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June 16, 2007

Bill Cara’s Saturday Report 24-2007, 06/16/2007 11:45 AM

This “Saturday Report” includes (i) Week In Review (WIR) Tables, (ii) end-of-the--week tables and charts (used in the Daily Commentary), (iii) (abbreviated) Impulse system report, and (iv) Friday Value Line Dow Report(s). My "Week In Review" will be published Sunday at 12:00pm ET (Noon).


WIR Tables for Week #24 (2007-06-16)


Table 1: Cara ETF List

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
XLE 70.98 0.87 1.24% 4.51% 2.99% 6.34% 25.45% 24.11% 16.34% 32.82%
SMH 38.24 0.79 2.11% 4.14% 3.41% 3.07% 13.91% 11.36% 11.62% 14.83%
XLU 40.44 0.26 0.65% 2.95% -2.81% -5.07% 9.83% 4.31% 9.47% 24.81%
XLI 39.42 0.11 0.28% 1.99% 0.36% 2.71% 11.89% 11.83% 11.99% 18.20%
XLB 41.10 0.30 0.74% 1.73% -0.48% 2.42% 18.75% 9.75% 16.20% 32.67%
XLY 39.83 0.13 0.33% 1.19% -1.24% 1.19% 3.40% 6.16% 3.59% 19.65%
IYH 71.43 0.43 0.61% 0.89% -1.53% -0.40% 7.48% 8.28% 7.49% 17.70%
XLF 37.45 -0.07 -0.19% 0.67% -1.50% -0.64% 1.44% 6.09% 2.29% 16.27%
IYZ 34.12 0.00 0.00% 0.03% -1.22% 2.55% 15.04% 12.76% 15.19% 35.50%
XLP 27.49 -0.11 -0.40% -0.07% -1.47% 0.00% 4.60% 5.20% 5.49% 15.26%

Table 2: Senior oil & gas equities

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
PBR 121.46 3.12 2.64% 10.88% 9.22% 13.90% 21.87% 38.72% 24.40% 54.79%
TOT 78.75 1.17 1.51% 5.79% 3.54% 6.26% 10.96% 20.97% 8.59% 27.74%
STO 29.08 0.90 3.19% 5.78% 3.19% 6.79% 13.20% 16.32% 5.25% 7.54%
ECA 65.70 0.76 1.17% 4.58% 5.34% 6.48% 44.91% 39.85% 31.37% 34.00%
SU 91.46 1.33 1.48% 4.57% 3.16% 6.23% 23.75% 32.70% 13.05% 23.49%
CEO 109.53 1.97 1.83% 4.35% 13.31% 20.67% 16.19% 34.77% 21.90% 44.40%
XOM 85.94 1.17 1.38% 3.94% 2.04% 5.06% 15.96% 21.57% 11.18% 45.37%
CVX 83.17 0.84 1.02% 3.07% 1.14% 2.10% 17.19% 20.76% 10.33% 39.95%
IMO 47.20 -0.38 -0.80% 1.55% -0.72% 6.55% 32.36% 38.34% 25.33% 38.82%


Table 3: Senior metals and steel equities

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
RTP 308.41 5.66 1.87% 9.51% 4.07% 10.92% 51.11% 46.30% 39.96% 50.49%
TCK 46.49 0.67 1.46% 8.52% 8.88% 14.82% -32.87% -30.11% -40.91% 0.00%
GGB 25.22 0.72 2.94% 8.24% 5.66% 14.22% 53.59% 51.56% 55.87% 89.06%
RIO 46.95 1.18 2.58% 5.70% -0.15% 4.43% 62.91% 30.71% 56.92% 110.82%
AA 41.60 0.44 1.07% 4.89% 0.34% 6.26% 41.83% 22.79% 34.02% 37.48%
MT 64.27 -0.27 -0.42% 4.17% 1.42% 11.48% 57.52% 27.65% 53.54% 96.24%
PKX 129.60 1.90 1.49% 4.04% 5.71% 15.82% 63.16% 25.83% 54.47% 113.05%
BHP 57.87 0.17 0.29% 3.75% 7.29% 14.30% 48.88% 31.34% 43.31% 43.17%
TS 48.70 0.54 1.12% 3.62% -2.31% 6.54% 0.37% 16.45% -4.55% 37.53%
NUE 63.02 0.45 0.72% -5.39% -9.00% -4.15% 15.63% -0.51% 6.47% 23.71%

