Bill Cara: Bill Cara’s Saturday Report 22-2007, 06/02/2007 7:00 AM

« Cara’s Daily Commentary, Fri., June 1, 2007, 8:01 AM | Main | Week in Review #22 (2007-06-02) »

June 2, 2007

Bill Cara’s Saturday Report 22-2007, 06/02/2007 7:00 AM

This “Saturday Report” includes (i) Week In Review (WIR) Tables, (ii) end-of-the--week tables and charts (used in the Daily Commentary), (iii) Impulse system report, and (iv) Friday Value Line Dow Report(s). My "Week In Review" will be published Sunday at 12:00pm ET (Noon).

WIR Tables for Week #22 (2007-06-02)

Table 1: Cara ETF List

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change 1Day
%Change 1W
%Change 2W
%Change 4W
%Change YTD
%Change 3M
%Change 6M
%Change 12M
%Change

XLB 41.30 0.40 0.98% 3.85% 2.92% 5.76% 19.33% 11.44% 18.95% 27.08%

XLE 68.92 0.77 1.13% 3.25% 3.25% 6.52% 21.81% 21.51% 13.50% 23.73%

IYZ 34.54 0.01 0.03% 2.71% 3.82% 5.92% 16.45% 13.39% 21.32% 35.98%

XLI 39.28 0.15 0.38% 2.64% 2.34% 3.53% 11.50% 11.31% 12.49% 14.55%

SMH 36.98 0.27 0.74% 2.52% -0.32% -0.24% 10.16% 8.26% 8.70% 6.82%

XLY 40.33 0.31 0.77% 2.02% 2.46% 2.33% 4.70% 5.96% 7.18% 18.48%

XLP 27.90 0.15 0.54% 2.01% 1.49% 1.82% 6.16% 6.08% 9.28% 16.20%

XLF 38.02 0.15 0.40% 1.33% 0.88% 1.14% 2.98% 5.88% 7.46% 15.00%

XLU 41.61 -0.17 -0.41% 1.29% -2.32% -1.33% 13.01% 7.66% 13.32% 29.42%

IYH 72.54 0.22 0.30% 0.54% 1.14% 0.83% 9.15% 9.02% 9.88% 18.26%

Table 2: Senior oil & gas equities

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change 1Day
%Change 1W
%Change 2W
%Change 4W
%Change YTD
%Change 3M
%Change 6M
%Change 12M
%Change

CEO 96.66 2.62 2.79% 5.56% 6.49% 8.75% 2.54% 21.52% 10.44% 26.63%

PBR 111.21 3.05 2.82% 4.90% 4.29% 8.34% 11.59% 24.72% 18.43% 26.00%

SU 88.66 1.48 1.70% 3.84% 2.97% 8.11% 19.96% 26.08% 12.17% 8.43%

ECA 62.37 0.97 1.58% 3.74% 1.09% 13.52% 37.56% 29.16% 17.79% 21.37%

IMO 47.54 0.98 2.10% 3.64% 7.31% 22.84% 33.31% 37.00% 26.17% 27.76%

CVX 82.23 0.74 0.91% 2.83% 0.95% 3.36% 15.87% 21.64% 12.47% 37.10%

XOM 84.22 1.05 1.26% 2.36% 2.96% 4.39% 13.64% 18.64% 9.09% 37.82%

STO 28.18 0.88 3.22% 1.84% 3.49% -3.59% 9.69% 9.06% 0.97% -4.25%

TOT 76.06 0.61 0.81% 1.48% 2.63% 0.81% 7.17% 14.69% 7.75% 16.16%

Table 3: Senior metals and steel equities

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change 1Day
%Change 1W
%Change 2W
%Change 4W
%Change YTD
%Change 3M
%Change 6M
%Change 12M
%Change

GGB 23.87 1.13 4.97% 14.16% 8.11% 15.04% 45.37% 41.58% 53.41% 63.49%

RIO 47.02 1.57 3.45% 11.61% 4.58% 9.94% 63.15% 40.36% 70.49% 100.00%

TCK 42.70 0.46 1.09% 10.36% 5.46% -46.79% -38.34% -39.03% -43.51% 0.00%

MT 63.37 3.38 5.63% 10.36% 9.92% 16.25% 55.32% 21.28% 56.78% 87.49%

BHP 53.94 1.30 2.47% 8.75% 6.54% 7.82% 38.77% 27.52% 31.91% 26.71%

PKX 122.60 3.30 2.77% 8.69% 9.56% 14.15% 54.35% 34.08% 54.68% 86.61%

NUE 69.25 1.71 2.53% 8.36% 5.32% 5.73% 27.06% 13.86% 18.09% 29.73%

TS 49.85 0.20 0.40% 7.74% 9.06% 5.55% 2.74% 11.22% 9.51% 33.61%

RTP 296.34 3.39 1.16% 6.41% 6.58% 16.83% 45.19% 40.11% 38.06% 36.35%

AA 41.46 0.18 0.44% 3.11% 5.90% 18.25% 41.36% 24.69% 34.31% 27.30%

Table 4: Senior capital goods makers and transportation

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change 1Day
%Change 1W
%Change 2W
%Change 4W
%Change YTD
%Change 3M
%Change 6M
%Change 12M
%Change

FDX 111.29 -0.33 -0.30% 5.07% 3.79% 1.78% 1.38% -2.51% -3.12% -0.05%

HON 58.80 0.89 1.54% 5.02% 1.00% 5.00% 30.38% 27.30% 37.35% 41.65%

ERJ 48.38 -0.10 -0.21% 4.54% 2.91% 0.06% 18.64% 7.37% 18.93% 39.58%

ABB 21.74 0.27 1.26% 4.37% 8.16% 8.48% 22.00% 31.12% 33.29% 72.81%

UTX 70.78 0.23 0.33% 3.69% 2.03% 4.20% 12.69% 8.69% 10.84% 11.99%

CAT 78.14 -0.44 -0.56% 3.59% 4.41% 6.52% 27.76% 22.28% 27.70% 6.62%

BA 99.83 -0.76 -0.76% 2.47% 3.14% 6.37% 11.95% 13.64% 11.48% 19.36%

MMM 88.43 0.47 0.53% 1.47% 2.03% 5.19% 13.00% 20.05% 10.57% 4.64%

GE 37.45 -0.13 -0.35% 0.19% 2.52% 0.29% -1.37% 7.00% 6.15% 8.39%

Table 5: Senior consumer discretionary equities

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change 1Day
%Change 1W
%Change 2W
%Change 4W
%Change YTD
%Change 3M
%Change 6M
%Change 12M
%Change

