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May 19, 2006
Gold hits the skids, Fri., May 19, 2006, 9:00 AM
Isn't it wonderful when a plan comes together? I called gold all the way up, practically to the day, and then I called for gold to drop. Right to the day.
Last week, $Gold closed closed the week at $715.50, up $32.93 on the week. BUT BUT BUT I warned. Spot Gold had dropped -$9.50 last Friday, and I wrote things like:
The $CRB index did not take a breather this week. To the contrary, $CRB jumped a further +2.79 pct to close Friday at 361.75. Actually, Friday was down -1.0 pct, which is what I want to focus you on.For Crude oil futures, the near contracts known as $WTIC rallied +3.65 pct W/W to close at 72.75. I'm a little surprised actually; I thought they would be headed south in the direction of 67.
This week, $GOLD was up again. A week ago it was up $28.66 (+4.38 pct). This week $GOLD was up 32.95 (+4.82 pct) to $715.50.
I continue to say, "Long-term, gold is probably going to $1,000, but there are always a few steps back along the way. We might be in for one soon. If you want to hold your position for the long term, you might consider buying short-term puts against it for protection."
On Friday this week, $GOLD was off just -$0.23, but spot gold was down -$9.50. I saw signs of weakness. I also watched the prices weaken for many of the solid goldminers, like Glamis (GLG), Barrick (ABX) and Goldcorp (GG or G in Canada).
June Gold is now down to $663.50, which is a loss of $52.00 (-7.3 pct).
Gold has hit the skids. All I can say is I put the writing on the wall.
Isn't it time to study what I am doing, rather than asking me what's going to happen next? The fact is I'm a trader, not a story-teller; so I don't know what's going to happen next.
All I know is that I have learned to write tomorrow's headlines today, and you can as well.

Posted by Posted by Bill Cara on May 19, 2006 09:01:00 AM | Category: Bullion
Discourse
Bill the real problem is with zinc , copper , aluminum , nickel... see this story :
http://globalgold.blogspot.com/2006/05/to-melt-or-not-to-melt-thats-coin.html
All the best

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Bill, as you so aptly put it, "Isn't it time to study what I am doing, rather than asking me what's going to happen next?"
To that end, when you wrote today to get our feet wet in gold, what would help is a your reason for saying so. Nothing verbose, just a quick blurb that you are basing the call on the 7 day or 14 day RSI or MACD or whatever.
Have fun at the dentists.
GLD down to 65.50 as I write. I have a buy limit order at 65.10.
Posted by: jragusa
at
May 19, 2006 10:08 AM [link]