Table 4: Senior capital goods makers and transportation

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
ERJ 51.43 0.97 1.92% 8.21% 6.30% 9.40% 26.12% 14.16% 18.34% 46.27%
ABB 22.25 0.14 0.63% 4.76% 2.35% 10.70% 24.86% 32.84% 30.65% 86.82%
CAT 81.11 0.38 0.47% 3.30% 3.80% 8.38% 32.62% 27.81% 31.20% 14.48%
HON 58.87 0.63 1.08% 2.60% 0.12% 1.12% 30.53% 25.31% 34.96% 51.22%
UTX 72.01 0.73 1.02% 2.53% 1.74% 3.81% 14.65% 11.82% 15.31% 18.42%
GE 38.12 0.32 0.85% 2.14% 1.79% 4.35% 0.40% 10.43% 2.03% 11.76%
MMM 87.67 0.25 0.29% 2.01% -0.86% 1.15% 12.02% 15.37% 11.95% 8.37%
FDX 111.37 0.59 0.53% 1.80% 0.07% 3.86% 1.46% -0.46% -3.21% 1.71%
BA 98.15 -0.82 -0.83% -0.04% -1.68% 1.41% 10.07% 7.81% 8.21% 15.73%

Table 5: Senior consumer discretionary equities

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
WHR 114.70 2.52 2.25% 3.49% 2.97% 1.38% 35.48% 35.72% 39.39% 39.95%
EBAY 32.04 0.43 1.36% 1.97% -0.71% -2.85% 6.20% 0.79% -2.67% 4.23%
CCL 49.71 -0.07 -0.14% 1.45% -1.64% 4.74% -2.43% 8.99% 4.24% 30.23%
NKE 53.42 -0.26 -0.48% 0.87% -5.77% 0.89% 9.40% 1.12% 11.22% 27.86%
TM 125.45 1.73 1.40% 0.80% 2.04% 3.25% -7.28% -4.05% -0.25% 24.47%
DIS 34.40 0.61 1.81% 0.58% -2.38% -4.42% 0.58% 1.81% 0.29% 17.85%
SBUX 27.77 0.16 0.58% 0.36% -4.67% -2.46% -21.22% -6.21% -23.75% -24.52%
BC 33.80 -0.06 -0.18% 0.30% -2.87% -0.21% 5.89% 6.96% 4.68% -0.94%
JCP 75.68 -0.34 -0.45% -3.35% -7.70% -5.09% -3.05% -5.08% -4.84% 14.95%

Table 6: Senior consumer staples equities

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
ABV 74.74 1.69 2.31% 9.49% 5.70% 13.64% 52.22% 42.82% 53.91% 99.63%
DEO 85.77 0.76 0.89% 3.51% -0.29% 1.86% 7.85% 12.96% 9.92% 26.64%
WFMI 39.66 0.36 0.92% 0.86% -4.82% 0.33% -12.80% -10.84% -19.16% -36.84%
BUD 52.89 0.03 0.06% 0.55% -2.07% 6.46% 7.46% 5.99% 9.19% 16.45%
MO 70.67 0.20 0.28% 0.53% -1.60% 1.39% 8.86% 11.12% 10.51% 33.42%
PEP 66.68 -0.21 -0.31% 0.11% -2.94% -2.64% 6.31% 5.86% 6.06% 12.86%
WAG 44.26 0.41 0.94% -0.11% -1.93% -2.38% -3.93% -3.19% -0.54% 2.01%
KO 51.58 0.27 0.53% -0.17% -2.31% -1.19% 6.18% 9.56% 5.42% 19.84%
PG 62.57 0.15 0.24% -0.79% -1.43% -1.26% -3.05% 1.07% -2.40% 14.01%
WMT 49.34 0.06 0.12% -1.48% -0.26% 4.73% 3.76% 7.26% 6.22% 1.40%