NKE 56.69 -0.06 -0.11% 4.08% 7.06% 6.40% 16.10% 7.67% 16.17% 39.25%

JCP 81.99 1.51 1.88% 3.96% 2.82% 3.54% 5.03% 2.55% 7.42% 26.55%

SBUX 29.13 0.32 1.11% 2.90% 2.32% -7.87% -17.36% -4.15% -16.98% -19.55%

TM 122.94 2.18 1.81% 2.18% 1.19% 2.11% -9.14% -6.35% 2.45% 13.16%

BC 34.80 0.37 1.07% 1.96% 2.75% 5.65% 9.02% 6.19% 9.95% -3.76%

CCL 50.54 0.10 0.20% 1.96% 6.49% 4.96% -0.80% 9.66% 7.33% 26.00%

WHR 111.39 -0.26 -0.23% 0.19% -1.55% -1.27% 31.57% 26.06% 31.59% 23.42%

EBAY 32.27 -0.29 -0.89% -1.35% -2.15% -6.79% 6.96% 1.06% 2.90% -2.45%

DIS 35.24 -0.20 -0.56% -1.67% -2.08% -1.26% 3.04% 2.47% 6.50% 15.09%

Table 6: Senior consumer staples equities

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change 1Day
%Change 1W
%Change 2W
%Change 4W
%Change YTD
%Change 3M
%Change 6M
%Change 12M
%Change

ABV 70.71 2.91 4.29% 8.83% 7.51% 13.63% 44.01% 43.34% 53.72% 65.17%

WMT 49.47 1.87 3.93% 6.05% 5.01% 2.30% 4.04% 3.30% 7.85% 2.23%

BUD 54.01 0.67 1.26% 5.32% 8.72% 7.38% 9.73% 10.18% 13.39% 17.44%

KO 52.80 -0.19 -0.36% 3.04% 1.15% -0.21% 8.69% 13.50% 13.38% 20.22%

WFMI 41.67 0.57 1.39% 2.91% 5.41% -8.03% -8.38% -11.25% -13.33% -36.86%

MO 71.82 0.72 1.01% 1.92% 3.04% 2.94% 10.63% 13.46% 13.93% 32.17%

WAG 45.13 0.00 0.00% 1.21% -0.46% 1.30% -2.04% 1.12% 12.07% 11.16%

DEO 86.02 0.63 0.74% 1.01% 2.16% 1.05% 8.16% 10.28% 10.78% 28.70%

PG 63.48 -0.07 -0.11% 0.97% 0.17% 2.39% -1.64% -0.31% 1.26% 16.52%

PEP 68.70 0.37 0.54% 0.37% 0.31% 2.07% 9.53% 8.31% 10.88% 12.44%

Table 7: Senior healthcare equities

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change 1Day
%Change 1W
%Change 2W
%Change 4W
%Change YTD
%Change 3M
%Change 6M
%Change 12M
%Change

AMGN 56.94 0.49 0.87% 4.34% 6.07% -10.91% -16.75% -7.70% -17.86% -17.23%

AET 53.27 0.34 0.64% 3.24% 1.35% 10.70% 24.23% 18.77% 28.86% 32.81%

DNA 79.50 -0.27 -0.34% 2.40% 2.63% -2.51% -2.81% -4.89% -3.88% -3.76%

UNH 55.21 0.44 0.80% 1.84% 2.91% 3.80% 5.02% 4.68% 13.07% 20.76%

BMY 30.48 0.17 0.56% 1.50% 0.89% 3.89% 15.54% 14.41% 22.71% 21.19%

PFE 27.68 0.19 0.69% 1.47% 1.17% 3.01% 5.29% 10.54% -0.65% 15.82%

BMET 43.93 0.31 0.71% 0.71% 1.10% 1.27% 5.93% 3.78% 15.85% 22.74%

NVS 56.32 0.14 0.25% 0.43% -1.49% -2.95% -3.13% 2.21% -2.61% 1.22%

JNJ 63.41 0.14 0.22% -0.11% 1.07% -1.41% -4.50% 1.54% -3.88% 4.55%

GSK 51.28 -0.90 -1.72% -2.49% -10.58% -10.72% -4.70% -8.22% -4.56% -8.40%

Table 8: Senior financial company equities

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change 1Day
%Change 1W
%Change 2W
%Change 4W
%Change YTD
%Change 3M
%Change 6M
%Change 12M
%Change

UBS 65.04 -0.20 -0.31% 2.90% 2.51% 2.54% 5.95% 10.71% 9.37% 13.13%

CS 76.60 0.67 0.88% 2.71% 1.44% -1.26% 9.26% 9.88% 15.07% 0.00%

LEH 75.23 1.85 2.52% 2.66% 3.14% -0.56% -4.32% 2.72% 2.56% 11.42%

GS 230.71 -0.11 -0.05% 2.23% 1.46% 4.13% 14.94% 15.55% 18.62% 50.25%

MS 86.07 1.03 1.21% 1.91% 2.26% 0.93% 5.45% 14.62% 14.35% 42.08%

MER 93.30 0.57 0.61% 0.75% 1.19% 1.11% -0.33% 11.42% 7.51% 28.51%

HBC 93.20 0.16 0.17% 0.73% -0.11% -1.23% 0.25% 7.25% 0.50% 6.62%

JPM 51.90 0.07 0.14% 0.60% -1.26% -1.52% 7.97% 5.49% 12.80% 19.09%

C 54.51 0.02 0.04% -0.76% -0.53% 1.04% -1.34% 6.71% 10.39% 9.39%

DB 152.34 0.24 0.16% -1.19% -2.32% -1.44% 12.56% 16.72% 18.15% 30.62%

Table 9: Senior technology equities

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change 1Day
%Change 1W
%Change 2W
%Change 4W
%Change YTD
%Change 3M
%Change 6M
%Change 12M
%Change

