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February 13, 2006

Interesting low-priced stocks from IDB, Mon., Feb. 13, 2006, 9:27 AM

Investors Business Daily is a research oriented trader publication. Actually it's a William O'Neill computer database driven info tool. I like it, but then I happen to like computers doing most of the background checking prior to decision-making.

Today IBD has a piece on "ten top-rated low-priced stocks". They provide charts, business summary and some tidbits of info that you might find interesting.

These are micro-cap stocks, which I don't cover. But my making reference to these tools can be a learning exercise for some of you.

What I would do if this kind of stock were appealing would be to load the ticker symbols into Investertech.com charts with RSI and run the 15-minute, 60-minute, daily and weekly price data. I wouldn't expect to see too many bargains because a lot of people read IDB, like they watch Cramer on CNBC, to get into something new and interesting early.

That's the musical chairs game that I won't play.

But while sitting around waiting for fast markets to break, I'll look over articles like this " see a few new names, and then run the charts. I'll read the info if I see something like New Dragon Asia (NWD) I'll read on to see that the company does something in the wheat flour and instant noodles biz. Maybe something strikes my fancy.

Some of you invest that way. I don't.

In fact, I'll bet that not one in 200 decisions come to me in this form. And I'm talking about say a NWD that I see today but maybe act on three months from now.

The problem is that these selections are too often the result of a public/investor relations program by the listed company, which probably means they are already over-priced. But I have found over the years that William O'Neill does good stuff. Their options products were a staple for me for years when I was in the advising and managing business.

That's what all traders need to do. You need to find media content producers (data and articles) that you trust and feel comfortable with. Then you get a feel for the nuances. It all helps raise your level of sophistication and ultimately your self-confidence.

Barron's is a fairly good publication, and I have even gotten to like Michael Santoli's work " although I must admit it wasn't always that way. And, like I say, IDB, and Wall Street Journal.

But not all columnists are acceptable to me, even if the publication is ok. But then there are publications like Fortune that hardly ever carry material that I think adds value. Subtract it, maybe.

In any event, here are the charts of the Top Ten rated Stocks under $10 as presented today by IDB. Take it for what it's worth. You might find a gem and a nugget, and then again...

COGO SURG EGY AOB TRCI AEY ARTG TLF NWD TGB

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Hourly Data charts
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Daily Data charts
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Weekly Data charts
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Posted by Posted by Bill Cara on February 13, 2006 09:28:18 AM | Category: Cara "Focus" of the Week

Discourse

Thank you for continuing to show a traders process. IMO, too many people buy stocks for stories, without any idea how to put together a process that they feel comfortable with. I am sure that some of your articles regarding this have helped out many.

Here's to Teaching How To Fish.

Posted by: g034 [TypeKey Profile Page] at February 13, 2006 9:44 AM [link]

Bill - This week is options expiry. It often seems to me that the week before expiry belongs to hedge funds trying to drive the equity price up or down to where they mostly own the strike, then the week of expiry belongs to the options issuer who often brings the equity price back to the level of "max pain".

Not as an investor would do, but rather as a ST trader, what tactics/strategy have you found best to use during these two weeks of literal "turn on a dime" price movements?

Thanks.

Posted by: spot [TypeKey Profile Page] at February 13, 2006 11:47 AM [link]

Spot - There are many tactics you could deploy but let us be realistic and ask the question as to which tactics you have at your disposal?

I'm curious as to why you're trying to be a ST trader and extract alpha constantly unless it is your job or you're helping facilitate huge clients to place trades.

Why not keep things simple, pick a classic company like PG or JNJ and forget about the noise. Do you really care to know how short term traders feel on the inside? They lose as much as they gain but hopefully gain a tad more.

If you were asking from a knowledge perspective I understand, but if you're trying to pull it off please have the market tools and capital to deploy without hesitation.

I'll say it like this..

"Don't try to work like a Nascar Pit Crew when you have Sears Tools to work with"

I don't even look at options expiry anymore. I don't care for fed hikes, my stocks are chosen to stand the test and are occasionaly rotated if management dissapoints two sequential quarters in a row.

Forget trading :) Enjoy the investing.

/d

Posted by: dinov [TypeKey Profile Page] at February 13, 2006 1:08 PM [link]

ok i just took started taking positions back on gold....this is the worst...buying as it ticks lower....

Posted by: Bullring [TypeKey Profile Page] at February 13, 2006 1:24 PM [link]

bullring-

I am waiting until I see where support comes in. We are kinda in no man's land here on the charts.540-45 was support. That needs to be recovered. If not, this could fall to next logical support at 515-20 or all the way to 490.

This is very instructive.

Posted by: MarkM [TypeKey Profile Page] at February 13, 2006 1:48 PM [link]

markm...i bought 20% of my planned total dollars...so this is not a rush in...and I set stops....i don't know that a marginal break of the 540 means a great deal....and i would not be surprised to see some fear selling tomorrow with a reversal during the day...but you never know....sometimes buying on the dip works and sometimes it doesn't...

Posted by: Bullring [TypeKey Profile Page] at February 13, 2006 2:11 PM [link]

b/r-

Not meant as criticism. Just a different approach.

M

Posted by: MarkM [TypeKey Profile Page] at February 13, 2006 2:46 PM [link]

dinov - Thanks for your comments. I always enjoy courteous challenges, such as yours, to my trading thoughts because they help to prevent my falling into the trap of rigidly trying to follow just one trading method or technique. Questions force me to re-analyze why I am doing what I do, and whether it is still working. Trading still works for me, but I agree that it isn't for everyone.

I do not wish to imply that your technique(s) are not as good as mine, if they are working for you, but at my age I can no longer afford to try to outlast a major cyclic downturn in the markets -gg. I started investing in 1970 at a time when a similar strategy as your simple: buy the "classics such as PG and JNJ" was in vogue. I think brokers referred to them as stocks that "widows and orphans" could own without a care. Of course, the oil embargo came along, et al, and a lot of "widows and orphans" lost their happiness for quite a while. Since then, I "traded" through 1987 and '89 without a loss. I didn't get out of Gold in the early '80's quick enough, but I did a lot better in keeping my earnings than many investors did who kept buying the dips. I avoided the effects of the last bubble-bust. And so on ...

Tools? Heck, there were times when I wished devoutly for Sears to come out with something that I could use. I kept stacks of newspapers in the closet and hand charted stocks that I was interested in. I also used Chart Books that were made available in the City Library each week. When the Commodore-64 came out, I hand programmed sorting algorythms on multiple columns (this was pre-worksheet programs) to get some of the tables that Bill loves to use. All this to say that fancy tools are NOT necessary - just the work and skill.

Most of the common techniques that are so much in use, today, have been popularized only during the last 15 years or so. Metastock had a devil of a time getting started, but did a lot to make such techniques quick and easy (until Equis sold out, imo, but that's a different story).

There are always new tools, and they should all be studied to see if they might work for each person as individual. The real problem is whether a person has conquered "greed and fear" in his process of decision making - then just about any tool, if properly used, can be helpful to determine when to get in and when to get out with maximum retention of earnings - but that's "trading".

I can usually make some money going into Fed meetings, but OpsExp is for me like trying to solve a multi-variant equation with some hidden variants, and I wondered if Bill might mention something out of his experiences that I have not put to use.

Good luck in your investing!

Posted by: spot [TypeKey Profile Page] at February 13, 2006 3:00 PM [link]