Table 7: Senior healthcare equities

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
BMY 30.76 0.93 3.12% 5.09% 0.92% 1.82% 16.60% 13.42% 20.11% 21.73%
AMGN 59.03 0.80 1.37% 2.89% 3.67% 9.97% -13.70% -1.67% -15.94% -12.47%
GSK 52.75 0.61 1.17% 2.29% 2.87% -8.02% -1.97% -3.60% 1.50% -3.37%
NVS 55.96 1.00 1.82% 1.58% -0.64% -2.12% -3.75% -0.71% -4.51% 6.61%
JNJ 62.77 0.32 0.51% 1.03% -1.01% 0.05% -5.47% 3.70% -5.31% 2.11%
BMET 45.54 -0.01 -0.02% 0.11% 3.66% 4.81% 9.81% 7.97% 8.43% 28.28%
DNA 77.00 0.75 0.98% 0.04% -3.14% -0.59% -5.87% -4.71% -4.69% -1.57%
PFE 26.47 0.08 0.30% -0.19% -4.37% -3.25% 0.68% 5.92% 3.24% 12.49%
UNH 52.90 -0.05 -0.09% -1.43% -4.18% -1.40% 0.63% -2.13% 5.61% 18.21%
AET 50.23 -0.36 -0.71% -3.87% -5.71% -4.43% 17.14% 17.72% 16.27% 27.07%

Table 8: Senior financial company equities

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
LEH 79.07 0.27 0.34% 6.58% 5.10% 8.40% 0.56% 8.27% 3.90% 24.09%
DB 149.35 2.74 1.87% 3.97% -1.96% -4.24% 10.35% 20.91% 12.38% 39.96%
CS 73.77 0.42 0.57% 2.15% -3.69% -2.30% 5.22% 6.24% 7.19% 0.00%
MER 90.23 0.10 0.11% 1.63% -3.29% -2.14% -3.61% 12.58% -1.45% 32.98%
MS 88.48 -0.82 -0.92% 1.58% 2.80% 5.12% 8.40% 18.15% 11.63% 54.33%
UBS 62.47 0.90 1.46% 1.48% -3.95% -1.54% 1.76% 9.85% 2.85% 18.81%
C 53.98 0.31 0.58% 1.22% -0.97% -1.50% -2.30% 7.68% -0.17% 10.89%
GS 226.19 0.44 0.19% 0.50% -1.96% -0.52% 12.69% 12.59% 13.19% 56.95%
JPM 50.56 0.24 0.48% 0.30% -2.58% -3.81% 5.18% 6.00% 4.68% 24.53%
HBC 92.56 0.30 0.33% 0.03% -0.69% -0.79% -0.44% 7.53% 1.26% 6.10%

Table 9: Senior technology equities

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
INTC 24.24 1.01 4.35% 11.04% 8.41% 9.04% 19.12% 26.65% 15.76% 33.77%
INFY 53.31 0.10 0.19% 7.22% 7.07% 4.26% -4.50% 2.86% -2.61% 53.06%
SNDK 46.40 1.42 3.16% 4.93% 9.07% 5.29% 11.22% 14.17% 9.15% -14.78%
CTSH 79.02 -0.08 -0.10% 4.70% 1.17% 2.86% 1.62% -11.21% -1.77% 25.41%
ORCL 19.86 0.22 1.12% 4.20% 1.02% 4.25% 13.42% 18.78% 12.33% 44.96%
CSCO 27.39 0.56 2.09% 3.44% 1.97% 4.22% -1.26% 6.12% -0.62% 35.46%
ADSK 45.00 -0.29 -0.64% 1.86% 0.22% 3.93% 10.95% 19.49% 7.63% 22.65%
QCOM 42.63 0.01 0.02% 1.82% -0.33% -4.89% 13.80% -2.49% 7.92% -5.03%
SAP 48.83 0.05 0.10% -0.16% -0.45% 6.22% -8.21% 8.05% -5.42% -3.25%
ADBE 42.75 -1.21 -2.75% -0.67% -4.00% 0.78% 7.09% 10.49% -0.14% 47.62%