ADBE 44.53 0.47 1.07% 6.05% 4.97% 8.08% 11.55% 13.42% 13.63% 55.05%

CSCO 26.86 -0.06 -0.22% 5.75% 2.21% -3.03% -3.17% 3.91% 0.90% 31.02%

ORCL 19.66 0.28 1.44% 4.85% 3.20% 3.36% 12.28% 17.23% 4.69% 38.26%

CTSH 78.11 -0.45 -0.57% 4.23% 1.68% -7.16% 0.45% -12.60% -2.14% 25.88%

SAP 49.05 1.31 2.74% 4.16% 6.70% 2.96% -7.80% 3.22% -4.57% -8.45%

INFY 49.79 0.54 1.10% 2.53% -2.62% -7.35% -10.80% -8.37% -6.04% 39.78%

INTC 22.36 0.18 0.81% 1.78% 0.58% 2.85% 9.88% 14.20% 7.19% 23.95%

SNDK 42.54 -1.01 -2.32% 1.29% -3.47% -2.83% 1.97% 14.94% -4.55% -22.98%

ADSK 44.90 -0.55 -1.21% 0.36% 3.70% 8.11% 10.70% 11.36% 9.91% 19.54%

QCOM 42.77 -0.18 -0.42% -1.88% -4.57% -3.41% 14.18% 6.66% 17.95% -9.10%

Table 10: Yahoo Finance U.S. Treasury Debt, Municipal and Corporate Bond Yields

US Treasury Bonds
Maturity Yield Yesterday Last Week Last Month

3 Month 4.62 4.55 4.71 4.73

6 Month 4.75 4.73 4.74 4.79

2 Year 4.95 4.89 4.83 4.62

3 Year 4.91 4.85 4.78 4.55

5 Year 4.90 4.83 4.77 4.53

10 Year 4.93 4.87 4.84 4.62

30 Year 5.04 4.99 4.98 4.80

Municipal Bonds
Maturity Yield Yesterday Last Week Last Month

2yr AA 3.67 3.63 3.66 3.65

2yr AAA 3.66 3.60 3.61 3.57

2yr A 3.66 3.65 3.65 3.61

5yr AAA 3.74 3.69 3.69 3.57

5yr AA 3.77 3.71 3.67 3.58

5yr A 3.76 3.74 3.74 3.71

10yr AAA 3.86 3.84 3.83 3.72

10yr AA 3.86 3.83 3.80 3.69

10yr A 4.14 4.11 4.10 3.99

20yr AAA 4.42 4.40 4.38 4.33

20yr AA 4.42 4.31 4.29 4.52

20yr A 4.29 4.18 4.27 4.22

Corporate Bonds
Maturity Yield Yesterday Last Week Last Month

2yr AA 5.31 5.26 5.19 5.00

2yr A 5.38 5.34 5.28 5.07

5yr AAA 5.40 5.35 5.29 5.03

5yr AA 5.47 5.40 5.32 5.10

5yr A 5.52 5.46 5.41 5.12

10yr AAA 5.71 5.68 5.79 5.27

10yr AA 5.68 5.62 5.58 5.36

10yr A 5.74 5.71 5.71 5.48

20yr AAA 6.01 5.93 5.97 5.77

20yr AA 5.98 5.93 5.92 5.75

20yr A 6.15 6.07 6.11 5.91

Table 11: Interest-sensitive securities

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance.
Symbol Close 1Day
Change 1Day
%Change 1W
%Change 2W
%Change 4W
%Change YTD
%Change 3M
%Change 6M
%Change 12M
%Change

FRE 67.09 0.30 0.45% 1.07% -0.13% 0.60% -1.18% 5.67% 0.24% 10.60%

SHY 79.74 -0.33 -0.41% -0.44% -0.47% -0.41% -0.37% -0.60% -0.71% 0.18%

FNM 64.37 0.45 0.70% -0.59% 2.19% 5.35% 7.53% 14.05% 13.27% 25.14%

AGG 98.63 -0.59 -0.59% -0.78% -1.11% -1.31% -1.28% -1.80% -2.21% 1.14%

TIP 98.85 -0.78 -0.78% -0.79% -1.08% -1.82% -0.38% -1.99% -2.56% -0.37%

IEF 81.12 -0.68 -0.83% -1.09% -1.58% -1.99% -1.89% -2.63% -3.36% 1.06%

TLT 85.59 -0.79 -0.91% -1.13% -2.19% -3.00% -3.91% -4.62% -6.38% 2.25%

CFC 38.90 -0.04 -0.10% -2.75% -5.83% 3.10% -7.62% 3.90% -2.68% -1.54%

Table 12: Senior gold equities

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change 1Day
%Change 1W
%Change 2W
%Change 4W
%Change YTD
%Change 3M
%Change 6M
%Change 12M
%Change

AEM 37.88 1.52 4.18% 11.74% 10.12% 5.08% -2.67% -0.99% -12.80% 12.77%

AUY 14.02 0.57 4.24% 9.96% 5.10% -1.89% 13.71% -0.85% 9.11% 40.76%

GG 24.57 0.48 1.99% 9.25% 6.13% -0.65% -10.13% -5.93% -19.86% -18.40%

MDG 26.69 1.04 4.05% 8.01% 7.45% 2.77% 1.52% -1.04% -11.89% -14.97%

BVN 34.40 0.87 2.59% 7.77% 5.42% 1.15% 24.59% 26.28% 21.64% 29.57%

KGC 13.65 0.31 2.32% 6.81% 5.90% -2.22% 19.53% 1.26% 9.99% 24.09%

NEM 41.61 0.93 2.29% 5.48% 6.50% -0.69% -5.86% -6.56% -11.17% -19.47%

ABX 29.43 0.30 1.03% 1.48% -0.07% -2.97% -1.34% 0.55% -5.67% -3.92%

GFI 17.49 0.17 0.98% 1.39% 2.88% -3.90% -4.58% 2.40% -8.09% -17.89%

LIHRY 40.75 0.34 0.84% 0.02% -10.54% -7.20% 23.37% 0.00% 0.00% 2.77%

Table 13: International equities perspective

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change 1Day
%Change 1W
%Change 2W
%Change 4W
%Change YTD
%Change 3M
%Change 6M
%Change 12M
%Change

