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May 29, 2006

About 60 Canada Geese, Mon., May 29, 2006, 12:26 PM

Today is a day to review the Canadian blue chip stocks. A number of them are listed in the S&P TSE 60 index, and several of those are Cara 100 companies.

Here is the S&P/TSE 60 sorted by Alpha
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S&P/TSE 60 sorted by Sector
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The Cara 100 Canucks are as follows:

GICS 10 EnCana Corp (ECA) (ECA) Financial Data

GICS 10 Imperial Oil Ltd (IMO) (IMO) Financial Data

GICS 10 Suncor Energy Inc (SU) (SU) Financial Data

GICS 15 Barrick Gold Corp (ABX) (ABX) Financial Data

GICS 15 Goldcorp Inc. (GG) (GG) Financial Data

GICS 40 Manulife Financial Corp. (MFC) (MFC) Financial Data

GICS 40 Royal Bank of Canada (USA) (RY) (RY) Financial Data

GICS 45 ATI Technologies Inc. (USA) (ATYT) (ATYT) Financial Data

GICS 45 Research In Motion Ltd. (USA) (RIMM) (RIMM) Financial Data

GICS 55 Cameco Corp (CCJ) (CCJ) Financial Data

There you have it. The truth is finally out. I am a homer after all. You see, a full 10 pct of my Cara 100 is Canadian-based and yet the weighting of the global equity market is something like 2.5 pct.

And you thought I was just here for the birds!

A few of the Cara 60 Canada Geese floating on Lake Ontario in front of me this morning.
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Thinking of Canada " because the Toronto Stock Exchange is open for business " today, I received a link from cb " all the way from Guam " for Don Coxe's weekly report.

"Bill, The weekly Don Coxe webcast this week talks about commodities and the recent sell off by hedge funds due to the BOJ.

The call is interesting because he views commodities as a good long term play and this dip as a possible buying opportunity.

He also takes a shot at the IMF for encouraging Japan to maintain the 0% rate; he seems to imply the buying in the markets last week was due to the BOJ "blinking" by pumping liquidity into markets. /CB"



Everybody should click on this link to Coxe.

Yes, I too remain enthusiastic about commodities, and the stocks of commodities producers and leading prospectors. I happened to call the last pullback pretty close to ground zero, and in the face of the blast I walked into that tunnel despite the lights of an oncoming something that was scaring most of you, and I bought back some commodity-producer stocks.

In any event; this discussion by Don Coxe is terrific. It's meant for institutions, but I feel that most of the Little People can grasp what he has to say.

If not, stick with me, and we'll get there.

p.s.: I'll come back later today and add the Yahoo Finance links to this table.

S&P/TSX 60 Index
Effective after the close May 5, 2006
TSX LINK COMPANY SECTOR

1 CCO Cameco Corporation Energy 10
2 CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Limited Energy 10
3 ECA EnCana Corporation Energy 10
4 HSE Husky Energy Inc. Energy 10
5 IMO Imperial Oil Limited Energy 10
6 NXY Nexen Inc. Energy 10
7 PCA Petro-Canada Energy 10
8 SU Suncor Energy Inc. Energy 10
9 TLM Talisman Energy Inc. Energy 10
10 A Abitibi-Consolidated Inc. Materials 15
11 AEM Agnico-Eagle Mines Ltd. Materials 15
12 AGU Agrium Inc. Materials 15
13 AL Alcan Inc. Materials 15
14 ABX Barrick Gold Corporation Materials 15
15 DTC Domtar Inc. Materials 15
16 FAL.LV Falconbridge Limited Materials 15
17 GLG Glamis Gold Ltd. Materials 15
18 G Goldcorp Inc. Materials 15
19 N Inco Limited Materials 15
20 IPS Ipsco Inc. Materials 15
21 K Kinross Gold Corporation Materials 15
22 NCX Nova Chemicals Corporation Materials 15
23 NVL Novelis Inc. Materials 15
24 POT Potash Corporation Of Saskatchewan. Materials 15
25 TEK.SV.B Teck Cominco Limited Materials 15
26 ACE.B ACE Aviation Holdings Inc. Industrials 20
27 BBD.SV.B Bombardier Inc. Industrials 20
28 CNR Canadian National Railway Co. Industrials 20
29 CP Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd. Industrials 20
30 IQW.SV Quebecor World Inc. Industrials 20
31 CTR.NV Canadian Tire Corporation Ltd. Consumer Discretionary 25
32 MG.SV.A Magna International Inc. Consumer Discretionary 25
33 RCI.NV.B Rogers Communications Inc. Consumer Discretionary 25
34 SJR.NV.B Shaw Communications Inc. Consumer Discretionary 25
35 TOC Thomson Corporation (The) Consumer Discretionary 25
36 BCB Cott Corporation Consumer Staples 30
37 L Loblaw Companies Limited Consumer Staples 30
38 SC Shoppers Drug Mart Corporation Consumer Staples 30
39 WN Weston, George Limited Consumer Staples 30
40 BVF Biovail Corporation Health Care 35
41 MDS MDS Inc. Health Care 35
42 BMO Bank Of Montreal Financials 40
43 BNS Bank Of Nova Scotia (The) Financials 40
44 BAM.LV.A Brookfield Asset Management Inc. Financials 40
45 CM Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce Financials 40
46 MFC Manulife Financial Corporation Financials 40
47 NA National Bank Of Canada Financials 40
48 RY Royal Bank Of Canada Financials 40
49 SLF Sun Life Financial Inc. Financials 40
50 TD Toronto-Dominion Bank (The) Financials 40
51 ATY ATI Technologies Incorporated Information Technology 45
52 CLS.SV Celestica Inc. Information Technology 45
53 CSN Cognos Incorporated Information Technology 45
54 NT Nortel Networks Corporation Information Technology 45
55 RIM Research in Motion Ltd. Information Technology 45
56 BCE BCE Inc. Telecommunication Services 50
57 T TELUS Corporation Telecommunication Services 50
58 ENB Enbridge Inc. Utilities 55
59 TA Transalta Corporation Utilities 55
60 TRP TransCanada Corporation Utilities 55

