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September 18, 2006
Hammering gold was a gas, Mon., Sept. 18, 2006, 6:59 PM
Did anybody see how when natural-gas futures got hammered recently, so too did gold? Can you say the words "margin call"?
Today we are told that another of the world's biggest hedge funds has crashed and burned. This time it's Amaranth Advisors of Greenwich, Conn.
When a hedge fund suddenly loses about $2.5 billion or close to 50 pct of the fund's asset value, everybody panics. When you are trying to keep the ship afloat, everything goes overboard, including the gold.
You've heard of the drowned man who was trying to swim carrying two gold bars? Enough said.
When hiring students at Caltech, Amaranth pitched themselves as follows:
Company Description: Amaranth, located just out side of New York in Greenwich, Connecticut with offices in Toronto, Canada, London, England and Singapore is an investment management firm with over 6 billion dollars in assets under management. Amaranth is widely recognized as a leader in alternative investment strategies. In 2004, Amaranth was nominated for the Alternative Investment News “Hedge Fund Leader Award” and was ranked one of the top 50 hedge funds in size by Institutional Investor. We specialize in a broad spectrum of alternative investments and trading strategies, through a multi-strategy investment fund and fund dedicated to long-short equities.HIRING INFORMATION:
Majors Recruited: Applied and Computational Mathematics, Applied Physics, Business Economics and Management, Computer Science, Economics, Engineering and Applied Sciences, Engineering Science, Mathematics, Physics
Degree Level: Doctorate, Bachelors Degree, MBA, Masters Degree
What did I write in the WIR this weekend?
"I wonder if T. Boone Pickens was trading against his hype, or truly, has his 5 billion dollar hedge fund become 4 billion this month?Big Money has definitely left Big Oil.
Question of the day...Has T. Boone gone with the flow, or just gone on vacation?
Again I ask about the hedge funds (that are) long oil and inadequately hedged, will there be failures?"
Here's the problem I have with this situation " actually three issues:
• When the Humungous Bank & Broker players are making billions on trading futures, who's losing it on the other side?
• When HB&B sees the minute-to-minute risk positions of their clients, and then they look at their own exposure, how many billions of potential losses do they avoid by insider selling, with no notice to all clients?
• Why do you think that I have been writing articles here and in Wall Street Journal about the need for hedge fund regulation, and why HB&B doesn't want you to have it.
I continue to ask, when does the nonsense stop?
Do we have to wait until these jerks who control HB&B and their lackies at the Fed and the Treasury totally destroy our capital market?
Of course it's "our" market. The owners and managers of capital are being ripped off " the system is broke and the situation is just going to worsen until the entire system implodes.
In fact, there are enough derivatives outstanding on each side of the market that if unwound at once would create losses so great that the world would no longer have a working capital market system.
I started this campaign two and a half years ago. I don't know we have another two and a half years left before the system collapses.
I will continue to hold gold and other commodities because, when the system eventually does collapse, without it you will be dirt poor.
These charts and tables show gold traders what happened to the gold market when the some of the world's largest hedge funds were walking the plank (unbeknownst to the Little People of course).
But look at the price of the forward months for Natural Gas. That tells you where the commodity prices are headed. Back up as soon as the hedge books are squared on Wall Street.
I spent a lot of time pleading with gold traders this weekend to not throw away your positions. I told you the problem was in the derivatives market. Now you know.
I've been around long enough to know the modus operandi of the crooks at HB&B. I used to be one of them, you know.
Hold your gold; it's got value. HB&B and the Administration? " they got stories and paper.


Posted by Posted by Bill Cara on September 18, 2006 06:59:33 PM | Category: Commodities , Gold
Discourse
"HIRING INFORMATION:
Majors Recruited: Applied and Computational Mathematics, Applied Physics, Business Economics and Management, Computer Science, Economics, Engineering and Applied Sciences, Engineering Science, Mathematics, Physics
Degree Level: Doctorate, Bachelors Degree, MBA, Masters Degree"
Read: Black Box trading strategies. Betcha if they were looking for traders with excellent track records, they never would have blown up.
Posted by: g034
at
September 18, 2006 8:16 PM [link]
g034
Harry Arora, a former Enron trader,headed the commodities desk at Amaranth in March, 2006. This was noted by TheStreet.com "as raising eyebrows" after the commodities losses in May and June.
As noted by Trader Monthly magazine in their April/May 2006 issue, Brian Hunter, age 32, a natural gas trader at Amaranth Advisors, made between $75 – $100 MILLION dollars in 2005.
from Trader Monthly:
"Shunned by Deutsche Bank a few years ago, Hunter landed on both feet. Within six months of joining Amaranth, he had made the Greenwich, Connecticut–based fund $200 million. In 2005, Hunter was certainly among the top natural-gas traders in the world -- or, at the very least, the most buzzed-about."
"Having uprooted a few years back from his native Calgary to the New York area, Hunter has done so well that his employers granted his wish to move back to western Canada, where Amaranth opened an office for him and his team. Rumor has it that Hunter made Amaranth an estimated $800 million off his book, mainly natty-gas derivatives positions but also some other energy dabblings. If he snagged even 10 to 15 percent of that, Hunter was quite the gatherer in 2005."
http://www.trade2win.com/boards/archive/index.php/t-19392.html
According to Bloomberg, Amaranth Advisors is one of JPMorgans biggest stock-loan customers. Worth keeping an eye on.
Posted by: JIM
at
September 18, 2006 10:02 PM [link]
FOOLED BY RANDOMNESS.
What effing idiots.
Posted by: MarkM
at
September 19, 2006 5:46 AM [link]
think about it!
The head trader of that H-Fund has a job any half talented trader could do. He was lucky (LUCK! nothing else! or maybe rigged game who knows) in earning the company he works for 800 million Dollars the last year.
He got paid 80 Million (maybe) for that. This time around he was not so lucky sinking 2,5 billion (ups) in two months. Will the company get 250 Million compensation from this guy? Not for sure.
Who in his right mind, really think about it, would pay anyone the sum he could pay a whole factory and its employees for one year?????????? CRAZY.
Sunlight on it. This is money from insurances and banks mostly, so mostly money from normal guys like you and me. Sunlight on this and NOBODY would do such crazy things!
Posted by: Jansing
at
September 19, 2006 6:21 AM [link]
Call me contrarian but you can't blame Brian Hunter for cutting the best deal he could get. My beef is with the hedge fund investors who "touched their toes" and got royally shafted on his terms.
If there are any institutions amoung the investors, they should be publically named and shamed, rather than hide their losses in a note to their accounts.
Posted by: EtoileBrilliant
at
September 20, 2006 4:45 AM [link]

According to one report "assets under management may have been more than $9 billion going into September."
Michael Greenberger, a former director of the division of trading and markets at the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, says that "if the trades conducted by Amaranth had gone through the Nymex, regulators probably would have stepped in and their questioned the activity. Greenberg says the speculation is that Amaranth may have conducted most of its trading away from the Nymex in a bid to "corner" the long contract on natural gas futures."
"If that's the case, it amounts to manipulating the market," says Greenberger. "It has nothing to do with supply and demand. It's playing games in the opaque markets."
Greenberger's comments and Q&A excerpts on May 8, 2006 before U.S. Senate Policy Committee:
http://tinyurl.com/h39vr
LTCM redux?
Posted by: JIM
at
September 18, 2006 8:01 PM [link]