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June 3, 2005

Jobs, rates & the economy, Fri., June 3, 2005, 5:29 PM

Glen Hubbard, Dean of the Columbia University Business School, and former Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisors, happened to visit his favorite TV Klown today at 5pm. They agreed that today's market (minus 92 on the Dow) was not about jobs because the +78,000 number was not that bad, the economy is in great shape, yada, yada. Moreover, the bonds came off today, they said, because of fears the Fed would now tighten.

Klown Kudlow is touting Hubbard for next Fed Chairman. And why not call another professor who was former head of that Council of Economic Advisors to be vice-chair? You remember " that guy who wrote the book about Random Walk that nobody on Wall Street thinks credible.

It's all too much.

It's really all about how fiction is destroying America.

Here's the reason the stockmarket went down today. Simply look down the loser board.

I pointed it out early this morning: the retailers were pumped yesterday so they could be let down softly today on a disastrous jobs report. Then Monday can start fresh.


224a002.jpg


Traders know that people without jobs are not flush, and will spend less. And traders know the Fed will tighten, for other reasons, but if the economy goes soft, the Fed may just stop raising rates before they ought to, which did not impress the bond traders, but did pump up the gold bugs, today.

What is so complicated about that?

A couple days ago, I pointed out the danger of listening to an advocate, at least one who is not working directly for you, but has his/her own ax to grind.

I can give you proof of it every day " and Klown & Company, and Hubbard, made my point today " even if I wasn't supposed to be watching TV (or commenting about it). ;-)

Posted by Posted by Bill Cara on June 3, 2005 05:30:08 PM | Category: Economics

Discourse

Bill-

This is the first time I have read your blog. The Fickle Trader mentioned it to me a few times. I must say you do a wonderful job. Keep up the great work as it was a very good read this morning on why the market was down yesterday. We figured Jobs and higher Crude Oil prices into the equation but missed the bonds. Is the clown you speak of Cramer? I quit watching CNBC as they certainly have they own agenda. Bloomberg TV is a little bit better.

Gekko

Posted by: Gekko at June 4, 2005 1:41 PM [link]