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July 5, 2006
Tough morning session for the Nikkei Dow, Wed., July 5, 2006, 11:43 PM
The Japanese Nikkei 225 took a significant hit this morning, down -1.54 pct. If this were the Dow 30, that decline would be the equivalent of about 170 points before noon.
The semiconductor and auto stocks in Japan suffered significant pull-backs due to trader concerns of a softening U.S. economy. This action by traders is not on account of further reaction to North Korea's test firing of multiple missiles yesterday, but specifically due to global concerns about the future health of the U.S. economy.
The Japanese equity market, along with New York and London, is in the top three most important in the world. The Bank of Japan, at times, like the present, is the second most important central bank in the world. At the end of next week, BoJ will make what could be a crucially important decision on monetary policy.
So I say to my readers, it's all hands on deck. The equity and bond markets of the world are at an important point. I believe the Japanese equity market peaked in April (along with London) ahead of the rest, which topped out on May 10. Should BoJ next week decide to raise rates and cut back on money supply growth, the impact on global capital markets will be pronounced, i.e., negative for prices.
I will be travelling from Sunday on, so this will be an important time to watch the events in Japan on your own.


Posted by Posted by Bill Cara on July 5, 2006 11:43:59 PM | Category: Japan

FYI:
July 6 (Bloomberg) -- Japan's bond futures fell after a survey compiled by the central-bank bureaus showed the economy is improving at a steady pace in most regions, backing expectations that the bank will raise interest rates next week.
The Bank of Japan will implement policy appropriately by closely checking the economy and prices, Governor Toshihiko Fukui said today in Tokyo at a quarterly meeting of the bank's branches. Fukui and his policy-board colleagues are likely to increase the benchmark overnight call rate at the end of a two-day meeting on July 14, nine of 15 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News said.
``I bet the central bank will increase rates next week and bond yields will increase,'' said Yuzo Nakajima, who oversees the equivalent of $270 million at Deutsche Asset Management (Japan) Ltd. in Tokyo. ``The Bank of Japan is committed to raise rates before the economy overheats.''
Posted by: C.Note
at
July 6, 2006 9:07 AM [link]