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January 14, 2007
Week #02 (2007-01-13) in Review (FINAL)
There is a saying that your first wealth is good health. This week I got sick enough to stop me from doing the full WIR#2 today. I'll spare you the details. But here is the template that includes the regular charts and tables.
I'm just waiting for some wag to say that it is an improvement over my regular report. (LOL)
Not really able to laugh, though.
This week, I'd like you to look at the $USD, which has had its run up to the down sloping Moving Average lines. I think the run is soon over, and that natural resources based currencies (Canada for example) will start to rally. So too will gold.
Actually the rally in the gold commodity and the stocks started this week, which last week I pointed out I could foresee happening this week, and this week had quite a run up in the gold bullion. Early Friday morning, I gave you a good list of 20 PM stocks to keep on your Watch List.
Higher U.S. Treasury yields will try to keep that gold move in check, but that too would worsen the situation in the housing industry. So, I suspect we'll be told the housing industry problems are over (not!) and that it is ok to have lower bond prices (not!).
As to the new highs in the equities, I haven't yet seen any analysis of apples to apples comparison. The index components and weightings have changed since the last long-term cycle peak. Also, the share buy-backs and increased dividend payout levels have simply restructured the corporate balance sheets and pumped up share prices and the equity market indexes. So, without seeing the incremental enterprise values to support these higher share price levels, in the majority of cases, I'm not impressed by today's chatter of records.
In any event, trading is about finding stocks of quality (peer out-performing) companies and buying the dips and selling the peaks each long-term, intermediate-term or short-term cycle, depending on your own approach to trading.
I believe the equity markets have lifted for two basic reasons: (i) falling oil prices, and (ii) hope of falling interest rates.
If you think that global economic recession or depression is close by, then I guess you have a reason to think that oil prices will fall into the 40's or 30's. But then you cannot also believe that corporate earnings will continue at a double-digit pace.
If you think that the war against terrorism will soon be over, facilitating smaller budget deficits in the U.S., then I guess you have a reason to think that interest rates will decline. But then you are not listening to the U.S. President saying he is putting more troops into the war, and warning the world about that other "axis of evil" Iran.
You know, being a fiscally conservative person, I was hopeful in the Bush Administration six years ago. But utterances such as "axis of evil" are, to me, a sad reflection of a pretender to high diplomatic position. The world needs diplomacy.
Bush's speech this week to try to explain the new policy of military build-up in Iran resulted in precisely no change in the lowly ratings the President has. Admittedly, he is facing the worst problems in maybe 50 years, but by the polls his own people fail to see the leadership.
I think the axis of Bush stringpullers has gotten the world into the crisis shape it's in today, and central banks have followed the only course available to them. Excess credit has been poured into housing at first, and then stocks and bonds. The final cyclic move will be into gold, silver, palladium and platinum. And when the precious metals cycle is over, all prices will be in a cycle of decline.
I'd like to think that politics and markets were like church and state, separate, but this President has them all mixed up. And, as and when the stock and bond markets decline from here, I believe there will be massive outpouring of emotion against this President, and a denouement that sets the stage for the next great bull market.
Now I can return to bed " thinking of good things ahead.
Value Line Dow 30 Reports
(GE: Value Line Report Jan. 12)
(HPQ: Value Line Report Jan. 12)
(IBM: Value Line Report Jan. 12)
(INTC: Value Line Report Jan. 12)
Sector ETF Review
Table 1: Cara ETF List
| Symbol | Close | 1Day Change |
1Day %Change |
1W %Change |
2W %Change |
4W %Change |
YTD %Change |
3M %Change |
6M %Change |
12M %Change |
You can do this table yourself by entering the following string into the Summary window at Investertech.com and then clicking on the link for Performance. XLE XLB XLI XLY XLP IYH XLF SMH IYZ XLU . You can also add more ETF's " up to 30 in total.
For a list of components to any ETF, simply go to the AMEX.com web site, and click on ETF's. I do that frequently.
10 (energy: XLE)

15 (basic materials: XLB)
20 (industrial: XLI)

25 (consumer discretionary: XLY)

30 (consumer staples: XLP)

35 (healthcare: IYH)

40 (financial: XLF)

45 (technology, semiconductor: SMH)

50 (telecom: IYZ)

