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January 24, 2008

Daily Report for Friday AM, Jan 25, 2008

Markets Re-cap

The following report was ready to upload at 7:45am ET when the web-host stated that the system maintenance was finished and he was putting the system back on-line. Murphy then appeared. Sorry.

Details of the US government stimulus package and a strong labor report helped bring back considerable liquidity to the stock market. There is now less talk of US recession.

On Thursday, the DJIA (+108 +0.88 pct to 12378), S&P 500 (+13.5 +1.01 pct to 1352), and the Nasdaq Composite (+44.5 +1.92 pct to 2361) were lifted by a stimulus-based commodity rally and interest in technology that was spurred on by expectations that Microsoft (MSFT) would report a solid revenue and earnings gain after the close.

On the economics front, the US jobless claims report indicates that the labor market has been a little stronger than anticipated with all the financial system chaos and talk of recession. Existing home sales in the US for December fell -2.2 pct and the median home price plunged -6 pct to $208,400, according to the National Association of Realtors.

France's Societe Generale (SCGLY) apologized to shareholders for a EUR4.9 billion ($7.14 billion) "fraud" related, they claim, to an individual rogue trader. Inspector Clouseau has been called in. (LOL)

Apparently the SOCGEN loss has turned the discussion at the prominent World Forum at Davos Switzerland from a focus on recession to one on fraud. As usual, bankers are not prepared to put the sunlight on the problem, which happens to be on their excessive risk-taking culture combined with a lack of adequate risk management systems.

On the earnings front, Ford Motor's (F) 4Q loss dropped to -$2.8 billion vs a loss of -$5.6 billion a year earlier.

After details of the expansive stimulus package from the President were released, along with word that Congress had come to an agreement, Crude Oil futures ($WTIC) surged $2.42 per barrel. $GOLD rocketed +$22.70 per troy oz to close the session at 905.80.

The $USD dropped -0.79 pct to 75.70 and the long bond (30-year US Treasury) plummeted -2.03 pct while the yield ($TYX) jumped +4.26 pct to 4.353 pct. The yield on the 10-year note ($TNX) lifted +6.25 pct to 3.64, while on the two-year the yield soared +9.00 pct($IRX) to 2.30 pct.

Clearly, there was a flight of capital out of cash and fixed income into economic-sensitive instruments, hoping that the $150 billion stimulus package would kick-start the massive US economy, which some traders find a dubious assumption.

In any case, the Asian markets, excluding Hong Kong (-2.29 pct), but including the Nikkei 225 (+2.09 pct) closed broadly higher before European shares soared. The UK FTSE 100 gained +4.75 pct; the German DAX gained +5.93 pct and the French CAC 40 gained +6.01 pct on the day.

In New York, the Russell 2000 small cap index actually dropped -0.7 (0.10 pct) to 692.72. But the techs and oils were pumping. The two best sector performers were XLE (oils) at +3.52 pct and the XLB (basic materials) +1.59 pct. The worst were the XLU (utilities) at -3.11 pct, as capital in search of income jumped from those equities to the bonds, and then to the commodity-producer equities. It was a mixed up session.

Among the leading industry groups were the goldminers ($XAU +5.83 pct), Computer Hardware ($HWI +4.69 pct), Computer Disk Drives ($DDX +4.22 pct), Internet ($IIX +4.54 pct) and Big Oil ($XOI +4.33 pct).

Many of the Cara 100 stocks were up +8 pct or more including RIMM +8.0 pct, YHOO +8.4 pct, QCOM +10.3 pct, MICC +11.3 pct and NOK +12.5 pct. Cara 100 Nokia (NOK) is quite a story.

Compare the (Cara 100) Millicom (MICC) to the NOK chart. These companies are selling wireless products and services in the emerging markets. When NOK performs well, MICC is likely to out-perform it. Same too on the downside.

Overnight, the Asia-Pacific equity markets were very strong (Hong Kong’s Hang Seng +6.73 pct; India’s BSE 30 +6.62 pct; and Japan’s Nikkei 225 +4.10 pct) and at 9:12am ET this morning the European bourses have followed suit: UK FTSE +1.16 pct; Germany’s DAX +2.01 pct; and France’s CAC +1.45 pct.

At 7am ET, the DJ Futures were up +85. Crude March e-miNY futures lifted +0.62 pct to 90.00. Treasury prices were down and yields up.

By 8:20am, the DJ Futures were at +87 and the Crude futures up to 90.275.

But the big story, as expected from the market’s general reaction to the US econ stimulus package, was in precious metals. Spot gold at 7am had jumped to 920.35 (+10.75/0z +1.18 pct since midnight). Spot silver was up +0.18 (+1.10 pct) to 16.54. But, the Platinum spot was rocking, up +65 (+4.03 pct) to 1678/oz, and the spot palladium was up +7 (+1.90 pct) to 376.

