Bill Cara: Bill Cara’s Saturday Report 24-2007, 06/30/2007 1:33 PM

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June 30, 2007

Bill Cara’s Saturday Report 24-2007, 06/30/2007 1:33 PM

This “Saturday Report” includes (i) Week In Review (WIR) Tables, (ii) end-of-the-week tables and charts (used in the Daily Commentary), (iii) Impulse system report, (iv) Friday’s Value Line Dow Report(s), and (v) an explanation of some of the changes you are finding in my site development.

My "Week In Review" will be published Sunday at 12:00pm ET (Noon).

WIR Tables for Week #25 (2007-06-30)

Table 1: Cara ETF List

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change 1Day
%Change 1W
%Change 2W
%Change 4W
%Change YTD
%Change 3M
%Change 6M
%Change 12M
%Change

XLU 39.50 0.23 0.59% 1.80% -2.32% -5.07% 7.28% -1.52% 7.57% 22.67%

IYZ 33.83 0.03 0.09% 0.39% -0.85% -2.06% 14.06% 8.67% 14.10% 33.66%

XLP 27.05 0.03 0.11% 0.22% -1.60% -3.05% 2.93% 1.77% 3.60% 11.32%

IYH 69.54 -0.33 -0.47% 0.13% -2.65% -4.14% 4.63% 4.27% 4.71% 15.90%

XLI 39.04 0.14 0.36% 0.10% -0.96% -0.61% 10.81% 9.60% 11.51% 15.37%

XLY 39.33 0.05 0.13% -0.13% -1.26% -2.48% 2.10% 3.69% 2.53% 17.86%

SMH 38.05 -0.29 -0.76% -0.60% -0.50% 2.89% 13.35% 13.31% 12.91% 15.06%

XLF 36.18 -0.20 -0.55% -0.71% -3.39% -4.84% -2.00% 1.83% -1.52% 11.56%

XLE 68.99 0.24 0.35% -1.39% -2.80% 0.10% 21.93% 12.88% 17.67% 21.98%

XLB 40.43 0.18 0.45% -1.46% -1.63% -2.11% 16.82% 6.45% 15.85% 26.54%

Table 2: Senior oil & gas equities

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change 1Day
%Change 1W
%Change 2W
%Change 4W
%Change YTD
%Change 3M
%Change 6M
%Change 12M
%Change

STO 31.01 0.80 2.65% 5.08% 6.64% 10.04% 20.71% 11.79% 17.82% 7.23%

CVX 84.24 0.06 0.07% 3.30% 1.29% 2.44% 18.70% 12.39% 14.57% 34.89%

TOT 80.98 1.26 1.58% 3.04% 2.83% 6.47% 14.10% 15.62% 12.60% 26.24%

XOM 83.88 0.28 0.33% 1.65% -2.40% -0.40% 13.18% 10.02% 9.46% 34.49%

SU 89.92 1.48 1.67% 0.16% -1.68% 1.42% 21.66% 16.67% 13.95% 12.01%

CEO 113.69 0.63 0.56% 0.00% 3.80% 17.62% 20.60% 27.87% 20.14% 40.72%

PBR 121.27 0.10 0.08% -0.19% -0.16% 9.05% 21.68% 19.69% 17.75% 37.98%

IMO 46.44 0.30 0.65% -0.41% -1.61% -2.31% 30.23% 23.41% 26.09% 29.68%

ECA 61.45 0.50 0.82% -6.18% -6.47% -1.48% 35.53% 19.88% 33.73% 16.03%

Table 3: Senior metals and steel equities

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change 1Day
%Change 1W
%Change 2W
%Change 4W
%Change YTD
%Change 3M
%Change 6M
%Change 12M
%Change

GGB 25.72 0.10 0.39% 3.46% 1.98% 7.75% 56.64% 43.53% 60.75% 72.85%

TS 48.96 -0.01 -0.02% 1.51% 0.53% -1.79% 0.91% 4.93% -1.86% 22.43%

AA 40.53 1.23 3.13% 1.32% -2.57% -2.24% 38.19% 20.34% 35.05% 27.05%

RTP 306.12 3.09 1.02% 0.89% -0.74% 3.30% 49.99% 35.63% 44.06% 45.63%

BHP 59.75 0.50 0.84% 0.47% 3.25% 10.77% 53.72% 23.65% 50.31% 41.12%

PKX 120.00 1.56 1.32% -0.83% -7.41% -2.12% 51.08% 12.28% 45.16% 77.65%

RIO 44.55 0.54 1.23% -1.37% -5.11% -5.25% 54.58% 20.34% 49.80% 88.77%

MT 62.40 -0.25 -0.40% -3.12% -2.91% -1.53% 52.94% 17.47% 47.94% 93.07%

NUE 58.65 0.46 0.79% -4.73% -6.93% -15.31% 7.61% -11.28% 7.30% 6.91%

TCK 42.50 0.09 0.21% -5.49% -8.58% -0.47% -38.63% -39.42% -43.60% -27.97%

Table 4: Senior capital goods makers and transportation

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change 1Day
%Change 1W
%Change 2W
%Change 4W
%Change YTD
%Change 3M
%Change 6M
%Change 12M
%Change

