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August 31, 2006

"Silver on fire" as the reader says, Thurs., Aug. 31, 2006, 2:48 PM

Yes, it was two days ago that I opined that precious metals had been looking good. A reader now says that silver is on fire.

This 3-day chart chart shows that silver is headed north.



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There are some excellent silver producers on the board. I suppose my favorite is Silver Wheaton (SLW) because of the royalty income.

You will note that when the silver metal price moves higher, the stocks of miners will out perform. On the other hand, they under-perform when the price of the metal is falling.

That's simply because the market is pricing earnings, which will potentially increase faster than the metal price when the metal price is rallying.

I like to call them "Silver Crazies", but traders in silver are typically very close to the action of the market. So when precious metals enters a rally, it almost always shows up first in the silver stocks.

I've been underground in four silver mines earlier in my career. One was north of Great Slave Lake, and the others were near the Arctic Circle up by Great Bear Lake.

More than the silver I remember (i) the mosquitos (ii) the fantastic steak and egg breakfasts in the mess hall (iii) the starkness of the countryside " obviously well north of the tree line (iv) the fabulous Lake Trout fishing, and (v) the Walking Pneumonia I returned home with.

Oh, and one more thing.

That was the trip where the Merrill Lynch mining analyst (Jim Perrone) and I plus two or three others in management of that company got dynamited underground after we returned to the mine through a back entrance to where the miners had set their blasts following our departure. Maybe sixty feet away. Trapped in a narrow "man way", the blast flattened us immediately. I lost partial hearing.

That was in a mine the Texas Hunt Brothers had just sold after their attempt to corner the silver market had failed.

Maybe that's when I started calling these people the "Silver Crazies".

Posted by Posted by Bill Cara on August 31, 2006 02:48:33 PM | Category: Silver

Discourse

Bill,

Your getting dynamited definitely has a place in the book you must write! Good luck on your pending surgery.

Posted by: TerryC [TypeKey Profile Page] at August 31, 2006 4:09 PM [link]

Silver on fire, Indeed.

Years ago I was working as a cabinet maker. Every other Friday after work I would go down to Scotiabank head office metals desk in Toronto, the ground floor of that sleek office tower. I would buy a 100oz bar of silver - those nice poured JM ones - cost me a weeks wages all in.

I honestly think they thought I was a fool...
They got some paper, I got 100oz of silver.
I knew I was onto something when I was escorted around by two armed guards. Not sure how many people actually bought "physical" but I did my part.

Thanks Bill for one of the best resources on the internet.

Posted by: tacktician [TypeKey Profile Page] at August 31, 2006 4:55 PM [link]

Switching from silver to gold: a couple of weeks ago there was a discussion on gold forming a triangular formation. As far as I can tell, and I may be wrong, if this formation was broken, it was broken to the down side (?). Wouldn't this mean that it was heading much lower (as opposed to what we are seeing recently)?

Similarly, if anyone could point to the graph showing that Goldcorp is headed to 23s or 24s it would be much appreciated.

Thank you.

Posted by: SiO2 [TypeKey Profile Page] at August 31, 2006 7:53 PM [link]