Table 10: Yahoo Finance U.S. Treasury Debt, Municipal and Corporate Bond Yields

US Treasury Bonds
Maturity Yield Yesterday Last Week Last Month
3 Month 4.37 4.47 4.60 4.59
6 Month 4.64 4.70 4.70 4.63
2 Year 5.00 5.07 4.97 4.71
3 Year 5.03 5.11 4.99 4.63
5 Year 5.06 5.14 5.02 4.61
10 Year 5.14 5.21 5.09 4.69
30 Year 5.23 5.28 5.19 4.86
Municipal Bonds
Maturity Yield Yesterday Last Week Last Month
2yr AA 3.77 3.81 3.72 3.64
2yr AAA 3.74 3.76 3.68 3.56
2yr A 3.78 3.82 3.67 3.63
5yr AAA 3.90 3.92 3.84 3.60
5yr AA 3.93 3.94 3.86 3.61
5yr A 1.67 2.45 0.20 3.73
10yr AAA 4.09 4.08 4.00 3.72
10yr AA 4.12 4.12 4.09 3.70
10yr A 4.36 4.35 4.28 4.00
20yr AAA 4.71 4.72 4.65 4.29
20yr AA 4.67 4.67 4.57 4.19
20yr A 4.76 4.75 4.71 4.50
Corporate Bonds
Maturity Yield Yesterday Last Week Last Month
2yr AA 5.35 5.41 5.34 5.07
2yr A 5.43 5.49 5.40 5.14
5yr AAA 5.59 5.66 5.54 5.09
5yr AA 5.67 5.73 5.63 5.17
5yr A 5.71 5.78 5.68 5.22
10yr AAA 5.83 5.96 5.81 5.54
10yr AA 5.93 6.00 5.84 5.45
10yr A 5.97 6.05 5.90 5.52
20yr AAA 6.29 6.26 6.23 5.92
20yr AA 6.14 6.20 6.12 5.83
20yr A 6.43 6.40 6.37 6.06

Table 11: Interest-sensitive securities

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance.
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
FNM 68.75 0.29 0.42% 6.84% 6.80% 9.14% 14.85% 27.10% 14.01% 42.61%
FRE 65.00 -0.24 -0.37% 0.57% -3.12% -3.25% -4.26% 6.89% -5.78% 12.53%
CFC 38.43 0.63 1.67% 0.31% -1.21% -6.97% -8.74% 8.35% -7.86% 2.75%
AGG 97.89 0.35 0.36% 0.18% -0.75% -1.85% -2.02% -2.66% -2.39% 0.02%
SHY 79.81 0.11 0.14% 0.10% 0.09% -0.39% -0.29% -0.70% -0.45% 0.29%
IEF 80.22 0.35 0.44% -0.10% -1.11% -2.67% -2.98% -4.00% -3.52% -0.16%
TIP 98.04 0.29 0.30% -0.11% -0.82% -1.89% -1.20% -2.85% -1.81% -1.15%
TLT 83.69 0.57 0.69% -0.36% -2.22% -4.37% -6.04% -6.75% -6.73% -0.96%