HON 56.28 -0.10 -0.18% 1.08% -4.40% -4.29% 24.79% 22.51% 24.40% 40.84%

ABB 22.60 0.14 0.62% 0.94% 1.57% 3.96% 26.82% 31.55% 25.70% 79.08%

FDX 110.97 -1.40 -1.25% 0.92% -0.36% -0.29% 1.09% 3.04% 2.16% -5.15%

MMM 86.79 -0.06 -0.07% 0.42% -1.00% -1.85% 10.90% 14.06% 11.37% 6.95%

BA 96.16 1.00 1.05% 0.25% -2.03% -3.68% 7.84% 7.13% 8.24% 15.86%

GE 38.28 0.16 0.42% 0.10% 0.42% 2.22% 0.82% 7.68% 2.88% 15.06%

UTX 70.93 -0.16 -0.23% -0.63% -1.50% 0.21% 12.93% 9.14% 13.45% 12.07%

ERJ 48.21 -0.16 -0.33% -0.99% -6.26% -0.35% 18.22% 7.49% 16.36% 35.04%

CAT 78.30 -0.79 -1.00% -3.21% -3.46% 0.20% 28.02% 18.30% 27.67% 5.24%

Table 5: Senior consumer discretionary equities

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change 1Day
%Change 1W
%Change 2W
%Change 4W
%Change YTD
%Change 3M
%Change 6M
%Change 12M
%Change

NKE 58.29 0.00 0.00% 10.08% 9.12% 2.82% 19.37% 11.05% 17.73% 43.96%

SBUX 26.24 -0.21 -0.79% 2.74% -5.51% -9.92% -25.56% -16.25% -25.92% -30.89%

TM 125.88 1.21 0.97% 2.32% 0.34% 2.39% -6.96% -3.13% -6.28% 23.13%

EBAY 32.18 0.22 0.69% 1.32% 0.44% -0.28% 6.66% -2.60% 7.02% 9.98%

DIS 34.14 0.29 0.86% 0.00% -0.76% -3.12% -0.18% -0.73% -0.38% 14.26%

JCP 72.38 -0.54 -0.74% -0.81% -4.36% -11.72% -7.28% -10.94% -6.44% 6.93%

CCL 48.77 0.23 0.47% -1.12% -1.89% -3.50% -4.28% 4.01% -0.57% 18.75%

WHR 111.20 -1.35 -1.20% -1.58% -3.05% -0.17% 31.35% 31.61% 33.94% 34.94%

BC 32.63 -0.32 -0.97% -3.40% -3.46% -6.24% 2.22% 3.29% 2.29% 0.87%

Table 6: Senior consumer staples equities

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change 1Day
%Change 1W
%Change 2W
%Change 4W
%Change YTD
%Change 3M
%Change 6M
%Change 12M
%Change

MO 70.14 0.22 0.31% 2.84% -0.75% -2.34% 8.04% 7.25% 8.90% 26.49%

ABV 70.00 0.62 0.89% 1.46% -6.34% -1.00% 42.57% 28.82% 43.44% 72.54%

KO 52.31 -0.32 -0.61% 1.34% 1.42% -0.93% 7.68% 8.73% 8.41% 21.48%

WMT 48.11 -0.10 -0.21% 0.59% -2.49% -2.75% 1.18% 2.98% 4.18% -1.23%

PG 61.19 -0.17 -0.28% 0.26% -2.21% -3.61% -5.19% -3.27% -4.79% 7.37%

WFMI 38.30 -0.19 -0.49% 0.00% -3.43% -8.09% -15.79% -13.47% -18.39% -40.45%

PEP 64.85 -0.40 -0.61% -0.02% -2.74% -5.60% 3.40% 1.98% 3.68% 8.99%

BUD 52.16 0.42 0.81% -0.55% -1.38% -3.43% 5.97% 3.99% 6.02% 14.06%

DEO 83.31 0.11 0.13% -0.87% -2.87% -3.15% 4.75% 3.98% 5.04% 24.08%

WAG 43.54 0.01 0.02% -3.24% -1.63% -3.52% -5.49% -5.76% -5.12% -3.82%

Table 7: Senior healthcare equities

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change 1Day
%Change 1W
%Change 2W
%Change 4W
%Change YTD
%Change 3M
%Change 6M
%Change 12M
%Change

JNJ 61.62 0.12 0.20% 1.47% -1.83% -2.82% -7.20% 2.12% -6.66% 2.89%

NVS 56.07 0.10 0.18% 1.12% 0.20% -0.44% -3.56% -1.44% -2.39% 4.98%

DNA 75.66 0.03 0.04% 1.11% -1.74% -4.83% -7.51% -7.31% -6.74% -5.58%

GSK 52.37 -0.08 -0.15% 1.04% -0.72% 2.13% -2.68% -4.00% -0.74% -4.71%

PFE 25.57 -0.06 -0.23% 0.75% -3.40% -7.62% -2.74% 0.63% -1.27% 10.03%

AET 49.40 -0.45 -0.90% 0.59% -1.65% -7.26% 15.21% 13.69% 14.40% 25.89%

BMY 31.56 -0.07 -0.22% 0.51% 2.60% 3.54% 19.64% 13.08% 19.91% 22.80%

BMET 45.72 0.12 0.26% 0.48% 0.40% 4.07% 10.25% 7.60% 10.78% 43.41%

UNH 51.14 -0.96 -1.84% -0.31% -3.33% -7.37% -2.72% -3.22% -4.82% 13.62%

AMGN 55.29 -0.02 -0.04% -1.20% -6.34% -2.90% -19.17% -0.97% -19.06% -15.07%

Table 8: Senior financial company equities

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change 1Day
%Change 1W
%Change 2W
%Change 4W
%Change YTD
%Change 3M
%Change 6M
%Change 12M
%Change

