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February 6, 2007
Cara’s Daytrader Bull Board, Tues., Feb. 6, 2007, 9:20 AM
Yesterday, I opined: “Spot this morning is $646.10. The $USD has been strong since mid-day Thursday. If, as and when the $USD resumes its weakness, I think gold and the other precious metals will start moving back into a higher trading range, eg, 650-700 for gold – on its way to 750 inside two months. Silver spot this morning is $13.32. It has formed a small base in the past couple hours.”
That was a gutsy call. This morning Gold (spot) is trading at 655.20 and Silver (spot) is at 13.67. Enough said.
I may be slow to get out of bed today, but what I see is a yellow brick road.
Interactive links
U.S. Treasury Bond Mar. contract
Posted by Posted by Bill Cara on February 6, 2007 09:20:07 AM | Category: Cara's Bull Board
Discourse
Chalk one up for Social Equity... better late than never?
"SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- The Securities and Exchange Commission has begun a broad investigation into whether Wall Street bank employees are leaking information about big trades to favored clients, such as hedge funds, in an effort to curry favor and has requested a wide range of information from at least four major banks, according to a media report Tuesday.
The inquiry seems aimed at determining how pervasive insider trading, or the illegal use of market-moving nonpublic information, may be on Wall Street, the New York Times reported in its online edition, citing unnamed Wall Street executives.........."
Posted by: TimG
at
February 6, 2007 10:21 AM [link]
ALOHA !!
" ... Wall Street bank employees are leaking information about big trades to favored clients ..."
OH ... What a shock? You mean like BUD FOX leaked information to GORDON GECKO in the movie "WALL STREET" ???? HA, HA, HA !!! BLUE HORSESHOE LOVES ANDECOTT STEEL !!! HA, HA, HA !!!
They did a movie about such leaks back in the 1980's !!! HA, HA, HA !!! Where has the SEC been hiding?
This has probably been going on since the first stock traded on the NYSE and the SEC wants to investigate it now ... in 2007 !!! Did they think they caught the only inside trader for the millineum when they arrested Martha Stuart? What an incredible bunch of idiots the SEC are ... They're as fair and balanced as a New Orleans cop rolling a drunk in the French Quarters!
Posted by: kaimu
at
February 6, 2007 10:43 AM [link]
I am also speechless to learn Wall Street Banks are involved in fraud of some sort. Shocking! I cannot believe they would do such a thing, that would be like GS manipulating its indexes to benefit its coffers. Wall Street firms never engage in such activities. They make profits from hard work, intelligence and super employees.
key numbers:
HUI.x 336=50% of 270-401 50MA= 333 200MA=328
we are overbought on most everything:
http://stockcharts.com/charts/candleglance.php?USO,TLT,GLD,SLV,$HUI,$XAU,$XEU,ssri,KRY,GSS|B|H14,3
Posted by: deacon31
at
February 6, 2007 12:15 PM [link]
Credit Markets
The bond market for sub prime mortgage lenders and related structured credit securities is beginning to show sign of considerable stress with both underlying and CDS spreads widening considerably. For those interested in the subject Bloomberg is actually doing a good job of tracking developments.
That said, the weakness in the sub prime market has yet to extend to rest of the credit markets where overall spreads are still remarkably tight -meaning far below historical levels. In all likelihood it will be the US high yield market that signals the first sign of trouble for the broader markets. Thta signal has not yet been issued. But stay tuned as the night is young!
Following the marvelous comments regarding the "angelic" nature of Wall Street I saw something truely amusing yesterday. Commenting on the ridiculously low level for the Japanese yen Treasury Secretary Paulson opined how it would be a uniquely bad idea for the Japanese now to begin to raise interest rates. Mr. Paulson then went onto discuss the fragile nature of the recovery in the world's second largest economy.
While I am sure Mr. Paulson is greatly concerned for the Japanese what he conveniently fails to mention is how any meaningful rise in the Yen would bring an abrupt hault to the global carry trade and inflict great pain on the global financial system. Now I am sure Goldmine Sachs had absolutely no horse in that race... LOL.
Cheers
Posted by: Noodle
at
February 6, 2007 2:37 PM [link]
Having reviewed the data and broadcast provided by Alamos Gold (agi on TSX) that resources at Escondida have increased 70% I am a little surprised the stock price has dropped 12%. Still long but would appreciate any insight others may have as to why the market reviewed the news negatively.
thanks
GW
Posted by: gwuk
at
February 6, 2007 6:42 PM [link]
gwuk,
Here is the comment from the BMO gold analyst re Alamos:
Alamos Gold Inc (AGI-TSX, C$8.32) OP Target: C$11.00
• Resource estimates were announced for the high-grade Escondida Hanging Wall Zone and the Escondida Main zones.
• At a 0.5 g/t cut-off grade, measured and indicated resources in the two zones increased by 252,500 oz to 614,547 oz grading 1.10 g/t when compared to the estimate presented in the 2004 feasibility study on the Mulatos project.
• At that time, the Escondida high-grade zone was unknown. At the 0.5 g/t cut off grade, the Escondida Hanging Wall zone contributed 134,829 ounces grading 8.63 g/t.
• This amount of gold and grade may be lower than the market was expecting due to a nugget effect in the Hanging Wall zone resulting in a conservative estimate. This is a view held by management based underground sampling.
• The company is considering sending a 4,000 to 5,000 tonne sample to a mill in Canada to get a more representative bulk grade.
• The company hopes to have a reserve estimate and mine plan for the Escondida zones by the end of Q2/07.
Re somebody else's comments about litigation in the past re Crystallex, I have zero interest in having that garbage repeated here. The matter is over and done with, and I have reported on that.
Posted by: Bill Cara
at
February 6, 2007 11:40 PM [link]
British philosopher and economist John Stuart Mill put it best:
"War is an ugly thing, but not the ugliest of things; the decayed and degraded state of moral and patriotic feeling which thinks that nothing is worth war is much worse.
"A man who has nothing for which he is willing to fight; nothing he cares about more than his own personal safety; is a miserable creature who has no chance of being free, unless made and kept so by exertions of better men than himself."
Posted by: alice
at
February 7, 2007 8:10 AM [link]
ALOHA !!
Alice ... Mr. Mill I take it then has never been to war! After all how many British soldiers died keeping the Empire from crumbling? How many Roman soldiers died keeping the Roman Empire from crumbling? Wars to create "empires" are truly not worth fighting since empires only serve to oppress and enslave !!!
Give Mr. Mill the proper burial he deserves for he has no commonality with the Founding Fathers of America, who fought the only war worth fighting that of freedom and independence from the iron fist of "Empire" ... Our Founding Fathers would be very disappointed in the current path Americans have chosen.
You need to understand the difference between wars worth fighting and wars not worth fighting. I suspect our President and our Congress also need to learn that distinction.
Posted by: kaimu
at
February 7, 2007 9:21 AM [link]
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NDX closing range 5 pts over 4 sessions, SPX 6 pt range in 2 sessions...crude oil +1 into 60 round number test, NOV beats BP misses...best premkt volume CSCO RMBS GLD(CSCO reports tonite)...NVDA upgrade... NSM guides down suggesting that chip demand remains slight... metals bouncing as players try to take advantage of late shorts(RIO PCU SSRI PAAS)
Posted by: deacon31
at
February 6, 2007 9:42 AM [link]