Table 12: Senior gold equities

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
MDG 26.25 0.41 1.59% 3.96% -1.65% 5.68% -0.15% 7.49% -6.45% -11.44%
BVN 34.98 0.42 1.22% 3.95% 1.69% 7.20% 26.69% 23.43% 27.02% 33.97%
GG 24.83 0.29 1.18% 3.80% 1.06% 7.26% -9.18% 3.03% -11.35% -8.00%
AEM 36.75 0.80 2.23% 3.20% -2.98% 6.83% -5.58% -2.36% -9.86% 29.31%
ABX 29.14 0.73 2.57% 2.90% -0.99% -1.05% -2.31% 3.77% -4.30% 3.92%
KGC 13.17 0.37 2.89% 2.81% -3.52% 2.17% 15.32% 1.54% 11.42% 33.57%
GFI 16.40 0.25 1.55% 2.05% -6.23% -3.53% -10.53% -3.93% -10.24% -8.58%
NEM 40.43 0.58 1.46% 1.33% -2.84% 3.48% -8.53% -4.06% -14.87% -19.96%
LIHRY 40.75 0.34 0.84% 0.02% -10.54% -7.20% 23.37% 0.00% 0.00% 2.77%
AUY 12.99 0.28 2.20% -0.46% -7.35% -2.62% 5.35% -6.81% 2.69% 48.46%


Table 13: International equities perspective

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
TRF 69.19 1.44 2.13% 8.14% 4.12% 2.76% -21.86% 2.16% -16.74% 10.12%
EWZ 62.66 1.64 2.69% 7.66% 2.39% 8.50% 34.18% 36.54% 34.49% 77.26%
FXI 122.73 2.88 2.40% 6.08% 7.17% 6.20% 5.44% 25.26% 21.51% 72.86%
EWC 30.58 0.45 1.49% 3.14% 0.39% 3.98% 23.81% 21.59% 18.53% 33.42%
EWU 25.59 0.19 0.75% 2.28% -0.08% 1.43% 8.66% 11.31% 6.27% 25.26%
IEV 117.40 1.45 1.25% 2.26% -0.89% 1.38% 11.17% 13.94% 10.64% 35.16%
QQQQ 47.73 0.37 0.78% 1.75% 0.61% 3.02% 10.38% 11.16% 7.43% 23.49%
SPY 153.07 0.21 0.14% 1.34% -0.66% 1.17% 8.28% 9.75% 7.54% 21.37%
EWJ 14.64 0.10 0.69% -0.20% -0.27% 2.45% 3.10% 1.53% 3.46% 12.18%
IFN 41.60 0.20 0.48% -0.48% -3.93% -0.81% -8.25% 9.73% -11.94% -6.52%

