data For AGG

LQD Daily data series chart:

US Bond Funds - Daily Data For LQD

TIP Daily data series chart:

US Bond Funds - Daily Data For TIP


Table 11: Interest-sensitive securities

Consumer Finance -USA -- Interactive Daily Data Charts


Consumer Finance -USA- Daily Data Charts CFC

Consumer Finance -USA- Daily Data Charts FNM

Consumer Finance -USA- Daily Data Charts FRE


Commodities Review

$CRB Index

Open Futures Contracts

Interactive Chart of Daily CRB Commodities Index:

CRB Commodities Index - Daily Chart

Interactive Chart of Weekly CRB Commodities Index:

CRB Commodities Index - Weekly Chart


Oil Review

Here is the e-miNY Mar-08 Crude Oil chart.

Interactive Chart of Daily Crude Oil:


Crude Oil- Daily Chart


Interactive Chart of Weekly Crude Oil:


Crude Oil- Weekly Chart


Gold & Precious Metals Review

Spot gold chart for the week

Interactive Chart of Daily Gold EOD Continuous Contract Index:


GOLD EOD Continuous Contract Index- Daily Chart

Interactive Chart of Weekly Gold EOD Continuous Contract Index:

GOLD EOD Continuous Contract Index - Weekly Chart


Spot silver chart for the week

Interactive daily data

Interactive Chart of Daily Silver EOD Continuous Contract Index:

SILVER EOD Continuous Contract Index- Daily Chart

Interactive chart of the Silver Bullion index.


Interactive Chart of Weekly Silver EOD Continuous Contract Index:


SILVER EOD Continuous Contract Index - Weekly Chart



Spot platinum chart for the past three days

Interactive Chart of Daily Platinum EOD Continuous Contract Index:


PLAT EOD Continuous Contract Index- Daily Chart


Interactive Chart of Weekly Platinum EOD Continuous Contract Index:

PLAT EOD Continuous Contract Index - Weekly Chart


Interactive chart of the Platinum metal index.


Spot palladium chart for the week

Interactive Chart of Daily Palladium EOD Continuous Contract Index:


PALL EOD Continuous Contract Index- Daily Chart


Interactive Chart of Weekly Palladium EOD Continuous Contract Index:

PALL EOD Continuous Contract Index - Weekly Chart


Interactive chart of the Palladium metal index.


Interactive Chart of Weekly Copper EOD Continuous Contract Index:


COPPER EOD Continuous Contract Index- Daily Chart


COPPER EOD Continuous Contract Index - Weekly Chart


Interactive Chart of Daily Copper EOD Continuous Contract Index:


Interactive chart of the Copper metal index.


Table 12: Senior gold equities


To watch the moves in precious metal miners, you will have to monitor the individual stock charts, preferably in real-time, as follows:

NEM ABX AU GFI GG HMY AUY KGC BVN
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data


MDG LIHRY AEM BGO IAG EGO RGLD GOLD CDE GRS
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data


CBJ SSRI SIL NG KRY UXG GRZ TSE_HRG TSE_GUY TSE_AGI
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data


NXG GSS MNG DROOY MFN RNO RANGY MRB CLG
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data


Here are the key Silver miners and the SLV ETF:

SLV SIL CDE HL PAAS SSRI SLW MGN

Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data


Here are the Weekly and Daily Data charts of the indexes:

Interactive Chart of Daily U.S. Goldminers Index:

Daily U.S. Goldminers Index - Daily Chart

Weekly U.S. Goldminers Index:


Interactive Chart of Weekly U.S. Goldminers Index:


Weekly U.S. Goldminers Index - Weekly Chart



The U.S. goldminer share trust ETF trades under the ticker symbol GDX.


Here are the U.S. Goldminer ETF (GDX) index Weekly and Daily data charts:

GDX Daily data:

GDX Daily Data Chart

GDX Weekly data:

GDX Weekly Data Chart


The Toronto Exchange-listed goldminer iUnits S&P/TSX Capped Gold Index ETF trades under the ticker symbol TSE:XGD. Yes, just like GDX on the AMEX, you can trade XGD on Toronto.

Here are the Weekly and Daily data charts for the TSX Goldshares (XGD) index:


Interactive Chart of XGD Daily data:

XGD Daily Data Chart

Interactive Chart of XGD Weekly data:

XGD Weekly Data Chart



Forex Review

Here is the chart of the week's trading in the $USD.

Interactive Chart of Daily U.S. Dollar Index:


Daily U.S. Dollar Index - Weekly Chart


Interactive Chart of Daily Euro Dollar Index, priced in USD:


Daily Euro Dollar Index - Priced in USD


Daily British Pound Index:


Daily British Pound Index - Daily Chart


Daily Japanese Yen Index:

Daily Japanese Yen Index - Daily Chart


Daily Canadian Dollar Index:

Daily Canadian Dollar Index - Daily Chart


Wrap-up

Posted by Posted by Bill Cara on February 22, 2008 07:25:05 AM | Category: Daily Report