HBC 91.77 -0.33 -0.36% -0.55% -0.85% -1.53% -1.29% 4.86% 0.13% 4.82%

JPM 48.45 -0.51 -1.04% -0.55% -4.17% -6.65% 0.79% -0.10% 0.31% 13.52%

CS 70.96 0.38 0.54% -0.82% -3.81% -7.36% 1.21% -1.88% 1.59% 0.00%

MS 83.88 -1.00 -1.18% -0.85% -5.20% -2.54% 2.77% 6.95% 3.01% 34.12%

UBS 60.01 0.52 0.87% -1.06% -3.94% -7.73% -2.25% 0.79% -0.53% 10.74%

MER 83.58 -2.44 -2.84% -1.07% -7.37% -10.42% -10.71% 2.54% -10.23% 19.26%

LEH 75.80 -0.12 -0.16% -1.07% -4.14% 0.76% -3.60% 7.81% -2.97% 17.37%

DB 144.74 1.12 0.78% -1.34% -3.09% -4.99% 6.95% 8.48% 8.63% 30.75%

C 51.29 -0.52 -1.00% -2.14% -4.98% -5.91% -7.17% -0.21% -7.92% 4.97%

GS 216.75 -2.21 -1.01% -2.54% -4.17% -6.05% 7.99% 4.61% 8.73% 42.41%

Table 9: Senior technology equities

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change 1Day
%Change 1W
%Change 2W
%Change 4W
%Change YTD
%Change 3M
%Change 6M
%Change 12M
%Change

CSCO 27.85 0.00 0.00% 3.45% 1.68% 3.69% 0.40% 9.52% 1.90% 39.88%

SNDK 48.94 0.30 0.62% 2.17% 5.47% 15.04% 17.31% 11.68% 13.73% -6.55%

ORCL 19.71 -0.14 -0.71% 1.65% -0.76% 0.25% 12.56% 8.54% 14.99% 33.72%

SAP 51.07 0.06 0.12% 1.13% 4.59% 4.12% -4.00% 14.43% -3.82% -2.41%

QCOM 43.39 -0.07 -0.16% 0.93% 1.78% 1.45% 15.83% 2.70% 14.82% 7.03%

ADSK 47.08 -0.69 -1.44% 0.90% 4.62% 4.86% 16.07% 26.73% 16.22% 36.58%

INTC 23.74 -0.18 -0.75% 0.17% -2.06% 6.17% 16.66% 24.36% 17.23% 22.88%

CTSH 75.00 -1.60 -2.09% -1.22% -5.09% -3.98% -3.55% -16.38% -2.67% 11.26%

INFY 50.38 -1.05 -2.04% -1.51% -5.50% 1.18% -9.75% 0.44% -7.66% 34.38%

ADBE 40.15 -0.27 -0.67% -1.69% -6.08% -9.84% 0.58% -3.32% -2.31% 32.07%

Table 10: Yahoo Finance U.S. Treasury Debt, Municipal and Corporate Bond Yields

US Treasury Bonds
Maturity Yield Yesterday Last Week Last Month

3 Month 4.65 4.61 4.56 4.66

6 Month 4.71 4.71 4.73 4.75

2 Year 4.85 4.92 4.89 4.86

3 Year 4.87 4.95 4.94 4.82

5 Year 4.91 4.98 4.99 4.80

10 Year 5.01 5.08 5.11 4.85

30 Year 5.10 5.18 5.23 4.98

Municipal Bonds
Maturity Yield Yesterday Last Week Last Month

2yr AA 3.75 3.74 3.78 3.66

2yr AAA 3.71 3.71 3.75 3.63

2yr A 3.72 3.74 3.82 3.67

5yr AAA 3.82 3.83 3.89 3.70

5yr AA 3.87 3.88 3.89 3.72

5yr A 2.13 2.20 2.23 3.74

10yr AAA 4.04 4.02 4.07 3.84

10yr AA 4.11 4.11 4.14 3.83

10yr A 4.25 4.23 4.28 4.11

20yr AAA 4.63 4.69 4.73 4.42

20yr AA 4.51 4.50 4.68 4.31

20yr A 4.66 4.68 4.73 4.30

Corporate Bonds
Maturity Yield Yesterday Last Week Last Month

2yr AA 5.22 5.30 5.25 5.23

2yr A 5.32 5.39 5.36 5.31

5yr AAA 5.46 5.53 5.52 5.33

5yr AA 5.55 5.62 5.62 5.37

5yr A 5.60 5.70 5.68 5.43

10yr AAA 5.81 5.84 5.86 5.67

10yr AA 5.86 5.91 5.95 5.59

10yr A 5.95 5.98 6.00 5.68

20yr AAA 6.18 6.21 6.24 5.95

20yr AA 6.15 6.20 6.25 5.93

20yr A 6.32 6.35 6.37 6.09

Table 11: Interest-sensitive securities

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance.
Symbol Close 1Day
Change 1Day
%Change 1W
%Change 2W
%Change 4W
%Change YTD
%Change 3M
%Change 6M
%Change 12M
%Change

