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March 31, 2006

BillCara.com news, Fri., Mar. 31, 2006, 11:57 PM

There was so much I wanted to write about today but I spent most of it designing the new section of the website for "Bahamas", and for "Trades".

The Bahamas section (top nav bar when it gets done) will present the case for capital market traders joining me in Freeport on Grand Bahama Island, where we'll be living grand. :-)

For the majority of readers, the "Trades" section will finally get to the meat. My friends at RiskFile will set up a quant model that meets my needs for this blog.

I'll then be presenting a universe of about 1200 stocks that trade in the U.S., including about 100 that also trade in Canada. Every week or every second week, the computer-generated buys and sells (long and short portfolios) will be presented, and once a month the performance against the broad market indexes will be graphed.

This universe will include all Cara 100 stocks that trade in North America, which is almost all of them. As well, only optionable stocks will be candidates. Unfortunately there will be no asset allocation criteria used, because the model is not set up for that.

Periodically, I'll write up my rationale for the proposed trades. Obviously I hope this portfolio outperforms because that above all else is what it will be tuned for. For sure, though, this new tool will help me cover a broader number of industries/groups/stocks than I have been doing recently in this blog.

My personal portfolio in future will be based on trades from this model portfolio, but will be using put and call options. I intend to show certain of my real trades in the blog, but I have no intention of offering the whole portfolio as a service to premium subscribers or otherwise, at this point.

I'm in no hurry to get into a client-vendor relationship because that will mean legal obligations and daily responsibilities. So don't count on it happening for a while. Maybe after I move to Freeport, and get registered to trade in securities there, I'll offer premium services, such as charging to get simultaneous e-mails of all my personal trades.

As for today's news, the blog's web stats for March are amazing -- just shy of 40,000 servers from about 100 countries. And my mail has been a delight to read too. Thank you.

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Symbol Close Net %Net 1W %Net 2W %Net 4W %Net YTD %Net 3M %Net 6M %Net Yr %Net
XLE 54.40 -0.77 -1.40% 1.00% 1.40% 0.50% 3.23% 8.13% 1.36% 26.81%
XLB 32.35 -0.31 -0.95% 0.94% 0.50% 1.92% 4.62% 6.84% 17.64% 7.26%
XLI 33.80 -0.01 -0.03% 0.36% 0.03% 3.24% 6.86% 7.57% 12.07% 11.07%
SMH 36.32 -0.42 -1.14% 0.33% 2.17% -4.27% -4.22% -0.87% -1.68% 11.65%
IYZ 25.88 -0.02 -0.08% -0.04% 0.19% 2.86% 12.67% 13.21% 9.38% 13.01%
XLY 33.66 -0.10 -0.30% -0.38% -1.06% 0.54% 2.00% 3.09% 3.60% 1.51%
XLF 32.55 0.01 0.03% -1.00% -1.66% 0.09% 1.09% 2.78% 10.26% 14.65%
XLP 23.60 -0.09 -0.38% -1.58% -1.50% 0.21% 0.68% 1.33% 1.37% 2.52%
IYH 63.65 -0.41 -0.64% -1.82% -2.42% -1.00% 0.03% 1.00% 2.36% 8.90%
XLU 30.83 -0.23 -0.74% -2.10% -4.11% -4.55% -3.66% -1.78% -8.24% 5.76%