By 8:20am, Spot gold was at 918.54 (+8.94/0z). Spot silver was up +0.13 (+0.79 pct) to 16.49. The Platinum spot was still rocking, up +75 to 1688/oz, while the spot palladium was unchanged from 7am at 376.

Obviously, the day will open strongly in NY. But, caution is urged.


Comments & Outlook

[NOTE: I hope that Jeff was able to update the tables in the few minutes since we got back on the air. If not, he'll do it later.]

There is always a short-term boost to equity prices when Interventionists attack the market as hard as they did this week. A combined -75 basis point cut in the Fed Rate and a $150 federal stimulus program aimed largely at the average wage-earner is not to be sniffed at.

But, despite the enormity of these actions, the US economy is so much bigger that, while impressive, the intervention is like a tug boat moving a modern tanker ship around in a harbor that is experiencing a hurricane.

At the end of the day, that tanker is going to land pretty much where natural law moves it. Same thing will happen in the equity markets.

What I am saying is that the rally attempt has become a short-term rally and that I expect it to fizzle out at some point fairly soon (days, weeks or a couple months at the longest). The rising commodity prices are beneficiaries, for now. But in reality the oil price and the Treasury yields can only lift so high before they become a burden. Soon, with all the other problems to be reported by bankers and corporations, the back of this rally will be broken and prices will slide again.

I called the turn early on Tuesday morning, and prices have been rising as anticipated. Soon, however, there will be another turn, this time south. Prices will tumble again. I still see a Dow 30/Nasdaq Composite reading of 10000/2000 in the crystal ball, for what its worth. Of course, I will be watching those prices and the emotions of traders by the hour, especially the longer this rally moves prices higher.

And I will do the same after prices start to fall, especially the further they fall. At the Bear market bottom, I expect to see widespread capitulation and anguish. I hope to see you there, awaiting the Buy Alerts that will pop up all over the Cara 100, at the time.

It will be the best of times.


Links & Charts


International Economics Review

US Economic Calendar.



Knobias Cara100 Tables

 Portfolio GAINERS
SYMB LAST CHG %C VOL
NOK 36.480 +4.050 +12.5 51.1M
MICC 102.870 +10.460 +11.3 1.4M
QCOM 40.410 +3.780 +10.3 45.8M
YHOO 21.690 +1.680 +8.4 39.8M
RIMM 95.000 +7.000 +8 27.4M
NUE 56.160 +3.710 +7.1 7.8M
SU 89.810 +5.890 +7 5.7M
GG 38.060 +2.400 +6.7 10.6M
RIO 28.320 +1.750 +6.6 39.8M
GFI 16.700 +0.920 +5.8 8.5M
VIP 34.210 +1.880 +5.8 4.7M
STO 26.700 +1.400 +5.5 3M
SNDK 26.750 +1.300 +5.1 9.2M
TCK 31.070 +1.500 +5.1 1.1M
GRMN 67.810 +3.210 +5 6.2M
TOT 74.080 +3.430 +4.9 4.5M
DELL 21.090 +0.970 +4.8 39.5M
GOOG 574.490 +25.870 +4.7 9.4M
ABX 50.630 +2.260 +4.7 16.7M
BC 17.170 +0.760 +4.6 3.4M
BBD 27.270 +1.200 +4.6 7.9M
DEO 79.820 +3.500 +4.6 1.1M
CSCO 25.110 +1.080 +4.5 69M
PBR 102.430 +4.090 +4.2 13.3M
ECA 63.520 +2.520 +4.1 3.8M

 Portfolio LOSERS
SYMB LAST CHG %C VOL
EXC 75.050 -3.200 -4.1 8.7M
BDK 70.230 -2.820 -3.9 1.7M
IBN 59.060 -2.330 -3.8 4.1M
WHR 78.890 -2.120 -2.6 1.8M
TGT 53.010 -1.380 -2.5 17.1M
WMT 48.910 -1.250 -2.5 35.7M
CHRW 49.740 -1.270 -2.5 2.4M
KSS 43.070 -0.960 -2.2 9.8M
COST 67.150 -1.460 -2.1 6.2M
CHA 75.260 -1.540 -2 445.5K
JCP 43.630 -0.800 -1.8 7.4M
BBBY 30.720 -0.500 -1.6 7.7M
WAG 34.990 -0.460 -1.3 9M
AET 53.470 -0.640 -1.2 3.8M
CHL 77.850 -0.930 -1.2 4.1M
JNJ 63.510 -0.690 -1.1 17.8M
DOW 36.010 -0.350 -1 8.1M
SWK 46.060 -0.420 -0.9 2M
GSK 47.950 -0.400 -0.8 4.5M
AMAT 17.960 -0.140 -0.8 34M
PAYX 33.090 -0.250 -0.7 3.9M
CTSH 26.810 -0.190 -0.7 4.4M
WFMI 38.720 -0.270 -0.7 4.7M
CEO 144.880 -0.820 -0.6 522.8K
HDB 115.630 -0.610 -0.5 621.8K

 Portfolio 52-Wk HIGHS
SYMB DAY HIGH LAST CHG %CHG VOL
NONE FOUND.