EWZ 61.20 1.94 3.27% 9.05% 5.97% 12.29% 31.05% 34.71% 39.34% 58.96%

IFN 43.30 0.01 0.02% 4.67% 3.24% 3.10% -4.50% 11.60% -8.92% -11.18%

FXI 114.52 2.17 1.93% 4.13% -0.91% 4.63% -1.62% 18.48% 21.64% 54.78%

EWC 30.46 0.36 1.20% 3.43% 3.57% 8.09% 23.32% 20.68% 18.85% 25.35%

QQQQ 47.44 0.03 0.06% 2.77% 2.40% 1.82% 9.71% 9.97% 9.08% 19.38%

IEV 118.45 0.87 0.74% 2.47% 2.29% 2.60% 12.17% 14.53% 14.42% 29.58%

EWJ 14.68 0.05 0.34% 2.44% 2.73% 2.09% 3.38% -0.07% 6.15% 4.41%

SPY 154.08 0.68 0.44% 1.95% 1.84% 2.48% 8.99% 9.66% 9.88% 19.69%

EWU 25.61 0.23 0.91% 1.83% 1.51% 1.75% 8.75% 11.88% 8.89% 22.42%

TRF 66.45 -2.30 -3.35% 1.36% -1.31% -5.07% -24.96% -3.56% -16.16% -9.52%

Table 14: Dow 30 List

Sorted by 1-Week Price Performance
Symbol Close 1Day
Change 1Day
%Change 1W
%Change 2W
%Change 4W
%Change YTD
%Change 3M
%Change 6M
%Change 12M
%Change

WMT 49.47 1.87 3.93% 6.05% 5.01% 2.30% 4.04% 3.30% 7.85% 2.23%

HON 58.80 0.89 1.54% 5.02% 1.00% 5.00% 30.38% 27.30% 37.35% 41.65%

UTX 70.78 0.23 0.33% 3.69% 2.03% 4.20% 12.69% 8.69% 10.84% 11.99%

CAT 78.14 -0.44 -0.56% 3.59% 4.41% 6.52% 27.76% 22.28% 27.70% 6.62%

DD 53.10 0.78 1.49% 3.43% 2.29% 4.36% 8.28% 4.38% 14.32% 23.89%

AA 41.46 0.18 0.44% 3.11% 5.90% 18.25% 41.36% 24.69% 34.31% 27.30%

KO 52.80 -0.19 -0.36% 3.04% 1.15% -0.21% 8.69% 13.50% 13.38% 20.22%

IBM 106.54 -0.06 -0.06% 2.49% 1.17% 3.64% 9.53% 15.47% 16.76% 32.04%

BA 99.83 -0.76 -0.76% 2.47% 3.14% 6.37% 11.95% 13.64% 11.48% 19.36%

XOM 84.22 1.05 1.26% 2.36% 2.96% 4.39% 13.64% 18.64% 9.09% 37.82%

MO 71.82 0.72 1.01% 1.92% 3.04% 2.94% 10.63% 13.46% 13.93% 32.17%

INTC 22.36 0.18 0.81% 1.78% 0.58% 2.85% 9.88% 14.20% 7.19% 23.95%

AXP 65.07 0.09 0.14% 1.64% 2.38% 2.54% 7.80% 15.07% 11.14% 18.78%

AIG 72.65 0.31 0.43% 1.55% 0.62% 2.83% 0.69% 7.77% 4.13% 18.77%

MMM 88.43 0.47 0.53% 1.47% 2.03% 5.19% 13.00% 20.05% 10.57% 4.64%

PFE 27.68 0.19 0.69% 1.47% 1.17% 3.01% 5.29% 10.54% -0.65% 15.82%

MSFT 30.59 -0.10 -0.33% 1.39% -1.26% -1.23% 2.44% 8.90% 5.12% 34.05%

VZ 43.01 -0.52 -1.19% 1.10% 2.06% 4.72% 13.72% 15.93% 24.16% 34.57%

PG 63.48 -0.07 -0.11% 0.97% 0.17% 2.39% -1.64% -0.31% 1.26% 16.52%

HPQ 45.81 0.10 0.22% 0.90% 2.09% 6.96% 10.07% 17.67% 16.15% 41.26%

HD 39.21 0.34 0.87% 0.67% 2.38% 0.38% -4.53% -0.61% 0.85% 1.71%

JPM 51.90 0.07 0.14% 0.60% -1.26% -1.52% 7.97% 5.49% 12.80% 19.09%

T 40.53 -0.81 -1.96% 0.27% -1.77% 4.19% 15.97% 10.41% 19.21% 50.61%

GE 37.45 -0.13 -0.35% 0.19% 2.52% 0.29% -1.37% 7.00% 6.15% 8.39%

GM 30.50 0.51 1.70% 0.10% -3.45% -0.62% 3.57% -3.30% 2.73% 13.38%

MCD 50.95 0.40 0.79% -0.02% -2.51% 2.08% 16.14% 15.53% 21.08% 51.28%

JNJ 63.41 0.14 0.22% -0.11% 1.07% -1.41% -4.50% 1.54% -3.88% 4.55%

C 54.51 0.02 0.04% -0.76% -0.53% 1.04% -1.34% 6.71% 10.39% 9.39%

DIS 35.24 -0.20 -0.56% -1.67% -2.08% -1.26% 3.04% 2.47% 6.50% 15.09%

MRK 52.14 -0.31 -0.59% -3.00% -0.61% 1.14% 18.45% 18.53% 15.71% 54.26%

Value Line Report(s) this past Friday

General Motors [GICS 25, Dow 30]

(GM: Value Line Report Jun. 1: next one is due Aug. 31)
(GM: Yahoo Finance file)
(GM: StockChart chart)
(GM: Billcara2 chart)
(GM: ADVFN Financial Data)
(GM: ADVFN Financial Data)

Johnson & Johnson [GICS 35, Dow 30, Cara 100]

(JNJ: Value Line Report Jun. 1: next one is due Aug. 31)
(JNJ: Yahoo Finance file)
(JNJ: StockChart chart)
(JNJ: Billcara2 chart)
(JNJ: ADVFN Financial Data)
(JNJ: ADVFN Financial Data)

International Economics Review

US Economic Calendar for next week.