TLT 85.23 0.93 1.10% 1.80% 1.84% -0.42% -4.31% -3.64% -3.62% 1.97%

IEF 81.07 0.40 0.50% 0.78% 1.06% -0.06% -1.95% -2.55% -1.66% 1.25%

TIP 98.98 0.59 0.60% 0.52% 0.96% 0.13% -0.25% -2.06% 0.18% -0.06%

AGG 98.40 0.23 0.23% 0.33% 0.52% -0.23% -1.51% -1.94% -1.30% 0.97%

SHY 80.16 0.16 0.20% 0.23% 0.44% 0.53% 0.15% -0.39% 0.25% 0.68%

FNM 65.33 -0.20 -0.31% -1.02% -4.97% 1.49% 9.14% 18.37% 10.00% 35.37%

CFC 36.35 0.05 0.14% -2.23% -5.41% -6.56% -13.68% 7.39% -14.37% -4.52%

FRE 60.70 -0.09 -0.15% -2.52% -6.62% -9.52% -10.59% 1.47% -10.60% 6.30%

Table 12: Senior gold equities

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change 1Day
%Change 1W
%Change 2W
%Change 4W
%Change YTD
%Change 3M
%Change 6M
%Change 12M
%Change

MDG 27.58 0.03 0.11% 6.57% 5.07% 3.33% 4.91% 10.45% -0.76% -12.39%

BVN 37.46 0.60 1.63% 5.25% 7.09% 8.90% 35.68% 26.30% 33.50% 42.00%

AEM 36.50 0.61 1.70% 0.58% -0.68% -3.64% -6.22% 1.02% -11.49% 14.64%

LIHRY 40.75 0.34 0.84% 0.02% -10.54% -7.20% 23.37% 0.00% 0.00% 2.77%

NEM 39.06 0.39 1.01% -0.81% -3.39% -6.13% -11.63% -8.07% -13.49% -25.16%

ABX 29.07 0.28 0.97% -2.29% -0.24% -1.22% -2.55% 0.76% -5.31% -0.72%

GG 23.69 0.20 0.85% -3.03% -4.59% -3.58% -13.35% -2.27% -16.70% -19.50%

GFI 15.70 0.07 0.45% -4.85% -4.27% -10.23% -14.35% -13.93% -16.84% -30.22%

KGC 11.68 0.19 1.65% -7.67% -11.31% -14.43% 2.28% -14.31% -1.68% 13.07%

AUY 11.12 -0.01 -0.09% -12.16% -14.40% -20.68% -9.81% -22.40% -15.63% 17.18%

Table 13: International equities perspective

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change 1Day
%Change 1W
%Change 2W
%Change 4W
%Change YTD
%Change 3M
%Change 6M
%Change 12M
%Change

IFN 43.65 0.61 1.42% 2.90% 4.93% 0.81% -3.73% 10.06% -4.90% -8.53%

EWU 25.54 0.12 0.47% 1.27% -0.20% -0.27% 8.45% 5.98% 9.10% 22.38%

IEV 116.98 0.74 0.64% 1.07% -0.36% -1.24% 10.78% 8.34% 11.44% 29.49%

EWJ 14.55 0.18 1.25% 1.04% -0.61% -0.89% 2.46% -0.82% 2.39% 7.54%

QQQQ 47.60 0.08 0.17% 0.66% -0.27% 0.34% 10.08% 9.25% 10.29% 22.18%

EWZ 61.31 0.35 0.57% 0.44% -2.15% 0.18% 31.28% 24.31% 30.86% 58.83%

EWC 29.86 0.11 0.37% 0.10% -2.35% -1.97% 20.89% 13.88% 17.93% 26.79%

FXI 128.80 -0.72 -0.56% 0.08% 4.95% 12.47% 10.65% 23.56% 15.57% 66.84%

SPY 150.43 0.05 0.03% -0.08% -1.72% -2.37% 6.41% 5.96% 6.22% 18.20%

TRF 66.86 0.21 0.32% -0.33% -3.37% 0.62% -24.49% -5.54% -23.41% -2.11%

Table 14: Dow 30 List

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change 1Day
%Change 1W
%Change 2W
%Change 4W
%Change YTD
%Change 3M
%Change 6M
%Change 12M
%Change