Table 14: Dow 30 List

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change
1Day
%Change
1W
%Change
2W
%Change
4W
%Change
YTD
%Change
3M
%Change
6M
%Change
12M
%Change
GM 34.66 1.06 3.15% 11.81% 13.64% 9.72% 17.69% 17.97% 18.46% 35.44%
INTC 24.24 1.01 4.35% 11.04% 8.41% 9.04% 19.12% 26.65% 15.76% 33.77%
AA 41.60 0.44 1.07% 4.89% 0.34% 6.26% 41.83% 22.79% 34.02% 37.48%
XOM 85.94 1.17 1.38% 3.94% 2.04% 5.06% 15.96% 21.57% 11.18% 45.37%
CAT 81.11 0.38 0.47% 3.30% 3.80% 8.38% 32.62% 27.81% 31.20% 14.48%
HON 58.87 0.63 1.08% 2.60% 0.12% 1.12% 30.53% 25.31% 34.96% 51.22%
UTX 72.01 0.73 1.02% 2.53% 1.74% 3.81% 14.65% 11.82% 15.31% 18.42%
GE 38.12 0.32 0.85% 2.14% 1.79% 4.35% 0.40% 10.43% 2.03% 11.76%
MMM 87.67 0.25 0.29% 2.01% -0.86% 1.15% 12.02% 15.37% 11.95% 8.37%
IBM 105.09 1.24 1.19% 1.96% -1.36% -0.21% 8.04% 12.46% 10.32% 33.77%
MCD 52.17 -0.08 -0.15% 1.48% 2.39% -0.17% 18.92% 20.01% 20.18% 56.43%
MSFT 30.49 -0.03 -0.10% 1.46% -0.33% -1.58% 2.11% 11.81% 0.99% 38.15%
AIG 72.54 0.20 0.28% 1.41% -0.15% 0.47% 0.54% 8.19% 0.57% 20.84%
C 53.98 0.31 0.58% 1.22% -0.97% -1.50% -2.30% 7.68% -0.17% 10.89%
MRK 50.73 0.50 1.00% 1.18% -2.70% -3.30% 15.24% 17.46% 15.19% 47.77%
AXP 63.77 0.63 1.00% 1.16% -2.00% 0.33% 5.65% 13.65% 3.46% 19.04%
JNJ 62.77 0.32 0.51% 1.03% -1.01% 0.05% -5.47% 3.70% -5.31% 2.11%
DD 51.47 0.97 1.92% 0.66% -3.07% -0.85% 4.96% 2.06% 5.58% 25.75%
DIS 34.40 0.61 1.81% 0.58% -2.38% -4.42% 0.58% 1.81% 0.29% 17.85%
MO 70.67 0.20 0.28% 0.53% -1.60% 1.39% 8.86% 11.12% 10.51% 33.42%
JPM 50.56 0.24 0.48% 0.30% -2.58% -3.81% 5.18% 6.00% 4.68% 24.53%
T 40.28 -0.28 -0.69% 0.05% -0.62% -2.38% 15.25% 9.04% 12.96% 45.26%
HD 37.95 0.16 0.42% 0.00% -3.21% -0.91% -7.60% 1.23% -4.84% 1.55%
BA 98.15 -0.82 -0.83% -0.04% -1.68% 1.41% 10.07% 7.81% 8.21% 15.73%
HPQ 45.71 0.04 0.09% -0.15% -0.22% 1.87% 9.83% 15.14% 14.42% 43.38%
KO 51.58 0.27 0.53% -0.17% -2.31% -1.19% 6.18% 9.56% 5.42% 19.84%
VZ 42.99 -0.23 -0.53% -0.19% -0.05% 2.02% 13.67% 18.23% 17.85% 33.55%
PFE 26.47 0.08 0.30% -0.19% -4.37% -3.25% 0.68% 5.92% 3.24% 12.49%
PG 62.57 0.15 0.24% -0.79% -1.43% -1.26% -3.05% 1.07% -2.40% 14.01%
WMT 49.34 0.06 0.12% -1.48% -0.26% 4.73% 3.76% 7.26% 6.22% 1.40%


Value Line Report(s) this past Friday

ExxonMobil [GICS 10, Dow 30, Cara 100]


(XOM: Yahoo Finance file)
(XOM: StockChart chart)
(XOM: Billcara2 chart)
(XOM: ADVFN Financial Data)
(XOM: Value Line Report Jun. 15: next one is due Sep. 14)


Chart of XOM:


International Economics Review

US Economic Calendar for next week

Econoday Weekly International Report

Econoday report on the US Consumer Price Index CPI

Econoday report on US Producer Price Index PPI

Econoday report on US Industrial Production for May 2007

Econoday report on U of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index

Econoday report on Treasury Int’l Capital’s report of US international capital flow

Econoday report on 1Q07 net US int’l trade balance and capital flow

Econoday report on US retail sales for May 2007

Econoday report on US business inventories for April 2007

Econoday report on US imported goods prices for May 2007


International Equity Markets Review

Here is the latest session data for the Asia-Paciic stock exchanges.


Here is the latest chart for the Japanese Nikkei 225 index.


Here is the latest chart for the Shanghai Composite index .


Here is the latest chart for the India BSE 30 index .


Here is the latest session data for the bourses of Europe.


Here is the latest chart for the UK FTSE 100 index.


Here is the latest session data for the exchanges of the Americas.


Here is the latest chart for the Brazilian Bovespa stock exchange in Sao Paulo.


Here is the latest session data for the Toronto Stock Exchange composite index.


