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September 29, 2006
Cara's Daily Planet, Fri., Sept. 29, 2006, 4:55 AM
Readers are invited to link and discuss published articles from other sources.
The interest of readers of this thread is in preserving capital through awareness of significant events.
"number2son" points us to an OPEC decision that was predicted by one of the readers of this blog.
Japan's Industrial Production shifts to higher gear. Remember that IP is not GDP. In Japan's case the higher IP/shipments data is highly correlated to the Dollar: Yen trade. Japan has been keeping its Yen weak in order to maintain full employment, IP, etc. But the downside is that the nation's inflation cycle has bottomed and is now rising. The CPI rate rose +0.2 pct in July and +0.3 pct in August. This will lead to a rise in the Bank of Japan rate. That rate was raised in July from nil to +0.25 pct. I expect it to rise soon to +0.50 pct, which will strengthen the Yen against the Dollar (and weaken the $USD).
Posted by Posted by Bill Cara on September 29, 2006 04:55:20 AM | Category: The Daily Planet
Discourse
House Panel Digs Deep in HP Spy Case
Dunn, Hurd Shoulder Brunt of Tough Questioning at Hearing
By Yuki Noguchi and Ellen Nakashima
Washington Post Staff Writers
Friday, September 29, 2006; Page D01
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/09/28/AR2006092800231.html
Posted by: oratier
at
September 29, 2006 7:11 AM [link]
Yuan Drops as China May Want Two-Way Moves to Fight Speculators
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=a6gSfj.6Rjog&refer=home
Posted by: oratier
at
September 29, 2006 7:33 AM [link]
Inflation at 11-year high
The dollar is up on this great news? And the S&P futures?
Huh?
Posted by: number2son
at
September 29, 2006 8:44 AM [link]
Gold moving in sympathy with oil again
First Nigeria was going to cut production, now it's not.
And oil goes down and the metals with it?
Again... huh?
Posted by: number2son
at
September 29, 2006 9:01 AM [link]
All the chips are being called in, number2.
More bad news that will be shrugged off. Got to have that meaningless record high. Consumer weakening, but no matter, we have someone who will say he isn't!
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601103&sid=a1GbSEscZCTQ&refer=news
Posted by: MarkM
at
September 29, 2006 9:08 AM [link]
Not a bad scheme. A record high will appear first page on all weekly magazines, drawing more crowds to big mutual funds, so then they have somone to unload their stocks to? Nah, that'd be machiavelian.
What happenned with gold at the open?
Posted by: ursus
at
September 29, 2006 9:26 AM [link]
Russians Expecting $100/Pound Uranium
http://www.stockinterview.com/News/09202006/Russia-Bambrough.html
Posted by: Seamus
at
September 29, 2006 9:58 AM [link]
I have not seen it reported anywhere but I think it is significant that today is the last day that it is possible to "naked short" without leaving a trail of crumbs. Monday the second of October all stock loans must be reported to regulators.
Background is here http://www.agencylending.capco.com/documents/Taskforce%20wide%20documents/ALD%20No-Action%20Letter%20Draft%209-14-06.pdf after "Background" and here http://www.dtcc.com/Publications/dtcc/may05/nelson_interview.html. Note that the cutoff date in this article was subsequently changed to this weekend to take effect on Monday.
Posted by: bidrec
at
September 29, 2006 10:11 AM [link]
Bacon & eggs? White toast? That'll be $25,000. And don't do any business with Sudan while you're at it.
"Just a few hours before the choreographed event, Schwarzenegger attended a fund-raiser with his friend and economic advisor, Warren Buffett. The breakfast fund-raiser took place at the lavish Fairmont Hotel atop Nob Hill in San Francisco, at a cost of $25,000 a person
What Schwarzenegger didn't mention was this: Buffett is the largest individual U.S. investor in a Chinese oil conglomerate that does business with the regime in Khartoum. Buffett's company, Berkshire Hathaway, holds 2.3 billion shares of PetroChina, or 1.3% of the foreign ownership of the oil company."
http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/politicalmuscle/2006/09/warren_buffetts.html
Speaking of $100 Uranium, wouldn't that benefit Sprott & its Uranium Participation Fund?
"We do not distribute research reports on Uranium Participation Corporation prepared by financial analysts, because the Company may appear to be endorsing the report's facts, assumptions and recommendations. As we become aware of analysts publishing research on the Company, we publish their contact information on this page."
Promotion at its best?
More evidence for Bill's confidence in INTC. another AMD-killer strategy.
Imagine notebooks that sleep and awaken instantly, and reboots without a 5 min. delay! (All because of NAND - from SNDK? - on the motherboard)
http://appleinsider.com/article.php?id=2092
INTC is working with PC-makers to build these features into 2007 models!
For a journalist, Jim Jubak (of bizweek&msn) does a fine job of seeing beyond the urgent to the "big picture".
Today, he assesses China's and the US' curiously similar financial dilemma:
how to balance savings and spending with an aging population. China saves too much; the US spends too much. BOTH are in a precarious situation:
He
GM holds its place as top Dow performer
Intel continues to languish as competition with AMD weighs
By Ciara Linnane & Carla Mozee, MarketWatch
Last Update: 1:25 PM ET Sep 29, 2006
A "dog of the Dow" has done it again this year.
My bets are on intel (INTC) and/or Microsoft (MSFT) making a run for a "dog" spot next year.
Posted by: oratier
at
September 29, 2006 2:11 PM [link]
Best and worst ADRs for third quarter.
Worst includes Meridian Gold and Goldcorp.
http://news.morningstar.com/QuarterEnd/Q32006BestWorstADRs.html
Posted by: Seamus
at
September 29, 2006 4:08 PM [link]
This has been discussed here before (the reason why indeces are going higher):
"The bottom line is that a narrowing base of large cap issues, highly weighted in the major indices, are carrying this market higher. As we look from the March-May period to the present period and even within the last few trading sessions, the rise is becoming more selective. Every piece of research I have conducted suggests to me that, on average, intermediate-term market returns are subnormal following such extended narrowing."
Posted by: SiO2
at
September 29, 2006 6:11 PM [link]
INDICATIONS
U.S. stock futures stronger before wave of data
Inflation, spending numbers on tap as quarter comes to close
By Steve Goldstein, MarketWatch
Last Update: 5:58 AM ET Sep 29, 2006
http://www.marketwatch.com/News/Story/Story.aspx?column=Indications&siteid=
Posted by: oratier
at
September 29, 2006 7:08 AM [link]