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June 16, 2005

PDG query, Thur., June 16, 2005, 11:25 AM

T just asked: is it too late to get into PDG, or any of the gold stocks. They might be out of the accumulation zone? Been asleep at the wheel this week.

Answer: From my Week in Review, "I went long Friday at 11:00am, the senior gold mining producer Placer Dome (NYSE: PDG). I believe there will be a significant 10 pct to 15 pct up move in PDG in the next 30 days. This is an Intra-Month trade (18 sessions or fewer)."

Now, in the equivalent of precisely four (4) trading sessions later, PDG is up +10.4 pct.

First, I really don't know why I can sense what's going to happen in markets before it does. I guess it's a combination of art and science, learned over a period of time.

Second, I don't know why I write about it, and expose myself potentially as lacking credibility. That might come from the confidence I have in being right more often than I'm wrong, as well as my desire to be as clear in my communications as possible.

And thirdly, I cannot put myself in a position of having to follow up and tell readers what to do with their money. Not only do I lack the time or focus, I am not licensed as an investment advisor. I've been there, done that. Now I'm thinking of doing it again, but not from Canada, or the U.S., as much as I like these countries.

Really, this blog is just a chance for me to meet people, tell them what issues are important, how with my experience I look at capital markets, and so forth.

That's the best I can do.

Yes, gold contracts did trade up this morning, to where it is presently $435.80. It has touched $436.00. When it makes that kind of a move, goldminer stocks will do well.

Posted by Posted by Bill Cara on June 16, 2005 11:26:01 AM | Category: Goldminer Producers

Discourse

Many gold stocks such as PDG, FCX, GG are also large copper producers and copper just made a new high @1.60. This is also a reason why the Fed won't be easing soon and Mr Greenspan is saying "an inverted yield curve won't necessarily cause a recession" ...(so keep spending)

Posted by: russ witt at June 16, 2005 8:36 PM [link]