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March 28, 2007

We The Enemy, Wed., Mar. 28, 2007, 1:50 PM

A reader sent me the following e-mail, under the subject header: Gold Market Manipulation at CBOT.


Hello Bill,

...I have contacted the CBOT, CFTC, and my broker concerning what happened in the gold futures market today at 9:40 AM eastern time. They are telling me that the trades are standing and everything is fine with their system. Today my stop was hit at 648.80 on my YG April contract. In less than one minute, gold went from 667.70 to 625.10. A move of 42 points in one minute. The volume on my chart showed 621 contracts traded. No one at the exchange seems to care and everyone is telling me that the system worked fine. I just want to know how this kind of market manipulation is allowed to occur. Maybe you could help me out and post something on your blog about it. The guy at the CFTC told me that "we are aware of gold movements". Hopefully you could make other people aware them too. I really feel cheated by a system that allows this kind of manipulation.

Sincerely,

Michael



Here are the charts of the April, May and Spot (Cash) gold trades today.

zzk020.gif

zzk021.gif

zzk022.gif


To the Chicago Board of Trade, this is an insult.

Posted by Posted by Bill Cara on March 28, 2007 01:50:37 PM | Category: Cara Today in the Market

Discourse

Bill-

Do you think there is any chance that in a worst case scenario that the US Govt will not allow us to hold physical gold?

Posted by: dfinvest [TypeKey Profile Page] at March 28, 2007 2:06 PM [link]

To Michael,

My question to the authorities would be why was it that only the mini (YGJ07) traded at a low of 625.10, whereas the major (ZGJ07) traded at a low of 663.50.

That’s a 6.14% difference.

Good Luck.

Posted by: Telestar3d [TypeKey Profile Page] at March 28, 2007 2:27 PM [link]

Bill, thank you for notifying your readers...

Posted by: sergio [TypeKey Profile Page] at March 28, 2007 2:32 PM [link]

Michael,

I'm very interested and eager to know what response you receive from the CBOT for Telestar3d excellent observation.

Posted by: onlineaces [TypeKey Profile Page] at March 28, 2007 2:33 PM [link]

Something similar happened to me last year. I was long Yen when North Korea fired missles out over the Yellow Sea. I got stopped out on a spike that immediately reversed itself.

I could not file a complaint because it was a 'material event' and no way were they going to bust the trade. Correct me if I'm wrong but there was no material event in the gold market. Michael, I think you were cheated.

Best of luck,
Joel.

Posted by: Juker [TypeKey Profile Page] at March 28, 2007 2:49 PM [link]

First off. Thank you Bill for posting my email along with the great looking charts. And thank you readers for your comments.

onlineaces- The response that I received from the CBOT technical services representative was "We have reviewed trades that took place earlier and we did not find anything out of the ordinary" It seemed to me that they do not want to reverse the trades and deal with the people who bought at those prices.

My broker told me that mini gold is a thinly traded market and it does not have to trade in parity with the full size gold futures. I think that it was a lame excuse.

The CFTC regulates futures trades and regulates the markets. The man on the phone there told me that "we are aware of gold movements". He really did not seem to care about the situation, and acted like I was bothering him by calling him.

Thanks again for your concern and comments.

Mike

Posted by: darvas [TypeKey Profile Page] at March 28, 2007 3:12 PM [link]

ALOHA !!

I believe Michael was cheated also, but I suspect he will have to stand in line and pray that perhaps either George Soros or Warren Buffet got axed also.

I believe this sort of manipulation will turn the US markets into a Third World Egyptian CCSI style stock market ... NO CREDIBILITY is the bottom line. As more and more traders get fed up with this con game they will start to turn to other markets or "god forbid" actually buying the physical bullion instead of the paper!

Posted by: kaimu [TypeKey Profile Page] at March 28, 2007 3:19 PM [link]

The lesson here is do not trade the mini’s, with the possible exception of the S&P.

Posted by: Telestar3d [TypeKey Profile Page] at March 28, 2007 3:23 PM [link]

I'm afraid that resting stops are just an excuse to rip you off.

Manage trades by hand, or accept the abuse.

Posted by: procol [TypeKey Profile Page] at March 28, 2007 3:24 PM [link]

I just looked at the chart, hadnt seen it before.
lol, not even funny. But this happens in stocks all the time, you just don't hear about it.

If you leave mechanical orders in the system, then there is no legal protection against this kind of event.

Posted by: procol [TypeKey Profile Page] at March 28, 2007 3:27 PM [link]

procol wrote "...Manage trades by hand, or accept the abuse..."

Feasible with equities, but in futures market where so much can occur geopolitically while we are asleep, it would be extremely risky to trade without the protection of mechanical stops.

Posted by: Kaushik [TypeKey Profile Page] at March 28, 2007 3:51 PM [link]

I think the lesson here is:
Do not trust the stop limit orders.
For thinly traded items Use alerts and execute your stops manually.

Posted by: JogyP [TypeKey Profile Page] at March 28, 2007 4:09 PM [link]

Kaushik, theres no free lunch.

suggest you buy options to hedge extreme risk , cause stops are a fools paradise in this market.

Even if they are not deliberately gunning you, the chance of a fast move and faster reversal , taking your stop out are just as likely as some even costing you money.

Check out oil last night, stops at 66,67,68 were hit.

Posted by: procol [TypeKey Profile Page] at March 28, 2007 4:14 PM [link]

line should read 'some event costing you money'

Posted by: procol [TypeKey Profile Page] at March 28, 2007 4:16 PM [link]

Sorry to hear about that, something similar had happened in the past… (I posted about that at my blog… :

http://globalgold.blogspot.com

Anyway, Gold Is poised to accelerate upward in my opinion.

Posted by: real1 [TypeKey Profile Page] at March 28, 2007 6:04 PM [link]

Here is some recent correspondence between myself and the CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commision)

Hello,

I have just recently started investing in YG (mini gold futures) on the ECBOT. On 3/28/2007 at 9:40 AM ET, the CBOT gold contract spiked down over 30 dollars per contract. I had a stop set 20 dollars below the bid. The spike down lasted for less than one minute and was over a 6% drop in the contract price. Seconds later, the price was exactly right back at the pre down spike levels. Also, there was no price parity between the spike down in the April and May mini gold contract and the regular ZG (100 OZ) contract. Shouldn't there be price parity between the two contracts? Also, how was a price move of this magnitude allowed to occur at the exchange? It looks to me like someone deliberately took advantage of CBOT's system. Please make sure that something like this does not occur again. I would like to have the exchange reverse the trades that occurred from this anomaly, but I feel that it is unlikely.

Charts of the spike are posted at this link:

http://www.billcara.com/archives/2007/03/we_the_enemy_wed_mar_28_2007_1.html

Thank you for your serious concern regarding this matter,

Michael

Here is there reply: Notice that the word "problem" is used in their response.

Dear Michael

Our Market Compliance section here in Chicago heard about this problem yesterday and they are investigating. Your message was forwarded to them.

Sincerely,

Jay Huhman

CFTC-Market Surveillance-Chicago

Posted by: darvas [TypeKey Profile Page] at March 30, 2007 1:01 AM [link]

Michael, Thanks for update.

This is a very important issue and I have special interest in gold .

Posted by: real1 [TypeKey Profile Page] at March 30, 2007 10:51 AM [link]

Diversify your portfolio with Hemisphere Gold, Inc. (HPGI)

www.hemispheregold.com

Investor Relations: Call 888-548-8444

ir@hemispheregold.com

Posted by: Stockblogger [TypeKey Profile Page] at March 30, 2007 1:45 PM [link]

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