55 (utilities: XLU)

Sector 10 (energy: XLE, IYE, VDE, OIH, PBW and IXC)
Here's the XLE Monthly, Weekly, Daily and Hourly data charts:
XLE Monthly data:

XLE Weekly data:

XLE Daily data:

XLE Hourly data:

Table 2: Senior oil & gas equities
| Symbol | Close | 1Day Change |
1Day %Change |
1W %Change |
2W %Change |
4W %Change |
YTD %Change |
3M %Change |
6M %Change |
12M %Change |
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production -Canada
Sector 15 (basic materials: IYM, XLB, IGE and VAW)
Here's the XLB Monthly, Weekly, Daily and Hourly data charts:
XLB Monthly data:

XLB Weekly data:

XLB Daily data:

XLB Hourly data:

Table 3: Senior metals and steel equities:
| Symbol | Close | 1Day Change |
1Day %Change |
1W %Change |
2W %Change |
4W %Change |
YTD %Change |
3M %Change |
6M %Change |
12M %Change |
Sector 20 (industrial: IYJ, XLI, VIS, and IYT)
Here's the XLI Monthly, Weekly, Daily and Hourly data charts:
XLI Monthly data:

XLI Weekly data:

XLI Daily data:

XLI Hourly data:

Table 4 Senior capital goods makers and transportation:
| Symbol | Close | 1Day Change |
1Day %Change |
1W %Change |
2W %Change |
4W %Change |
YTD %Change |
3M %Change |
6M %Change |
12M %Change |
Sector 25 (consumer discretionary: XLY, IYC and VCR)
Here's the XLY Monthly, Weekly, Daily and Hourly data charts:
XLY Monthly data:

XLY Weekly data:

XLY Daily data:

XLY Hourly data:

Table 5: Senior consumer discretionary equities
| Symbol | Close | 1Day Change |
1Day %Change |
1W %Change |
2W %Change |
4W %Change |
YTD %Change |
3M %Change |
6M %Change |
12M %Change |
Sector 30 (consumer staples: XLP, VDC, RTH and IYK)
Here's the XLP Monthly, Weekly, Daily and Hourly data charts:
XLP Monthly data:

XLP Weekly data:

XLP Daily data:

XLP Hourly data:

Table 6: Senior consumer staples equities
| Symbol | Close | 1Day Change |
1Day %Change |
1W %Change |
2W %Change |
4W %Change |
YTD %Change |
3M %Change |
6M %Change |
12M %Change |
Sector 35 (healthcare: IYH, XLV, VHT, IXJ, and IBB)
Here's the IYH Monthly, Weekly, Daily and Hourly data charts:
IYH Monthly data:

IYH Weekly data:

IYH Daily data:

IYH Hourly data:

Table 7: Senior healthcare equities
| Symbol | Close | 1Day Change |
1Day %Change |
1W %Change |
2W %Change |
4W %Change |
YTD %Change |
3M %Change |
6M %Change |
12M %Change |
Sector 40 (financial: IYG, IYF, XLF, VFH, IXG, VNQ, RWR, IYR, and ICF)
Here's the XLF Monthly, Weekly, Daily and Hourly data charts:
XLF Monthly data:

XLF Weekly data:

XLF Daily data:

XLF Hourly data:

Table 8: Senior financial company equities
| Symbol | Close | 1Day Change |
1Day %Change |
1W %Change |
2W %Change |
4W %Change |
YTD %Change |
3M %Change |
6M %Change |
12M %Change |
Sector 45 (technology: IGM, IGV, IGW, XLK, VGT, IYW, IGN, IXN, MTK and SMH)
Here's the SMH Monthly, Weekly, Daily and Hourly data charts:
SMH Monthly data:

SMH Weekly data:

SMH Daily data:

SMH Hourly data:

Table 9: Senior technology equities
| Symbol | Close | 1Day Change |
1Day %Change |
1W %Change |
2W %Change |
4W %Change |
YTD %Change |
3M %Change |
6M %Change |
12M %Change |
Sector 50 (telecom: IYZ, VOX and IXP)
Here's the IYZ Monthly, Weekly, Daily and Hourly data charts:
IYZ Monthly data:

IYZ Weekly data:

IYZ Daily data:

IYZ Hourly data:

Sector 55 (utilities: IDU, XLU, and VPU)
Here's the XLU Monthly, Weekly, Daily and Hourly data charts:
XLU Monthly data:

XLU Weekly data:

XLU Daily data:

XLU Hourly data:

Bond & Interest Rate Review
Interest rates and bond yields.


