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December 15, 2005

Timely Aden Sisters report on gold, Thurs., Dec. 15, 2005, 11:15 AM

There are two sisters who have, since I first met them personally in the early 1980's, operated an independent investment research company from Costa Rica. They have consistently made good calls on gold, and have as a result been popular speakers at the various gold conferences in North America.

Before I re-publish their current work, I'd like you to be aware that sometimes these independent services will drop a couple ringer names among the more credible stocks. So be careful; check them out thoroughly. Just because you read a ticker symbol in a publication, its association with other names in a list doesn't make it a credible buying or selling opportunity.

For instance, the Dow 30 contains the ticker symbols of two Generals, GE and GM. Enough said.

There are times in the market, like these for gold, that publications from Aden Sisters and Bob Bishop, for example, are really worth the expense. You might want to google Aden Sisters, and Bob Bishop, and check out their publications. You might even get a free copy or cheap trial to see if it meets your needs.


ADEN REPORT:

"AS GOLD SURGES well past the $500 level, hitting an almost 25 year high, it's providing holiday cheer for metals' investors. Silver and platinum also soared to new bull market highs, reaching 18- and 26-year highs.

There's no question, gold's bull market is heating up. It's flexing its muscles, and it's now in a more solid phase. Gold is rising on its own and not because of U.S. dollar weakness like before. Gold demand is up around the world, and mutual funds, institutions and possibly some central banks have also been moving into the market. Plus, the other metals have all joined in on the rise, too.

It's clearly a new ballgame. By all indications, the game has a lot further to go, and it's going to be a good one. Luckily, we were there early, but if you weren't, it's not too late.

Increasingly, the evidence continues to grow, signaling a new investment era that began a few years ago. This new era has been favoring gold over other investments like stocks and bonds, or even real estate. This year, for instance, gold was again the winner. So far, it has gained 23% compared to the gains in stocks, bonds and real estate at 4.85% (Standard & Poor's 500 index), 6.40% and 16%, respectively.

That's been the case for the past four to six years, and it's going to continue and intensify.

What's behind the move? This new era is being driven by mountains of debt and deficit spending; lots of liquidity and money from central banks around the world; inflation; a boom in oil; China's phenomenal growth and demand for just about everything; the war on terror and global instability, both geopolitically and financially due to the largest imbalances ever. Plus, demand is growing, and this is all coinciding with the 200-year commodity cycle.

These cycles have occurred about every 30 years, and each time commodities have risen for 15 to 40 years, with the average being about 18 years. These are mega secular bull market rises, and since the current rise is only five years old, we'll likely see another decade or so of rising metals prices before this mega upmove is over, based on the historical record.

We continue to recommend keeping a 50% position in gold, silver, streetTRACKS Gold Trust, iShares COMEX Gold Trust and the metals, energy and resource shares. The strongest metals shares that reached new highs are: Central Fund of Canada , Newmont Mining , Agnico-Eagle Mines , Glamis Gold , ASA (Bermuda), AngloGold Ashanti, Royal Gold, US Global Investors Fund World Precious Minerals, Scudder Gold & Precious Metals Fund, Tocqueville Gold, Pan American Silver, Goldcorp, Placer Dome and Eldorado Gold.

The others like Silver Standard Resources , Coeur d'Alene Mines, Compania de Minas Buenaventura and Apex Silver Mines rose and did well, but not as good as the others.

Barrick Gold was the worst performer as it failed to reach the old highs. Continue to hold, but wait to buy new positions on weakness. Buy and hold the resource shares."


Yes, I think Aden Sisters have a talent, and write good stuff. But please check out some of the names in their list, as the quality of some of these names varies considerably. Some of the promoters are their friends on the speaker circuit, etc., but for the most part, I like the list.

As for Bob Bishop, I met him the year he started his excellent publication in 1983. I always considered him to be a class act. But like all publications, there are detractors.


P.S. There is two sides to the Aden Sisters gold coin. Here is a comment I received directly from a reader who is a serious person, who has written me regularly since some time last year:

"Bill, I respectfully disagree with you about the Aden sisters. They were the Bob Precter's of the precious metals. After starring in the late 70's and early 80's, their record has been abysmal. How do I know? I subscribed to their newsletter. Like Jim Rogers, was there ever a time when they were not bullish?"

Here is the link to Bob Prechter.

Posted by Posted by Bill Cara on December 15, 2005 11:15:34 AM | Category: Bullion , Gold , Gold Explorers , Goldminer Producers

Discourse

Bill-
As you know I have been following Energy for a new entry point. I have been looking at your charts, the RSIs and MACD and, while I don't think I'll call it this time, the sector is beginning to look a little toppy to me. Lots of high RSIs and some charts starting to turn over. But then there's SU, which is on a rocket because the big boys have it in their sights.

Posted by: MarkM [TypeKey Profile Page] at December 15, 2005 12:28 PM [link]

I am not an EWT advocate, BUT, if memory serves me right, right before this last leap in gold prices, they called for a rise in prices that would be much further than the past rises because it was a "3" wave. They were very right on that call.

Posted by: g034 [TypeKey Profile Page] at December 15, 2005 12:59 PM [link]