 Portfolio 52-Wk LOWS
SYMB DAY LOW LAST CHG %CHG VOL
NONE FOUND.

 Portfolio VOLUME
SYMB LAST %C VOL %ADSV
NOK 36.480 +12.5 51.1M +191
IBKR 32.860 +3.1 2M +142
GSK 47.950 -0.8 4.5M +131
QCOM 40.410 +10.3 45.8M +107
SU 89.810 +7 5.7M +101
EXC 75.050 -4.1 8.7M +93
BC 17.170 +4.6 3.4M +92
BMY 23.350 +3.4 34.3M +81
STO 26.700 +5.5 3M +79
TGP 28.180 +2.5 95.8K +70
TT 44.510 -0.4 7.3M +64
TS 38.400 +2.3 3.9M +60
PBR 102.430 +4.2 13.3M +60
TEF 88.590 +2.9 1.1M +59
GOOG 574.490 +4.7 9.4M +59
RIO 28.320 +6.6 39.8M +58
SWK 46.060 -0.9 2M +54
WMT 48.910 -2.5 35.7M +54
IMO 48.400 +3.7 510K +53
NTES 18.530 +3 1.5M +52
TOT 74.080 +4.9 4.5M +51
ERTS 49.460 +2.9 6.2M +51
ECA 63.520 +4.1 3.8M +48
IBN 59.060 -3.8 4.1M +46
MICC 102.870 +11.3 1.4M +44

 Analysts UPGRADES
SYMB ANALYST OLD   NEW BEFORE   AFTER
SLW Salman Partners --- --- Buy Top Pick
GRMN Oppenheimer --- 77.00 Sector Perform Outperform
STO Smith Barney --- --- Hold Buy
BMY Goldman Sachs --- --- Sell Neutral
• PREVIOUS SESSION
GSK Merrill Lynch --- --- Sell Neutral
EXC Smith Barney --- 85.00 Hold Buy
JNJ Stanford Group --- 70.00 Hold Buy

 Analysts DOWNGRADES
SYMB ANALYST OLD   NEW BEFORE   AFTER
GOOG Stanford Group --- --- Buy Hold
• PREVIOUS SESSION
NONE FOUND.


Cara 100 Daily RSI-7 Charts


At least one RSI value >70:
rsi
TickerLastRSI-7MRSI-7WRSI-7DZone
ABX50.6382.4570.3363.60Sell alert (trig. 7 days ago [on 2008-01-15 at $50.25, +0.76% chg], after a 8 day DZ)
GG38.0675.5766.0864.93Sell alert (trig. 7 days ago [on 2008-01-15 at $36.60, +3.99% chg], after a 1 day DZ)
NOK36.4875.0549.6963.70
SLW16.7173.5554.7456.13
PBR102.4373.2952.1248.67
KO59.8871.8243.8334.68
COST67.1570.9252.4254.57
MBT86.6070.7346.3639.42
BBBY30.7230.3552.4672.47Buy alert (trig. 8 days ago [on 2008-01-14 at $26.66, +15.23% chg], after a 1 day AZ)
BC17.1715.4540.2073.41Buy alert (trig. 4 days ago [on 2008-01-18 at $15.09, +13.78% chg], after a 3 day AZ)

