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April 27, 2006

Interest rates in China have jumped, Thurs., Apr. 27, 2006, 8:14 AM

This morning while I was in a deep state of cogitation (i.e., navel gazing), the Shanghai Fly was busy sending me alerts. I should have been paying attention.


Bill, From the streaming news: [10:14 JPY: Chinese Rate Rise Fuels Speculative Interest] London, April 27. The Chinese central bank"s decision to raise its benchmark on 1-yr lending rates by 0.27% to 5.85% has seen JPY move modestly higher... Wonder what effect this will have on the Chinese Yuan, USD and Chinese equity markets. No article in English yet officially as I know of. Yours, A Z

And later:

Here's a link. I guess it's already splattered all over the news.


That move will raise the Yuan and also ought to pump up the Yen (JPY) and push down the $USD. It should also help $GOLD, although the initial action (probably taken by the Fed just to throw traders off their game) was to shoot the gold price down. It's now down $9.00.

Maybe traders are figuring that with greater pressure on the USD, Bernanke has no option but to raise rates higher and further? Probably.

But, then, you know when to buy the dips. :-)

Posted by Posted by Bill Cara on April 27, 2006 08:14:01 AM | Category: China , Forex , Gold

Discourse

I feel like I have been pummeled with pro-commodity "marketing" on tout tv the last few days. Has anyone else felt this way? If so, maybe I should take some gains...

Posted by: g034 [TypeKey Profile Page] at April 27, 2006 8:28 AM [link]

g034-

The sports talk radio stations here are blaring "Now is the time to buy gold! We can help you! Call....". Commodities are now all over the mainstream financial press. And, of course, Cramer is aboard.

Intermediate top?

Posted by: MarkM [TypeKey Profile Page] at April 27, 2006 9:42 AM [link]

Bill-

Some, er UNUSUAL action in the markets this morning , eh? ;) Wouldn't want to have the Dow off 200 on a day when Bernanke comes to town! Hoo Boy.

Posted by: MarkM [TypeKey Profile Page] at April 27, 2006 10:20 AM [link]

MarkM.

RE: Sign of intermediate top

SmartMoney magazine has a bunch of full page gold/silver coins and penny stock ads.

But Popular Science full page viagra ads outnumber gold ads.

So in intermediate time frame a top may be in but long term ... not yet.

Posted by: BaZZa [TypeKey Profile Page] at April 27, 2006 12:32 PM [link]