Econoday Weekly International Report.

Econoday report on US Jobs.

Econoday report on US Personal Income and Outlays.

Econoday report on US Q1 GDP.

Econoday report on May 30 FOMC Minutes of May 9 meeting. The next FOMC meeting is scheduled for June 27-28, 2007.

Econoday report on US Consumer Confidence for May.

International Equity Markets Review

Here is the latest session data for the Asia-Paciic stock exchanges.

Here is the latest session data for the bourses of Europe.

Here is the latest session data for the exchanges of the Americas.

US Equity Markets Review

DJIA (interactive) chart

NASDAQ Composite (interactive) chart

Charts of US stock ratings changes

Wall Street upgrades

Wall Street recent downgrades

There are various sources for up/down grades by broker-dealers. One is at Briefing.com. Traders ought to check everyday for ratings changes. That website updates in the morning.

Industry “Impulse” Review

This 10-week table that depicts stock price inertia/momentum of 31 industries has been created by “Jock”, based on the “Impulse System” that is described in Dr Alexander Elder's book Come into My Trading Room.

That book, and Dr Elder’s Entries & Exits, sits on my bookshelf.

This weekly "impulse" looks at inertia through the EMA, and at momentum through MACD (the rate of change in EMA's).

With the “Impulse System”, Industries are colored GREEN when both weekly MACD-H and 26-week EMA have ticked up; they are RED when both MACD-H and 26-week EMA have ticked down.

Bill –
Last week, net 8 industries were green. This week, 29 ! Quite amazing reversal of fortune in the last two days. I’ve given you 11 weeks. It shows that the market has snapped back to a stronger position than it had 11 weeks ago – after recovery from the Feb/Mar dip. Crazy, maybe, but there is an explanation. None of the industries had dipped very far below their 26 wk. EMA. So, when MACD-H ticked up enough in the last two days, to kick the weekly MACD-H to positive, this also pushed price above the weekly EMA, and qualified for green. Nonetheless, another whipsaw in this frustrating market.

/Jock

Bonds & Yields Review

Here is the T-Bond chart.

Forex Review

Here is the $USD chart at the close of the prior session.

Commodities Review

Here is the $CRB Index chart.

Oil Review

Here is the e-miNY July-07 Crude Oil chart.

Interactive Chart of Weekly Crude Oil:

Interactive Chart of Daily Crude Oil:

Gold & Precious Metals Review

Here is the Jun-07 Gold futures chart.

Here is the Recent Spot Gold chart.

Here is the Recent Spot Silver chart.

Here is the Recent Spot Platinum chart.

Here is the Recent Spot Palladium chart.

Precious Metals Stocks Review

Here are the Daily and Weekly Data charts of the indexes:

Interactive Chart of Daily U.S. Goldminers Index:

Interactive Chart of Weekly U.S. Goldminers Index:

The U.S. goldminer share trust ETF trades under the ticker symbol GDX.

The Toronto Exchange-listed goldminer iUnits S&P/TSX Capped Gold Index ETF trades under the ticker symbol TSE:XGD.

Here are the Daily and Weekly data charts for the TSX Goldshares (XGD) index:

Interactive Chart of XGD Daily data:

Interactive Chart of XGD Weekly data:

To watch the moves in precious metal miners, you will have to monitor the individual stock charts, preferably in real-time, as follows:

ABX NEM GG GFI KGC AU HMY AUY BVN
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data

MDG LIHRY AEM BGO IAG EGO RGLD GOLD CDE GRS
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data

CBJ SSRI SIL NG KRY UXG GRZ TSE_HRG TSE_GUY TSE_AGI
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data

NXG GSS MNG DROOY MFN RNO RANGY MRB CLG
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data

Here are the key Silver miners and the SLV ETF:

SLV SIL CDE HL PAAS SSRI SLW MGN

Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data

The Cara Global 100 Stockwatch

This data is supplied every day by the folks at KNOBIAS, Inc.

Here are the Friday session’s Cara 100 gainers

Interactive chart of the top 12 Watch List gainers

Here are the Friday session’s Cara 100 losers

Interactive chart of the top 12 Watch List losers (Interactive link)

Here are the Cara 100 stocks that hit 52-week intra-day highs or lows in the Friday session (17)

The Cara Global 100 RSI-7 Studies

Here, from “Chris”, are the interactive charts of up to a dozen stocks with (unsmoothed) RSI-7 above 70 and below 30, from “Chris”:

RSI-7 > 70 (12 of 33)

RSI-7 < 30 (1)

Using data from “Chris” – which he takes from BillCara2.com, which is not smoothed like David’s data, which he takes from Worden, the Cara 100 Company stocks that are below 30 on the Daily RSI-7 moved to 1 on Friday versus the move to 33 for charts with Daily RSI-7 above 70.

Here, from “David” (when available), are the stocks in the Cara 100 trading with the highest and lowest Daily RSI-7 sorted by (i) daily and (ii) monthly values, for the previous session.

Here are the stocks in the Cara 100 trading with highest RSI-7 with Monthly-Weekly-Daily all either >70 or <30

Here are the stocks in the Cara 100 trading with RSI-7 Daily all >70 or all <30

Have a great day. Please feel free to comment below.