At least one RSI value <30:
rsi
TickerLastRSI-7MRSI-7WRSI-7DZone
BC17.1715.4540.2073.41Buy alert (trig. 4 days ago [on 2008-01-18 at $15.09, +13.78% chg], after a 3 day AZ)
KSS43.0717.0236.9360.48Buy alert (trig. 6 days ago [on 2008-01-16 at $39.57, +8.85% chg], after a 9 day AZ)
SBUX20.4518.4037.9063.67
JCP43.6322.4845.1767.21
TM99.7022.6129.9142.21Buy alert (trig. 2 days ago [on 2008-01-23 at $99.25, +0.45% chg], after a 1 day AZ)
WAG34.9924.4738.7356.59Buy alert (trig. 6 days ago [on 2008-01-16 at $33.24, +5.26% chg], after a 2 day AZ)
SNDK26.7525.8717.6734.82Buy alert (trig. 1 days ago [on 2008-01-24 at $26.75, +0.00% chg], after a 5 day AZ)
SWK46.0625.8831.5243.20
UBS43.6827.4535.5154.12Buy alert (trig. 3 days ago [on 2008-01-22 at $40.56, +7.69% chg], after a 2 day AZ)
DELL21.0927.9929.3447.27Buy alert (trig. 1 days ago [on 2008-01-24 at $21.09, +0.00% chg], after a 2 day AZ)
PAYX33.0928.6523.5442.36Buy alert (trig. 2 days ago [on 2008-01-23 at $33.34, -0.75% chg], after a 1 day AZ)
BMY23.3528.9123.3528.35Accumulation Zone (for 3 days)
BDK70.2329.5539.1259.37Buy alert (trig. 6 days ago [on 2008-01-16 at $65.99, +6.43% chg], after a 9 day AZ)
HBC77.0829.6433.2647.82Buy alert (trig. 2 days ago [on 2008-01-23 at $76.62, +0.60% chg], after a 4 day AZ)
DOW36.0131.5826.8644.85
LLTC27.9732.7324.5442.92Buy alert (trig. 2 days ago [on 2008-01-23 at $28.05, -0.29% chg], after a 2 day AZ)
TGP28.1832.9731.4929.47
GOL19.0533.0928.5729.20Buy alert (trig. 1 days ago [on 2008-01-24 at $19.05, +0.00% chg], after a 2 day AZ)
BA77.6233.8521.3434.87Buy alert (trig. 1 days ago [on 2008-01-24 at $77.62, +0.00% chg], after a 1 day AZ)
DIS29.2334.1524.5341.67Buy alert (trig. 2 days ago [on 2008-01-23 at $28.52, +2.49% chg], after a 2 day AZ)
TS38.4034.1924.9942.67
TCK31.0734.6528.4341.34
YHOO21.6934.8028.8747.71Buy alert (trig. 4 days ago [on 2008-01-18 at $20.78, +4.38% chg], after a 1 day AZ)
ADBE34.6434.8824.3920.88
CSCO25.1137.7524.9048.31
GE34.6538.2128.4645.33
GSK47.9539.8736.3618.13
DEO79.8245.5420.8648.75
PTR146.3147.1431.6029.09
JNJ63.5149.3134.4115.56
PG66.1550.1827.5422.90
IBN59.0669.9547.4727.96Sell alert (trig. 7 days ago [on 2008-01-15 at $66.03, -10.56% chg], after a 3 day DZ)


International Equity Markets Review

Europe

Here is the latest session data for the bourses of Europe.


Here is the latest session data for the London stock exchange FTSE.


Here is the latest session data for the German DAX.


Here is the latest session data for the French CAC 40.


Here is the latest session data for the Milan Italy stock exchange MIBTEL.


Here is the latest session data for the Swiss market index.


Asia-Pacific

Here is the latest session data for the Asia-Pacific stock exchanges.


Here is the latest chart for the Japanese Nikkei 225 index.


Here is the latest chart for the Singapore index .


Here is the latest chart for the Shanghai Composite index .


Here is the latest chart for the Hong Kong Hang Seng index .


Here is the latest chart for the India BSE 30 index .

Here is the latest chart for the Australian All Ordinaries index .