Symbol Close Net %Net 1W %Net 2W %Net 4W %Net YTD %Net 3M %Net 6M %Net Yr %Net
AA 30.56 -0.16 -0.52% 2.45% 1.49% 0.53% 2.21% 3.35% 25.14% 0.56%
GE 34.78 0.13 0.38% 2.44% 0.78% 5.20% -1.67% -0.77% 3.30% -3.55%
DIS 27.89 0.02 0.07% 1.60% -2.62% -1.17% 14.30% 16.35% 15.58% -2.92%
HON 42.77 0.43 1.02% 0.75% 0.02% 2.52% 14.18% 14.82% 14.05% 14.94%
MSFT 27.21 -0.02 -0.07% 0.74% -1.05% 1.04% 1.38% 4.05% 5.75% 12.58%
XOM 60.86 -0.26 -0.43% -0.51% -0.31% -0.20% 4.09% 8.35% -4.22% 2.11%
INTC 19.46 -0.24 -1.22% -0.71% -0.41% -4.23% -23.90% -22.04% -21.05% -16.23%
DD 42.21 -0.30 -0.71% -0.80% -0.82% 2.95% -1.97% -0.68% 7.76% -17.62%
HPQ 32.90 0.33 1.01% -0.81% -3.69% -1.08% 14.36% 14.91% 12.67% 49.95%
MCD 34.36 -0.19 -0.55% -0.98% -2.11% -1.41% 2.51% 1.90% 2.60% 10.34%
BA 77.93 -0.49 -0.62% -1.02% 0.10% 6.19% 10.79% 10.95% 14.69% 33.30%
JPM 41.64 0.11 0.26% -1.09% 0.58% 0.12% 3.61% 4.91% 22.72% 20.35%
IBM 82.47 -0.73 -0.88% -1.13% -1.00% 3.14% 0.50% 0.33% 2.80% -9.75%
AXP 52.55 0.42 0.81% -1.18% -3.84% -2.23% -0.06% 2.12% -8.51% 2.30%
T 27.04 0.02 0.07% -1.21% 0.15% -3.39% 9.43% 10.41% 12.81% 14.14%
C 47.23 -0.05 -0.11% -1.21% -0.38% 2.85% -4.18% -2.68% 3.76% 5.10%
MMM 75.69 -0.83 -1.08% -1.45% 1.20% 3.86% -4.32% -2.34% 3.18% -11.67%
KO 41.87 -0.25 -0.59% -1.85% -2.15% 0.17% 2.37% 3.87% -3.06% 0.48%
HD 42.30 -0.08 -0.19% -1.90% -1.54% 0.24% 2.57% 4.50% 10.91% 10.62%
PG 57.62 -0.01 -0.02% -1.91% -2.50% -3.44% -1.97% -0.45% -3.09% 8.72%
JNJ 59.22 -0.13 -0.22% -1.94% -1.86% 3.05% -3.91% -1.46% -6.42% -11.82%
WMT 47.24 -0.42 -0.88% -1.97% 1.18% 4.21% 2.18% 0.94% 7.80% -5.73%
AIG 66.09 0.02 0.03% -1.99% -3.97% 0.93% -5.07% -3.14% 6.67% 19.27%
UTX 57.97 -0.05 -0.09% -2.21% -1.41% 0.19% 2.55% 3.68% 11.82% 14.05%
MRK 35.23 -0.38 -1.07% -2.27% -1.15% 0.11% 7.57% 10.75% 29.47% 8.84%
VZ 34.06 -0.43 -1.25% -2.60% -1.02% 1.43% 12.11% 13.08% 4.19% -4.06%
MO 70.86 -0.86 -1.20% -2.85% -3.66% -1.73% -5.49% -5.17% -3.87% 8.37%
PFE 24.92 -0.28 -1.11% -4.23% -5.57% -4.92% 4.79% 6.86% -0.20% -5.14%
CAT 71.81 -0.59 -0.81% -4.89% -5.80% -3.75% 24.24% 24.30% 22.23% 57.06%
GM 21.27 0.21 1.00% -6.09% 0.66% 10.72% 12.54% 9.53% -30.51% -27.63%

US Treasury Bonds
Maturity Yield Yesterday Last Week Last Month
3 Month 4.48 4.48 4.52 4.48
6 Month 4.63 4.63 4.60 4.56
2 Year 4.81 4.83 4.70 4.69
3 Year 4.82 4.84 4.66 4.68
5 Year 4.81 4.82 4.65 4.62
10 Year 4.85 4.85 4.66 4.58
30 Year 4.89 4.89 4.69 4.55
Municipal Bonds
Maturity Yield Yesterday Last Week Last Month
2yr AA 3.55 3.51 3.45 3.37
2yr AAA 3.54 3.52 3.45 3.38
2yr A 3.55 3.56 3.57 3.37
5yr AAA 3.64 3.62 3.57 3.49
5yr AA 3.68 3.66 3.61 3.50
5yr A 3.73 3.70 3.65 3.58
10yr AAA 3.94 3.90 3.83 3.71
10yr AA 3.92 3.88 3.81 3.69
10yr A 4.09 4.01 4.01 3.89
20yr AAA 4.27 4.24 4.19 4.06
20yr AA 4.27 4.21 4.16 4.07
20yr A 4.41 4.37 4.29 4.19
Corporate Bonds
Maturity Yield Yesterday Last Week Last Month
2yr AA 5.22 5.23 5.08 5.08
2yr A 5.29 5.30 5.17 5.11
5yr AAA 5.34 5.34 5.19 5.09
5yr AA 5.41 5.42 5.25 5.21
5yr A 5.46 5.48 5.29 5.25
10yr AAA 5.69 5.67 5.52 5.37
10yr AA 5.71 5.67 5.48 5.39
10yr A 5.72 5.72 5.54 5.43
20yr AAA 5.94 5.91 5.84 5.68
20yr AA 6.18 6.33 6.11 6.17
20yr A 6.24 6.22 6.07 5.87

Posted by Posted by Bill Cara on March 31, 2006 11:57:05 PM | Category: Cara re: Cara

Discourse

The future for this web site reads very exciting Bill, thank you for all you've done in helping me understand smart investing to this point.

BTW, I'm not sure how you calculate the hits your site receives so I've been keeping an unscientific record of how many times I link to your website each day and here are the results:

During the market week: 9.8 times per day (this does not include clicking from the lower browser when I hold your site in pause after linking).

Weekends: 2.3 times per day.

Now, if your counter knows whose cookies are coming in and only counts it as one for the day, then you would know the actual different computer hits taking place.

For some reason this quirk has been bothering me and I hope it is helpful for your statistician.

Posted by: C.Note [TypeKey Profile Page] at April 1, 2006 10:05 AM [link]

Bill,

Have you thought about setting up a chat board within which members share their ideas, similar to that which is being done within your postings?

Posted by: Academia [TypeKey Profile Page] at April 1, 2006 10:18 AM [link]