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October 18, 2007

Cara’s Thursday Report, Oct. 18, 2007, 7:03 AM

Market Chat

On Wednesday, the US equity market warmed initially to JP Morgan's solid earnings report, but later cooled on Turkey-Iraq tensions and bearish overtones from the Fed's Beige Book.

At the end of the day, the DJIA closed down -20.4 while the S&P gained +2.71. The tech heavy Nasdaq (+28.8) posted a sizeable gain.

The US Administration reported that CPI was up +0.3 pct with a core increase of +0.2 pct, a modest uptick. The big negative for traders, however, was the Housing Starts data that showed a stunning -10.2 pct decline.

After the bell yesterday, (Cara 100) Yahoo (YHOO) said 3Q profit dropped -4 pct as the Company undergoes broad restructuring. (Cara 100) Intel (INTC) reported that net climbed +43 pct on high global demand for chips and microprocessors.

Also on the very busy earnings front, JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) reported a +2.3 pct increase in 3Q net to $3.37 billion, compared with $3.3 billion a year earlier, despite a $1.3 billion in write-downs on leveraged loans.

(Cara 100) United Technologies (UTX) 3Q net income jumped +20 pct to $1.2 billion, up from $996 million a year earlier, on a 4-cent tax benefit compared to a 2-cent restructuring charge last year.

Altria Group Inc. (MO) announced a decline of -8.4% in 3Q net income to $2.63 billion, compared with $2.88 billion a year earlier, due to the spinoff of Kraft Foods (KFT).

Coca-Cola's (KO) 3Q net income jumped +13 pct to $1.65 billion, up from $1.46 billion a year earlier due to strong global demand, with marginal increases in North American business.

BlackRock Inc.'s (BLK) third-quarter net income soared to $255.2 million, compared with profit of $18.9 million in 2006, on heavy Treasury market business.

US Treasury instruments surged as traders fled to safety.

Crude Oil closed under $88/bbl after the Department of Energy reported a +1.8 million barrel build in crude inventories and a +2.8 million barrel increase in gasoline inventories.

The $USD weakened across the board, pushing gold and silver higher. Copper was the big loser on the day, however, due to the plunging housing starts report.


International Economics Review

US Economic Calendar


The Cara Global 100 Stockwatch


Key Stocks plus Cara 100 In Focus

There are various sources for up/down grades by broker-dealers. One is at Briefing.com. Traders ought to check everyday for ratings changes. That website is updated later in the morning.


Relative Strength Index (RSI) analysis of the Cara 100 company stocks .

RSI > 70 (12 of 14)

RSI < 30 (12 of 13)


US Equity Markets Review

DJIA (interactive) chart


NASDAQ Composite (interactive) chart


International Equity Markets Review

Asia-Pacific

Asia-Pacific equity markets were mixed today.

Here is the latest session data for the Asia-Pacific stock exchanges.


Here is the latest chart for the Japanese Nikkei 225 index.

The Nikkei Dow gained +0.89 pct.


Here is the latest chart for the Singapore index .

Today, the Singapore STI was down -0.78 pct.


Here is the latest chart for the Shanghai Composite index .

Shanghai plunged -3.50 pct.


Here is the latest chart for the Hong Kong Heng Seng index .

Hong Kong gained +0.57 pct.


Here is the latest chart for the India BSE 30 index .

A week ago, when I reported, "A new record high close today (18814) for the Bombay Sensex index. And another +1500 gain in just a little more than three trading sessions. Pop the bubbly," the warning was clear. Today, the BSE 30 dropped -717 points (-3.83 pct) to 17998.


Here is the latest chart for the Australian All Ordinaries index .

The Aussie stock index lifted +1.27 pct today.


US Dollar Review

Here is the chart of the recent trading.

The $USD is down again today, presently at 77.76. Is there any end in sight to this weakness?


Oil Review

Interactive Chart of Weekly Crude Oil:

Here is the e-miNY Nov-07 Crude Oil chart.

Oil is presently 87.40, after hitting almost 89 yesterday. A week ago I reported it was 82.05, and "on a rocket. Hey, OPEC wants theirs too if Helicopter Ben is throwing the USD from the sky".


Gold & Precious Metals Review

Here is the Recent Spot Gold chart.

Spot gold is now (6:57am ET) at 759.25.


Here is the Recent Spot Silver chart.

Spot silver is now at 13.69 (6:57am ET), almost unchanged from a week ago.

Recent Spot Silver chart.

I like the Kitco.com charts btw, but also need the ones at Yahoo Finance, StockCharts.com, BillCara2.com and ADVFN.com before making any opinion.


Here is the The Goldminers stock index chart.

$XAU is up 172.74, which was a -2.0 pct loss yesterday, and down -3.5 pct in a week.6.45.

Many junior resource companies will be exhibiting (fishing for investors) at the Cambridge Natural Resources Show in Toronto (Oct 21-22). I’ll be there too, and several of you have written to say you will join me. Anybody can join us if you wish. It’s a free show, and a good place to learn about these promoters and their penny dreadfuls. These are the companies that occasionally discover valuable properties.


Wrap-up

I am rushing to get to the Metro Toronto Convention Centre to hear the popular Anthony Robbins. Should be a good show.

That's what I need. Show time!

Sorry about the omission of screenshots. That will come.

Earlier this morning I actually put together an album and slide presentation of 19 photos of my private Guyana gold project. This is what the iMac is all about. I just need to give it time.

Time, is there ever enough?

Have a great day.


Posted by Posted by Bill Cara on October 18, 2007 07:03:56 AM | Category: Cara Today in the Market , Cara's Daily Commentary