US Equity Markets Review

DJIA (interactive) chart

NASDAQ Composite (interactive) chart

Table: Dow 30 List

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
HD 29.56 -0.39 -1.30% 12.22% 19.53% 9.44% 13.21% -4.27% -22.11% -27.35%
GM 25.62 -0.08 -0.31% 12.12% 12.47% -3.47% 4.96% -33.78% -26.06% -21.75%
JPM 44.96 -0.76 -1.66% 8.52% 11.67% 0.29% 6.62% -2.83% -0.84% -10.72%
AXP 47.11 0.90 1.95% 6.49% -4.01% -11.51% -7.70% -20.07% -22.99% -20.06%
IBM 106.91 0.81 0.76% 5.20% 8.75% -4.25% 2.12% -5.35% -7.97% 9.76%
C 27.33 0.97 3.68% 4.15% -0.58% -11.78% -5.50% -34.65% -44.58% -50.16%
INTC 20.69 0.71 3.55% 4.07% -9.05% -24.24% -18.38% -20.45% -15.65% -0.72%
MCD 54.00 0.99 1.87% 3.03% -6.04% -10.46% -7.06% -5.51% 4.75% 22.28%
WMT 48.91 -1.25 -2.49% 2.99% 4.29% 0.35% 4.29% 11.49% 1.85% 0.62%
DD 45.45 0.09 0.20% 2.60% 1.50% 0.49% 3.91% -4.40% -8.92% -9.61%
UTX 72.56 1.58 2.23% 2.14% 0.83% -7.19% -3.52% -5.14% -2.92% 8.57%
CAT 65.25 0.17 0.26% 1.52% -2.95% -10.25% -7.62% -13.91% -20.10% 9.24%
HPQ 44.89 1.70 3.94% 1.24% 1.01% -14.20% -9.88% -13.00% -5.71% 5.90%
AA 30.81 1.62 5.55% 0.59% -1.41% -16.75% -14.72% -19.35% -25.31% -3.11%
GE 34.65 0.06 0.17% 0.26% -3.21% -7.67% -5.74% -13.87% -13.85% -5.43%
MSFT 33.25 1.32 4.13% 0.06% -3.46% -9.10% -5.59% 6.40% 7.95% 6.95%
XOM 86.00 2.55 3.06% -0.61% -5.05% -8.18% -8.03% -6.65% -5.33% 14.82%
PFE 23.05 0.19 0.83% -1.50% -3.64% -1.20% 0.61% -3.88% -7.39% -14.06%
DIS 29.23 0.71 2.49% -2.01% -3.08% -12.06% -8.20% -16.63% -15.88% -17.31%
MMM 75.73 -0.37 -0.49% -2.03% -5.56% -12.21% -8.44% -12.04% -15.56% -4.73%
HON 56.20 -0.30 -0.53% -2.31% -2.43% -8.66% -6.18% -4.29% -7.38% 26.52%
BA 77.62 1.05 1.37% -2.82% -3.34% -13.77% -10.39% -17.65% -25.22% -11.39%
MO 74.89 2.04 2.80% -3.88% -5.45% -3.47% -0.05% 3.50% 10.04% 13.50%
PG 66.15 -0.09 -0.14% -3.91% -8.81% -10.54% -8.52% -7.33% 5.07% 0.98%
KO 59.88 1.01 1.72% -4.42% -8.26% -5.27% -1.98% -0.50% 12.51% 24.41%
AIG 55.04 0.23 0.42% -4.96% -2.55% -8.24% -2.24% -13.78% -18.71% -21.24%
T 35.75 -0.94 -2.56% -5.60% -8.33% -13.86% -12.80% -13.96% -9.90% -3.04%
JNJ 63.51 -0.69 -1.07% -7.03% -6.33% -6.42% -3.64% -1.44% 3.32% -5.22%
VZ 38.23 0.16 0.42% -9.66% -9.98% -14.65% -11.53% -13.94% -11.32% 0.42%
MRK 49.56 -0.75 -1.49% -15.06% -18.08% -17.04% -13.61% -11.81% -4.18% 7.23%

You can do this table yourself by entering the following string into the Summaries window at www.billcara2.com and then clicking on the link for Performance.

AA AIG AXP BA C CAT DD DIS GE GM HD HON HPQ IBM INTC JNJ JPM KO MCD MMM MO MRK MSFT PFE PG T UTX VZ WMT XOM

Here are the links to interactive Dow charts from Billcara2.com that I broke into groups of ten, which you can add technical indicators for as well. (list one) (list two) (list three)



The Americas

Here is the latest session data for the exchanges of the Americas.


Here is the latest chart for the Brazilian Bovespa stock exchange in Sao Paulo.


Here is the latest session data for the Toronto Stock Exchange composite index.



Sector ETF Summary for the US equity market

The tables I show in this section are for ten (GICS) Sector Index Funds (ETF's) only, but they cover the full spectrum of the US equity market.

Table 1: Cara ETF List is sorted by price performance Week over Week (W/W), i.e. 1W%N.

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
XLY 31.51 0.29 0.93% 4.48% 2.91% -6.08% -2.14% -13.31% -19.00% -20.53%
SMH 28.89 0.50 1.76% 3.51% -0.10% -13.48% -7.88% -16.14% -25.98% -13.99%
XLF 28.05 0.33 1.19% 3.20% 3.89% -5.94% -1.09% -14.82% -18.79% -24.78%
XLI 35.96 0.15 0.42% 0.73% -1.64% -10.08% -6.62% -10.55% -11.43% 1.18%
XLB 38.54 0.88 2.34% -0.80% -3.36% -9.32% -6.68% -8.56% -8.02% 6.41%
XLE 69.70 2.11 3.12% -2.45% -9.30% -12.50% -12.33% -7.18% -3.40% 20.38%
XLP 27.07 -0.13 -0.48% -2.45% -5.42% -7.61% -4.65% -3.04% -0.48% 1.27%
IYH 66.98 -0.18 -0.27% -6.87% -7.84% -7.44% -4.45% -5.52% -3.72% -2.26%
IYZ 25.20 0.12 0.48% -7.08% -8.70% -17.02% -13.61% -22.01% -27.13% -17.24%
XLU 38.60 -1.08 -2.72% -8.66% -11.69% -10.67% -8.29% -3.50% -2.33% 6.13%

You can do this table yourself by entering the following string into the Summary window at Billcara2.com and then clicking on the link for Performance. XLE XLB XLI XLY XLP IYH XLF SMH IYZ XLU . You can also add more ETF’s – up to 30 in total.