Interactive Daily data charts:


Interactive Hourly data charts:


| Maturity | Yield | Yesterday | Last Week | Last Month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Month | 4.93 | 4.94 | 4.88 | 4.78 |
| 6 Month | 4.92 | 4.92 | 4.87 | 4.85 |
| 2 Year | 4.86 | 4.83 | 4.72 | 4.68 |
| 3 Year | 4.78 | 4.75 | 4.65 | 4.57 |
| 5 Year | 4.74 | 4.70 | 4.62 | 4.53 |
| 10 Year | 4.75 | 4.71 | 4.63 | 4.56 |
| 30 Year | 4.84 | 4.80 | 4.72 | 4.67 |
| Maturity | Yield | Yesterday | Last Week | Last Month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2yr AA | 3.62 | 3.53 | 3.57 | 3.49 |
| 2yr AAA | 3.57 | 3.53 | 3.50 | 3.48 |
| 2yr A | 3.61 | 3.56 | 3.60 | 3.59 |
| 5yr AAA | 3.63 | 3.60 | 3.57 | 3.48 |
| 5yr AA | 3.61 | 3.50 | 3.55 | 3.43 |
| 5yr A | 3.72 | 3.68 | 3.64 | 3.56 |
| 10yr AAA | 3.71 | 3.67 | 3.63 | 3.60 |
| 10yr AA | 3.75 | 3.66 | 3.61 | 3.62 |
| 10yr A | 4.01 | 3.97 | 3.93 | 3.53 |
| 20yr AAA | 4.12 | 4.14 | 4.16 | 4.16 |
| 20yr AA | 4.01 | 4.02 | 4.04 | 3.95 |
| 20yr A | 4.14 | 4.10 | 3.93 | 3.95 |
| Maturity | Yield | Yesterday | Last Week | Last Month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2yr AA | 5.16 | 5.14 | 5.04 | 4.94 |
| 2yr A | 5.25 | 5.23 | 5.13 | 5.02 |
| 5yr AAA | 5.13 | 5.12 | 5.06 | 4.96 |
| 5yr AA | 5.24 | 5.22 | 5.13 | 5.04 |
| 5yr A | 5.31 | 5.28 | 5.20 | 5.08 |
| 10yr AAA | 5.41 | 5.34 | 5.18 | 5.20 |
| 10yr AA | 5.49 | 5.46 | 5.32 | 5.29 |
| 10yr A | 5.55 | 5.52 | 5.43 | 5.35 |
| 20yr AAA | 5.79 | 5.75 | 5.68 | 5.14 |
| 20yr AA | 5.87 | 5.83 | 5.76 | 6.01 |
| 20yr A | 5.93 | 5.89 | 5.82 | 5.79 |
Interactive Chart of Interest rates and bond yields.
US Bond Funds -- Interactive Monthly Data Charts
SHY Monthly data series chart:
IEF Monthly data series chart:
TLT Monthly data series chart:
AGG Monthly data series chart:
LQD Monthly data series chart:
TIP Monthly data series chart:
US Bond Funds -- Interactive Weekly Data Charts
SHY Weekly data series chart:
IEF Weekly data series chart:
TLT Weekly data series chart:
AGG Weekly data series chart:
LQD Weekly data series chart:
TIP Weekly data series chart:
US Bond Funds -- Interactive Daily Data Charts
SHY Daily data series chart:
IEF Daily data series chart:
TLT Daily data series chart:
AGG Daily data series chart:
LQD Daily data series chart:
TIP Daily data series chart:
US Bond Funds -- Interactive Hourly Data Charts
SHY Hourly data series chart:
IEF Hourly data series chart:
TLT Hourly data series chart:
AGG Hourly data series chart:
LQD Hourly data series chart:
TIP Hourly data series chart:
Table 11: Interest-sensitive securities
| Symbol | Close | 1Day Change |
1Day %Change |
1W %Change |
2W %Change |
4W %Change |
YTD %Change |
3M %Change |
6M %Change |
12M %Change |
Consumer Finance -USA -- Interactive Weekly Data Charts
Consumer Finance -USA -- Interactive Daily Data Charts
Consumer Finance -USA -- Interactive Hourly Data Charts
Commodities Review
Interactive Chart of Weekly CRB Commodities Index:

Interactive Chart of Daily CRB Commodities Index:

Oil:
Interactive Chart of Weekly Crude Oil:

Interactive Chart of Daily Crude Oil:

Gold:
Interactive Chart of Weekly Gold EOD Continuous Contract Index:

Interactive Chart of Daily Gold EOD Continuous Contract Index:

Interactive chart of recent trading for the Gold Bullion index.
Interactive Chart of Weekly Silver EOD Continuous Contract Index:

Interactive Chart of Daily Silver EOD Continuous Contract Index:

Interactive chart of the Silver Bullion index.
Interactive Chart of Weekly Platinum EOD Continuous Contract Index:

Interactive Chart of Daily Platinum EOD Continuous Contract Index:

Interactive chart of the Platinum metal index.
Interactive Chart of Weekly Palladium EOD Continuous Contract Index:

Interactive Chart of Daily Palladium EOD Continuous Contract Index:

Interactive chart of the Palladium metal index.
Interactive Chart of Weekly Copper EOD Continuous Contract Index:

Interactive Chart of Daily Copper EOD Continuous Contract Index:

Interactive chart of the Copper metal index.
Table 12: Senior gold equities
| Symbol | Close | 1Day Change |
1Day %Change |
1W %Change |
2W %Change |
4W %Change |
YTD %Change |
3M %Change |
6M %Change |
12M %Change |
To watch the moves in precious metal miners, you will have to monitor the individual stock charts, preferably in real-time, as follows:
NEM ABX AU GFI GG HMY AUY KGC BVN
Interactive 15-minute data
Interactive 60-minute data
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data
MDG LIHRY AEM BGO IAG EGO RGLD GOLD CDE GRS
Interactive 15-minute data
Interactive 60-minute data
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data
CBJ SSRI SIL NG KRY UXG GRZ TSE_HRG TSE_GUY TSE_AGI
Interactive 15-minute data
Interactive 60-minute data
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data
NXG GSS MNG DROOY MFN RNO RANGY MRB CLG
Interactive 15-minute data
Interactive 60-minute data
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data
Here are the key Silver miners and the SLV ETF:
SLV SIL CDE HL PAAS SSRI SLW MGN
Interactive 15-minute data
Interactive 60-minute data
Interactive Daily data
Interactive Weekly data
Here are the Weekly and Daily Data charts of the indexes:
Interactive Chart of Weekly U.S. Goldminers Index:

Interactive Chart of Daily U.S. Goldminers Index:

The U.S. goldminer share trust ETF trades under the ticker symbol GDX.
Here are the U.S. Goldminer ETF (GDX) index Weekly, Daily and Hourly data charts:
GDX Weekly data:

GDX Daily data:

GDX Hourly data:

The Toronto Exchange-listed goldminer iUnits S&P/TSX Capped Gold Index ETF trades under the ticker symbol TSE:XGD.
Here are the Weekly and Daily data charts for the TSX Goldshares (XGD) index:
Interactive Chart of XGD Weekly data:

Interactive Chart of XGD Daily data:

Forex Review
The following data requires your attention M3 update as of 1/12/2007. Please do not gloss over the information it contains.
Interactive Chart of Weekly U.S. Dollar Index:

Interactive Chart of Daily U.S. U.S. Dollar Index:

Interactive Chart of Weekly Euro Dollar Index, priced in USD:

Interactive Chart of Daily Euro Dollar Index, priced in USD:

Weekly British Pound Index:

Daily British Pound Index:

Weekly Japanese Yen Index:

Daily Japanese Yen Index:

Weekly Canadian Dollar Index:

Daily Canadian Dollar Index:

International Equities Review
Two weeks ago, in referring to the BRIC, I wrote: "These extreme moves on the upside are unlikely to continue should there be any central bank tightening. If there are moves higher like that in the BRIC markets (Brazil, Russia, India and China), then Gold will soar."
Asia-Pacific indices (Interactive link)
European indices (Interactive link)
Table 13: International equities perspective
| Symbol | Close | 1Day Change |
1Day %Change |
1W %Change |
2W %Change |
4W %Change |
YTD %Change |
3M %Change |
6M %Change |
12M %Change |
Japanese equity market ETF: EWJ
Here is the Japanese (EWJ) equity market ETF Monthly, Weekly, Daily and Hourly data charts:



U.K. equity market ETF: EWU
For all the ETF's, you can go to the Yahoo Finance site to look into the highest weighted component issues to see the stocks and sectors that moved the worst.
Here is the United Kingdom (EWU) equity market ETF Monthly, Weekly, Daily and Hourly data charts:

EWU Daily data:


Canadian equity market ETF: EWC
Here is the Canadian (EWC) equity market ETF Monthly, Weekly, Daily and Hourly data charts:



(Japan, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore)
(U.K., Germany, France, Italy)
(Canada, Mexico, Brazil, Australia).
U.S. Equities Review
The Cara mantra: Remember, we trade prices. Watch the tape. Watch the technical support.
Here is the Monthly data chart of the Interactive Chart of Nasdaq Composite, S&P 500, Dow30, and Russell 2000 (small cap) indexes.


Here is the Weekly data chart of the Interactive Chart of Nasdaq Composite, S&P 500, Dow30, and Russell 2000 (small cap) indexes.


Here is the Daily data chart of the Interactive Chart of Nasdaq Composite, S&P 500, Dow30, and Russell 2000 (small cap) indexes.
Here is the Hourly data chart of the Interactive Chart of Nasdaq Composite, S&P 500, Dow30, and Russell 2000 (small cap) indexes.


Table 14: Dow 30 List
| Symbol | Close | 1Day Change |
1Day %Change |
1W %Change |
2W %Change |
4W %Change |
YTD %Change |
3M %Change |
6M %Change |
12M %Change |
You can do this table yourself by entering the following string into the Summaries window at www.investertech.com and then clicking on the link for Performance.
AA AIG AXP BA C CAT DD DIS GE GM HD HON HPQ IBM INTC JNJ JPM KO MCD MMM MO MRK MSFT PFE PG T UTX VZ WMT XOM
Here are the links to interactive Dow charts from Investertech.com that I broke into groups of ten, which you can add technical indicators for as well. (list one) (list two) (list three)
Dow 30 comments:
Value Line published reports this Friday on Dow tech stocks INTC, IBM and HPQ as well as GE.
Alcoa [GICS 15, Dow 30]
(AA: Yahoo Finance file)
(AA: StockChart chart)
(AA: Investertech chart)
(AA: ADVFN Financial Data)
(AA: ADVFN Financial Data)
(AA: Value Line Report Oct. 20: next one is due Jan. 19)
Altria Group Inc [GICS 30, Dow 30]
(MO: Yahoo Finance file)
(MO: StockChart chart)
(MO: Investertech chart)
(MO: ADVFN Financial Data)
(MO: ADVFN Financial Data)
(MO: Value Line Report Nov. 3: next one is due Feb. 2)
American International Group [GICS 40, Dow 30]
(AIG: Yahoo Finance file)
(AIG: StockChart chart)
(AIG: Investertech chart)
(AIG: ADVFN Financial Data)
(AIG: ADVFN Financial Data)
(AIG: Value Line Report Nov. 24: next one is due Feb. 23)
American Express [GICS 40, Dow 30]
(AXP: Yahoo Finance file)
(AXP: StockChart chart)
(AXP: Investertech chart)
(AXP: ADVFN Financial Data)(AXP: ADVFN Financial Data)
(AXP: Value Line Report Nov. 24: next one is due Feb. 23)
AT&T [GICS 50, Dow 30]
(T: Yahoo Finance file)
(T: StockChart chart)
(T: Investertech chart)
(T: ADVFN Financial Data)
(T: ADVFN Financial Data)
(T: Value Line Report Dec. 29: next one is due Mar. 30)
Boeing Co [GICS 20, Dow 30. Cara 100]
(BA: Yahoo Finance file)
(BA: StockChart chart)
(BA: Investertech chart)
(BA: ADVFN Financial Data)(BA: ADVFN Financial Data)
(BA: Value Line Report Dec. 22: next one is due Mar. 23)
Caterpillar [GICS 20, Dow 30]
(CAT: Yahoo Finance file)
(CAT: StockChart chart)
(CAT: Investertech chart)
(CAT: ADVFN Financial Data)(CAT: ADVFN Financial Data)
(CAT: Value Line Report Oct. 27: next one is due Jan. 26)
Citigroup [GICS 40, Dow 30, Cara 100]
(C: Yahoo Finance file)
(C: StockChart chart)
(C: Investertech chart)
(C: ADVFN Financial Data)(C: ADVFN Financial Data)