US Equity Markets Review

DJIA (interactive) chart


NASDAQ Composite (interactive) chart


Industry “Impulse” Review

“Jock” is vacationing in a part of Hawaii this week where there is no broadband access. He sent along a note: “I didn't have time, in town, to send you the tally: 56 green, 15 red.

Teck-Cominco, although not having enough history in the (US) Worden database, and therefore not in the list of greens, is in fact green #56.”


Bonds & Yields Review

Here is the T-Bond chart.



Forex Review

Here is the $USD chart at the close of the prior session.



Commodities Review

Here is the $CRB Index chart.



Oil Review

Here is the e-miNY July-07 Crude Oil chart.



Interactive Chart of Weekly Crude Oil:

Interactive Chart of Daily Crude Oil:


Gold & Precious Metals Review

Here is the Recent Spot Gold chart.





Here is the Recent Spot Silver chart.



Here is the Recent Spot Platinum chart.



Here is the Recent Spot Palladium chart.



Precious Metals Stocks Review

Here are the Daily and Weekly Data charts of the indexes:

Interactive Chart of Daily U.S. Goldminers Index:

Interactive Chart of Daily and Weekly US Goldminers Index:



The U.S. goldminer share trust ETF trades under the ticker symbol GDX.

The Toronto Exchange-listed goldminer iUnits S&P/TSX Capped Gold Index ETF trades under the ticker symbol TSE:XGD.

Here are the Daily and Weekly data charts for the TSX Goldshares (XGD) index:

Interactive Chart of XGD Daily data:

Interactive Chart of XGD Weekly data:


To watch the moves in precious metal miners, you will have to monitor the individual stock charts, preferably in real-time, as follows:

ABX NEM GG GFI KGC AU HMY AUY BVN
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data


MDG LIHRY AEM BGO IAG EGO RGLD GOLD CDE GRS
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data


CBJ SSRI SIL NG KRY UXG GRZ TSE_HRG TSE_GUY TSE_AGI
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data


NXG GSS MNG DROOY MFN RNO RANGY MRB CLG
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data


Here are the key Silver miners and the SLV ETF:

SLV SIL CDE HL PAAS SSRI SLW MGN

Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data



The Cara Global 100 Stockwatch

This data is supplied every day by the folks at KNOBIAS, Inc.

The Cara 100 list was changed a week ago Friday to add Genentech (DNA) and remove Autodesk (ADSK).

Here are the Friday session’s Cara 100 gainers

Interactive chart of the top Watch List gainers


Here are the Friday session’s Cara 100 losers

Interactive chart of the top Watch List losers (Interactive link)


Here are the Cara 100 stocks that hit 52-week intra-day highs or lows in the Friday session


Here are the Cara 100 stocks that had extreme volume changes in Friday’s session. This is a good list to watch anytime markets start trending in the extreme. It pays to watch the price and volume extremes. That btw is called Money Flow.


Charts of Cara 100 company stock ratings changes

In Focus


Other Recent Wall Street upgrades

Other Recent Wall Street downgrades

There are various sources for up/down grades by broker-dealers. One is at Briefing.com. Traders ought to check everyday for ratings changes.



The Cara Global 100 RSI-7 Studies

Using data from “Chris” – which he takes from BillCara2.com, which is not smoothed like David’s data, which he takes from Worden, the Cara 100 Company stocks that are below 30 on the Daily RSI-7 are as follows:

RSI > 70 (12 of 26)

RSI < 30 (4)


Here, from “David” (or “Sergey” as available this week), are the stocks in the Cara 100 trading with the highest and lowest Daily RSI-7 sorted by (i) daily and (ii) monthly values, for the previous session. “David” was on seminar this week.


Here are the stocks in the Cara 100 trading with highest RSI-7 with Monthly-Weekly-Daily all either >70 or <30

Here are the stocks in the Cara 100 trading with RSI-7 Daily all >70 or all <30


Have a great day. Please feel free to comment below.