For a list of components to any ETF, go to the AMEX.com web site, and click on ETF's.

10 (energy: XLE)

ETF Chart for Energy:XLE

15 (basic materials: XLB)

ETF Chart for Basic Materials:XLB

20 (industrial: XLI)

ETF Chart for Industrial:XLI

25 (consumer discretionary: XLY)

ETF Chart for Energy:XLY

30 (consumer staples: XLP)

ETF Chart for Consumer Staples:XLP

35 (healthcare: IYH)

ETF Chart for Health Care:IYH

40 (financial: XLF)

ETF Chart for Financial:XLF

45 (technology, semiconductor: SMH)

ETF Chart for Technology, Semiconductor:SMH

50 (telecom: IYZ)

ETF Chart for Telecom:IYZ

55 (utilities: XLU)

ETF Chart for Utilities:XLU


International Equity Market USD-denominated ETF Review

Table 13: International equities via the USD-denominated ETF perspective

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
EWC 29.58 0.93 3.25% 0.58% -5.10% -7.85% -8.70% -12.54% -5.13% 17.15%
EWU 21.87 0.51 2.39% 0.05% -5.77% -10.26% -8.42% -16.27% -14.67% -8.49%
EWJ 12.28 0.20 1.66% -0.57% -6.33% -7.39% -7.18% -11.97% -16.18% -15.08%
FXI 149.90 -1.45 -0.96% -1.15% -15.02% -16.49% -10.75% -27.41% 7.84% 35.66%
EWZ 71.85 2.59 3.74% -1.28% -10.53% -12.82% -11.24% -8.47% 8.72% 51.20%
SPY 134.99 1.13 0.84% -1.45% -3.82% -9.54% -6.86% -10.89% -10.78% -6.22%
IEV 103.32 2.95 2.94% -2.24% -7.38% -9.76% -9.39% -14.04% -11.94% -2.69%
QQQQ 44.91 0.89 2.02% -2.48% -6.28% -14.03% -10.98% -16.48% -8.96% 1.38%
IFN 54.51 -0.16 -0.29% -3.93% -12.36% -20.42% -11.94% -4.32% 16.15% 21.95%
TRF 59.82 2.72 4.76% -6.56% -12.98% -16.87% -18.60% -14.54% -15.00% -24.57%


Japanese equity market ETF: EWJ

Here is the Japanese (EWJ) equity market ETF Daily data charts:

Interactive EWJ Daily data:


Daily EWJ

Interactive EWJ Weekly data:


Weekly EWJ



U.K. equity market ETF

Here is the United Kingdom (EWU) equity market ETF Daily data charts:

Interactive EWU Daily data:

EWU Daily data:


Daily EWU Data

Interactive EWU Weekly data:


Weekly EWU Data


Canada's equity market

Here is the Canadian (EWC) equity market ETF Daily data charts:

Interactive EWC Daily data:


Daily EWC Data

Interactive EWC Weekly data:


Weekly EWC Data


Bonds & Yields Review

Table 10: US Treasury Yields

US Treasury Bonds
Maturity Yield Yesterday Last Week Last Month
3 Month 2.28 2.11 2.90 3.15
6 Month 2.40 2.23 2.86 3.40
2 Year 2.31 2.14 2.40 3.24
3 Year 2.27 2.08 2.33 3.18
5 Year 2.90 2.74 2.87 3.63
10 Year 3.71 3.60 3.62 4.21
30 Year 4.39 4.31 4.25 4.62
Municipal Bonds
Maturity Yield Yesterday Last Week Last Month
2yr AA 2.29 2.24 2.57 3.00
2yr AAA 2.42 2.29 2.66 3.10
2yr A 2.53 2.41 2.77 3.59
5yr AAA 2.83 2.72 2.84 3.34
5yr AA 2.76 2.66 2.77 3.36
5yr A 3.11 3.00 3.13 3.55
10yr AAA 3.34 3.30 3.39 3.85
10yr AA 3.26 3.24 3.53 3.44
10yr A 3.57 3.53 3.61 4.08
20yr AAA 4.19 4.09 4.15 4.39
20yr AA 4.33 4.23 4.29 4.18
20yr A 4.51 4.04 4.10 4.65
Corporate Bonds
Maturity Yield Yesterday Last Week Last Month
2yr AA 3.49 3.49 3.72 4.47
2yr A 3.69 3.58 4.02 4.58
5yr AAA 4.15 3.87 4.24 4.75
5yr AA 4.33 4.21 4.38 5.04
5yr A 4.29 4.22 4.51 4.91
10yr AAA 4.80 4.75 4.90 5.20
10yr AA 5.19 5.24 5.26 5.46
10yr A 5.48 5.44 5.43 5.74
20yr AAA 5.45 5.28 5.25 5.53
20yr AA 5.76 5.67 5.64 5.93
20yr A 6.06 6.02 5.98 6.29


Here is the $USB 30-year Treasury Bond chart.