T 41.50 0.76 1.87% 6.82% 3.03% 2.39% 18.74% 5.95% 16.08% 49.82%

GM 37.80 -0.35 -0.92% 6.60% 9.06% 23.93% 28.35% 22.37% 23.05% 37.76%

MO 70.14 0.22 0.31% 2.84% -0.75% -2.34% 8.04% 7.25% 8.90% 26.49%

MRK 49.80 -0.68 -1.35% 2.57% -1.83% -4.49% 13.13% 13.31% 14.22% 38.76%

XOM 83.88 0.28 0.33% 1.65% -2.40% -0.40% 13.18% 10.02% 9.46% 34.49%

JNJ 61.62 0.12 0.20% 1.47% -1.83% -2.82% -7.20% 2.12% -6.66% 2.89%

KO 52.31 -0.32 -0.61% 1.34% 1.42% -0.93% 7.68% 8.73% 8.41% 21.48%

AA 40.53 1.23 3.13% 1.32% -2.57% -2.24% 38.19% 20.34% 35.05% 27.05%

HON 56.28 -0.10 -0.18% 1.08% -4.40% -4.29% 24.79% 22.51% 24.40% 40.84%

IBM 105.25 -0.70 -0.66% 0.78% 0.15% -1.21% 8.20% 11.29% 8.34% 35.65%

PFE 25.57 -0.06 -0.23% 0.75% -3.40% -7.62% -2.74% 0.63% -1.27% 10.03%

MCD 50.76 -0.09 -0.18% 0.67% -2.70% -0.37% 15.71% 13.13% 14.50% 51.25%

WMT 48.11 -0.10 -0.21% 0.59% -2.49% -2.75% 1.18% 2.98% 4.18% -1.23%

MMM 86.79 -0.06 -0.07% 0.42% -1.00% -1.85% 10.90% 14.06% 11.37% 6.95%

PG 61.19 -0.17 -0.28% 0.26% -2.21% -3.61% -5.19% -3.27% -4.79% 7.37%

BA 96.16 1.00 1.05% 0.25% -2.03% -3.68% 7.84% 7.13% 8.24% 15.86%

INTC 23.74 -0.18 -0.75% 0.17% -2.06% 6.17% 16.66% 24.36% 17.23% 22.88%

GE 38.28 0.16 0.42% 0.10% 0.42% 2.22% 0.82% 7.68% 2.88% 15.06%

DIS 34.14 0.29 0.86% 0.00% -0.76% -3.12% -0.18% -0.73% -0.38% 14.26%

HD 39.35 -0.17 -0.43% -0.03% 3.69% 0.36% -4.19% 6.87% -2.02% 7.93%

MSFT 29.47 -0.36 -1.21% -0.07% -3.35% -3.66% -1.31% 6.20% -1.31% 25.56%

JPM 48.45 -0.51 -1.04% -0.55% -4.17% -6.65% 0.79% -0.10% 0.31% 13.52%

UTX 70.93 -0.16 -0.23% -0.63% -1.50% 0.21% 12.93% 9.14% 13.45% 12.07%

AXP 61.18 -0.04 -0.07% -0.99% -4.06% -5.98% 1.36% 8.36% 0.84% 13.53%

VZ 41.17 0.10 0.24% -1.10% -4.23% -4.28% 8.86% 9.58% 10.55% 23.63%

HPQ 44.62 0.01 0.02% -1.24% -2.38% -2.60% 7.21% 11.55% 8.33% 39.31%

AIG 70.03 -0.42 -0.60% -1.71% -3.46% -3.61% -2.94% 4.21% -2.27% 18.15%

C 51.29 -0.52 -1.00% -2.14% -4.98% -5.91% -7.17% -0.21% -7.92% 4.97%

DD 50.84 -0.09 -0.18% -2.79% -1.22% -4.26% 3.67% 2.96% 4.37% 22.42%

CAT 78.30 -0.79 -1.00% -3.21% -3.46% 0.20% 28.02% 18.30% 27.67% 5.24%

Value Line Report(s) this past Friday

The reports from Value Line this week are on the two big telephone companies of America, AT&T (T) and Verizon (VZ).

(T: Value Line Report Jun. 29: next one is due Sep. 28)

(VZ: Value Line Report Jun. 29: next one is due Sep. 28)

AT&T [GICS 50, Dow 30]

(T: Yahoo Finance file)
(T: StockChart chart)
(T: Billcara2 chart)
(T: ADVFN Financial Data)
(T: Value Line Report Jun. 29: next one is due Sep. 28)

Chart of T:

Verizon [GICS 50, Dow 30]

(VZ: Yahoo Finance file)
(VZ: StockChart chart)
(VZ: Billcara2 chart)
(VZ: ADVFN Financial Data)
(VZ: Value Line Report Jun. 29: next one is due Sep. 28)

Chart of VZ:

International Economics Review

Econoday Weekly International Report

US Economic Calendar for next week

Friday’s report on US Personal Income & Outlays for May (data released

Thursday’s report on Final 1Q07 US Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

Wednesday’s report on US Durable Goods Orders for May

Monday’s report on US Existing Home Sales for May

International Equity Markets Review

Here is the latest session data for the Asia-Pacific stock exchanges.

Here is the latest chart for the Japanese Nikkei 225 index.

Here is the latest chart for the Shanghai Composite index .

Here is the latest chart for the India BSE 30 index .

Here is the latest session data for the bourses of Europe.

Here is the latest chart for the UK FTSE 100 index.

Here is the latest session data for the exchanges of the Americas.

Here is the latest chart for the Brazilian Bovespa stock exchange in Sao Paulo.

Here is the latest session data for the Toronto Stock Exchange composite index.

US Equity Markets Review

DJIA (interactive) chart

NASDAQ Composite (interactive) chart

Industry “Impulse” Review

The “impulse system” considers price “inertia” versus a moving average, and price “momentum” via the rate at which shorter moving averages are converging or diverging. Applied weekly to major industry groups, this gives a sense of market internals. When both indicators (EMA and MACD-H) tick up for the week, the reading is green; when both decline, it’s red.

“Jock” reports:

This week, 5 major industries scored green, 3 were red -- for a “net green” count of 2 (compared to 1 last week). Real Estate stayed red for the 4th straight week. Banking and Specialty Retail just moved from neutral to red.

