« Stelco makes a mockery of equity markets, Tues., Apr. 4, 2006, 6:47 PM | Main | Bonds are strong this morning, Wed., Apr. 5, 2006, 8:25 AM »
April 5, 2006
Asia/Pacific stocks ex-Japan are strong, Wed., Apr. 5, 2006, 7:23 AM
While the Japanese equity market was down a bit (-0.3 pct), taking a breather to consolidate gains of the previous week, traders cannot ignore the continued bullishness in all the other markets there.

I believe the market is thinking that there will be a series of strong 1Q06 earnings reports from that region of the world.
The South Korea KOSPI Composite Index has risen for nine consecutive trading sessions following its low of 1309.83 on 22-Mar-06. That record has not been beaten for over seven years for the KOSPI. The Index is up +5.8 pct in those 9 sessions.
While you can't argue with the bullish evidence, perhaps the short-run enthusiasm is overdone.
In any event, as long as manufacturing powerhouse countries like Korea and Japan have rapid economic growth due to their close link to China's fortunes, there will likely be continued demand for global commodities like oil, steel, copper, and so forth.
At the first sign of a shock to the price strength in these two indexes, however, which may or may not happen for some time, I would take that as a red flag to sell your positions in commodities.
I do expect to see it happen sometime in 2006. Like you I don't know when.
Posted by Posted by Bill Cara on April 5, 2006 07:23:42 AM | Category: Cara Today in the Market

Bill-
Here is a potentially important story from China re loan reserve requirements being increased as part of their plan to tighten monetary policy.
http://corpsv.etnet.com.hk/webservice/jsp/ETNETP1/NEWS/ENG/NewsContent.jsp?MAINTYPE=NEWS&ENCODING=ENG&SUBTYPE=DETAIL&CLIENT=ETNETP1&NEWSID=160404161
Posted by: MarkM
at
April 5, 2006 8:15 AM [link]