Bond Yields Curve



US Bond Funds -- Interactive Daily Data Charts

SHY Daily data series chart:

US Bond Funds - Daily Data For SHY

IEF Daily data series chart:

US Bond Funds - Daily Data For IEF

TLT Daily data series chart:

US Bond Funds - Daily Data For TLT

AGG Daily data series chart:

US Bond Funds - Daily Data For AGG

LQD Daily data series chart:

US Bond Funds - Daily Data For LQD

TIP Daily data series chart:

US Bond Funds - Daily Data For TIP


Table 11: Interest-sensitive securities

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance.
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
CFC 6.110 0.120 2.00% 2.86% 19.34% -31.73% -32.11% -55.82% -79.97% -85.43%
FRE 32.00 -0.52 -1.60% 2.07% 17.91% -2.85% -2.26% -37.32% -45.49% -50.72%
TIP 108.31 -0.75 -0.69% 0.64% 1.27% 3.37% 1.57% 5.01% 8.87% 9.72%
IEF 89.43 -0.76 -0.84% 0.46% 1.36% 3.90% 2.05% 5.01% 9.66% 8.90%
SHY 83.30 -0.24 -0.29% 0.34% 0.82% 1.41% 1.17% 2.22% 3.85% 4.10%
AGG 102.84 -0.26 -0.25% 0.19% 0.55% 2.05% 1.17% 1.71% 4.36% 3.18%
TLT 94.36 -1.93 -2.00% -0.59% -0.27% 3.42% -0.02% 3.67% 9.54% 7.70%
FNM 34.19 -0.59 -1.70% -8.34% 4.52% -10.89% -8.73% -39.16% -45.57% -39.88%

Consumer Finance -USA -- Interactive Daily Data Charts


Consumer Finance -USA- Daily Data Charts CFC

Consumer Finance -USA- Daily Data Charts FNM

Consumer Finance -USA- Daily Data Charts FRE


Commodities Review

$CRB Index

Open Futures Contracts

Interactive Chart of Daily CRB Commodities Index:

CRB Commodities Index - Daily Chart

Interactive Chart of Weekly CRB Commodities Index:

CRB Commodities Index - Weekly Chart


Oil Review

Here is the e-miNY Mar-08 Crude Oil chart.

Interactive Chart of Daily Crude Oil:


Crude Oil- Daily Chart


Interactive Chart of Weekly Crude Oil:


Crude Oil- Weekly Chart

Table 2: Senior oil & gas equities

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
PBR 102.43 4.09 4.16% 4.42% -10.31% -12.00% -13.79% 19.44% 52.04% 107.26%
ECA 63.52 2.52 4.13% 0.24% -7.59% -8.05% -8.75% -2.67% 5.03% 33.56%
XOM 86.00 2.55 3.06% -0.61% -5.05% -8.18% -8.03% -6.65% -5.33% 14.82%
STO 26.70 1.40 5.53% -1.07% -12.40% -10.19% -14.53% -17.87% -13.23% 2.97%
IMO 48.40 1.72 3.68% -2.52% -8.52% -11.87% -11.87% -0.92% 0.10% 38.96%
CVX 83.67 2.22 2.73% -2.99% -9.61% -11.44% -10.48% -6.93% -6.88% 14.87%
SU 89.81 5.89 7.02% -4.68% -16.70% -16.56% -18.55% -14.04% -2.37% 18.53%
CEO 144.88 -0.82 -0.56% -6.43% -19.79% -13.36% -13.46% -23.44% 19.92% 65.63%
TOT 74.08 3.43 4.85% -6.84% -13.92% -8.46% -11.05% -5.74% -8.55% 8.57%



Gold & Precious Metals Review

Spot gold chart for the week

Interactive Chart of Daily Gold EOD Continuous Contract Index:


GOLD EOD Continuous Contract Index- Daily Chart

Interactive Chart of Weekly Gold EOD Continuous Contract Index:

GOLD EOD Continuous Contract Index - Weekly Chart


Spot silver chart for the week

Interactive daily data

Interactive Chart of Daily Silver EOD Continuous Contract Index:

SILVER EOD Continuous Contract Index- Daily Chart

Interactive chart of the Silver Bullion index.


Interactive Chart of Weekly Silver EOD Continuous Contract Index:


SILVER EOD Continuous Contract Index - Weekly Chart



Spot platinum chart for the past three days

Interactive Chart of Daily Platinum EOD Continuous Contract Index:


PLAT EOD Continuous Contract Index- Daily Chart


Interactive Chart of Weekly Platinum EOD Continuous Contract Index:

PLAT EOD Continuous Contract Index - Weekly Chart


Interactive chart of the Platinum metal index.