Posted by Posted by Bill Cara on June 16, 2007 11:45:46 AM | Category: Saturday Report

Discourse

Subprime fund on the brink. Concerned that an internal hedge fund at Bear Stearns Cos. wouldn't be able to meet a margin call, Merrill Lynch & Co., one of the fund's biggest lenders, seized $400 million of its assets and is preparing to auction them off.
The fund borrowed over 6 billion seems their bets are not going to pay off and the fund will fail. Is this the beginning of the end to others in the same boat we will have to wait.

Posted by: trader [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 16, 2007 12:09 PM [link]

Thank You Bill, I hope your weekend is going as planned.

I couldn't help noticing that if holding the top one or two Cara 100 gainers of each group for last week, a person could have about a YEAR's average returns of the S&P. GM and INTC had 11%+ W/W returns and averaged with the top W/W gainers would pretty easily beat the S&P. Most of the others beat any treasury note handily.

Looks like we're on the edge again according to Colin Twiggs report for the U.S. indexes, but poised for another Hang Seng breakout. Cash flows are pretty obvious. Next week should be interesting....maybe we get some mergers on Monday to goose it again, or....stuff like the above post happens. Yikes.

The new header and downscaled charts load faster.
I like it.

Enjoy!

Posted by: Craig [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 16, 2007 1:46 PM [link]

The new picture of you needs to be changed. You look worried. You are supposed to be happy and smiling. You look like a man whose daughter just announced she is dating a motorcycle gang member.

Posted by: holdenll [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 16, 2007 1:57 PM [link]

Just being a proud uncle,
little announcement,
my niece just graduated from Columbia, financial engineering,and got a job with RBC,
analyst oil and gas. These young kids. All a mystery to me. I guess it's more about algorithms than carbon. Shucks, and girls ware not supposed to be innately blessed with an aptitude for math? Anyone know how long "analysts" typically stay with a financial institution, particularly when it's their first time out?

Posted by: jasper [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 16, 2007 4:13 PM [link]

Re Trader;

Only nine years ago Bear was in Merrill's position issuing margin calls for LTCM. Funny how history has a way of repeating itself. Interesting name for the fund; High-Grade Structured Credit Strategies Enhanced Leverage Fund.

Posted by: brianr [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 16, 2007 5:05 PM [link]

bill,

change the picture of yourself. also, the picture with the eyeball...are u watching us or is that big brother??? remove that. just have your graphics guy broaden out the financial mkt montage to fill in the gap...best, MH.

Posted by: maxhubris [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 16, 2007 8:03 PM [link]

Bill,
Keep the picture, I visit the site for your commentary on the markets. I can only imagine if I posted my picture. Can we please raise the bar here.

Posted by: trader [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 16, 2007 8:42 PM [link]

trader,

That's my real hair btw -- that is, what's left of it after this past five months. I looked at the 20 photos that the pro snapped and said to myself that the others looked like poses, and this is the one I most feel like.

When I am ready to smile, I'll change the photo.

Posted by: Bill Cara [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 16, 2007 9:16 PM [link]

maxhubris,

You are probably right about the "eye". I'll look into the change possibility next week.

btw, I removed the "man" because many of you wanted it gone, but I cannot recall readers mentioning the "eye".

Posted by: Bill Cara [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 16, 2007 9:20 PM [link]

The photo can be changed anytime. Right now an expression of concerned skepticism resonates with me.

Posted by: 2nd_ave [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 16, 2007 10:06 PM [link]

I always thought that Pope John Paul II was a handsome man. And, yes, you do resemble him a bit, but I doubt that the reason is the fact that JPII's Canadian photographer also took your picture....

I agree with 2nd_ave: an expression of concerned skepticism on your face is fine. Worry would be fine too!

As for the "eye": it didn't bother me...until maxhubris mentioned it. Now it bothers me.

All in all, your blog is looking very nice -- uncluttered and easy to navigate. Thumbs up!

Posted by: GemmaStar [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 17, 2007 11:52 AM [link]

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