(C: Value Line Report Nov. 24: next one is due Feb. 23)
Coca Cola [GICS 30, Dow 30]
(KO: Yahoo Finance file)
(KO: StockChart chart)
(KO: Investertech chart)
(KO: ADVFN Financial Data)
(KO: ADVFN Financial Data)
(KO: Value Line Report Nov. 3: next one is due Feb. 2)
Disney [GICS 25, Dow 30, Cara 100]
(DIS: Yahoo Finance file)
(DIS: StockChart chart)
(DIS: Investertech chart)
(DIS: ADVFN Financial Data)(DIS: ADVFN Financial Data)
(DIS: Value Line Report Nov 17: next one is due Feb. 16)
Dupont [GICS 15, Dow 30]
(DD: Yahoo Finance file)
(DD: StockChart chart)
(DD: Investertech chart)
(DD: ADVFN Financial Data)(DD: ADVFN Financial Data)
(DD: Value Line Report Oct. 20: next one is due Jan. 19)
ExxonMobil [GICS 10, Dow 30, Cara 100]
(XOM: Yahoo Finance file)
(XOM: StockChart chart)
(XOM: Investertech chart)
(XOM: ADVFN Financial Data)
(XOM: ADVFN Financial Data)
(XOM: Value Line Report Dec. 15: next one is due Mar. 16)
General Electric [GICS 20, Dow 30, Cara 100]
(GE: Yahoo Finance file)
(GE: StockChart chart)
(GE: Investertech chart)
(GE: ADVFN Financial Data)(GE: ADVFN Financial Data)
(GE: Value Line Report Jan. 12: next one is due Apr. 13)
General Motors [GICS 25, Dow 30]
(GM: Yahoo Finance file)
(GM: StockChart chart)
(GM: Investertech chart)
(GM: ADVFN Financial Data)(GM: ADVFN Financial Data)
(GM: Value Line Report Dec. 1: next one is due Mar. 2)
Hewlett-Packard [GICS 45, Dow 30]
(HPQ: Yahoo Finance file)
(HPQ: StockChart chart)
(HPQ: Investertech chart)
(HPQ: ADVFN Financial Data)(HPQ: ADVFN Financial Data)
(HPQ: Value Line Report Jan. 12: next one is due Apr. 13)
Home Depot [GICS 25, Dow 30]
(HD: Yahoo Finance file)
(HD: StockChart chart)
(HD: Investertech chart)
(HD: ADVFN Financial Data) (HD: ADVFN Financial Data)
(HD: Value Line Report Jan. 5: next one is due Apr. 6)
Honeywell [GICS 20, Dow 30]
(HON: Yahoo Finance file)
(HON: StockChart chart)
(HON: Investertech chart)
(HON: ADVFN Financial Data)(HON: ADVFN Financial Data)
(HON: Value Line Report Oct. 27: next one is due Jan. 26)
IBM [GICS 45, Dow 30]
(IBM: Yahoo Finance file)
(IBM: StockChart chart)
(IBM: Investertech chart)
(IBM: ADVFN Financial Data)(IBM: ADVFN Financial Data)
(IBM: Value Line Report Jan. 12: next one is due Apr. 13)
Intel [GICS 45, Dow 30, Cara 100]
(INTC: Yahoo Finance file)
(INTC: StockChart chart)
(INTC: Investertech chart)
(INTC: ADVFN Financial Data)
(INTC: ADVFN Financial Data)
(INTC: Value Line Report Jan. 12: next one is due Apr. 13)
Johnson & Johnson [GICS 35, Dow 30, Cara 100]
(JNJ: Yahoo Finance file)
(JNJ: StockChart chart)
(JNJ: Investertech chart)
(JNJ: ADVFN Financial Data)
(JNJ: ADVFN Financial Data)
(JNJ: Value Line Report Dec. 1: next one is due Mar. 2)
JP Morgan [GICS 40, Dow 30]
(JPM: Yahoo Finance file)
(JPM: StockChart chart)
(JPM: Investertech chart)
(JPM: ADVFN Financial Data)
(JPM: ADVFN Financial Data)
(JPM: Value Line Report Nov. 24: next one is due Feb. 23)
McDonalds [GICS 30, Dow 30]
(MCD: Yahoo Finance file)
(MCD: StockChart chart)
(MCD: Investertech chart)
(MCD: ADVFN Financial Data)
(MCD: ADVFN Financial Data)
(MCD: Value Line Report Dec. 8: next one is due Mar. 9)
3M Company [GICS 20, Dow 30, Cara 250 June 25-06]
(MMM: Yahoo Finance file)
(MMM: StockChart chart)
(MMM: Investertech chart)
(MMM: ADVFN Financial Data)
(MMM: ADVFN Financial Data)
(MMM: Value Line Report Nov 17: next one is due Feb. 16)
Merck [GICS 35, Dow 30]
(MRK: Yahoo Finance file)
(MRK: StockChart chart)
(MRK: Investertech chart)
(MRK: ADVFN Financial Data)
(MRK: ADVFN Financial Data)
(MRK: Value Line Report Oct. 20: next one is due Jan. 19)
Microsoft [GICS 45, Dow 30]