Spot palladium chart for the week

Interactive Chart of Daily Palladium EOD Continuous Contract Index:


PALL EOD Continuous Contract Index- Daily Chart


Interactive Chart of Weekly Palladium EOD Continuous Contract Index:

PALL EOD Continuous Contract Index - Weekly Chart


Interactive chart of the Palladium metal index.


Interactive Chart of Weekly Copper EOD Continuous Contract Index:


COPPER EOD Continuous Contract Index- Daily Chart


COPPER EOD Continuous Contract Index - Weekly Chart


Interactive Chart of Daily Copper EOD Continuous Contract Index:


Interactive chart of the Copper metal index.


Table 12: Senior gold equities

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
GG 38.06 2.40 6.73% 10.29% 2.45% 16.82% 3.88% 18.38% 40.03% 38.55%
AEM 60.64 2.74 4.73% 10.25% -0.07% 19.04% 7.29% 16.89% 39.05% 52.94%
ABX 50.63 2.26 4.67% 7.02% 1.20% 28.63% 10.02% 20.86% 47.74% 70.64%
KGC 22.52 2.18 10.72% 4.21% 4.07% 26.30% 11.76% 29.80% 63.54% 73.36%
AUY 15.55 0.48 3.19% 3.67% -0.83% 22.83% 12.11% 11.07% 27.67% 18.25%
MDG 35.50 -0.58 -1.61% 1.69% 1.46% -0.87% 35.03% 11.60% 26.83% 35.03%
GFI 16.70 0.92 5.83% 0.78% -1.82% 18.36% 8.44% -6.96% -4.84% -7.17%
NEM 52.97 2.47 4.89% -1.76% 0.09% 9.33% 1.11% 14.75% 22.11% 18.74%
BVN 60.74 1.76 2.98% -3.98% -6.18% 12.69% -0.23% 17.01% 41.85% 112.82%


To watch the moves in precious metal miners, you will have to monitor the individual stock charts, preferably in real-time, as follows:

NEM ABX AU GFI GG HMY AUY KGC BVN
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data


MDG LIHRY AEM BGO IAG EGO RGLD GOLD CDE GRS
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data


CBJ SSRI SIL NG KRY UXG GRZ TSE_HRG TSE_GUY TSE_AGI
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data


NXG GSS MNG DROOY MFN RNO RANGY MRB CLG
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data


Here are the key Silver miners and the SLV ETF:

SLV SIL CDE HL PAAS SSRI SLW MGN

Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data


Here are the Weekly and Daily Data charts of the indexes:

Interactive Chart of Daily U.S. Goldminers Index:

Daily U.S. Goldminers Index - Daily Chart

Weekly U.S. Goldminers Index:


Interactive Chart of Weekly U.S. Goldminers Index:


Weekly U.S. Goldminers Index - Weekly Chart



The U.S. goldminer share trust ETF trades under the ticker symbol GDX.


Here are the U.S. Goldminer ETF (GDX) index Weekly and Daily data charts:

GDX Daily data:

GDX Daily Data Chart

GDX Weekly data:

GDX Weekly Data Chart


The Toronto Exchange-listed goldminer iUnits S&P/TSX Capped Gold Index ETF trades under the ticker symbol TSE:XGD. Yes, just like GDX on the AMEX, you can trade XGD on Toronto.

Here are the Weekly and Daily data charts for the TSX Goldshares (XGD) index:


Interactive Chart of XGD Daily data:

XGD Daily Data Chart

Interactive Chart of XGD Weekly data:

XGD Weekly Data Chart



Forex Review

Here is the chart of the week's trading in the $USD.

Interactive Chart of Daily U.S. Dollar Index:


Daily U.S. Dollar Index - Weekly Chart


Interactive Chart of Daily Euro Dollar Index, priced in USD:


Daily Euro Dollar Index - Priced in USD


Daily British Pound Index:


Daily British Pound Index - Daily Chart


Daily Japanese Yen Index:

Daily Japanese Yen Index - Daily Chart


Daily Canadian Dollar Index:

Daily Canadian Dollar Index - Daily Chart


Wrap-up

The web-host struggled with problems today. What started out as a routine maintenance job with new, faster disk drives installed, go mostly done by 7:45am ET, at which time I was ready to upload this report.

Then, after delays, I updated the report at about 9am ET. Unfortunately, the web-host ran into multiple problems after that. So, just when I had been telling everybody that my local computer problems were fixed in Bahamas, I ran into this roadblock at the server end in Canada.

A lot of valuable time was used today without results. I apologize.

The system, now at least, will be much faster and more reliable.


Posted by Posted by Bill Cara on January 24, 2008 04:34:07 PM | Category: Daily Report