« Cara's Daytrader Bull Board, Wed., Jan. 10, 2007, 6:35 AM | Main | Indian stocks run into tough sledding, Wed., Jan. 10, 2007, 4:44 PM »

January 10, 2007

Sears Holdings is the Anti-Cara 100, Wed., Jan. 10, 2007, 4:21 PM

Anybody who likes Eddie Lampert, the hedge fund guy who has control of Sears Holdings, will be impressed with the latest corporate report. Then there are traders like me who are asking what's to like?

Today, the wire story reads: "Sears Holdings Corporation (SHLD) announced it expects that net income for its fourth quarter ending February 3, 2007 will be between $750 million and $830 million, or between $4.87 and $5.39 per fully diluted share. For the full year ending February 3, 2007, SHLD expects net income to be between $1.42 billion and $1.50 billion, or between $9.12 and $9.63 per fully diluted share."

But, but, but; isn't this a real estate play? Location, location, location;

Sears Holdings has dubious retailer management and declining revenues and earnings in the business of department store retail operations. Isn't that why you would buy a department store retailer: quality management, and rising operating sales, margins and earnings?

Against the two U.S. Department Store Cara 100 selections, JC Penny and Kohl's (JCP and KSS), SHLD has managed to keep pace for the past three months. But, with today's report, I suspect that after the earnings quality is reviewed, SHLD may be in for a period of under-performance.

001g004.gif


001g005.gif


No position. Actually, I don't much care for U.S. Department Store stocks right now. Consumer spending is uncertain in the face of a likely economic recession, and margins are being squeezed.

Posted by Posted by Bill Cara on January 10, 2007 04:21:00 PM | Category: 25 Cons Discretionary

Discourse

With so much of their past earnings performance coming from investment income, I have to wonder how they could be so certain of their guidance.

Posted by: Leisa [TypeKey Profile Page] at January 10, 2007 5:58 PM [link]

i dont think SHLD is a retailer anymore .... it is a hedge fund :) it should maybe be treated as one ?

i imagine one day you will walk into sears and see a bunch of oil traders in the womens shoe department, bond traders over in children's department, tech traders in the lawn and garden section etc....

Thoughts ?

Posted by: idotri [TypeKey Profile Page] at January 10, 2007 9:02 PM [link]

Post a comment

Thanks for signing in, . Now you can comment. (sign out)

(If you haven't left a comment here before, you may need to be approved by the site owner before your comment will appear. Until then, it won't appear on the entry. Thanks for waiting.)


Remember me?