(MSFT: Yahoo Finance file)
(MSFT: StockChart chart)
(MSFT: Investertech chart)
(MSFT: ADVFN Financial Data)
(MSFT: ADVFN Financial Data)
(MSFT: Value Line Report Nov. 24: next one is due Feb. 23)
Pfizer [GICS 35, Dow 30]
(PFE: Yahoo Finance file)
(PFE: StockChart chart)
(PFE: Investertech chart)
(PFE: ADVFN Financial Data)
(PFE: ADVFN Financial Data)
(PFE: Value Line Report Oct. 20: next one is due Jan. 19)
Procter & Gamble Co. [GICS 30, Dow 30, Cara 100]
(PG: Yahoo Finance file)
(PG: StockChart chart)
(PG: Investertech chart)
(PG: ADVFN Financial Data)
(PG: ADVFN Financial Data)
(PG: Value Line Report Jan. 5: next one is due Apr. 6)
United Technologies [GICS 20, Dow 30, Cara 100]
(UTX: Yahoo Finance file)
(UTX: StockChart chart)
(UTX: Investertech chart)
(UTX: ADVFN Financial Data)
(UTX: ADVFN Financial Data)
(UTX: Value Line Report Oct. 27: next one is due Jan. 26)
Verizon [GICS 50, Dow 30]
(VZ: Yahoo Finance file)
(VZ: StockChart chart)
(VZ: Investertech chart)
(VZ: ADVFN Financial Data)
(VZ: ADVFN Financial Data)
(VZ: Value Line Report Dec. 29: next one is due Mar. 30)
Wal-Mart [GICS 30, Dow 30, Cara 100]
(WMT: Yahoo Finance file)
(WMT: StockChart chart)
(WMT: Investertech chart)
(WMT: ADVFN Financial Data)
(WMT: ADVFN Financial Data)
(WMT: Value Line Report Nov. 10: next one is due Feb. 9)
Wrap up:
I was far too sick with flu to complete this WIR. But that's life.
Enjoy your day. Wherever you are in the world, I have a feeling we are on the same page.
Posted by Posted by Bill Cara on January 14, 2007 10:33:33 AM | Category: Cara Week in Review
Discourse
Additional leverage/Another expansion of credit coming April 2nd:
http://www.themoneyblogs.com/steve/my.blog/this-margin-rule-changes-the-game-.html
The news came out in December, but this is the first I've heard of it. I imagine it would be hedge funds and other large traders taking advantage of the new rules.
Posted by: tremendous11
at
January 14, 2007 3:26 PM [link]
ALOHA !!
Thanks for the WIR !!
Take it easy Bill ...
Yes Bill ... so right ... do not gloss over "M3" !! My God man ... just exactly how low do people think prices will go with this kind of monetary inflation going on behind the curtain? I THINK NOT AT ALL !!
If the Middle East producers ever wanted a clue as to why they should not be trading their non-renewable resources for US dollars then all they need to do is look at your link for the latest M3 update!
I would not want M3 published either if I was the US Fed!
Iraq and Iran are the center of focus of late for the latest US military adventure, but it is becoming clearer to me that the real trouble lies in a country that already has nuclear weapons. NO NOT NORTH KOREA ...
P A K I S T A N ! !
Hello? Anybody out there know that Pakistan has 75 nuclear bombs in their arsenal right now and is a Muslim state? Also I have noticed of late that Bin Laden has made Pakistan his center of operations ... WOW, really? I wonder why? My bet is the US puppet who is currently President of Pakistan will soon be gone and replaced by an anti-USA Muslim regime. Just how many fronts does Bush plan to cover? I predict Al-Qaeda goes nuclear before Iran just by taking over Pakistan.
Also take a guess which country supplies the USA with 20% of our light sweet crude supply? Venezuela? NO ... Hummmmmm????? NIGERIA is the answer ... Go to this link and see how ten guys in a boat with an RPG-29 can take out 250,000 barrels of daily oil supply ... Plainly you can see the "Third World people", as Jimmy Cliff calls them, are fed up with the USA and UK "business as usual" ...