25 Cara 100 stocks were green, while 31 were red. By contrast, 11 of the Dow 65 (industrials + transports + utilities) were green, while 26 were red. 17 of the S&P 100 components were green, while 41 were red.

/Jock

Cara 100 “Greens”

Cara 100 “Reds”

Bonds & Yields Review

Here is the T-Bond chart.

Forex Review

Here is the $USD chart at the close of the prior session.

Commodities Review

Here is the $CRB Index chart.

Oil Review

Here is the e-miNY Aug-07 Crude Oil chart.

Interactive Chart of Weekly Crude Oil:

Interactive Chart of Daily Crude Oil:

Gold & Precious Metals Review

Here is the Recent Spot Gold chart.

Here is the Recent Spot Silver chart.

Here is the Recent Spot Platinum chart.

Here is the Recent Spot Palladium chart.

Precious Metals Stocks Review

Here are the Daily and Weekly Data charts of the indexes:

Interactive Chart of Daily U.S. Goldminers Index:

Interactive Chart of Daily and Weekly US Goldminers Index plus important PDF chart:

The U.S. goldminer share trust ETF trades under the ticker symbol GDX.

The Toronto Exchange-listed goldminer iUnits S&P/TSX Capped Gold Index ETF trades under the ticker symbol TSE:XGD.

Here are the Daily and Weekly data charts for the TSX Goldshares (XGD) index:

Interactive Chart of XGD Daily data:

Interactive Chart of XGD Weekly data:

To watch the moves in precious metal miners, you will have to monitor the individual stock charts, preferably in real-time, as follows:

ABX NEM GG GFI KGC AU HMY AUY BVN
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data

MDG LIHRY AEM BGO IAG EGO RGLD GOLD CDE GRS
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data

CBJ SSRI SIL NG KRY UXG GRZ TSE_HRG TSE_GUY TSE_AGI
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data

NXG GSS MNG DROOY MFN RNO RANGY MRB CLG
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data

Here are the key Silver miners and the SLV ETF:

SLV SIL CDE HL PAAS SSRI SLW MGN

Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data

The Cara Global 100 Stockwatch

This data is supplied every day by the folks at KNOBIAS, Inc.

The Cara 100 list was changed a week ago Friday to add Genentech (DNA) and remove Autodesk (ADSK).

Here are the Friday session’s Cara 100 gainers

Interactive chart of the top Watch List gainers

Here are the Friday session’s Cara 100 losers

Interactive chart of the top Watch List losers (Interactive link)

Here are the Cara 100 stocks that hit 52-week intra-day highs or lows in the Friday session

Here are the Cara 100 stocks that had extreme volume changes in Friday’s session. This is a good list to watch anytime markets start trending in the extreme. It pays to watch the price and volume extremes. That btw is called Money Flow.

Charts of Cara 100 stock ratings changes

In Focus

Other Recent Wall Street upgrades

Other Recent Wall Street downgrades

There are various sources for up/down grades by broker-dealers. One is at Briefing.com. Traders ought to check everyday for ratings changes.

The Cara Global 100 RSI-7 Studies

Here, from “David” are the stocks in the Cara 100 trading with the highest and lowest Daily RSI-7 sorted by (i) daily and (ii) monthly values, for the previous session. “David” was on seminar this week.

Here are the stocks in the Cara 100 trading with highest RSI-7 with Monthly-Weekly-Daily all either >70 or <30

Here are the stocks in the Cara 100 trading with RSI-7 Daily all >70 or all <30

The extra week in Toronto will help me slow down a bit and get into that Island Rhythm before I depart next weekend. Tomorrow is Canada Day. Wednesday is Independence Day in the US.

Have a great day. Please feel free to comment below.

Posted by Posted by Bill Cara on June 30, 2007 01:33:33 PM | Category: Saturday Report

Discourse

That triple bottom breakdown in the P&F chart for the $XAU is quite bearish. We may be getting a nice buying opportunity here in gold and silver very soon.

Posted by: number2son at June 30, 2007 2:21 PM [link]

Put up a couple of posts that some would find intriguing:

Four-letter word...RISK

Die Free or Live?...I look at the major volume ETFs and Dow Industrials components relative to where they reside on the annual range percentile. As we used to say in the Navy, "is everyone a 4.0 sailor?"

Best,

Ron

Posted by: Ron at June 30, 2007 2:27 PM [link]

n2son-do you have a downside target for xau?

Posted by: 2nd_ave at June 30, 2007 3:29 PM [link]

Jock,
The Impulse System looks very useful. Is there a site that allows you to plug in any stock or do you derive this yourself?
Thanks,
Jack

Posted by: dbajack at June 30, 2007 6:09 PM [link]

Jack --

Through his site (elder.com) Dr. Alexander Elder offers (paid) software, webinars and seminars, all involving the "impulse system". In his seminar I learned how he uses this each weekend to review industries and indices. To learn more, I'd first read Alex'es book, Come into My Trading Room. Alex also has software for various charting packages which show the impulse system. If you use TC-2007, I can share a (free) formula which makes it easy to get "impulse" readings on any watchlist or index. While not a silver bullet, I think it's a very useful approach. Similarly, Alex'es books are well-reasoned and honest coverage of the challenge facing traders - Jock

Posted by: Jock at June 30, 2007 7:25 PM [link]

US-South Korea trade pact signed

Sounds like some job losses on both sides and wealth distribution getting even more lop sided.
http://tinyurl.com/2nxmyq

offtopic, why is comments now called "Discourse?"

