« Bankers are pulling the plug, Tues., Nov. 28, 2006, 12:09 PM | Main | Cara's Daily Planet, Wed., Nov. 29, 2006, 7:04 AM »
November 29, 2006
Cara's Daytrader Bull Board, Wed., Nov. 29, 2006, 6:59 AM
Equity futures are up after overseas stocks have broken a string of losing days. Green arrows everywhere, including the Nikkei Dow, which had a +220 point session that took the index out of near-term danger of being consumed by the Bear. Oversold stocks from my watchlist to watch are C, HBC, FITB, SBUX, WAG, WFMI, WHR and DOW.
Asia-Pacific indices (Interactive link)
European indices (Interactive link)
Gold spot chart (Interactive link)
Silver spot chart (Interactive link)
Platinum spot chart (Interactive link)
Palladium spot chart (Interactive link)
$CRB Index (Interactive link)
$USD Index (Interactive link)
Posted by Posted by Bill Cara on November 29, 2006 06:59:38 AM | Category: Cara's Bull Board
Discourse
So, unless you owned these for the possible ride up, none would be in the accumulation zone at this time... right!
Posted by: C.Note
at
November 29, 2006 8:17 AM [link]
...david... and others,
My calculations for these eight stocks were done on the weekend. Walgreen (WAG) had a big bump since. But I thought I'd introduce the concept that, in the future, I will be watching for market turns and zeroing in on the technical over-bought and over-sold stocks I monitor. This is a Day Trader's thread, so the concept fits.
I'm also doing some work on a Cara Oscillator (CO), which will be a composite of Technical Indicators like RSI, Stochastics, MACD, Money Flow, etc. I'm going to publish the CO for a short list of 100 Day Trader stocks whenever I think there is a meaningful trading opportunity. The CO for the Cara 500, which will include some of the Day Trader 100, will be available by subscription. When I have the system working to my satisfaction, and the newly designed website/blog is in place, then I'll start the daily service.
It's important to me that all readers understand that a buy or sell opportunity for one trader (say a Day Trader) to buy is also an opportunity to do just the opposite for another one (say a manager of a large holding).
Also, this short-term trading is not too important to the longer-term portfolio management task, which is my primary interest.
Posted by: Bill Cara
at
November 29, 2006 8:31 AM [link]
looking forward to the new service and Cara Oscillator.
Posted by: sergio
at
November 29, 2006 9:13 AM [link]
GDP days are rarely down days for the market.
If revised upward - market goes up
If inline - market goes up
If down a bit - market stays flat as its not as bad as expected.
If down a lot - market drops - but is support by the government.
This pattern has played out all year.
The whole point is to create and image of a strong US economy - even if the GDP data is weak they try to create the image that things are not as bad as expected.
Oil is being pumped today for some reason - the inventory report was not that bullish.
Posted by: Tradesman
at
November 29, 2006 10:50 AM [link]
Low volumes on some blue chip stocks I follow.
...and a lot of random price movements also.
... and semi's weak so far
I anticipated this persistant bullishness yesterday morning and closed the Dow short position trade yesterday for a resonable 1 week profit with the leverage.
I was stopped out of the my Energy short position trade at the same time yesterday as it opened higher in the morning through my stop - for a small loss.
So overall the Short Dow Short Energy trade was profitable.
I don't understand the market today - so I have not traded yet today - I'll look for a reversal this afternoon.
I have left an energy stock day trade (CNQ) open from yesterday.
I wonder if funds are just cleaning or positioning for end of month???
Posted by: Tradesman
at
November 29, 2006 12:15 PM [link]
Here is a speculation that's been pounded into oblivion.
JDO
Oil & gas
Small position for a trade
Posted by: Telestar3d
at
November 29, 2006 2:12 PM [link]
Talk about distributing stocks into strength in the SPZ futures. Futures open 5 points or so higher and quickly burst higher at a very odd time (10am central). Instead of following through to the upside, market leaders were sold aggressively; GS trades up to 199.5 and then reverses hard to 193.06; AAPL gaps through it's all time high of 93.15 then falls to 90.25; CME high 543.5 then drops to 528.13; RIMM high 137.16, low this afternoon so far 130.61; and GOOG high just after the opening 494.75 then drops to 482.25. Semi's as noted opened moderately higher and have weakened all day. SPZ still up over 8 points-very conspicuous selling into program buying. Who is buying????
Posted by: optionoracle
at
November 29, 2006 2:27 PM [link]
Who is buying????
Well it seems like one elephant sells and leaves the room and another one comes back in and buys.
It is impossible to swing trade these markets anymore. These signals are rendered useless.
There is just a bunch of money sloshing around - running into this ETF and then out of it and into another. Like a drunk madman that just has to buy something - anything - he'll find a reason.
Today it is the XLE that seems to be keeping the SPZ afloat.
So the indexes just keep drifting higher - as this rotation keeps occuring.
I just stay with the trend until the trendlines break decisively - for position trades - this works.
And Day trade these wild swings and unload them as quick as I can - this works.
But swing trades - not worth the effort lately.
Posted by: Tradesman
at
November 29, 2006 3:08 PM [link]
KRY up >6% on above average volume.
Posted by: 2nd_ave
at
November 29, 2006 7:55 PM [link]
Crystallex is looking good. KRY is moving higher on much higher volume and on block trade (institutional) volume. Apparently Venezuela's Pres. Chavez is speaking tomorrow in Bolivar, the home of the majority of mining. A positive announcement on the final environmental permits required to start mining is hoped for. Gold Reserve (GRZ) is also on the move, also on much higher volume. But GRZ is mostly retail order size whereas KRY is mostly institutional. I believe the buying in KRY is arbitrage ahead of an expected take-over bid from Goldcorp. That bid, should it come, will put the stock in play. At $625 gold, I believe a fully permitted KRY is worth at least US$12. Without a permit, the NAV of the other mines the company operates in Venezuela is quite low. The new mine at Las Cristinas is really the big play here; it's a world class deposit that, once legitimized by all the necessary permits, will soon become fully valued at something over $9. Then in a take-over, the winning bidder is going to have to pay a mid-to high 30's pct premium to that. As to the Chavez speech tomorrow, I believe that the Crystallex CEO Todd Bruce is on his way to (or is in) Toronto, so Crystallex has obviously received no notice to attend a ceremony we all would like to see.
Posted by: Bill Cara
at
November 29, 2006 8:14 PM [link]
Bill-thanks.
Posted by: 2nd_ave
at
November 29, 2006 8:40 PM [link]
Post a comment
Thanks for signing in, . Now you can comment. (sign out)
(If you haven't left a comment here before, you may need to be approved by the site owner before your comment will appear. Until then, it won't appear on the entry. Thanks for waiting.)
Daily-Weekly-Monthly RSI7s
C 24-45-59
HBC 26-47-70
FITB 23-46-47
SBUX 24-44-55
WAG 37-24-39
WFMI 22-32-33
WHR 20-44-54
DOW 31-49-46
...david...
Posted by: ...david....
at
November 29, 2006 8:06 AM [link]