Posted by Posted by Bill Cara on June 2, 2007 07:00:01 AM | Category: Saturday Report

Discourse

US social equity gap worsens from generation to generation.

http://biz.yahoo.com/weekend/dadmoney_1.html

I hear in the news they are giving out big sign up bonuses in the US military these days and promises of big pay for those in the active theatre- Sad.

Posted by: cb at June 2, 2007 7:17 AM [link]

moin moin from germany

i´m not sure if this was posted before.

but i gan guarantee you that this clip is a must see. it´s one of the best i´ve ever seen!

An investment lesson from the jungle

http://youtube.com/watch?v=LU8DDYz68kM

make sure you see the full clip.

have a nive weekend

Posted by: jmf at June 2, 2007 8:00 AM [link]

Bill - I am a long time reader, and the reading keeps improving. Thanks!

I live in So. Florida about the midPoint between the southern tip of Lake Okeechobee and the northern tip of the Bahamas and thought you might like to know that TS Barry wasn't much more than a few, solid "thumps of wind" (about 50 mph) and lots of rain "knocking on the door" (and roof) during last night. We, and the Bahamas, got some very much needed rain.

One of my favorite stocks, for this time of year, is ENR (Energizer - batteries) BUT only when I get a new buy signal - I do have some core that I keep. I think it is a great "seasonal" but it's not one that's been mentioned here that I have seen.

BTW - here's the link for info on Barry for anyone who's interested:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/productview.php?pil=TWDAT

Have a great weekend!

Posted by: spot at June 2, 2007 9:55 AM [link]

Adding to cb's post, anyone interested in social equity also needs to read this from the estimable Tanta at Calculated Risk:

http://calculatedrisk.blogspot.com/2007/06/reelin-in-suckers.html

In my book, unloading toxic bonds on pension funds marks a new low for HB&B, and a new high in the level of stupidity for the people entrusted with managing the retirement money of millions of hard working Americans.

Posted by: number2son at June 2, 2007 10:49 AM [link]

But what's not simple is the way he is trying to retool how philanthropy is conducted. His goal is to use his donations as leverage to encourage his favored causes to try new ways to bring in even more money. To that end, last year he gave Oklahoma State $20 million with the proviso that they would find 25 alumni between the ages of 65 and 85 who would agree to have the school take out a $10 million life insurance policy for them, with the school as the ultimate beneficiary. The school promptly found 27 such participants and the first policies went into force this February.

The specially designed insurance product the school bought has two death benefits, the face value of $10 million and a second benefit equal to the sum of the premiums that will be paid. Mr. Pickens says the program doesn't cost the person whose name it's in a dime, and the nonprofit school or group will either raise or borrow the funds to buy the policies. The insurance company makes its profit by adjusting the premiums so they can make money from the money they bring in while the beneficiary is alive. Dubbed the "Pickens Plan," some 40 schools and institutions are working on introducing their own versions. (from WSJ)

I like the play.

Go Sens Go

Posted by: trader at June 2, 2007 12:45 PM [link]

Nice move in silver this week, bounces right off the 200 day with my guess a fair amount of help from the Yen Carry noting 122 res. has arrived once again. Its good to know I will eventually make money on atleast one of these two plays :)

Posted by: Rick45 at June 2, 2007 1:13 PM [link]

Mohamed El-Erian explained in the 5/30 FT how to understand and deal with this market. (As president of the Harvard Management Co.- with its $27Billion, Mohamed's opinion counts!)

Foreign "non-commercial buys" of US debt have compressed bond yields & credit spreads. The resulting mis-alignment vrs. the equity risk premium has encouraged LBO's, which has attracted ever more $$$ to private equity.

Only a series of economic and technical dislocations can derail this phenomenon. May-June 2006, and Feb 2007 did not suffice.

Valuations continue to diverge from underlying economic realities. The distortion that lies at the heart of this - non-economic foreign buys of US debt - will slowly fade, as emerging economies seek higher returns, and more domestic application of their surplus capital.

For now, he recommends (and presumably implements at Harvard): strategic asset allocation per secular themes and long-term goals; portfolio overlays tuned to the current & unusual realities; a "risk management process ... sensitive to the nature and evolution of the underlying market distortions."

That's the most cogent diagnosis and prescription I have come across! Now, how to implement as an individual trader?

Posted by: Jock at June 2, 2007 1:46 PM [link]

ALOHA !!

ISSUES AND STOPPERS ...

JP MORGAN takes delivery of 1.16mil ounces of gold equal to $768milUSD, average buy price $662USD.

June 1, 2007 NYMEX Delivery Notice Link: http://www.nymex.com/media/delivery.pdf

On the link(for one day)JP MORGAN secured 918 contracts worth some 91,800 ounces or around $61milUSD. Also see that HSBC(506) and UBS(104) also took delivery. Rarely if ever does JP MORGAN take a large delivery, which now means they have to pay to have those ounces moved from the NYMEX warehouse vault to be stored at some other vault, perhaps their own. Unusual for JP MORGAN ... is JP MORGAN covering some swaps due to failed short positions? Is HSBC in the same boat? It is by far cheaper and easier to settle these accounts with "electronic fiat" than it is to lug around literally tons of gold! What happened that these guys need "the real deal"? Where are the final destinations for these gold bars? Would this info ever be disclosed on a JP MORGAN financial report? If it was, then what do they call this $768mil gold deal? Where's that "line item"? Is it "SHALLOW STORAGE" as opposed to "DEEP STORAGE"? The transparency of the gold market is like a thick Louisiana swamp mud mixed with a some nice sludgy Brent crude! That in itself speaks volumes to the fear of collapse these bankers have for their global "fiat empires"! These guys are in CONSTANT spin mode for every market they infest ... Just unbelivable!!!

Posted by: kaimu at June 2, 2007 6:38 PM [link]

Keep it coming Kaimu, and maybe one day one of the insiders will leak the facts here.

Posted by: Bill Cara at June 2, 2007 7:59 PM [link]

Hi Bill,
I have an idea for an enhancement to your blog. Could you have a link to a page that contains posts from readers and yourself for book recommendations.