Posted by: NYUgrad at June 30, 2007 8:15 PM [link]

NYUGrad,

I decided to change the heading after the comment made by "debianman" led to discourse by others in the Community. What we participate in here is discourse. Would you care to comment?
:-)

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Discourse
http://www.answers.com/topic/discourse?cat=technology

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Comment
http://www.answers.com/topic/comment?cat=biz-fin

Posted by: Bill Cara at June 30, 2007 8:33 PM [link]

Any reaction to the MASSIVE BCE Takeover!!!!

HPE ("Humongous Private Equity") strikes again.

It amazes me that the whole reason the Canadian government decided to shut down the Royalty Trusts was because of the announced intentention of BCE and Telus to become them:

http://markevanstech.com/2006/11/01/telus-bce-income-trusts-killed/

Now, Telus (who bid for and lost) can't become a Royalty Trust and BCE has basically been sold off to foreigners (Providence Equity Partners and Madison Dearborn Partners):

http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/070630/canada_bce.html?.v=5

Once again, big government interferes with the operation of markets, and unintended consequences ensue. For Canada, it has resulted in an inordinate amount of foreign ownership of important assets:

Remeber Falconbridge - http://www.marketwatch.com/News/Story/Story.aspx?dist=newsfinder&siteid=google&guid=%7B183AD3E2-FDCF-4BEF-9B7A-463D5D2D9A8D%7D&keyword=

Posted by: elvispoc at June 30, 2007 10:07 PM [link]

Number2son,
Are you thinking a temporary reversion? The above USD chart doesn't lead one to believe gold will be weak.

Posted by: Craig at June 30, 2007 10:47 PM [link]

Jock: I for one would appreciate the formula.

On another topic, one that noodle has been so passionate about: http://tinyurl.com/23636m

Posted by: PK at June 30, 2007 11:32 PM [link]

PK - To get a weekly impulse reading, you paste this gobbledygook into a "pcf" in telechart, and then sort any watchlist on this criterion. +2=green; -2=red. Let me know if this works OK:

SGN(C - .142996048056393 * (C5 + 6 / 7 * (C10 + 6 / 7 * (C15 + 6 / 7 * (C20 + 6 / 7 * (C25 + 6 / 7 * (C30 + 6 / 7 * (C35 + 6 / 7 * (C40 + 6 / 7 * (C45 + 6 / 7 * (C50 + 6 / 7 * (C55 + 6 / 7 * (C60 + 6 / 7 * (C65 + 6 / 7 * (C70 + 6 / 7 * (C75 + 6 / 7 * (C80 + 6 / 7 * (C85 + 6 / 7 * (C90 + 6 / 7 * (C95 + 6 / 7 * (C100 + 6 / 7 * (C105 + 6 / 7 * (C110 + 6 / 7 * (C115 + 6 / 7 * (C120 + 6 / 7 * (C125 + 6 / 7 * (C130 + 6 / 7 * (C135 + 6 / 7 * (C140 + 6 / 7 * (C145 + 6 / 7 * (C150 + 6 / 7 * (C155 + 6 / 7 * (C160 + 6 / 7 * (C165 + 6 / 7 * (C170 + 6 / 7 * (C175 + 6 / 7 * (C180 + 6 / 7 * (C185 + 6 / 7 * (C190 + 6 / 7 * (C195 + 6 / 7 * (C200 + 6 / 7 * (C205 + 6 / 7 * (C210 + 6 / 7 * (C215 + 6 / 7 * (C220 + 6 / 7 * (C225)))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))) + SGN(119 * C + 117.797991844221 * (C5 + 11 / 13 * (C10 + 11 / 13 * (C15 + 11 / 13 * (C20 + 11 / 13 * (C25 + 11 / 13 * (C30 + 11 / 13 * (C35 + 11 / 13 * (C40 + 11 / 13 * (C45 + 11 / 13 * (C50 + 11 / 13 * (C55 + 11 / 13 * (C60 + 11 / 13 * (C65 + 11 / 13 * (C70 + 11 / 13 * (C75 + 11 / 13 * (C80 + 11 / 13 * (C85 + 11 / 13 * (C90 + 11 / 13 * (C95 + 11 / 13 * (C100 + 11 / 13 * (C105 + 11 / 13 * (C110 + 11 / 13 * (C115 + 11 / 13 * (C120 + 11 / 13 * (C125 + 11 / 13 * (C130 + 11 / 13 * (C135 + 11 / 13 * (C140 + 11 / 13 * (C145 + 11 / 13 * (C150 + 11 / 13 * (C155 + 11 / 13 * (C160 + 11 / 13 * (C165 + 11 / 13 * (C170 + 11 / 13 * (C175 + 11 / 13 * (C180 + 11 / 13 * (C185 + 11 / 13 * (C190 + 11 / 13 * (C195 + 11 / 13 * (C200 + 11 / 13 * (C205 + 11 / 13 * (C210)))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))) - 4.81954488991197 * (C5 + 25 / 27 * (C10 + 25 / 27 * (C15 + 25 / 27 * (C20 + 25 / 27 * (C25 + 25 / 27 * (C30 + 25 / 27 * (C35 + 25 / 27 * (C40 + 25 / 27 * (C45 + 25 / 27 * (C50 + 25 / 27 * (C55 + 25 / 27 * (C60 + 25 / 27 * (C65 + 25 / 27 * (C70 + 25 / 27 * (C75 + 25 / 27 * (C80 + 25 / 27 * (C85 + 25 / 27 * (C90 + 25 / 27 * (C95 + 25 / 27 * (C100 + 25 / 27 * (C105 + 25 / 27 * (C110 + 25 / 27 * (C115 + 25 / 27 * (C120 + 25 / 27 * (C125 + 25 / 27 * (C130 + 25 / 27 * (C135 + 25 / 27 * (C140 + 25 / 27 * (C145 + 25 / 27 * (C150 + 25 / 27 * (C155 + 25 / 27 * (C160 + 25 / 27 * (C165 + 25 / 27 * (C170 + 25 / 27 * (C175 + 25 / 27 * (C180 + 25 / 27 * (C185 + 25 / 27 * (C190 + 25 / 27 * (C195 + 25 / 27 * (C200 + 25 / 27 * (C205 + 25 / 27 * (C210 + 25 / 27 * (C215 + 25 / 27 * (C220 + 25 / 27 * (C225 + 25 / 27 * (C230 + 25 / 27 * (C235 + 25 / 27 * (C240 + 25 / 27 * (C245 + 25 / 27 * (C250 + 25 / 27 * (C255 + 25 / 27 * (C260 + 25 / 27 * (C265 + 25 / 27 * (C270 + 25 / 27 * (C275 + 25 / 27 * (C280 + 25 / 27 * (C285 + 25 / 27 * (C290 + 25 / 27 * (C295 + 25 / 27 * (C300 + 25 / 27 * (C305 + 25 / 27 * (C310 + 25 / 27 * (C315 + 25 / 27 * (C320 + 25 / 27 * (C325 + 25 / 27 * (C330 + 25 / 27 * (C335 + 25 / 27 * (C340 + 25 / 27 * (C345 + 25 / 27 * (C350 + 25 / 27 * (C355 + 25 / 27 * (C360 + 25 / 27 * (C365 + 25 / 27 * (C370 + 25 / 27 * (C375 + 25 / 27 * (C380 + 25 / 27 * (C385 + 25 / 27 * (C390 + 25 / 27 * (C395 + 25 / 27 * (C400 + 25 / 27 * (C405 + 25 / 27 * (C410 + 25 / 27 * (C415 + 25 / 27 * (C420 + 25 / 27 * (C425 + 25 / 27 * (C430 + 25 / 27 * (C435 + 25 / 27 * (C440 + 25 / 27 * (C445 + 25 / 27 * (C450)))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))) - 163.962380476583 * (C5 + .8 * (C10 + .8 * (C15 + .8 * (C20 + .8 * (C25 + .8 * (C30 + .8 * (C35 + .8 * (C40 + .8 * (C45 + .8 * (C50 + .8 * (C55 + .8 * (C60 + .8 * (C65 + .8 * (C70 + .8 * (C75 + .8 * (C80 + .8 * (C85 + .8 * (C90 + .8 * (C95 + .8 * (C100 + .8 * (C105 + .8 * (C110 + .8 * (C115 + .8 * (C120 + .8 * (C125 + .8 * (C130 + .8 * (C135 + .8 * (C140 + .8 * (C145 + .8 * (C150 + .8 * (C155))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))

Posted by: Jock at July 1, 2007 3:09 AM [link]

ron paul - al korelin - 2006 SanFran hard assets conf

http://www.kereport.com/videos/RonPaul.shtml

Posted by: score22 at July 1, 2007 3:40 AM [link]

Lots of hype going on over Apple's new iPhone and some of it may be deserved. I don't personally care because I tend to be a "Walden Pond" (see link#2 below for free text) type of person rather than an iPhone type (if such exists at this point in marketing). On the other hand of the hype, Jeffrey Hirsch has some rather blunt commentary at link#1. Enjoy both links.

http://tinyurl.com/2euryx

http://tinyurl.com/yty4fo

Posted by: spot at July 1, 2007 10:18 AM [link]

Jock, that's pure mathematical poetry. ;)

Regarding the P&F triple bottom, I just noted that P&F theory considers this a more powerful signal than a double bottom breakdown.

It's also evident from the daily chart that this index has been in a downtrend since April. If it keeps trending down, I see some support at 128.

For the optimists still among us, this activity is all within a well-defined long-term range.

My (increasingly devaluing) 2 cents.

Regarding Ron Paul, I like his views on economic policy, but if he truly wants to transcend "politics as usual" he'll need to seriously reconsider his position on global warming.

Posted by: number2son at July 1, 2007 12:04 PM [link]

gold-ok, so now we have 128 as possible support, and 144 as resistance...think i'll wait

Posted by: 2nd_ave at July 1, 2007 12:26 PM [link]

One other thing I forgot to mention was that in the very short term, the index may move up to test that 141 level. That's the first resistance I see, 2nd_Ave.

Posted by: number2son at July 1, 2007 12:35 PM [link]

Thanks Jock. The results came up 2, 0, or -2. Can I assume that's what is supposed to happen? Of course, it took 3 or 4 minutes to complete, does that sound right with a 2.2 ghz processor and 1 G of RAM?

Posted by: PK at July 1, 2007 6:52 PM [link]