Link: http://www.vanityfair.com/politics/features/2007/02/junger200702?currentPage=1
The USA is sitting on very thin supply lines both internally, due to lack of infrastruture and externally, due to lack of intelligence and knowledge of history. We got a glimpse as to how thin the internal supply lines are when Katrina hit New Orleans ... three days folks! Three days and you're in the dark, with no food, no water, no heat, no job, no money, no TV !!
My advice is to not depend on the government, like the Katrina refugees did, but instead take the necessary steps now to become more independant and self sufficient. Spend some of your stock profits on self sufficiency!
Posted by: kaimu
at
January 14, 2007 6:56 PM [link]
Get well soon Bill,
RE: The Canadian dollar. From what I have heard there is(or was recently) a record short positions in the canadian dollar. I cannot confirm the totals in the otc market but the non-comercials on the Merc as of the recent report have 105k contracts short. If resources start to head up here(Mostly Oil) the move in the lonnie could be fast and Furious.
The FCX etf is one option if this sets up but being very illiquid the golds like from Bills list should provide a better trading opportunities for equity only traders.
Andy
Posted by: Andy
at
January 15, 2007 3:08 AM [link]
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Bill,
Please get well soon.
In some hope of helping you out this week, I dusted off my own crystal ball and this is what I see in the next few weeks/months:
In the tradition of recent Goldman Sachs Commodity Index decisions, S&P will reconstitute a number of their indexes, dropping the financial sector by up to 50% in some. This will cause a major selloff in financial stocks as funds that track the indexes have to follow suit. Citigroup, Goldman Sachs and other financial stocks will plummet with shareholders losing billions of dollars while holders of commodity shares wake up to find themselves wealthy beyond imagination due to the increase in % holdings of energy and basic material sectors.
Humongous Bank And Brokerage will put enormous pressure in Washington leading Congress to launch a major investigation into the matter. It is found that six months prior, S&P publicly stated the change on their website, so if traders did a deep search they would have known of the change. After months of investigations with hundreds of televised meetings, S&P is found innocent of illegal wrongdoings, but ethically immoral.
Ok, obviously I am not serious. I mean no disrespect to Standard and Poors who in my knowledge have always been extremely professional, moral and responsible and I hold in high regards (they simply have the most popular indexes, so I use their name in my fictional story). I am simply showing (in a way that some may call juvenile, some may chuckle I hope) why I believe that you will never see stock indexes played with in the manner that Goldman Sachs has played with their GSCI. I did not lose a bunch of money due to these issues so I have no axe to grind with GS (other than thinking their actions stink to high heaven), although I feel for those traders whose families were seriously impacted by the GSCI changes. It would never happen to stock traders, but commodity traders are fair game I guess while boo is said of it in the media.
To any traders who were negatively impacted by this bs in the past year, a lot of traders feel for you. Good luck this year.
What do I really see for 2007? I have no idea, but I will be watching the tape.
Have a great long weekend.
Posted by: g034
at
January 14, 2007 12:13 PM [link]