I have seen many recommendations on your blog over the years but they are in the daily comment sections. It would be great to have a concise list that is easy to find.

I bring this up because there are many intellegent well read people here that can share some insights into good literature for all of us.

Posted by: cb at June 2, 2007 8:26 PM [link]

ALOHA !!

AFTER THE SURGE?

For many weeks there has been talk of the failure of Pres. Bush's "Surge" as a solution to the "Iraq problem". Well, there is also talk of what would Bush do next if his "Surge" did not work? Well, last Thursday you got an answer to that question by the #2 US military commander in Iraq Lt. General Odierno ...

YOU NEGOTIATE WITH THE TERRORISTS !!!

What? Talk about a total "flip-flop"!!! Of course we did also do that in Vietnam didn't we? We negotiated with the "communists", but even that did not work in Vietnam. I am sure Iraq will be totally different ...

From the Cunning Realist:

Thursday, May 31, 2007
"Maybe Signing Some Things"

The goal of these Sunni extremists is to remake the entire Muslim world in their radical image. In pursuit of their imperial aims, these extremists say there can be no compromise or dialogue with those they call "infidels" -- a category that includes America, the world's free nations, Jews, and all Muslims who reject their extreme vision of Islam. They reject the possibility of peaceful coexistence with the free world. Again, hear the words of Osama bin Laden earlier this year: "Death is better than living on this Earth with the unbelievers among us."

These radicals have declared their uncompromising hostility to freedom. It is foolish to think that you can negotiate with them.
Link: http://www.whitehouse.gov:80/news/releases/2006/09/20060905-4.html

U.S. military commanders are talking with Iraqi militants about cease- fires and other arrangements to try to stop the violence, the No. 2 American commander said Thursday.

Lt. Gen. Raymond Odierno said he has authorized commanders to reach out to militants, tribes, religious leaders and others in the country that has been gripped by violence from a range of fronts including insurgents, sectarian rivals and common criminals.

"We are talking about cease-fires, and maybe signing some things that say they won't conduct operations against the government of Iraq or against coalition forces.," Odierno told Pentagon reporters in a video conference from Baghdad.
Link: http://www.breitbart.com:80/article.php?id=D8PFDJJG0&show_article=1

How many kids died in Vietnam so we could negotiate with "communists"? How many kids died in Iraq so we could end up negotiating with "terrorists"?

Posted by: kaimu at June 2, 2007 8:51 PM [link]

Hello kaimu,
Vietnam was a waste of souls and energy but thankfully now we seem to get along. So maybe negotiating with communists at the time worked out for the best several decades later.

I just hope for peace and cooperation in all places.
Tom
PS:I have been adding to WGI/WGDF all along. They have perked up lately. Lot of good news to come. I guess the shovel is put together and the trucks are on the road.

Posted by: golden7 at June 2, 2007 9:26 PM [link]

If you are interested in book reviews you might want to stop by my site:

http://valueblogreview.blogspot.com/

or here

http://valueblogreviewbooks.blogspot.com/

Steven

Posted by: Steven at June 2, 2007 9:59 PM [link]

ALOHA !!

Marc Faber on US labor data by the BLS and its effect on assets ...

"I am indebted to Alan Abelson, for having recently addressed in Barron’s the conditions in the labor market. As our regular readers of the Gloom Boom & Doom and also of this report know, we have been very skeptical of statistics published by government agencies. In particular, we felt that the inflation figures published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) were significantly understating the cost of living increases of households.

According to Abelson, who quotes the Liscio Report, the very same BLS, which publishes the
various labor condition statistics, also publishes the Business Employment Dynamics(BED). “This series reports detailed gross job gains and losses in the private sector based on nearly complete coverage ‘of the employment
universe provided by the unemployment insurance system.’ More painstaking than the familiar monthly surveys of employment, the tally is
published with a lag of several quarters; the one released earlier this month, for example, was for the third quarter of 2006….Thus, compared with a gain for the quarter of 442,000 jobs reported in the so-called establishment survey, the Business Employment Dynamics, or BED, reckoning was a scant
19,000 additions. In manufacturing, the 9,000 jobs lost according to the payroll figures balloon into a loss of 95,000 jobs in the BED data; the improbable 20,000 additions in construction (think: housing) turns into a
loss of 77,000 by BED's measure; the 507,000 gain in private services shrinks to 108,000. And so it goes. Or, more accurately, so goes the job mirage”. Well put, Alan!

The significant difference in both series of the employment data has likely to do with the "Birth/Death" model, which the BLS uses to estimate the gains/losses in jobs from the start-up and the demise of businesses. I first became familiar with the Birth/Death adjustments by the BLS through the Conference Board’s late chief economist Albert Sindlinger (a very nice
and humble man), who, in the early 1980s, termed these adjustments "phantom jobs”. More recently, Bill King, the author of the outstanding
daily “King Report” (billking@ramkingsec.com), has repeatedly commented on this fact distorting phenomenon, which added in the 3rd quarter of 2006
156,000 and 388,000 jobs in the first four months of this year!

The point I want to make is the following. If, as I believe, the US economy has already reached the stagflation phase (weak economy but accelerating inflation), rising interest rates come at a very inopportune time for the economy and also for asset markets. I concede that some bubbles outside the US seem to be even more blown up than the US economic (notably excessive consumption) and financial market bubble (in particular
excessive debt) but, as I explained before, when one bubble after the other is gradually deflating, to play the last few asset classes that increase in value (London properties, contemporary art, Chinese equities and other emerging markets and their currencies) becomes increasingly dangerous."

May 30, 2007
http://www.gloomboomdoom.com

When will the BLS false data be discussed in depth by the mainstream media?

Posted by: kaimu at June 2, 2007 10:23 PM [link]

Kaimu, Perhaps Bush is planning on frying even bigger fish, apart from negotiating with the terrorists.

I featured this link on my blog (The Kingsland Report):
http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2007/05/20070509-12.html.

Posted by: Jim Kingsland at June 2, 2007 11:45 PM [link]

as you said time and time again last year the band of thieves at Stelco would chop it and sell as soon as the dust settled from their reorg.
Stelco on the selling block.