Posted by Posted by Bill Cara on May 29, 2006 12:26:32 PM | Category: Canada

Discourse

At the end of his call, in response to a question, Mr. Coxe talks about going long (bond duration) to protect against a market collapse/fall. He said it was still early but thought it made sense. He said he would do a future call on that topic. However, I guess I've assumed that sooner or later, long term rates will go way up in response to real inflation and the fact that the Fed must wring the easy money out of the system to prevent high inflation. I'm starting to wonder if that is correct.

Posted by: Simon A [TypeKey Profile Page] at May 29, 2006 1:12 PM [link]

Bill, thank you for the consideration of Canadian stocks - it's always nice when you cover some home ground.

Posted by: sergio [TypeKey Profile Page] at May 29, 2006 2:25 PM [link]

There was an interesting article in Barrons entitled "Messy Mañana for Miners." In the article, Kopin Tan writes about the election next week in Peru (home to many precious and industrial metal mines) and the possible effect on the miners and the metals (metals up, certain miners down)as a result of the candidates' stances on taxation of foreign mining companies. Gold/silver etc. is therefore a good investment (price up) and certain miners will get hurt. Specifically, the article states:

"Peru heads to the polls June 4 to elect a president from two candidates who, as far as mining companies are concerned, might as well be named Bad and Worse. Their real names are Alan Garcia, a former president who once shifted banking-industry control to the government, and Ollanta Humala, who now threatens to slap foreign miners with windfall taxes."

My recollection is that Humala is also a former military leader who got a bit over zealous in fighting the shining path and there was a lot of "collateral damage." The article continues:

"Peru is the world's second-biggest producer of silver, third-biggest producer of zinc and fourth-biggest producer of copper; it accounts for 40% of sales at Denver-based Newmont Mining (ticker: NEM) and about 67% of sales at Pan American Silver (PAAS)."

"Option prices and projected volatility have risen noticeably in Newmont, Pan American, Barrick Gold (ABX) and Southern Copper (PCU). In Newmont's case, for instance, traders have accumulated 0.94 puts for every call outstanding, the highest ratio in a year."

It's unclear whether the candidates will follow through on their election rhetoric but this is something you may want to throw into the mix.

Posted by: Simon A [TypeKey Profile Page] at May 29, 2006 4:50 PM [link]

And just to lighten the chat, someone from a brokerage told me about a client who called up and asked about investing in a Peruvian copper company where the president fell out of a helicopter....no names mentioned....lol.

Posted by: bbcmoney [TypeKey Profile Page] at May 29, 2006 10:48 PM [link]

The Bush administration can continue to cook the stats but the world's largest retailer has spoken....

Interest-rate jitters, dollar weakness, Wal-Mart outlook dents

by Steve Goldstein, MarketWatch
Last Update: 7:30 AM ET May 30, 2006

LONDON (MarketWatch) -- U.S. stock market futures were sharply lower on Tuesday, with interest rate fears, dollar weakness and Wal-Mart Stores' disappointing May sales combining to unsettle markets.

S&P 500 futures dropped 6.1 points at 1,276.60 and Nasdaq 100 futures fell 11 points at 1,598.75.

U.S. stock markets are coming off three consecutive gains after upgrades for companies including General Motors and Goldman Sachs, with the Dow industrials ending 67 points higher on Friday.

But Wal-Mart Stores lackluster 2.3% May same-store sales rise - at the low end of company forecasts - dented chances for a fourth rise in a row.

"Wal-Mart continues to see higher gasoline and utility prices impacting its customers, as discussed during its first-quarter earnings call. As a result, the company has seen more pronounced paycheck cycles," analysts at Citigroup said.

Renewed interest-rate concerns were denting stocks in Europe. Many Asian markets, including Japan's, also ended lower. See Europe markets.
Dollar weakness also hit stocks, as markets reacted to increased speculation that Donald Evans, the ex-Commerce Department secretary, will take over from John Snow at Treasury. See currencies. See story on Evans.

The euro rose to $1.2852, and the dollar fell to 111.94 yen.

Data for Tuesday's release include May consumer confidence, seen falling to 100.7 from 109.6%.
Oil futures gained ground, rising $1.33 a barrel at $72.70, while gold futures edged up $2 an ounce to $653.

Posted by: cb [TypeKey Profile Page] at May 30, 2006 7:53 AM [link]