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May 31, 2006
Awaiting the 2pm spin machine, Wed., May 31, 2006, 12:40 PM
This market is dead, so I have been working on the Cara 100 tables, which will soon be presented by clicking on the top nav bar tab of that name.
Today is just a recovery day for those industry groups that got extremely oversold yesterday, plus a day when Fed head trader Dino Kos gets to sell a little of the People's gold just to let them know who's bossman.
The Econ calendar is pretty full. Things will swing into action after the 2pm release of the already doctored Fed Minutes. Let the games begin.

The big economics stuff comes out Thursday and Friday. How traders handle that will be an indication of how solid or shaky is this market.
Overnight I didn't see much hope from the Asia-Pacific markets, but who knows, it can go either way here, which is to say the broad market can slide quickly or it can sidetrack.
This is the slinky toy scenario.
But if you can picture a slinky toy, then you can understand the notion that the further sideways it jumps, the further down will be the next move when it gets to the edge.
This is a point where the sell-side banks and mutual fund industry start putting their heavy duty guns into action. You see, they lose when prices fall, so they have to tell you to hold and prosper, regardless of what those people are doing in their own accounts.
Since they get to see our order-flow (and trade against it), don't you think it would be appropriate for us to get to see theirs (and trade against it).
I mean this is a democracy and a free market system right? Or did I just read that in a fiction book?
Oh maybe I'll go practice my golf swing until 2pm. Isn't it strange when WE have to wait on THEM?
And btw, gold stocks are not crashing today along with bullion spot and futures prices (down -$14.00).
And also, I see the yield on the 2-year Treasury Note is up to 5.00 pct.
Posted by Posted by Bill Cara on May 31, 2006 12:40:07 PM | Category: Cara Today in the Market
Discourse
BCA- " Near-term downside for global equities will be limited if bond yields decline."
http://www.bcaresearch.com/public/index.asp
Unfortunately there is that BIG 'IF' in there. Short term trend is now UP for yields, no?
I am favorable towards bond as I believe they will outperform SPX over the next 4-5 months. Sentiment should be supportive and they should ultimately benefit from a flight to safety. At the point that bonds benefit from the safety bid, stocks seem unlikely to see 'support'. To hang your equity 'hope' on a turn in yields seems risky here. The (stock) market looks particularly vulnerable IMHO.
But BCA is a good, highly respected resource. They offer good perspective, but we all must think for ourselves. At this point I choose to disagree with there comforting note here.
Posted by: stockman
at
May 31, 2006 2:16 PM [link]

Yes, the golds ARE holding their own quite nicely today. Technical picture on the 1 minute and 5 minute S&P is deteriorating: declining tops in RSI and MACD; volume practically at a standstill. Breadth holding up well, but with nothing trading, that's not surprising.
Posted by: omphalos
at
May 31, 2006 1:05 PM [link]