Posted by: Bill at June 3, 2007 6:25 AM [link]

Well Bill, after the bandits strip out iron ore assets and land assets, which are on the books at orginal cost, they can sell the debt-laden remainder for Fair Market Value less $x. Then they can tell the public that the value of Stelco was not as significant as people like me believe.

Those bandits and their judge and legal cronies are so predictable, I want to cry. Money. Money. Money. A new slant on the term BAM.

Shareholders BAM. Debenture holders BAM. Creditors BAM. Employees BAM. Fair dealing corporations like Georgian Windpower BAM.

There ought to be a Royal Commission.

Posted by: Bill Cara at June 3, 2007 6:42 AM [link]

Greetings,
It just struck me, what we need is not common sense or study to determine what companies to buy and sell but a computer and good algorithms. The lazy man's guide to investing is here. I have copied a paragraph from the WSJ that makes my point.

The newest entrants into this category come from Fidelity Investments. Last month, the Boston-based fund giant launched three enhanced index funds that track the S&P 500 growth and Russell 1000 value benchmarks. The funds, subadvised by Geode Capital, a former Fidelity subsidiary that currently manages $71 billion, use computer algorithms that look at numerous data points and financial metrics, including historical valuation, growth and profitability, to subtly rework the weightings of the S&P and Russell benchmarks.

If everything works right, the fund will gain tiny increments on certain stocks, which will cumulatively lead to extra returns across the entire portfolio.

Posted by: trader at June 3, 2007 8:38 AM [link]

Bill,

What I also find utterly disgraceful is how the OSC has given a blind eye to the wash trading in the "New Stelco" which the broad market has entirely avoided. There have been only a few thousand shares "trading" daily and this is nothing more that BAM trying to juice the price from the original $15 last spring to today's artificial levels in advance of their claim to seek a large premium over the "market" price. It is crystal clear to me that BAM intends to cherry-pick the best assets ( iron ore properties, land ) and dump the rest at fire-sale prices. They are going to need a good lawyer.... perhaps the ex-insolvency court judge James Farley. He's now even more gainfully employed at McCarthy Tetrault, the firm that was used to ram through the CCAA theft of the original shareholder's equity ( mine included ). No one could get this done better! Only a Royal Commission, followed by a trial and jail time for this gang of thieves will satisfy me.

Posted by: TerryC at June 3, 2007 9:51 AM [link]

I'm a new reader. Great site and content.

June 4 Barron's has interview with Steve Leuthold. In replies to questions by Sandra Ward, he predicts corrections:

"There seem to be quite a few instances of "only-in-a-recession" data coming out.

We are going to see two quarters of negative GDP by the time we get to mid-2008, which would be the official definition of a recession. Earnings may not reflect that because we have exported so much of the labor function. But it looks like maybe the consumer, for the first time in my lifetime, might actually be tapped out. I'm not expecting a huge decline or a new secular bear market. But we certainly could see a 25% to 30% kind of a correction, which would be a normal cyclical bear market. That's my opinion, but as I have often said, our numbers are more reliable than our opinion and right now our numbers are neutral.

What influence are hedge funds and private equity exerting on the market?

Our preliminary numbers show the price private-equity firms are paying to buy out companies is 33% to 40% higher than a year ago, based on cash flow. And everybody and his brother is running screens as to who the next likely leveraged-buyout candidate will be. It turns out everything is an LBO candidate. There has never been any kind of a technique, including any kind of portfolio management, that can't be defeated as an effective strategy by too much money and that's exactly what we are seeing happen. But the fallout in the stock market probably is going to be quite a long way away. I don't think private equity is going to be the thing that sinks the stock market. The negative stuff is going to come when two years or three years or four years down the road, private capital attempts to regurgitate these companies and sell them back to the public after they have stripped all the assets out of them or taken their big dividends and so on and so forth."

Downshifting to neutral on stocks. Paid sub required.

With this in mind and my generally cautious inclinations, I'm looking for some stocks that I can trade as collars. I'm also in some call leaps and will do some more this week given the overall short term bullish market outlook. I'll dump them quickly if the market reverses.

As for the banks taking delivery on gold, doesn't that create a new overhang on the gold market, replacing the one central banks reportedly ended last week? Are the Arabs moving gold to the U.S. for security reasons?

Posted by: Oldedit at June 3, 2007 10:44 AM [link]

TerryC,

I never traded a share of Stelco. The company has never met my criteria for Cara 100 consideration. I got interested for other reasons, and believed from early on I could see the code for what BAM was up to. When I got to the Farley courtroom, and I watched the disgusting charade, I had a chance to talk one-to-one with the shareholders' lawyer, who obviously was having his lunch eaten, and more. It was the "more" I was concerned about. I asked him, "Peter, what really is going on here?" That was a kangaroo court if I have ever seen one, and Peter, according to the shareholders who tried to defend their rightful positions, were not in the same financial position as BAM to pay his fees. Ergo: a losing case, and no appeal. Peter's girl friend apparently works at the OSC. Neither the OSC or the TSX were even sufficiently curious to attend the court hearings. It was almost like they knew the result in advance and didn't want to attend the slaughter. Over a billion dollars stolen from shareholders and more from the debenture holders.

So, as a bystander I sympathize. There were a lot of capital owners and managers in your position. I think many of you have the same mindset.

It's amazing this kind of thing can go on in this day and age.

Posted by: Bill Cara at June 3, 2007 1:05 PM [link]

June 2, 2007

Bill Cara’s Saturday Report 22-2007, 06/02/2007 7:00 AM

Value Line Report(s) this past Friday

International Economics Review

International Equity Markets Review

US Equity Markets Review

Charts of US stock ratings changes

Industry “Impulse” Review

Bonds & Yields Review

Forex Review

Commodities Review

Oil Review

Gold & Precious Metals Review

Precious Metals Stocks Review

The Cara Global 100 Stockwatch

The Cara Global 100 RSI-7 Studies

Discourse

Post a comment